ECONOMIST/IPSOS MORI ISSUES INDEX...2016 Jun 2017 NHS EU/BREXIT IMMIGRATION ECONOMY HOUSING...
Transcript of ECONOMIST/IPSOS MORI ISSUES INDEX...2016 Jun 2017 NHS EU/BREXIT IMMIGRATION ECONOMY HOUSING...
2
Issues Facing Britain – June
Base: 965 British adults 18+, 9 – 20 June 2017
What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?
Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index
54%
42%
29%
27%
26%
25%
18%
18%
17%
13%
NHS/Hospitals/Healthcare
Common Market/Brexit/EU/Europe
Defence/foreign affairs/terrorism
Education
Immigration/immigrants
Economy
Ageing population/social care
Poverty/Inequality
Housing
Crime/Law and Order/ASB
-7
-3
0
+19
+1
+5
+6
+3
+3
+2
%
Change since May:
Position
Top mentions %
+8
-1
-1
-1
+1
-2
-2
3
Issues Facing Britain – JuneWhat do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?
Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index
54%
42%
29%
27%
26%
25%
18%
18%
17%
13%
17%
25%
9%
4%
11%
6%
2%
4%
2%
1%
NHS/Hospitals/Healthcare
Common Market/Brexit/EU/Europe
Defence/foreign affairs/terrorism
Education/Schools
Immigration/immigrants
Economy
Ageing population/Social care
Poverty/Inequality
Housing
Crime/Law and Order/ASB
Top mentions %
MOST/OTHER
IMPORTANT ISSUES
MOST IMPORTANT
ISSUE
Base: 965 British adults 18+, 9 – 20 June 2017
4
Issues Facing Britain: Long Term Trends
Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home
What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?
Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
May1997
May1998
May1999
May2000
May2001
May2002
May2003
May2004
May2005
May2006
May2007
May2008
May2009
May2010
May2011
May2012
May2013
May2014
May2015
May2016
May2017
NHS UNEMPLOYMENTCRIME/LAW &
ORDER ECONOMY IMMIGRATION EU/BREXIT
5
Issues Facing Britain: Ten Year Trends
Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home
What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?
Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
Jun2007
Jun2008
Jun2009
Jun2010
Jun2011
Jun2012
Jun2013
Jun2014
Jun2015
Jun2016
Jun2017
NHS EU/BREXIT IMMIGRATION ECONOMY HOUSING UNEMPLOYMENT
6
Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
May-10 Nov-10 May-11 Nov-11 May-12 Nov-12 May-13 Nov-13 May-14 Nov-14 May-15 Nov-15 May-16 Nov-16 May-17
Single biggest issue: Trend 2010 - 2017What do you see as the most important issue facing Britain today?
Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index
NHS EU/BREXIT IMMIGRATION ECONOMY
DEFENCE/
TERRORISM UNEMPLOYMENT
7
GE 2017Vote for Brexit;
Cameron resigns Cameron becomes PM
Issues Facing Britain:
NHS / Hospitals / HealthcareWhat do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
May1997
May1998
May1999
May2000
May2001
May2002
May2003
May2004
May2005
May2006
May2007
May2008
May2009
May2010
May2011
May2012
May2013
May2014
May2015
May2016
May2017
Report says waiting lists have
doubled under Labour
Lowest score since
December 1985 (12%)
Highest score since April 2002
(61%)
Source: Ipsos MORI Issues IndexBase: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home
8
GE 2017Vote for Brexit;
Cameron resignsCameron becomes PM
Issues Facing Britain:
Common Market / Europe / Euro / EU / BrexitWhat do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?
Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
May1997
May1998
May1999
May2000
May2001
May2002
May2003
May2004
May2005
May2006
May2007
May2008
May2009
May2010
May2011
May2012
May2013
May2014
May2015
May2016
May2017
Treaty of Accession: 10 new
EU Member States
France and Holland reject
ratification of EU constitution
Lowest score
recorded (1%)
Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home
51%: Highest recorded score
(since September 1974)
9
GE 2017Vote for Brexit;
Cameron resigns
Cameron becomes PM
Issues Facing Britain:
Immigration / Immigrants
Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home
NB Until Sept 2014 the code was race relations/immigration/immigrants
What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
May1997
May1998
May1999
May2000
May2001
May2002
May2003
May2004
May2005
May2006
May2007
May2008
May2009
May2010
May2011
May2012
May2013
May2014
May2015
May2016
May2017
Border controls relaxed for “A8” EU
Countries (Poland, etc.)
Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index
EU Border controls
relaxed for Romanians
and Bulgarians
Highest concern
ever recorded (56%)
10
GE 2017Vote for Brexit;
Cameron resignsCameron becomes PM
Issues Facing Britain:
Economy / Economic situationWhat do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?
Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
May1997
May1998
May1999
May2000
May2001
May2002
May2003
May2004
May2005
May2006
May2007
May2008
May2009
May2010
May2011
May2012
May2013
May2014
May2015
May2016
May2017
Global recession
and Russian
Financial crisis
Highest score since 1992;
Most important issue for
the first time
Sub-prime mortgage
crisis in the US
Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home
Lowest score since
February 2008 (19%)
Northern Rock
nationalised
11
GE 2017Vote for Brexit;
Cameron resigns
Cameron becomes PM
Issues Facing Britain:
Unemployment / Factory closure / Lack of industryWhat do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?
0
10
20
30
40
50
May1997
May1998
May1999
May2000
May2001
May2002
May2003
May2004
May2005
May2006
May2007
May2008
May2009
May2010
May2011
May2012
May2013
May2014
May2015
May2016
May2017
Unemployment falls below 1 million for first time in 25 years
Minimum wage
introduced
Unemployment in Britain rises to 5.5%
Lowest ever score(5%)
Youth unemployment reaches 1 million
Lowest score since September
2008 (11%)
Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index
12
GE 2017Vote for Brexit;
Cameron resignsCameron becomes PM
Issues Facing Britain:
Crime / Law & Order / Violence / Vandalism / ASB
Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home
What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?
Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
May1997
May1998
May1999
May2000
May2001
May2002
May2003
May2004
May2005
May2006
May2007
May2008
May2009
May2010
May2011
May2012
May2013
May2014
May2015
May2016
May2017
May day riots
Riots across
England
9/11Lowest score since
March 1991 (8%)
13
GE 2017Vote for Brexit;
Cameron resignsCameron becomes PM
Issues Facing Britain:
Education / SchoolsWhat do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?
Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index
0
10
20
30
40
50
May1997
May1998
May1999
May2000
May2001
May2002
May2003
May2004
May2005
May2006
May2007
May2008
May2009
May2010
May2011
May2012
May2013
May2014
May2015
May2016
May2017
Introduction of means-tested tuition
fees. Education most important issue.
First City Academies
introduced
Lowest score since
Dec 1985 (9%)
Labour’s second term - pledge to
improve failing secondary schools
Highest score since
September 2006 (27%)
Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home
14
GE 2017Vote for Brexit;
Cameron resignsCameron becomes PM
Issues Facing Britain:
Defence / Foreign Affairs / International terrorismWhat do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?
Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
May1997
May1998
May1999
May2000
May2001
May2002
May2003
May2004
May2005
May2006
May2007
May2008
May2009
May2010
May2011
May2012
May2013
May2014
May2015
May2016
May2017
9/11 “7/7” London
Bombing
Invasion of Iraq
Failed terror
attacks in London
and Glasgow
UK withdraws
from Iraq
War in
Kosovo
Parliamentary vote
against action in Syria
NATO bombing
in Libya
Rise
of IS
Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home
Paris attacks and
Parliamentary vote for
action against IS in Syria
London
Bridge
attack
15
GE 2017Vote for Brexit;
Cameron resignsCameron becomes PM
Issues Facing Britain:
Poverty/inequalityWhat do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?
Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index
0
5
10
15
20
25
May1998
May1999
May2000
May2001
May2002
May2003
May2004
May2005
May2006
May2007
May2008
May2009
May2010
May2011
May2012
May2013
May2014
May2015
May2016
May2017
Sept 1999:
Alastair Darling – “one child in
three” living in poverty
December 2016:
highest score
recorded (20%)
January 2005:
Make Poverty History campaign
launched on New Year’s Day
Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home
16
GE 2017Vote for Brexit;
Cameron resignsCameron becomes PM
Issues Facing Britain:
Inflation/PricesWhat do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?
Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
May1997
May1998
May1999
May2000
May2001
May2002
May2003
May2004
May2005
May2006
May2007
May2008
May2009
May2010
May2011
May2012
May2013
May2014
May2015
May2016
May2017
Lowest score since Sep 2007 (4%)
Inflation rate hits 16 year peak
Inflation rises to 3.4%
Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home
17
GE 2017Vote for Brexit;
Cameron resignsCameron becomes PM
Issues Facing Britain:
HousingWhat do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?
Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
May1997
May1998
May1999
May2000
May2001
May2002
May2003
May2004
May2005
May2006
May2007
May2008
May2009
May2010
May2011
May2012
May2013
May2014
May2015
May2016
May2017
Highest score since
October 1974 (22%)
Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home
18
GE 2017Vote for Brexit;
Cameron resignsCameron becomes PM
Issues Facing Britain:
Pensions/Social Security/BenefitsWhat do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?
Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
May1997
May1998
May1999
May2000
May2001
May2002
May2003
May2004
May2005
May2006
May2007
May2008
May2009
May2010
May2011
May2012
May2013
May2014
May2015
May2016
May2017
Equitable Life sells
its non-profit
pension annuities
Labour proposes ‘affluence testing’ to
exclude the well-off from state
benefits
Gordon Brown unveils
pension credits Pensions commission report –
“more than 12 million working
people are not saving enough for
their retirement”
Lowest ever
score (3%)
Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home
19
GE 2017Vote for Brexit;
Cameron resignsCameron becomes PM
Issues Facing Britain:
Pollution / EnvironmentWhat do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?
Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index
0
5
10
15
20
May1997
May1998
May1999
May2000
May2001
May2002
May2003
May2004
May2005
May2006
May2007
May2008
May2009
May2010
May2011
May2012
May2013
May2014
May2015
May2016
May2017
Wettest Autumn since
records began –
widespread flooding
across the UK
EC proposes carbon emission
cuts of 20% by 2020
Winter flooding
and storms
Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home
20
GE 2017Vote for Brexit;
Cameron resignsCameron becomes PM
Issues Facing Britain:
Low pay/minimum wage/fair wagesWhat do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?
Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index
0
5
10
15
20
May1999
May2000
May2001
May2002
May2003
May2004
May2005
May2006
May2007
May2008
May2009
May2010
May2011
May2012
May2013
May2014
May2015
May2016
May2017
Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home
Highest recorded
score (15%)
21
Top issues – concern by party support
Base: 205 Conservative and 428 Labour supporters aged 18+, 9 – 20 June 2017
What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?
Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index
46%
59%
36%
24%
45%
32%
24%
10%
16%
15%
61%
38%
25%
31%
17%
24%
16%
22%
19%
12%
NHS/Hospitals/Healthcare
Common Market/Brexit/EU/Europe
Defence/foreign affairs/terrorism
Education/Schools
Immigration/immigrants
Economy
Ageing population/social care
Poverty/Inequality
Housing
Crime/Law and Order/ASB
Top mentions %
CONSERVATIVE
SUPPORTERS
LABOUR
SUPPORTERS
22
The NHS is the biggest concern amongst all socio-
demographic groupsWhat do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? Top three issues by age and social grade
Source: Ipsos MORI Issues IndexBase: 965 British adults 18+, 9 – 20 June 2017
58%
57%
30%
NHS
EU/Brexit
Immigration
60%
50%
42%
NHS
EU/Brexit
Economy
57%
39%
33%
NHS
EU/Brexit
Education/…
53%
40%
35%
NHS
Immigration
EU/Brexit
47%
30%
26%
NHS
Defence/Ter…
EU/Educati…
48%
34%
29%
NHS
EU/Brexit
Defence
18
-34
35
-54
55
+
ABC1 C2DE
Social grade
Ag
e b
rac
ke
t
Defence/
Terrorism
Brexit/Immigration
Economy/Education
Defence/Terrorism
Education/
Defence
23
Concern about EU/Brexit by subgroup
Base: 965 British adults 18+, 9 – 20 June 2017
What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? EU/Europe/Brexit
Ipsos MORI Issues Index
18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+
Concern about the EU/Brexit by age group:
53%
33%
37%
52%
Concern by region:
42% 39% 41%48%
59%
38%
54%
45%39%
27%
Overall
Concern about the EU/Brexit by key demographic groups:
45%
35% 37% 48% 40% 52%34%
Urban Rural CON LAB AB C1 C2 DE
Social GradeLocale Party support
Sub-urban
24
Concern about the NHS by subgroup
Base: 965 British adults 18+, 9 – 20 June 2017
What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? NHS
Ipsos MORI Issues Index
18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+
Concern about the NHS by age group:
54%
50%
53%
66%
Concern by region:
54%
43%
59% 60%
46%
61% 60% 57%49% 50%
Overall Urban Rural CON LAB AB C1 C2 DE
Social GradeLocale Party support
Concern about the NHS by key demographic groups:
44%
52% 52% 58% 62% 51%52%
Sub-urban
June 2017ECONOMIST/IPSOS MORI ISSUES INDEX
For more information contact: