Eastmen Gallery 09/10/2014 · 2017-01-18 · Interest Rates Inflation Slope Bus climate Rate Spread...

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Eastmen Gallery 09/10/2014

Transcript of Eastmen Gallery 09/10/2014 · 2017-01-18 · Interest Rates Inflation Slope Bus climate Rate Spread...

Page 1: Eastmen Gallery 09/10/2014 · 2017-01-18 · Interest Rates Inflation Slope Bus climate Rate Spread Corporate Govern Stocks Risk premia USA Europe Volatility Liquidity Risk Euribor-OIS

Eastmen Gallery 09/10/2014

Page 2: Eastmen Gallery 09/10/2014 · 2017-01-18 · Interest Rates Inflation Slope Bus climate Rate Spread Corporate Govern Stocks Risk premia USA Europe Volatility Liquidity Risk Euribor-OIS

PROGRAMMA

• Welkomstwoord

Michelle Bovy, Founding Partner B-Sure

• Macro-economische visie. Hoe beleggen ten tijde van extreem lage rente?

Prof. Dr. Stefaan Duchateau, hoofd risico beheer Merit Capital, adviseur V&D funds

• Een goed aandelen rendement met beperkte schommelingen

Benedict Peeters, CEO Finvex, adviseur MC Care fund

• Conclusie Michelle Bovy, Founding partner B-Sure

Eric Thoelen, CEO Merit Capital

• Time has Passed – Voorstelling in Avant-premiere

Pablo Genovés & John Vaneckeren, Eastmen Gallery

Page 3: Eastmen Gallery 09/10/2014 · 2017-01-18 · Interest Rates Inflation Slope Bus climate Rate Spread Corporate Govern Stocks Risk premia USA Europe Volatility Liquidity Risk Euribor-OIS
Page 4: Eastmen Gallery 09/10/2014 · 2017-01-18 · Interest Rates Inflation Slope Bus climate Rate Spread Corporate Govern Stocks Risk premia USA Europe Volatility Liquidity Risk Euribor-OIS

WE TAKE CARE

Let’s talk about finance

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Totaaloplossing: voor uw zaak..…en….….. uw privé!

B-Sure

Pensioenplanning

Successieplanning

Corporate Finance

Internationale optimalisatie

Juridisch advies

Fiscale adviesverlening

Boekhouding

Risk management

Beleggingen en vermogensbeheer

Financiële Planning

Let’s talk about finance

Page 6: Eastmen Gallery 09/10/2014 · 2017-01-18 · Interest Rates Inflation Slope Bus climate Rate Spread Corporate Govern Stocks Risk premia USA Europe Volatility Liquidity Risk Euribor-OIS

Let’s talk about …

Boekhouder vs verzekeraar vs notaris vs bankier vs fiscalist vs advocaat …

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Vrijblijvende analyse en intake gesprek

Let’s talk about you

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Vrijblijvende analyse en intake gesprek

Let’s talk about you

•Wie krijgt wat?

•Successierechten

•Behoud inkomen & controle

•Overdracht familiale onderneming

•Behoud pensioenkapitaal

•Veiligheid

•Fiscaliteit

•Rendement

•Kostenstructuur

•Onroerend goed planning

•Pensioenplanning

•Loopbaanonderbreking

•Pensioenraming

•Behoud levensstandaard

•Opbouw pensioen

•Fiscaliteit

•Ziekte & Invaliditeit

•Overlijden

•Verlaging belastingdruk

•Personenbelasting

•Vennootschapsbelasting

•Familie vs. onderneming

Inkomen Pensioen

Overlijden Vermogen

Page 9: Eastmen Gallery 09/10/2014 · 2017-01-18 · Interest Rates Inflation Slope Bus climate Rate Spread Corporate Govern Stocks Risk premia USA Europe Volatility Liquidity Risk Euribor-OIS

Value Proposition: duidelijk en transparant

Na een verkennend gesprek:

1°multidisciplinair team van specialisten analyseert uw dossier

2°formuleren van duidelijk voorstel en stappenplan

3°transparantie en overzicht van de kosten

4°wij coördineren activiteiten van externe partijen:

B-Sure is eindverantwoordelijke

NO WIN-WIN, NO DEAL

Let’s talk about us

Page 10: Eastmen Gallery 09/10/2014 · 2017-01-18 · Interest Rates Inflation Slope Bus climate Rate Spread Corporate Govern Stocks Risk premia USA Europe Volatility Liquidity Risk Euribor-OIS

Macro-economische visie

Hoe beleggen ten tijde van extreem lage rente?

Prof. Dr. Stefaan Duchateau

Hoofd risico beheer Merit Capital,

Adviseur V&D funds

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Enkele belangrijke aspecten voor het

professionele beheer van uw

beleggingsportefeuille

Vermogensbeheer

13

Prof Dr S Duchateau

Professor Portefeuillebeheer, security selection en beleggingsleer

( KU Leuven)

Risicobeheer, Financial Engineering en Portefeuillebeheer ( HU Brussel)

Risicobeheer en financiële producten ( U Hasselt)

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Investment Process

rente

Input parameters :

Expected Return & Risk

Evaluation Criterium

Proposition

Asset Allocation

Test for

Principal

Protection

Effective

Asset Allocation

rentespreads Bedrijfs

resultaten

Risico

Premies

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15

Portfolio Management

MC

Allocation

Portfolio

Construction

Principal Protection

Profit Lock In

Asset Allocation

Security Selection

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16

Portfolio Management

MC

Allocation

Portfolio

Construction

Asset Allocation

Rente Rente

spreads

Bedrijfs

winsten

Risico

premies

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Interest Rates Inflation Slope Bus climate

Rate Spread Corporate Govern Stocks

Risk premia USA Europe Volatility

Liquidity Risk Euribor-OIS

S Duchateau

Europa: KT rente

8-Oct-14 S Duchateau

17

Ev olutie v an de KT Rente in de Eurozone 08/10/14

2012 2013 2014

-0.20

0

0.20

0.40

0.60

0.80

1.00

1.20

1.40

1.60

1.80

EBF EURO REPO BMK 3M DELAYED - MIDDLE RATE

EBF EURIBOR 3M DELAYED - OFFERED RATE

EURO MAIN REFINANCING ECB - MIDDLE RATE Source: Thomson Datastream

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Duitsland en Japan: LT rente …

8-Oct-14

18

S Duchateau

L T r e n te D u i ts l a n d e n L T r e n te J a p a n (-1 0 j a a r ) 8 / 1 0 / 1 4

8 8 9 0 9 2 9 4 9 6 9 8 0 0 0 2 0 4 0 6 0 8 1 0 1 2 1 4 1 6 1 8

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

1 0

1 1

L T R e n t e ( 1 0 ja a r ) D u it s la n d

L T R e n t e ( 1 0 ja a r ) J a p a n , 1 0 ja a r v e r t r a a g d

3 ja a r s g e m id d e ld e L T R e n t e J a p a n , 1 0 ja a r v e r t r a a g d

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8-Oct-14 19

S Duchateau

E U R I S 5 Y 8 / 1 0 / 1 4

2 0 1 0 2 0 1 1 2 0 1 2 2 0 1 3 2 0 1 4

0

0 . 5 0

1 . 0 0

1 . 5 0

2 . 0 0

2 . 5 0

3 . 0 0

E U R I N F L A T I O N L I N K E D S W A P 5 Y - M I D D L E R A T E

E U R I N F L A T I O N L I N K E D S W A P 1 Y - M I D D L E R A T E

S o u r c e : T h o m s o n D a t a s t r e a m

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20

Portfolio Management

MC

Allocation

Portfolio

Construction

Asset Allocation

Rente

spreads - Corporate Bonds

- Emerging Bonds

- Government Bonds

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8-Oct-14 21

S Duchateau

LHAC7YE(RY)-TREUR7Y 8/10/14

O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S

0.60

0.80

1.00

1.20

1.40

1.60

1.80

2.00

LHAC7YE(RY)-TREUR7Y

LHAC3YE(RY)-TREUR3Y

Source: Thomson Datastream

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8-Oct-14

S Duchateau

22

L H A C 7 Y E (R Y )-TR E U R 7 Y 8 / 1 0 / 1 4

0 0 0 1 0 2 0 3 0 4 0 5 0 6 0 7 0 8 0 9 1 0 1 1 1 2 1 3 1 4

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

L H A C 7 Y E ( R Y ) - T R E U R 7 Y

L H A C 3 Y E ( R Y ) - T R E U R 3 Y

A V G # (L H A C 7 Y E ( R Y ) - T R E U R 7 Y ) S o u r c e : T h o m s o n D a t a s t r e a m

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8-Oct-14

S Duchateau

23

J P M E 7 TC (R Y )-TR E U R 7 Y 8 / 1 0 / 1 4

2 0 0 5 2 0 0 6 2 0 0 7 2 0 0 8 2 0 0 9 2 0 1 0 2 0 1 1 2 0 1 2 2 0 1 3

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

J P M E 7 T C ( R Y ) - T R E U R 7 Y

A V G # (J P M E 7 T C ( R Y ) - T R E U R 7 Y )

S o u r c e : T h o m s o n D a t a s t r e a m

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8-Oct-14 24

S Duchateau

ESBRYLD-BDBRYLD 8/10/14

O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

ESBRYLD-BDBRYLD

ITBRYLD-BDBRYLD

PTBRYLD-BDBRYLD

IRBRYLD-BDBRYLD

Source: Thomson Datastream

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25

Portfolio Management

MC

Allocation

Portfolio

Construction

Asset Allocation

Bedrijfs

winsten

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8-Oct-14 26

S Duchateau

8/10/14

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

200

220

MSCI EMG - 12MTH FWD WTD EPS (~E )

MSCI EMU (UNADJUSTED) - 12MTH FWD WTD EPS

MSCI U.S.A - 12MTH FWD WTD EPS (~E )

MSCI GERMANY - 12MTH FWD WTD EPS

Source: Thomson Datastream

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8-Oct-14 27

S Duchateau

8 / 1 0 / 1 4

2 0 1 2 2 0 1 3 2 0 1 4

8 0

8 5

9 0

9 5

1 0 0

1 0 5

1 1 0

1 1 5

1 2 0

M S C I I N D I A - 1 2 M T H F W D W T D E P S

M S C I B R A Z I L - 1 2 M T H F W D W T D E P S

M S C I C H I N A - 1 2 M T H F W D W T D E P S

M S C I R U S S I A - 1 2 M T H F W D W T D E P S

S o u r c e : T h o m s o n D a t a s t r e a m

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Interest Rates Inflation Slope Bus climate

Rate Spread Corporate Govern Stocks

Risk premia USA Europe Volatility

Liquidity Risk Euribor-OIS

S Duchateau

8-Oct-14 S Duchateau

28

8 / 1 0 / 1 4

2 0 0 5 2 0 0 6 2 0 0 7 2 0 0 8 2 0 0 9 2 0 1 0 2 0 1 1 2 0 1 2 2 0 1 3

4 0

6 0

8 0

1 0 0

1 2 0

1 4 0

1 6 0

1 8 0

2 0 0

2 2 0

M S C I G E R M A N Y - 1 2 M T H F W D W T D E P S ( ~ E )M S C I E U R O P E - 1 2 M T H F W D W T D E P S ( ~ E )M S C I E M U - 1 2 M T H F W D W T D E P S ( ~ E )M S C I F R A N C E - 1 2 M T H F W D W T D E P S

M S C I I T A L Y - 1 2 M T H F W D W T D E P SM S C I S P A I N - 1 2 M T H F W D W T D E P SM S C I S W E D E N - 1 2 M T H F W D W T D E P S ( ~ E )M S C I B E L G I U M - 1 2 M T H F W D W T D E P S ( ~ E )S o u r c e : T h o m s o n D a t a s t r e a m

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8 / 1 0 / 1 4

0 0 0 1 0 2 0 3 0 4 0 5 0 6 0 7 0 8 0 9 1 0 1 1 1 2 1 3 1 4

3 5

4 0

4 5

5 0

5 5

6 0

6 5

- 4 0

- 3 0

- 2 0

- 1 0

0

1 0

2 0

3 0

4 0

5 0

G e w o g e n I S M

5 0

P ro c e n t u e le s t ijg in g v a n B e d r ijf s r e s u lt a t e n S o u r c e : S . D u c h a t e a u

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8-Oct-14 30

S Duchateau

1 /TE U S D S P 8 / 1 0 / 1 4

2 0 1 0 2 0 1 1 2 0 1 2 2 0 1 3 2 0 1 4

1 . 1 5

1 . 2 0

1 . 2 5

1 . 3 0

1 . 3 5

1 . 4 0

1 . 4 5

1 . 5 0

1 . 5 5

- 2 . 0 0

- 1 . 5 0

- 1 . 0 0

- 0 . 5 0

0

0 . 5 0

1 / T E U S D S P

A B D G V G 4 ( R Y ) - A U S G V G 4 ( R Y ) ( R . H . S C A L E )

S o u r c e : T h o m s o n D a t a s t r e a m

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31

Portfolio Management

MC

Allocation

Portfolio

Construction

Asset Allocation

Risico

Premies - RP aandelen

- Volatiliteit

- Eurozone

- Financiële Sector

Systematic Risk

Systemic Risk

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8-Oct-14

S Duchateau

32

8 / 1 0 / 1 4

8 0 8 2 8 4 8 6 8 8 9 0 9 2 9 4 9 6 9 8 0 0 0 2 0 4 0 6 0 8 1 0 1 2

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

1 0

V e r w a c h t e R is ic o p re m ie V S A

S o u r c e : T h o m s o n D a t a s t r e a m

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Interest Rates Inflation Slope Bus climate

Rate Spread Corporate Govern Stocks

Risk premia USA Europe Volatility

Liquidity Risk Euribor-OIS

S Duchateau

Grafiek : Update van het “Fed Model”

Evolutie S&P composite en de verhouding bedrijfswinsten/LT rente

irrational Exuberance? 8/10/14

98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

3500

4000

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

Ratio Bedrijfswinsten / LT rente

S&P 500 COMPOSITE - TOT RETURN IND

Source S Duchateau

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8-Oct-14

S Duchateau

34

8 / 1 0 / 1 4

9 5 9 6 9 7 9 8 9 9 0 0 0 1 0 2 0 3 0 4 0 5 0 6 0 7 0 8 0 9 1 0 1 1 1 2 1 3 1 4

- 2

0

2

4

6

8

1 0

1 2

1 4

1 6

v e r e is t e r is ic o p r e m ie V S

v e r e is t e r is ic o p r e m ie E u r o p a ( E M U )

v e r e is t e r is ic o p r e m ie E m e r g in g M a rk e t s S o u r c e : T h o m s o n D a t a s t r e a m

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8-Oct-14

S Duchateau

35

CBOEVIX 8/10/14

89 91 93 95 97 99 01 03 05 07 09 11 13

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

CBOE SPX VOLATILITY VIX (NEW) - PRICE INDEX

AVG#(CBOEVIX)

Source: Thomson Datastream

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36

Portfolio Management

MC

Allocation

Portfolio

Construction

Asset Allocation

Risk

Premia -

- Eurozone

- Financiële Sector

Systematic Risk

Systemic Risk

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8-Oct-14 37

S Duchateau

E I B O R 3 M -B B E R B 3 M 8 / 1 0 / 1 4

2 0 0 7 2 0 0 8 2 0 0 9 2 0 1 0 2 0 1 1 2 0 1 2 2 0 1 3 2 0 1 4

0

0 . 2 0

0 . 4 0

0 . 6 0

0 . 8 0

1 . 0 0

1 . 2 0

1 . 4 0

1 . 6 0

1 . 8 0

2 . 0 0

E I B O R 3 M - B B E R B 3 M

S o u r c e : T h o m s o n D a t a s t r e a m

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8-Oct-14 38

TR E U R 2 Y -G B B D 0 2 Y (R Y ) 8 / 1 0 / 1 4

2 0 0 7 2 0 0 8 2 0 0 9 2 0 1 0 2 0 1 1 2 0 1 2 2 0 1 3 2 0 1 4

0

0 . 2 0

0 . 4 0

0 . 6 0

0 . 8 0

1 . 0 0

1 . 2 0

1 . 4 0

T R E U R 2 Y - G B B D 0 2 Y ( R Y )

S o u r c e : T h o m s o n D a t a s t r e a m

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8-Oct-14 39

S Duchateau

8/10/14

00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14

95

100

105

110

115

120

125

130

135

BGI..RECE/BDI..RECEPTI..RECE/BDI..RECEGRI..RECE/BDI..RECEESI..RECE/BDI..RECE

IRI..RECE/BDI..RECEITI..RECE/BDI..RECENLI..RECE/BDI..RECEFRI..RECE/BDI..RECESource: Thomson Datastream

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C H S H I 1 M 8 / 1 0 / 1 4

2 0 1 2 2 0 1 3 2 0 1 4

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

S H A N G H A I I N T E R B A N K R A T E - 1 M O N T H - M I D D L E R A T E

C H P R I M E L E N D I N G R A T E ( E P )

S o u r c e : T h o m s o n D a t a s t r e a m

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Interest Rates Inflation Slope Bus climate

Rate Spread Corporate Govern Stocks

Risk premia USA Europe Volatility

Liquidity Risk Euribor-OIS

S Duchateau

Foodprices

8-Oct-14 S Duchateau

41

8 / 10 / 1 4

200 5 200 6 200 7 200 8 200 9 201 0 201 1 201 2 201 3

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

500

W h ea t , N o . 2 H ard (K ans as ) C t s / B u

C orn N o . 2 Y e llo w C en t s / B us h e l

S oy ab eans , N o . 1 Y e llow C / B us h e l S ourc e : T hom s on D a t as t ream

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Interest Rates Inflation Slope Bus climate

Rate Spread Corporate Govern Stocks

Risk premia USA Europe Volatility

Liquidity Risk Euribor-OIS

S Duchateau

8-Oct-14 S Duchateau

42

C H C P F O D % F 8 / 1 0 / 1 4

2 0 1 0 2 0 1 1 2 0 1 2 2 0 1 3 2 0 1 4

- 2

0

2

4

6

8

1 0

1 2

1 4

1 6

C H C P I - F O O D ( % Y O Y ) N A D J

C H C P I ( % Y O Y ) N A D J

3 . 5 S o u r c e : T h o m s o n D a t a s t r e a m

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43

Portfolio Management

MC

Allocation

Portfolio

Construction

Security Selection

- factor driven process

- 4-factor model a

-Specific sector accents :

-Water ( Flowserve , Guang Dong …)

-Biotechnology (Biogen ,Grifols, Gilead …)

-Shale Gas (Cheniere, ITW, US Silica, …)

-Specific Geographical accent

-US, Germany , Nordic Countries, Spain

-Bonds : Eire, Spain, Italy, Embi

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44

Selection

Profitablity

Safety

Alfa

Growth

ROE

ROA

D ROE

D ROA

b , IVOL

Altman Z, Ohlson Z

Rm , HML,

SMB , WML

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8/10/2014 45

Portfolio Management

MC

Allocation

Portfolio

Construction

Principal Protection

Profit Lock In

Page 44: Eastmen Gallery 09/10/2014 · 2017-01-18 · Interest Rates Inflation Slope Bus climate Rate Spread Corporate Govern Stocks Risk premia USA Europe Volatility Liquidity Risk Euribor-OIS

Een goed aandelen rendement met beperkte schommelingen

Een succesverhaal

Benedict Peerters

CEO Finvex

Adviseur MC Care Fund

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Slimme beleggers starten met risico-analyse

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Verlies en Winst zijn niet symmetrisch

48

Exponentiële

verlieseffect

Risico’s verminderen is de basis voor beleggen Veel winst nodig om verlies goed te maken Verliezen kunnen grote winsten snel teniet doen

Source: Finvex Group

Grafiek

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Meer Stabiliteit is meer Rendement

49

Source: Finvex Group

Stabiliteit

accumuleert

Minder risico verhoogt het rendement

2 portefeuilles :

Portfolio A = 10% maand 1 and -2% maand 2 etc (Low volatility)

Portfolio B = 20% maand 1 en -12% maand 2 etc (High volatility)

Gemiddeld doet elke portefeuille 4% per twee maanden

Gemiddeld doet Portfolio A 57% terwijl Portfolio B 39% haalt na 2 jaar

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Risico reduceren heeft vaak gewerkt

50

Risk

Return

Source: Merit Capital

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Hoe doe je dan slimme risico-analyse ?

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Onderzoek naar Risicogolven

52

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Onderzoek naar Schokken

53

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Onderzoek naar Verbanden

54

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Merit CARE Fund

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Merit CARE Fund : Hoe werkt het ?

Liquiditeit Financieel Risico Optimalisatie

Europese en Amerikaanse aandelen

Merit CARE Fund

Voor Europa:

Bloomberg 500

Index. Voor de VS:

grootste 500 VS

market caps

EUR 15 mln

verhandeld volume

(waarna 300-350

aandelen overblijven

in Europa and 400 in

de VS)

Screening voor risico

karakteristieken

Leidt to 150 stocks

per regio met 30%

van de

markkapitalisatie per

regio

Sectorspreiding

zodat er max 25% in

een sector zit

Via technologie van

risico spreiding

VS en Europa

dragen elk 50% van

het risico

Geen sector is meer

dan 25%

Begrenzing van de

turnover

40 aandelen met beste

combinatie

Elk aandeel weegt tussen

0.25% and 3.5%

Maandelijkse

herbalancering waarbij

ongeveert 13% uitgewisseld

wordt

Samen met Finvex Group

56

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Merit CARE Portfolio en Fonds

57

Source: Merit Capital, Oct-2014

Since 2002

YTD 2014

Monthly Returns Analysis Merit CARE Fund MSCI World

Annualized Return 11.70% 4.19%

Annualized Volatility (d) 10.66% 16.33%

Return/Risk 109.71% 25.64%

Excess Return 7.51%

Largest Drawdown -22.24% -48.51%

Msci Indices Gross. Since 31-Jan-2002. Fund live since 3-Sep-2012.

Monthly Returns Analysis Merit CARE Fund MSCI World

Annualized Return 13.13% 13.95%

Annualized Volatility (d) 6.88% 9.04%

Return/Risk 190.83% 154.24%

Excess Return -0.82%

Largest Drawdown -0.61% -1.06%

Msci Indices Gross. Since 31-Des-2014. Fund live since 3-Sep-2012.

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Rendementen over de Tijd

58

Source: Merit Capital, Oct-2014

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Merit CARE Portfolio : Risk Analysis

59

Source: Merit Capital, Oct-2014

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Name Country Sector Weight

UMICORE BELGIUM Basic Materials 3.27%

NEXT PLC BRITAIN Consumer, Cyclical 1.91%

AMEC PLC BRITAIN Energy 1.91%

NATIONAL GRID PLC BRITAIN Utilities 3.22%

SSE PLC BRITAIN Utilities 2.11%

UNITED UTILITIES GROUP PLC BRITAIN Utilities 1.88%

ATOS FRANCE Technology 1.99%

FRESENIUS MEDICAL CARE AG & GERMANY Consumer, Non-cyclical 3.28%

SNAM SPA ITALY Utilities 2.12%

TERNA SPA ITALY Utilities 2.01%

ZIGGO NV NETHERLANDS Communications 1.12%

KONINKLIJKE AHOLD NV NETHERLANDS Consumer, Non-cyclical 1.12%

ROYAL DUTCH SHELL PLC-A SHS NETHERLANDS Energy 2.15%

STATOIL ASA NORWAY Energy 1.94%

AMADEUS IT HOLDING SA-A SHS SPAIN Technology 3.13%

ENAGAS SA SPAIN Utilities 2.37%

SYNGENTA AG-REG SWITZERLAND Basic Materials 3.18%

NESTLE SA-REG SWITZERLAND Consumer, Non-cyclical 3.30%

NOVARTIS AG-REG SWITZERLAND Consumer, Non-cyclical 3.10%

SWISS RE AG SWITZERLAND Financial 1.12%

ZURICH INSURANCE GROUP AG SWITZERLAND Financial 3.28%

PRAXAIR INC UNITED STATES Basic Materials 3.16%

VERIZON COMMUNICATIONS INC UNITED STATES Communications 1.97%

AUTOZONE INC UNITED STATES Consumer, Cyclical 2.09%

MCDONALD'S CORP UNITED STATES Consumer, Cyclical 3.27%

CLOROX COMPANY UNITED STATES Consumer, Non-cyclical 2.07%

PROCTER & GAMBLE CO/THE UNITED STATES Consumer, Non-cyclical 2.97%

QUEST DIAGNOSTICS INC UNITED STATES Consumer, Non-cyclical 2.07%

SAFEWAY INC UNITED STATES Consumer, Non-cyclical 3.30%

SOUTHWESTERN ENERGY CO UNITED STATES Energy 3.18%

ALLSTATE CORP UNITED STATES Financial 2.10%

AVALONBAY COMMUNITIES INC UNITED STATES Financial 3.19%

EQUITY RESIDENTIAL UNITED STATES Financial 2.16%

PUBLIC STORAGE UNITED STATES Financial 2.00%

APPLE INC UNITED STATES Technology 3.28%

DUKE ENERGY CORP UNITED STATES Utilities 3.32%

NORTHEAST UTILITIES UNITED STATES Utilities 3.19%

PPL CORP UNITED STATES Utilities 1.90%

SEMPRA ENERGY UNITED STATES Utilities 2.01%

SOUTHERN CO/THE UNITED STATES Utilities 3.27%

De Aandelen van October 2014

60

Source: Merit Capital, Oct-2014

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Conclusie

Hoe beleggen ten tijde van extreem lage rente?

Michelle Bovy

Founding Partner B-Sure

Eric Thoelen

CEO Merit Capital

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Merit Capital fondsen : Groei

MCGIF 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 30/09/2014

AUM € 36.067.384,98 56.605.538,66 55.787.611,03 111.575.954,23 149.041.920,37 207.370.051,96

% +56,94% -1,44% +100,00% +33,58% +39,14%

0,00

50 000 000,00

100 000 000,00

150 000 000,00

200 000 000,00

250 000 000,00

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 30/09/2014

Merit Capital Global Investment Fund

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Merit Capital fondsen : Performance

Return 2012 Return 2013 Return YTD

Value & Defensive 8,17 % 2,64 % 3,93 %

Value & Dynamic 8,94 % 9,08 % 5,47 %

MC Quartz Balanced FoF 7,06 % 0,36 % 3,95 %

MC Capitam 8,97 % 12,42 % 7,29 %

MC Best of World n.v.t. 12,83 % 4,69 %

Merit Care n.v.t. 18,06 % 11,72 %

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Value & Defensive

• Gemengd fonds met defensief profiel

• Maximaal 30 % in aandelengerelateerde effecten

• Belegt hoofdzakelijk in andere ICB’s

• Accenten worden gelegd via thema-fondsen

• Minimaliseren van het risico, via CPPI methode

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Value & Dynamic

• Gemengd fonds met dynamisch profiel

• Focus op 70 % in aandelengerelateerde effecten

• Belegt hoofdzakelijk in andere ICB’s

• Accenten worden gelegd via thema-fondsen

• Minimaliseren van het risico, via CPPI methode

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Capitam

• Gemengd fonds met neutraal profiel

• Belegt voornamelijk in individuele aandelen en obligaties, en kan tot 10% beleggen in ICB’s

• Accenten worden gelegd via specifiek sector gerelateerde aandelen

• Minimaliseren van het risico, via CPPI methode

• Maximale aandelenweging van 70 %. Minimaal 20 % bedrijfsobligaties en 10 % staatsobligaties.

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Merit Care Fund

• 100 % aandelenfonds belegt in individuele aandelen van Europese of Amerikaanse ondernemingen

• Beheerd volgens een methodologie ontwikkeld door de groep Finvex

• 40 aandelen

• Aandelenselectie is afhankelijk van een kwantitatief gedreven model

• Maandelijkse herbalancering

• Focus op ‘low volatility’ aandelen, met een zo laag mogelijk risico

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8-Oct-14

S Duchateau

68

8 / 1 0 / 1 4

2 0 1 1 2 0 1 2 2 0 1 3 2 0 1 4

9 0

9 5

1 0 0

1 0 5

1 1 0

1 1 5

1 2 0

1 2 5

1 3 0

1 3 5

1 4 0

C A R M I G N A C G E S T I O N P A T R I M O I N E F C P 3 D C

M E R I T C A P I T A L G L B . I N V . F U N D C A P I T A M C S N .

S o u r c e : T h o m s o n D a t a s t r e a m

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8-Oct-14

S Duchateau

69

8 / 1 0 / 1 4

J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S

9 5

1 0 0

1 0 5

1 1 0

1 1 5

1 2 0

1 2 5

L R I I N V T . E T H N A B D . P R U M . F C PM C C a p it a mL R I I N V E S T E T H N A A K T I V E TM C D y n a m ic

P E T E R C A M L P A T R I M O N I A L AC A R M I G N A C G E S T I O N P A T R I M O I N E F C P 3 D CF O R T I S P S N L . P R T F . F O F P 5 0 C A PB L A C K R . G L B . F U N D . A L O C N . H E D G E D A E U R

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Avant-Première

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B-SURE… dicht bij u!!

ANTWERPEN: Bredestraat 4

2000 Antwerpen