Emerging Agriculture 2016: The Future of Agriculture
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THE FUTURE OF AGRICULTURE
Design:Culture:Mind
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#EmergingAg
@nikolasfuturist
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“I know there's a farmer out there somewhere who never wants a PC and that's fine with me.”
Bill Gates
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Today?
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“Food production must increase with 60% to be able to feed the growing population expected to hit 9 billion in 2050.”
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There is an urgency to increase yield, drive efficiencies and
fight the ever changing world.
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Internet of Things
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Internet of Things
Autonomous Vehicles & Drones
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Internet of Things
Autonomous Vehicles & Drones
Big Data
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Internet of Things
Autonomous Vehicles & Drones
Big Data
AR & VR
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Internet of Things
Autonomous Vehicles & Drones
Big Data
AR & VR…and one more thing
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Internet of Things
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“The Internet of Things (IoT) is the network of physical objects or "things" embedded with electronics, software, sensors, and network connectivity, which enables these objects to collect and exchange data.”
Source: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Internet_of_Things
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1. Higher productivity and more efficient use of land, water and fertilizer.
2. Greater transparency.
3. Big data, and the software to collect it.
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“4.9 billion connected things will be in use in 2015, up 30 percent from 2014, and will reach 25 billion by 2020.”
Gartner
Source: https://www.gartner.com/newsroom/id/2905717
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“GE estimates that convergence of machines, data, and analytics will become a $200 billion global industry over the next three years.”
CMO.com
Source: http://www.cmo.com/articles/2015/4/13/mind-blowing-stats-internet-of-things-iot.html
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“94% of all businesses have seen a return on their IoT investments.”
CMO.com
Source: http://www.cmo.com/articles/2015/4/13/mind-blowing-stats-internet-of-things-iot.html
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Semios - Manage Your Orchard
Source: http://modernfarmer.com/2013/08/5-robots-on-the-farm/
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Vital Herd - Quantified Livestock
Source: http://www.fastcoexist.com/3048171/the-quantified-cow-wearables-will-monitor-animals-as-closely-as-humans
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“40% of dairy cows get sick each year and those losses from livestock animal sickness amount to $5 billion a year in the U.S. alone.”
Brian Walsh, Vital Herd's CEO
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“500 billion devices by 2025.” Cisco
Source: XXX
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Challenges
• Cost efficiency • Connectivity • Security • Maintenance and Upgrades • Data, data, data • Training
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Drones
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“Because of limited arable land, productivity must increase 25% to help meet that goal.”
The Robot Report
Source: http://www.therobotreport.com/news/ag-in-transition-from-precision-ag-to-full-autonomy
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“Agricultural robot market size to grow from $817 million in 2013 to $16.3 billion by 2020.”
ResearchMoz
Source: http://www.therobotreport.com/news/ag-in-transition-from-precision-ag-to-full-autonomy
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Autonomous Tractors
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Weed Control
Source: http://spectrum.ieee.org/automaton/robotics/industrial-robots/bosch-deepfield-robotics-weed-control
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WineBot
Source: http://modernfarmer.com/2013/08/5-robots-on-the-farm/
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Herding Drone
Source: http://modernfarmer.com/2013/08/5-robots-on-the-farm/
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Rosphere
Source: http://www.upm.es/internacional/UPM/UPM_Channel/News/9ec27b9df516f310VgnVCM10000009c7648aRCRD
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And now, a look to the skies.
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“The average size of a Canadian farm was 315 hectares in 2012. But in Saskatchewan, the average size was 675 hectares.”
Statistics Canada
Source: https://gereports.ca/drones-take-to-the-agricultural-skies/
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Farm Drones
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eBee Ag: Precision Agriculture
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Google’s Project Wing
Source: http://www.theverge.com/2015/11/2/9660198/googles-project-wing-drone-launch-2017
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Source: https://gereports.ca/drones-take-to-the-agricultural-skies/
Lancaster
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“In 40 minutes, 120 hectares can be surveyed by Lancaster, the metre-long, 1.4-kilogram drone is used with various plug-and-play imaging sensors, including infrared and hyper-spectral, which depict more than 100 channels of light that can reveal problem areas invisible to the human eye.”
Source: https://gereports.ca/drones-take-to-the-agricultural-skies/
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• 3D TERRAIN MAPPING • PLANT HEIGHT • WEED DETECTION • PLANT COUNTING • CANOPY COVER • CROP HEALTH INDEXES • SEASON MONITORING
What can it do?
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What about some smaller applications with bigger impacts?
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Source: http://robobees.seas.harvard.edu/
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“Honey bees are responsible for $30 billion a year in crops.”
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“One of every three bites of food comes from plants pollinated by honeybees and other pollinators. Yet, major declines in bee populations threaten the availability of many fresh ingredients consumers rely on for their dinner tables.”
Whole Foods
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• Autonomously pollinating a field of crops. • Hazardous environment exploration. • Search and rescue (e.g., in the aftermath of a
natural disaster). • High resolution weather and climate mapping. • Traffic monitoring. • Surveillance.
Source: http://robobees.seas.harvard.edu/
Bee drones have wide-ranging applications
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Drone Challenges
• Securing and patrolling the farm’s airspace.
• Navigating legislation and remaining compliant.
• Training. • Hacking and theft. • Rogue UAVs.
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Big Data
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• Machine optimization. • Optimized planting • Identify disease outbreaks. • Creating better seeds and hybrids • Better decisions that prevent
mistakes and increase efficiency.
Source: http://robobees.seas.harvard.edu/
The Promise
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Source: http://www.cmo.com/articles/2015/4/13/mind-blowing-stats-internet-of-things-iot.html
Farm at Hand - Enterprise Resource Planning
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Farmer’s Business Network
Source: https://www.farmersbusinessnetwork.com/
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Farm Data Simplified.• Analyze your soils, seeds, fertilizers, chemicals, yields, economics,
and weather. • Move beyond maps. Unlock profitable, actionable insights from all
your data. • Integrate any precision monitor with unlimited file cleaning and
storage.
Real World Seed Intelligence.• Access agriculture’s largest database of real world seed
performance. • Find optimal planting populations and practices on over 700 varieties.
Farmers Connecting.• Farm with the confidence of millions of acres of anonymous crop and
practice insights. • Join thousands of advanced farmers in the digital coffee shop - this is
the new way to share. • Get exclusive access to FBN Events and Member Benefits.
Source: https://www.farmersbusinessnetwork.com/
Farmer’s Business Network
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But, there are some real concerns around big data usage…
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Sources: https://scicrop.com/en/index.php and https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=P7m_llFYU1I
SCICROP
• Acquires worldwide data from agriculture, financial markets and climate, mapping the value-added information.
• Analyzes more than 200k data units per day collected through public and private agrometeorological stations (invented by Scicrop), mapping drones (invented by Scicrop), news, social networks and satellite images.
• Interpret data and build crop production and climate risk scenarios through realtime farm analysis.
“THE S&P AND BLOOMBERG FOR AGRICULTURE.”
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Source: http://www.wsj.com/articles/startups-mine-market-moving-data-from-fields-parking-lotseven-shadows-1416502993
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• Who owns the data? • How easy is it to acquire data? • Who profits off of the analytics? • How secure are the services?
Source: http://robobees.seas.harvard.edu/
The Challenges
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AR & VR
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This is bad
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John Deere’s FarmSight
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“Every screen larger than the one on your wrist will get eaten by VR/AR in the next 10 years”
Source: https://thoughts.ishuman.co/vr-will-eat-screens-be0c1ea2d789#.dwyqq41ed
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Water
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Source: http://waterfootprint.org/en/
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Source: http://waterfootprint.org/en/
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Source: http://waterfootprint.org/en/
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Drought & Floods
Yorkton, Saskatoon
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“Of all natural hazards, floods, droughts and tropical storms affect the agriculture sector most showing the severe impact of climate-related disasters.”
US Secretary-General
Source: https://www.newscientist.com/article/mg22129524-100-vertical-farms-sprouting-all-over-the-world/
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“Over the last three decades, there has been a rising trend in the occurrence of disasters worldwide - droughts, hydrological events like floods and meteorological events such as storms.”
US Secretary-General
Source: https://www.newscientist.com/article/mg22129524-100-vertical-farms-sprouting-all-over-the-world/
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“Economic losses have reached an average of USD 250 billion to USD 300 billion a year.”
US Secretary-General
Source: https://www.newscientist.com/article/mg22129524-100-vertical-farms-sprouting-all-over-the-world/
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Somerset Levels, UK
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Cities
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“86% of the people in the developed world will live in cities by 2050.”
United Nations
Source: https://www.newscientist.com/article/mg22129524-100-vertical-farms-sprouting-all-over-the-world/
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Vertical Farms
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Source: http://www.citylab.com/design/2014/08/forget-vertical-farms-this-is-a-vertical-rice-paddy-fish-nursery-transit-center-nuclear-plant/376051/
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Source: http://www.citylab.com/design/2014/08/forget-vertical-farms-this-is-a-vertical-rice-paddy-fish-nursery-transit-center-nuclear-plant/376051/
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Hydroponics
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"We're growing in 16 days what otherwise takes 30 days in a field - using 95% less water, about 50% less fertilizers, zero pesticides, herbicides, fungicides"
David Rosenberg, CEO, AeroFarms
Source: http://www.cnbc.com/2015/06/24/vertical-farming-the-next-big-thing-for-food-and-tech.html
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NASA LETTUCE INFO - IMAGES?
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Aquaponics
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FutureFarmer
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Smartdust
Quantum Computing
Human Augmentation
Brain-Computer Interfaces
Virtual Personal Assistants
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See and download the presentation at slideshare.com/nikolasbadminton