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Transcript of Economic Research Service, USDA Policy Analysis with Integrated Rural/Farm Household Data Third...
Economic Research Service, USDA
Policy Analysis with Integrated Rural/Farm
Household Data
Third International Conference on Agricultural Statistics, Cancun Mexico, November 2-4, 2004
Mitch Morehart, Jeffrey Hopkins, and James Johnson
Economic Research Service, USDA
Complexity of Farm Household Structure
Consumption & Savings
Household Money Income
Allocationof
IncomeConsumption
Savings
Allocationof
Savings
HomeAssets
FinancialAssets
Investment Income
FarmAssets
Resources
Labor
Allocationof
Time
EducationHumanCapital
FarmProduction
NonfarmEmployment
Home Production
Production
Wages, Salaries,and Self
Employment Income
EconomicWell-Being
Public Spending
In-KindTransfers
SalesTax
Government Functions
Property Tax
NonfarmSelf
Employment
NonfarmBusinessAssets
Government
Household income share
Adapted from: Thomas, R.William (1977).
Cash Transfer Income
Gifts, Inheritance, etc.
Economic Research Service, USDA
Determinants of ARMS Content
Content of Farm Information System
Organizational and Operating Structure
of Farms
Household Labor and Asset Allocation, Demographic, & Socio-Economic Attributes
Public and Private Farming Issues
Conceptual Requirements of Financial Accounts
Economic Research Service, USDA
Stakeholder Involvement In Production Activities of U.S. Household-Farms
Landlords--209,000 farmers rent land for a share of production; another 633,000 farmers rent land for cash
Lenders--910,000 farmers owe debt at year-end; almost all use debt during the calendar year
Hired Labor--632,000 farmers use hired labor
Contract Entities--50,000 farmers grow agricultural commodities for other firms under a contract arrangement
Partners--93,000 households organized their farm as a partnership
Shareholders--65,000 households organized their farm as a family corporation
Multiple Operator Households--145,000 farms are organized with multiple households providing production assets
Of the 2.1 million U.S. farms:
Economic Research Service, USDA
Modular Design Enables ARMS To Reflect Complex Farm Structure
ProductionPractices andCosts Report(commodity)
Enterprise LinkedFarm-Household
Survey
Phase I: Interview to Screen Participants
Phase II: Provides In-Depth Perspective About Chemical Use, Production Practices, etc…
Phase III: Provides In-Depth Perspective About Farm Economics, Household Finances, Farm and Operator Characteristics
National FocusFarm-Household
Survey
Phase II & IIIversions linked tosupport adoption & cost distribution analyses
Phase III Versions Linked to support income, financial performance, and structural analyses for households and businesses
Phase III & II versions Also support assessment of structure and environmental issues
State-LevelFarm-Household“Core” Survey
Economic Research Service, USDA
ARMS correctly assigns income and expenses to the different stakeholders
Net Farm Income
EmployeeCompensation
InterestNet Rent
Stakeholders’ Share in Value Added
Households
Contractors With Farm Operators
Non-family Farms
Operator Households
Other Households
Households and Other Institutions Share Net Income
Income May be Shared Among Multiple Households
25.2%
14%13.1%
47.7%
62.1%
31.2%
7%
93%
7%
Net Farm Income
EmployeeCompensation
InterestNet Rent
Stakeholders’ Share in Value Added
Households
Contractors With Farm Operators
Non-family Farms
Operator Households
Other Households
Households and Other Institutions Share Net Income
Income May be Shared Among Multiple Households
25.2%
14%13.1%
47.7%
62.1%
31.2%
7%
93%
7%
Economic Research Service, USDA
Household income and wealth come from a variety of sources
Sources of Farm Operator Household Income
Off-farm Business14%
Farm income9%
Social security & other public programs
11%
Net farmland rental1%
Wages & salaries51%
Other off-farm income6%
Interest & dividends8%
Distribution of Nonfarm assets of farm households, 1999Cash, checking,
savings, money market, US savings bonds, and
CDs21%
IRA, Keogh Plan, 401K, and other retirement
plans26%
Corporate stocks, mutual funds, and other
financial assets22%
Other nonfarm assets31%
Economic Research Service, USDA
Policy Example 1: Savings, Income Volatility, and Basic Needs
-30
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
50
1967 1972 1977 1982 1987 1992 1997 2002
farm household income nonfarm household income
Economic Research Service, USDA
Policy Example 2: Farm Household Impacts from Policy Reform
Economic Research Service, USDA
Policy Example 3: On-farm Technology Adoption
Farmers' Use of Input Acquisition Management Practices, 2000
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
Commercial farms Intermediate farms Rural residences
Using management service for inputs Locking in prices
Shopping for best price Negotiating discounts
Using buying clubs, etc
Economic Research Service, USDA
Implications
ARMS data collection is driven by issues confronting households that operate farm establishments
Data collection reflects measurement concepts for households, farm establishments, and the U.S. farm sector
Issues confronting ARMS measurement system are dynamic
Multiple income and wealth measures and changes in demand for data: imply need to collect data at the item and unit level of measurement
Imply need to store data at item and unit level to enable use over time and across different issues and groups
Household measures are developed within the context of the farm establishment to facilitate use in applied analyses