Ipsos MORI Issues Index January 2014
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Transcript of Ipsos MORI Issues Index January 2014
2
Base: 952 British adults 18+, 10th – 19th January 2014 Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index
Issues Facing Britain: January
What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?
41
41
32
27
16
16
16
15
15
11
+1
Top mentions %
Economy
Unemployment
Housing
NHS
Race relations/Immigration
Education/Schools
Inflation/Prices
Poverty/Inequality
Change since Dec:
+4
+2
+5
+3
+2
+1
+6
-2
+3
-2
% Position
Crime/Law and order
Pensions/benefits
+2
+4
-3
-2
3
Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index
Issues Facing Britain: Long Term Trends
What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
May1997
May1998
May1999
May2000
May2001
May2002
May2003
May2004
May2005
May2006
May2007
May2008
May2009
May2010
May2011
May2012
May2013
Unemployment
NHS
Crime/
Law & Order
Economy
Race / immigration
4
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
May1997
May1998
May1999
May2000
May2001
May2002
May2003
May2004
May2005
May2006
May2007
May2008
May2009
May2010
May2011
May2012
May2013
Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index
Issues Facing Britain: Economy / Economic situation What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?
Global Recession and
Russian Financial
crisis
Highest score since 1992.
Most important issue for the
first time
Sub-prime
mortgage crisis in
the US
Northern Rock
nationalised
End of
recession
announced
Bank
bailout
Cameron becomes
PM
Lowest score since
the start of the
recession (39%)
5
Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index
Issues Facing Britain: Race Relations / Immigration / Immigrants What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?
0
10
20
30
40
50
May1997
May1998
May1999
May2000
May2001
May2002
May2003
May2004
May2005
May2006
May2007
May2008
May2009
May2010
May2011
May2012
May2013
Race riots in
Burnley, Oldham,
and Bradford
Sangatte detention
centre constantly in the
news throughout 2002
600,000 EU migrants
settled since 2004
9/11
Anthony Walker
murdered in
Liverpool
Foreign
prisoners
furore
“Go home or face arrest”
adverts used in some
London Boroughs
Cameron becomes
PM
41% - highest score since
April 2008 and joint top issue
6
Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index
Issues Facing Britain: Unemployment / Factory closure / Lack of industry What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?
0
10
20
30
40
50
May1997
May1998
May1999
May2000
May2001
May2002
May2003
May2004
May2005
May2006
May2007
May2008
May2009
May2010
May2011
May2012
May2013
‘New Deal’ launched, providing training, subsidised
employment, and voluntary work
to the unemployed
Unemployment falls below 1 million for first
time in 25 years
Minimum wage
introduced
Unemployment in Britain rises to
5.5%
Lowest ever score
Youth unemployment reaches 1 million
Cameron becomes
PM
7
Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index
Issues Facing Britain: Crime / Law & Order / Violence / Vandalism / ASB What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
May1997
May1998
May1999
May2000
May2001
May2002
May2003
May2004
May2005
May2006
May2007
May2008
May2009
May2010
May2011
May2012
May2013
Fuel
Protests
May day riots
Blair activates civil contingencies
machinery to deal with spiralling street
crime
Tory election pledge of
40,000 more police
Foreign prisoners scandal –
Charles Clarke is sacked
Rhys Jones and
Garry Newlove
murdered
Riots
Prison
overcrowding
reaches record
levels
9/11
Cameron becomes
PM
8
Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index
Issues Facing Britain: NHS / Hospitals / Healthcare What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
May1997
May1998
May1999
May2000
May2001
May2002
May2003
May2004
May2005
May2006
May2007
May2008
May2009
May2010
May2011
May2012
May2013
Blair tells doctors “not enough”
has been done for the NHS –
allocates extra £20 billion. Report
says waiting lists have doubled
under Labour
Blair – “We have underfunded the NHS for years and we are paying the price for
it” – BBC NHS day
Alan Milburn promises 35,000 more
nurses, 40 new hospitals and
development of foundation trusts as part
of NHS plan
General Election – “Battle
of Margaret’s shoulder”
Hewitt heckled at UNISON
conference – fears over NHS
job cuts
Lowest score
since
December 1985
Cameron becomes
PM
9
Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index
Issues Facing Britain: Education / Schools What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?
0
10
20
30
40
50
May1997
May1998
May1999
May2000
May2001
May2002
May2003
May2004
May2005
May2006
May2007
May2008
May2009
May2010
May2011
May2012
May2013
London
Bombs
Introduction of
means-tested tuition
fees. Education most
important issue.
Fuel
Protests
City academies introduced to
combat entrenched failure in
some urban schools
Lowest score
since Dec 1985
Labour’s second term - pledge to
improve failing secondary schools
Education and Inspections Bill
limits the power of LAs to
open new schools
April 2011 – Pupil Premium
introduced
Cameron becomes
PM
10
Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index
Issues Facing Britain: Defence / Foreign Affairs / International terrorism What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
May1997
May1998
May1999
May2000
May2001
May2002
May2003
May2004
May2005
May2006
May2007
May2008
May2009
May2010
May2011
May2012
May2013
9/11
London
Bombs
War in
Iraq
General Election - extra £400
million allocated for defence
budget
Failed terror
attacks in
London and
Glasgow
UK
withdraws
from Iraq
War in
Kosovo
Parliamentary
vote on action in
Syria
Cameron becomes
PM
11
Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index
Issues Facing Britain: Poverty/inequality What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?
0
5
10
15
20
May1998
May1999
May2000
May2001
May2002
May2003
May2004
May2005
May2006
May2007
May2008
May2009
May2010
May2011
May2012
May2013
Sept 1999: Alastair
Darling – “one
child in three”
living in poverty
November 2013 –
highest score
recorded (16%)
January 2005 –
Make Poverty
History campaign
launched on New
Year’s Day
Cameron becomes
PM
12
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
May1997
May1998
May1999
May2000
May2001
May2002
May2003
May2004
May2005
May2006
May2007
May2008
May2009
May2010
May2011
May2012
May2013
Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index
Issues Facing Britain: Inflation/Prices What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?
Inflation rate hits 16 year
peak
Inflation rises to 3.4%
Cameron becomes
PM
13
Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index
Issues Facing Britain: Housing What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?
0
5
10
15
20
May1997
May1998
May1999
May2000
May2001
May2002
May2003
May2004
May2005
May2006
May2007
May2008
May2009
May2010
May2011
May2012
May2013
9/11
House price
peak
A8 Countries join
the EU
House prices rising
at fastest rate in 10
years
2005 Election – Blair promises
to make families £800 better off
and help first time buyers
Highest score
since August
2008 (14%)
Cameron becomes
PM
14
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
May1997
May1998
May1999
May2000
May2001
May2002
May2003
May2004
May2005
May2006
May2007
May2008
May2009
May2010
May2011
May2012
May2013
Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index
Issues Facing Britain: Pensions/Benefits/Social security What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?
Lords vote to increase
compensation for those whose
company pension schemes have
collapsed
Blair and Harriet Harman propose
‘affluence testing’ to exclude the
well-off from state benefits
Brown unveils
pension credits
Pensions commission report –
“more than 12 million working
people are not saving enough
for their retirement”
Lowest ever
score (3%)
Cameron becomes
PM
15
Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index
Issues Facing Britain: Pollution / Environment What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?
0
5
10
15
20
May1997
May1998
May1999
May2000
May2001
May2002
May2003
May2004
May2005
May2006
May2007
May2008
May2009
May2010
May2011
May2012
May2013
Cameron’s “Vote
Blue, go Green”
campaign at 2006
local elections
Buncefield Oil Depot fire – toxic cloud
reaches northern Spain
Wettest Autumn since records began –
widespread flooding across the UK
EC proposes carbon
emission cuts of 20%
by 2020
Stern
report
Cameron becomes
PM
16
Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index
Issues Facing Britain: Common Market / Europe / Euro / EU What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?
0
10
20
30
40
May1997
May1998
May1999
May2000
May2001
May2002
May2003
May2004
May2005
May2006
May2007
May2008
May2009
May2010
May2011
May2012
May2013
G8 commitment to
globalisation in
Cologne
9/11
Treaty of accession
– 10 new member
states
UK starts 6 month
EU Presidency,
France and Holland
reject ratification of
constitution
Lowest score
since 1988
Amsterdam Treaty signed –
increases
EU remit
Cameron becomes
PM
17 Mind the gap – the gap closes
22
26
29 31
34 35
34
38
32
36 35
37
41
52 52 52
49 49 50
51
43 45
44
40 39
41
% concern about immigration
% concern about the economy
Gap between percentages:
Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index
30 26 23 18 15 15 17 5 13 8 5 2
0
Jan2013
Feb2013
Mar2013
Apr2013
May2013
Jun2013
Jul2013
Aug2013
Sep2013
Oct2013
Nov2013
Dec2013
Jan2014
18
Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index
Rising concern about inequality and our personal financial situation
What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?
0
10
20
30
May1998
May1999
May2000
May2001
May2002
May2003
May2004
May2005
May2006
May2007
May2008
May2009
May2010
May2011
May2012
May2013
Cameron becomes
PM
Prices/Inflation
Poverty/inequality
Low pay/fair wages
19 Difference in concern about race/immigration by
subgroups What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? – Race relations/immigration
Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index
26% 29%
38% 41%
45% 50%
54%
0%
30%
60%
Urban
dwellers
18-34
year olds
Women Men Sub-
urbanites
Aged
55+
National
average
39%
39%
50%
39%
0% 30% 60%
AB
C1
C2
DE
Concern about race
relations/immigration by
Social Grade
Selected sub-group concern
with race relations/immigration:
Base: 952 British adults 18+, 10th – 19th January 2014