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Transcript of Dynamic balance concept
1
Dynamic Balance
Concept Prepared by Ron Batdorf
June 7, 2005
Self-interest Equality Self-interest Equality Win/Win
2
Purpose
• To present an enabling concept that
supports all current and future Concepts as a
guidepost to build metrics for evaluation
and assessment of perception and actions of
individuals, communities and nations.
• To further Information Operation design in
relationship to standards for global and
regional operations.
Drafted by Ron Batdorf
3
Revolution
(Transformation)
Equality
Shared
Resources
Unlimited Limited
Innovation for
the creation of
equality
solutions
Innovation for
conservation
This cycle in the
past is about one
average lifetime
ranging from
40 to 60 yrs
As the world gets
flatter with knowledge
being disseminated
rapidly the interval of
revolutions will
become much shorter
than past history and
will increase in
intensity as
competition becomes
more fierce for finite
resources
Drafted by Ron Batdorf
12 May 2005 Changes in attempt to satisfy equality gaps
Determine the gaps
Optimization, Efficiency
and Improvements within
systems
Research, Science,
New Systems
Thomas Jefferson said “Every generation needs a new
revolution”…did he know something that we are missing?
People/Materials
(Renewable & Depleting)
4
Transformation
(Effects)
Uncover inequalities
(Capabilities to effects)
Shared
Resources
Unlimited Limited
Out of the box
– intuitive and
less managed
The Realm of
Management
Drafted by Ron Batdorf
12 May 2005
Determine the gaps
People/Materials
( Renewable & Depleting)
Optimization, Efficiency
and Improvements within
systems
Research, Science,
New Systems
Need a balance
between individualism
and society needs for
growth of prosperity
and the pursuit of
knowledge. All world
players have
something to
contribute however not
all are perceived to
have this goal.
Changes in attempt to satisfy equality gaps
Scarcity is a major breeder of
FEAR
5
Dynamic Balance Concept (founded on insights from Thomas Jefferson’s teachings)
When Self-interest outweighs the equality of society in general
the situation results in the primacy of individualism where the
rights of the individual are greater than that of the society. This
creates opportunities for monopolies to thrive and as well rule by
individuals (dictatorships, monarchies, etc.)
Drafted by Ron Batdorf
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Dynamic Balance Concept (founded on insights from Thomas Jefferson’s teachings)
In the case where the equality of the society totally outweighs
that of the individual, large government structures are
necessary to maintain order. This situation often results in
inefficiencies, corruption and violations of human rights
(Socialist, Communist, Oligarchic, etc.)
Drafted by Ron Batdorf
7
Dynamic Balance Concept (founded on insights from Thomas Jefferson’s teachings)
Self-interest Equality
Win/Win
In Quantum science, the natural order is for dynamic
balance to be maintained. Adaptation occurs to restate
order when there is imbalance. Systems tend to self adjust
to restate this dynamic balance.
Drafted by Ron Batdorf
Self-interest Equality
Win/Win
8
Processes
developed based
on formalizing
network
Environment
adapts to new
system
System functions until external
event or internal division breaks
system integrity
Evaluate &
build New
relationships
Informal
network
formed
New system
developed
System is
continuously
optimized
Need to
change system
Balance between security
and development within
new world of globalization
System evolution by Adaptation within a Network structure
9
Fine Scale Coarse Scale
Coherent
Human beings cover a
large range of complexity
and scale
Random/independent
Scale
Co
mp
lex
ity
Coherent and Random areas of
complexity are in balance
(areas under the curves are
equal) but when this balance is
broken, adaptive change
produces consequences (effects)
to gain this balance back.
Drafted by Ron Batdorf
Area Area
10
Fine Scale Coarse Scale
Coherent
Human being/complex
Random/independent
Scale
Co
mp
lex
ity
Drafted by Ron Batdorf
Area Area
Foundation where the
balance of self-interest
and equality can be
achieved
Origin
11
Fine Scale Coarse Scale
Coherent
Human being/complex
Random/independent
Scale
Co
mp
lex
ity
Drafted by Ron Batdorf
Area Area
New dimension of
change but still in
equilibrium with
regard to independent
and coherent areas
Origin
Expanding
from origin
base
12
Dynamic Balance Concept
Self-interest Equality
If we apply this to the situation of personal motivation then
we can assume that mankind can be motivated or driven by
two forces: Pessimism (fear) and Optimism (equality)
Fear of diminishing resources -------------------------- Enough resources for all
Drafted by Ron Batdorf
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MASLOW
Survival
Enlightenment
Drafted by Ron Batdorf
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Kohlberg’s Stages of Moral Development
Self Interest
– (Fear)
Equality
– (Altruism)
Obedience
Instrumental
Interpersonal
Law & Order
Social Contract
Universal
Principles
Drafted by Ron Batdorf
15
Perception
• What we know to be true
• What we already have built in our bank of
knowledge (foundation)
• What we link up to form Vision (how we
get there)
Drafted by Ron Batdorf
16
Perception
Heart (accepted Truth –
Bank account)
Soul (Beyond
physical world –
Belief system)
Mind (Rational wisdom)
Strength –
Develop and
growth both
physical &
mental
capabilities
Sort out Truth
Drivers of
Humanity Fear Equality
Drafted by Ron Batdorf
17
Vision
• Based on perception & Truth (beliefs)
• What you want in the FUTURE
Drafted by Ron Batdorf
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Truth
• Natural laws
• Laws of science
• Universal laws of space and time
• Understanding of a superior being?
• Ground truth – physical/motive driven (fear or
love)/vision or desired end state of adversary
• Wisdom – should be commonly accepted by all
Drafted by Ron Batdorf
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Issues for discussion
• Language barrier to understanding of cognition?
• When is conviction strong enough to overcome death?
• What alternatives do you have when you confront the above conviction?
• Changing perception is key to changing the hearts and minds?
Drafted by Ron Batdorf
20
In order for this dynamic to work we need checks/balances of our
motivation and understanding of the characteristics of each aspect of the
dynamic balance concept and learn the applicable metrics
• Fear
– Distrusting
– Hate
– Greed
– Selfish
– Manipulative
– Reluctance
– Envy
– Covert
– Closed in
– Hording
– Less not more
– Retracting
– Divide
– Destroying
– Disbelief
– Sterilization
– Death
– Holding on
– Reduction
• Equality
– Trusting
– Caring
– Supporting
– Sharing
– Cooperating
– Willingness
– unselfishness
– Collaborating
– Openness
– Developing
– More not less
– Exploring
– Multiply
– Creating
– Accepting
– Reproducing
– Growth
– Letting go
– Building
Drafted by Ron Batdorf
21
Self-interest Equality
EBO JIACG
DIME
PMESII
Thomas Jefferson said: War is an instrument entirely
inefficient towards redressing wrong; and multiplies,
instead of indemnifying losses.
EBO - Starting with what effects match the situation and keeping this in comparison to the equilibrium
concept will achieve a sharpened focus for moving towards stability and economic growth.
JIACG – Team has to be trained in the unification of effort towards the central theme of the
equilibrium concept.
DIME – Has to take into account the layers of parity that only comes from moving toward balance.
PMESII – Instruments of metrics to be used to judge if striving for equilibrium is occurring.
Drafted by Ron Batdorf
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Democracy founded on Universal Equality • Elected by vote verses rule by position
– One vote; one voice
• Individualism and society in balance
– When special interests shift the balance one way or another it causes fear to permeate society and counters progress towards knowledge collaboration and produces division of universal equality.
• Wisdom is to know the difference.
– Self Interest is driving - resources are not adequate
• Pessimism
– Equality is driving - resources are adequate
• Optimism
• Stability does not come from maintaining status quo but from driving towards a balanced society.
Drafted by Ron Batdorf
23
Problems
• Measuring of effects in future operations or preparation for future interventions for stability, harmony and peace is lacking a central focal point.
• Developing and sustaining effects that support our national interests as well as global interest has to transcend political administration turnovers for consistency of a goal/purpose.
• Development of national capabilities (military and agencies) for use within or outside our national borders requires deep rooted effects evaluation and assessment based on acceptable standards for all groups.
Drafted by Ron Batdorf
24
Revolution
Equality
Shared
Resources
Unlimited Limited
Out of the box
– intuitive and
less managed
The Realm of
Management
Drafted by Ron Batdorf
12 May 2005 Changes in attempt to satisfy equality gaps
Determine the gaps
People/Materials
( Renewable & Depleting)
Reductionism, Efficiency
and Improvements within
systems
Research, Science,
New Systems
As information is
shared/broadcasted or
easily found, more gaps
will be identified and
some folks that oppose
change will try to hide
the gaps or will be
countering with
propaganda/force to
hold cultures to their
traditions
25
Best practice - Information Operations (IO)
• Goal is when Perception = Reality
• As the world becomes flat it is obvious that truth is the only driver for forward progress of humanity
– Hiding truth for self-interest only creates imbalance
– Hiding truth for equality of society also creates imbalance
• Deliberate not covert supports better IO
– You can’t get people on the band wagon if they don’t know why they need to join.
• Known intentions based on truth create a force for stability and is foundational for all relationships.
– Truth can be misinterpreted and could backfire and drive fear back into thinking patterns; however
– Strength and force comes from continued presentation of reality (integrity to follow through) and unification of DIME supported by the equilibrium concept.
Drafted by Ron Batdorf
26
Closing
• This brief is suggesting a central theme or focus for effects based operations and the use of national power towards a defined balance between individualism and society.
• With this focal point, judgment and direction of capability development of all national power can derive synergism.
• This concept expands IO to a new plateau and opens the possibility of not only improving MN/Coalition operations but transforms collaboration to a new synergistic and equal participation level and supports network development and other futurist evolutionary, revolutionary and adaptive concepts.
Drafted by Ron Batdorf
27
• Commoditization of products, cultures, knowledge worldwide is destabilizing to current forms of governments, religious leaders and status quo thinking but at the same time can help develop economic global balance.
• Efforts should be expended to assist the growth of globalization (level playing field) eliminating as much as possible friction points (fears) caused by lack of resources.
• Human brain power in collaboration should strive towards goals in unlocking unlimited potential in utilization and development of resources.
Drafted by Ron Batdorf
Dynamic Balance concept fits with Globalization
Dynamic Balance concept would open doors to establishing ways
to measure and invest in future opportunities to bridge
globalization with the benefit of limiting expenditure of national
resources on friction points where military only actions apply.
28
Terms • Self-interest – Internal self preservation or survival motivations
• Equality – External self preservation is the some of the whole society
• Integrity – Consistency of DIME based on balanced systems between all aspects of national power
• Fear – The underlying cause of all conflicts
• Scale – The range of complexity where the finer the scale the more complex a system becomes
• Complexity – The movement between randomness and coherent based on patterns of natural evolution and adaptation
• Origin – The place in complexity where coherent and randomness are known to exist equally
• Coherent – patterns that can be defined and statistically studied for managed results
• Random – patterns have not been established and no conclusive way to manage yet exists
• Globalization – Balanced knowledge from connectivity between people, countries and communities of interest shift from regional to global resulting in shifts of cultures, economies and unification or division based on individual and group motivation
Drafted by Ron Batdorf
29
Backup slides
30
Insights and adaptation of principals of this brief were a
combination of experiences gained from:
• 20 years in business/product development and engineering management within chemical process industries
• Complexity Theory as being taught at MIT University and accepted universally in Science studies around the world.
• Correlation of the teachings of Thomas Jefferson and his foundational premise for free societies and democracies
• Research on Globalization in the 21 Century and its potential to impact (positive or negative) stability in our national security.
Drafted by Ron Batdorf
31
Water
Food
Shelter
Energy
Knowledge to produce and sustain
Nourishment mind & body
(Human energy)
Building block of life
(Oasis)
Drives technology &
sustainment
Internal
(education & knowledge
of sustainment
factors)/External
(world trade requirements
to keep equality
in balance)
Driven by
environment &
culture
32
Binary systems can be modeled
• If we could harness the natural process of pattern formation, it could revolutionize engineering and management.
– Patterns of cells in nature self-organizes based on interactions or two possible types, activating and inhibiting
– These forces are opposites and influence each other until they come to steady state.
– Computing power is based on binary algebra with 0 & 1 as its base with only speed being the improvement factor.
– Over sampling is also a binary system that fits with improvement of performance as known positions strive towards a stated goal by halving the distance reaching towards but never obtaining perfection.
Drafted by Ron Batdorf
33
New web technology could be an answer?
• Most Web application firewalls follow a positive security model, which means that they rely on a definition of acceptable user behavior.
• The firewall blocks user input that fall outside the model (thus binary in nature)
• Some firewalls use self-learning, behavior-based technologies
• Because firewalls may be onerous to configure, a self-learning product is particularly useful in Web application environments subject to frequent changes.
• This technology could be a starting point for developing “Effects” based on the behavior that demonstrates either self-interest or equality (the binary formula of our subjects behavior) .
• We would have to work on the development patterns of these two behaviors based on actions and words being collected.
Drafted by Ron Batdorf
34
Ranges of historical data to support concept
Time
Indiv
idual
DIM
E p
aram
eter
s
Range of statistical
acceptability x
x x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
Dynamic Balance Transition
Point (Equality –Centered)
Dynamic Balance Transition
Point (Self –Centered)
Drafted by Ron Batdorf
35
Ranges of historical data to support concept
P
M
E
S
I
I
Time line
1800 1850 1900 1950 2000
Drafted by Ron Batdorf
36
Building a model based on historical data
• There are many case studies that have been generated in recent history about world conflicts and friction points.
• What has not been done in the past is to identify the underlying fears that drove the motivation for these conflicts. – What are the patterns for conflict when momentum of
fears builds to the point of taking external action?
– Is this different for each person?
– Is there a group consensus that tips the scale to external action by an individual or a group?
– How can we relate this to terrorist motives being driven today by religious fanatics
Drafted by Ron Batdorf