Economics of Tariff Design. K Peter Kolf General Manager Economic Regulation Authority 18 March 2009...

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Economics of Tariff Design

Transcript of Economics of Tariff Design. K Peter Kolf General Manager Economic Regulation Authority 18 March 2009...

Page 1: Economics of Tariff Design. K Peter Kolf General Manager Economic Regulation Authority 18 March 2009 Economic of Tariff Design.

Economics of Tariff Design

Page 2: Economics of Tariff Design. K Peter Kolf General Manager Economic Regulation Authority 18 March 2009 Economic of Tariff Design.

• K Peter Kolf• General Manager• Economic Regulation Authority

• 18 March 2009

Economic of Tariff Design

Page 3: Economics of Tariff Design. K Peter Kolf General Manager Economic Regulation Authority 18 March 2009 Economic of Tariff Design.

Introduction

Consider issues in rate design:

Economic

Equity

Administrative

Page 4: Economics of Tariff Design. K Peter Kolf General Manager Economic Regulation Authority 18 March 2009 Economic of Tariff Design.

Conclusions

Tariff setting:• requires a global perspective;• involves economic and other considerations;• requires the resolution of seemingly conflicting objectives;

in essence, is about the optimal allocation of joint costs and the impact of that allocation on consumer behaviour

Page 5: Economics of Tariff Design. K Peter Kolf General Manager Economic Regulation Authority 18 March 2009 Economic of Tariff Design.

Cost Objective

Minimise:

TC = f(C, E, Q, P, …)

Subject to:• Specified level of security• Min service standards• Min return on investment• Max long term interests of consumers

C: New Connections

E: Total existing connections

Q: Total demand for water

P: Peak load requirement

T: Time of useS: Seasonal

Page 6: Economics of Tariff Design. K Peter Kolf General Manager Economic Regulation Authority 18 March 2009 Economic of Tariff Design.

Cost and Revenue

Simply:

TC = c1C + c2E + c3Q + c4P + Revenue:

TR = p1C + p2E + p3Q + p4PResidential Tariff

AR = f(E, Q, P) C: New Connections

E: Total existing connections

Q: Total demand for water

P: Peak load requirement

Page 7: Economics of Tariff Design. K Peter Kolf General Manager Economic Regulation Authority 18 March 2009 Economic of Tariff Design.

Economic Objective

Maximise:

U = f(Q)

Subject to:

P.Q = y

Optimum:

Price is inversely related to price elasticities

Page 8: Economics of Tariff Design. K Peter Kolf General Manager Economic Regulation Authority 18 March 2009 Economic of Tariff Design.

Surplus

MC

AR

Price

Quantity

p

q

Consumer Surplus

P.q = Total Revenue

Producer Surplus

Total Cost

Page 9: Economics of Tariff Design. K Peter Kolf General Manager Economic Regulation Authority 18 March 2009 Economic of Tariff Design.

AR

MR

Price

Quantity

Maximising ProfitInclining Marginal Cost

π > 0

MC

AC

q1

P1

C1

Dead Weight Loss

Page 10: Economics of Tariff Design. K Peter Kolf General Manager Economic Regulation Authority 18 March 2009 Economic of Tariff Design.

Profit

-500

-400

-300

-200

-100

0

100

200

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35

Profit

Page 11: Economics of Tariff Design. K Peter Kolf General Manager Economic Regulation Authority 18 March 2009 Economic of Tariff Design.

ACMC

AR

Price

Quantity

Declining Marginal Cost

P

q

C1

π < 0

Page 12: Economics of Tariff Design. K Peter Kolf General Manager Economic Regulation Authority 18 March 2009 Economic of Tariff Design.

Average Cost Pricing

MC

AC

AR

Price

Quantity

Pπ=0

q π=0

Dead Weight Loss

q

P

Page 13: Economics of Tariff Design. K Peter Kolf General Manager Economic Regulation Authority 18 March 2009 Economic of Tariff Design.

Connections

q

Optimum

Max π

Long Term Interests of Consumers

Production Possibility Frontier

Continuous voting by consumers throughmarket

Page 14: Economics of Tariff Design. K Peter Kolf General Manager Economic Regulation Authority 18 March 2009 Economic of Tariff Design.

1 3 5 7 9

11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31 33

S1

S6

S11

S16

S21

S26

S31

-800

-700

-600

-500

-400

-300

-200

-100

0

100

200

100-200

0-100

-100-0

-200--100

-300--200

-400--300

-500--400

-600--500

-700--600

-800--700

Profit

q2

q1

Page 15: Economics of Tariff Design. K Peter Kolf General Manager Economic Regulation Authority 18 March 2009 Economic of Tariff Design.

1 3 5 7 9

11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31 33

1

6

11

16

21

26

31

-200

-150

-100

-50

0

50

100

150

200

150-200

100-150

50-100

0-50

-50-0

-100--50

-150--100

-200--150

Long Term Interests of Consumers

q2

q1

Page 16: Economics of Tariff Design. K Peter Kolf General Manager Economic Regulation Authority 18 March 2009 Economic of Tariff Design.

Tariff Blocks

MC

AR

Price

Quantity

Pπ=0

A + C = B

q1 q2

T1

A

B

CT2

Page 17: Economics of Tariff Design. K Peter Kolf General Manager Economic Regulation Authority 18 March 2009 Economic of Tariff Design.

Residential Water Tariff

Average Price

Quantity kL per annum

$/kL

Matters to Consider:Total revenue requirementDemand & cost functionsPrice elasticitiesPrice signalsEquityProfitability of small use households

Page 18: Economics of Tariff Design. K Peter Kolf General Manager Economic Regulation Authority 18 March 2009 Economic of Tariff Design.

Metro Water Cost

1.60

1.70

1.80

1.90

2.00

2.10

2.20

2.30

2.40

0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 500 550 600 650 700 750

Consumption [kL per Annum]

Un

it C

ost

[$

per

kL

]

0.0%

3.0%

6.0%

9.0%

12.0%

15.0%

18.0%

21.0%

24.0%

% o

f U

sers

% of Users

Current Tariff Structure

Current Target Water Residential Tariff2012/13

Page 19: Economics of Tariff Design. K Peter Kolf General Manager Economic Regulation Authority 18 March 2009 Economic of Tariff Design.

1.60

1.70

1.80

1.90

2.00

2.10

2.20

2.30

2.40

0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 500 550 600 650 700 750

Consumption [kL per Annum]

Un

it C

ost

[$

per

kL

]

0.0%

3.0%

6.0%

9.0%

12.0%

15.0%

18.0%

21.0%

24.0%

% o

f U

sers

Preferred Option for Water Corporation’s Perth Households: Average Cost per kL by Water Usage (as at 2012/13, Real Dollars of June 2008)

Page 20: Economics of Tariff Design. K Peter Kolf General Manager Economic Regulation Authority 18 March 2009 Economic of Tariff Design.

-

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

1,600

0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 500 550 600 650 700 750

Water Consumption [kL per Annum]

Va

lue

[R

ea

l $

]

0.0%

3.0%

6.0%

9.0%

12.0%

15.0%

18.0%

21.0%

24.0%

Preferred Option for Water Corporation’s Perth Households:Metro Water Total Annual Bill (as at 2012/13)

Page 21: Economics of Tariff Design. K Peter Kolf General Manager Economic Regulation Authority 18 March 2009 Economic of Tariff Design.

Residential Water Tariff

(as at 2012/13, Real Dollars of June 2008)

Current Draft Recommendation

Fixed Charge $180.50 Fixed Charge $144.00

0-150 0.64 0-150 1.13

151-350 0.83 150-500 1.73

351-550 1.00 500 + 2.57

551-950 1.42

950 + 1.71

Page 22: Economics of Tariff Design. K Peter Kolf General Manager Economic Regulation Authority 18 March 2009 Economic of Tariff Design.

1.60

1.70

1.80

1.90

2.00

2.10

2.20

2.30

2.40

0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 500 550 600 650 700 750

Consumption [kL per Annum]

Un

it C

os

t [$

pe

r k

L]

0.0%

3.0%

6.0%

9.0%

12.0%

15.0%

18.0%

21.0%

24.0%

% o

f U

se

rs

% of Users

Water Corp 1

Water Corp 2

Option 1

Option 2

Option Fixed Tariff 0 to 150 151 to 300 301 to 500 500+WC 1 189 1.110 1.550 1.550 2.000WC 2 164 1.110 1.550 2.000 2.000

1 144 1.130 1.730 1.730 2.5702 86 1.730 1.730 1.730 1.730

Options Considered

Page 23: Economics of Tariff Design. K Peter Kolf General Manager Economic Regulation Authority 18 March 2009 Economic of Tariff Design.

Investor Uncertainty November 2008