Dynamic balance concept

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1 Dynamic Balance Concept Prepared by Ron Batdorf June 7, 2005 Self-interest Equality Self-interest Equality Win/Win

description

To present an enabling concept that supports all current and future Concepts as a guidepost to build metrics for evaluation and assessment of perception and actions of individuals, communities and nations. • To further Information Operation design in relationship to standards for global and regional operations

Transcript of Dynamic balance concept

Page 1: Dynamic balance concept

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Dynamic Balance

Concept Prepared by Ron Batdorf

June 7, 2005

Self-interest Equality Self-interest Equality Win/Win

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Purpose

• To present an enabling concept that

supports all current and future Concepts as a

guidepost to build metrics for evaluation

and assessment of perception and actions of

individuals, communities and nations.

• To further Information Operation design in

relationship to standards for global and

regional operations.

Drafted by Ron Batdorf

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Revolution

(Transformation)

Equality

Shared

Resources

Unlimited Limited

Innovation for

the creation of

equality

solutions

Innovation for

conservation

This cycle in the

past is about one

average lifetime

ranging from

40 to 60 yrs

As the world gets

flatter with knowledge

being disseminated

rapidly the interval of

revolutions will

become much shorter

than past history and

will increase in

intensity as

competition becomes

more fierce for finite

resources

Drafted by Ron Batdorf

12 May 2005 Changes in attempt to satisfy equality gaps

Determine the gaps

Optimization, Efficiency

and Improvements within

systems

Research, Science,

New Systems

Thomas Jefferson said “Every generation needs a new

revolution”…did he know something that we are missing?

People/Materials

(Renewable & Depleting)

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Transformation

(Effects)

Uncover inequalities

(Capabilities to effects)

Shared

Resources

Unlimited Limited

Out of the box

– intuitive and

less managed

The Realm of

Management

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12 May 2005

Determine the gaps

People/Materials

( Renewable & Depleting)

Optimization, Efficiency

and Improvements within

systems

Research, Science,

New Systems

Need a balance

between individualism

and society needs for

growth of prosperity

and the pursuit of

knowledge. All world

players have

something to

contribute however not

all are perceived to

have this goal.

Changes in attempt to satisfy equality gaps

Scarcity is a major breeder of

FEAR

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Dynamic Balance Concept (founded on insights from Thomas Jefferson’s teachings)

When Self-interest outweighs the equality of society in general

the situation results in the primacy of individualism where the

rights of the individual are greater than that of the society. This

creates opportunities for monopolies to thrive and as well rule by

individuals (dictatorships, monarchies, etc.)

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Dynamic Balance Concept (founded on insights from Thomas Jefferson’s teachings)

In the case where the equality of the society totally outweighs

that of the individual, large government structures are

necessary to maintain order. This situation often results in

inefficiencies, corruption and violations of human rights

(Socialist, Communist, Oligarchic, etc.)

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Dynamic Balance Concept (founded on insights from Thomas Jefferson’s teachings)

Self-interest Equality

Win/Win

In Quantum science, the natural order is for dynamic

balance to be maintained. Adaptation occurs to restate

order when there is imbalance. Systems tend to self adjust

to restate this dynamic balance.

Drafted by Ron Batdorf

Self-interest Equality

Win/Win

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Processes

developed based

on formalizing

network

Environment

adapts to new

system

System functions until external

event or internal division breaks

system integrity

Evaluate &

build New

relationships

Informal

network

formed

New system

developed

System is

continuously

optimized

Need to

change system

Balance between security

and development within

new world of globalization

System evolution by Adaptation within a Network structure

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Fine Scale Coarse Scale

Coherent

Human beings cover a

large range of complexity

and scale

Random/independent

Scale

Co

mp

lex

ity

Coherent and Random areas of

complexity are in balance

(areas under the curves are

equal) but when this balance is

broken, adaptive change

produces consequences (effects)

to gain this balance back.

Drafted by Ron Batdorf

Area Area

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Fine Scale Coarse Scale

Coherent

Human being/complex

Random/independent

Scale

Co

mp

lex

ity

Drafted by Ron Batdorf

Area Area

Foundation where the

balance of self-interest

and equality can be

achieved

Origin

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Fine Scale Coarse Scale

Coherent

Human being/complex

Random/independent

Scale

Co

mp

lex

ity

Drafted by Ron Batdorf

Area Area

New dimension of

change but still in

equilibrium with

regard to independent

and coherent areas

Origin

Expanding

from origin

base

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Dynamic Balance Concept

Self-interest Equality

If we apply this to the situation of personal motivation then

we can assume that mankind can be motivated or driven by

two forces: Pessimism (fear) and Optimism (equality)

Fear of diminishing resources -------------------------- Enough resources for all

Drafted by Ron Batdorf

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MASLOW

Survival

Enlightenment

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Kohlberg’s Stages of Moral Development

Self Interest

– (Fear)

Equality

– (Altruism)

Obedience

Instrumental

Interpersonal

Law & Order

Social Contract

Universal

Principles

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Perception

• What we know to be true

• What we already have built in our bank of

knowledge (foundation)

• What we link up to form Vision (how we

get there)

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Perception

Heart (accepted Truth –

Bank account)

Soul (Beyond

physical world –

Belief system)

Mind (Rational wisdom)

Strength –

Develop and

growth both

physical &

mental

capabilities

Sort out Truth

Drivers of

Humanity Fear Equality

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Vision

• Based on perception & Truth (beliefs)

• What you want in the FUTURE

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Truth

• Natural laws

• Laws of science

• Universal laws of space and time

• Understanding of a superior being?

• Ground truth – physical/motive driven (fear or

love)/vision or desired end state of adversary

• Wisdom – should be commonly accepted by all

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Issues for discussion

• Language barrier to understanding of cognition?

• When is conviction strong enough to overcome death?

• What alternatives do you have when you confront the above conviction?

• Changing perception is key to changing the hearts and minds?

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In order for this dynamic to work we need checks/balances of our

motivation and understanding of the characteristics of each aspect of the

dynamic balance concept and learn the applicable metrics

• Fear

– Distrusting

– Hate

– Greed

– Selfish

– Manipulative

– Reluctance

– Envy

– Covert

– Closed in

– Hording

– Less not more

– Retracting

– Divide

– Destroying

– Disbelief

– Sterilization

– Death

– Holding on

– Reduction

• Equality

– Trusting

– Caring

– Supporting

– Sharing

– Cooperating

– Willingness

– unselfishness

– Collaborating

– Openness

– Developing

– More not less

– Exploring

– Multiply

– Creating

– Accepting

– Reproducing

– Growth

– Letting go

– Building

Drafted by Ron Batdorf

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Self-interest Equality

EBO JIACG

DIME

PMESII

Thomas Jefferson said: War is an instrument entirely

inefficient towards redressing wrong; and multiplies,

instead of indemnifying losses.

EBO - Starting with what effects match the situation and keeping this in comparison to the equilibrium

concept will achieve a sharpened focus for moving towards stability and economic growth.

JIACG – Team has to be trained in the unification of effort towards the central theme of the

equilibrium concept.

DIME – Has to take into account the layers of parity that only comes from moving toward balance.

PMESII – Instruments of metrics to be used to judge if striving for equilibrium is occurring.

Drafted by Ron Batdorf

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Democracy founded on Universal Equality • Elected by vote verses rule by position

– One vote; one voice

• Individualism and society in balance

– When special interests shift the balance one way or another it causes fear to permeate society and counters progress towards knowledge collaboration and produces division of universal equality.

• Wisdom is to know the difference.

– Self Interest is driving - resources are not adequate

• Pessimism

– Equality is driving - resources are adequate

• Optimism

• Stability does not come from maintaining status quo but from driving towards a balanced society.

Drafted by Ron Batdorf

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Problems

• Measuring of effects in future operations or preparation for future interventions for stability, harmony and peace is lacking a central focal point.

• Developing and sustaining effects that support our national interests as well as global interest has to transcend political administration turnovers for consistency of a goal/purpose.

• Development of national capabilities (military and agencies) for use within or outside our national borders requires deep rooted effects evaluation and assessment based on acceptable standards for all groups.

Drafted by Ron Batdorf

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Revolution

Equality

Shared

Resources

Unlimited Limited

Out of the box

– intuitive and

less managed

The Realm of

Management

Drafted by Ron Batdorf

12 May 2005 Changes in attempt to satisfy equality gaps

Determine the gaps

People/Materials

( Renewable & Depleting)

Reductionism, Efficiency

and Improvements within

systems

Research, Science,

New Systems

As information is

shared/broadcasted or

easily found, more gaps

will be identified and

some folks that oppose

change will try to hide

the gaps or will be

countering with

propaganda/force to

hold cultures to their

traditions

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Best practice - Information Operations (IO)

• Goal is when Perception = Reality

• As the world becomes flat it is obvious that truth is the only driver for forward progress of humanity

– Hiding truth for self-interest only creates imbalance

– Hiding truth for equality of society also creates imbalance

• Deliberate not covert supports better IO

– You can’t get people on the band wagon if they don’t know why they need to join.

• Known intentions based on truth create a force for stability and is foundational for all relationships.

– Truth can be misinterpreted and could backfire and drive fear back into thinking patterns; however

– Strength and force comes from continued presentation of reality (integrity to follow through) and unification of DIME supported by the equilibrium concept.

Drafted by Ron Batdorf

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Closing

• This brief is suggesting a central theme or focus for effects based operations and the use of national power towards a defined balance between individualism and society.

• With this focal point, judgment and direction of capability development of all national power can derive synergism.

• This concept expands IO to a new plateau and opens the possibility of not only improving MN/Coalition operations but transforms collaboration to a new synergistic and equal participation level and supports network development and other futurist evolutionary, revolutionary and adaptive concepts.

Drafted by Ron Batdorf

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• Commoditization of products, cultures, knowledge worldwide is destabilizing to current forms of governments, religious leaders and status quo thinking but at the same time can help develop economic global balance.

• Efforts should be expended to assist the growth of globalization (level playing field) eliminating as much as possible friction points (fears) caused by lack of resources.

• Human brain power in collaboration should strive towards goals in unlocking unlimited potential in utilization and development of resources.

Drafted by Ron Batdorf

Dynamic Balance concept fits with Globalization

Dynamic Balance concept would open doors to establishing ways

to measure and invest in future opportunities to bridge

globalization with the benefit of limiting expenditure of national

resources on friction points where military only actions apply.

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Terms • Self-interest – Internal self preservation or survival motivations

• Equality – External self preservation is the some of the whole society

• Integrity – Consistency of DIME based on balanced systems between all aspects of national power

• Fear – The underlying cause of all conflicts

• Scale – The range of complexity where the finer the scale the more complex a system becomes

• Complexity – The movement between randomness and coherent based on patterns of natural evolution and adaptation

• Origin – The place in complexity where coherent and randomness are known to exist equally

• Coherent – patterns that can be defined and statistically studied for managed results

• Random – patterns have not been established and no conclusive way to manage yet exists

• Globalization – Balanced knowledge from connectivity between people, countries and communities of interest shift from regional to global resulting in shifts of cultures, economies and unification or division based on individual and group motivation

Drafted by Ron Batdorf

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Backup slides

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Insights and adaptation of principals of this brief were a

combination of experiences gained from:

• 20 years in business/product development and engineering management within chemical process industries

• Complexity Theory as being taught at MIT University and accepted universally in Science studies around the world.

• Correlation of the teachings of Thomas Jefferson and his foundational premise for free societies and democracies

• Research on Globalization in the 21 Century and its potential to impact (positive or negative) stability in our national security.

Drafted by Ron Batdorf

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Water

Food

Shelter

Energy

Knowledge to produce and sustain

Nourishment mind & body

(Human energy)

Building block of life

(Oasis)

Drives technology &

sustainment

Internal

(education & knowledge

of sustainment

factors)/External

(world trade requirements

to keep equality

in balance)

Driven by

environment &

culture

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Binary systems can be modeled

• If we could harness the natural process of pattern formation, it could revolutionize engineering and management.

– Patterns of cells in nature self-organizes based on interactions or two possible types, activating and inhibiting

– These forces are opposites and influence each other until they come to steady state.

– Computing power is based on binary algebra with 0 & 1 as its base with only speed being the improvement factor.

– Over sampling is also a binary system that fits with improvement of performance as known positions strive towards a stated goal by halving the distance reaching towards but never obtaining perfection.

Drafted by Ron Batdorf

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New web technology could be an answer?

• Most Web application firewalls follow a positive security model, which means that they rely on a definition of acceptable user behavior.

• The firewall blocks user input that fall outside the model (thus binary in nature)

• Some firewalls use self-learning, behavior-based technologies

• Because firewalls may be onerous to configure, a self-learning product is particularly useful in Web application environments subject to frequent changes.

• This technology could be a starting point for developing “Effects” based on the behavior that demonstrates either self-interest or equality (the binary formula of our subjects behavior) .

• We would have to work on the development patterns of these two behaviors based on actions and words being collected.

Drafted by Ron Batdorf

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Ranges of historical data to support concept

Time

Indiv

idual

DIM

E p

aram

eter

s

Range of statistical

acceptability x

x x

x

x

x

x

x

x

x

x

x

x

x

Dynamic Balance Transition

Point (Equality –Centered)

Dynamic Balance Transition

Point (Self –Centered)

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Ranges of historical data to support concept

P

M

E

S

I

I

Time line

1800 1850 1900 1950 2000

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Building a model based on historical data

• There are many case studies that have been generated in recent history about world conflicts and friction points.

• What has not been done in the past is to identify the underlying fears that drove the motivation for these conflicts. – What are the patterns for conflict when momentum of

fears builds to the point of taking external action?

– Is this different for each person?

– Is there a group consensus that tips the scale to external action by an individual or a group?

– How can we relate this to terrorist motives being driven today by religious fanatics

Drafted by Ron Batdorf