7TH FIVE YEAR PLAN

GENERAL ECONOMICS DIVISION (GED)

PLANNING COMMISSION

GOVERNMENT OF THE PEOPLE’S REPUBLIC OF BANGLADESH1

GROUP MEMBER

Sheikh Wali-Al Kabir FH-003

Sara Hanan Chudhury SK-14

Asif Rafsan SH- 018

Mahmudul Islam FH- 020

Syadur Rahaman SH-027

Arif Hasan SH-031

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THE HISTORY OF DEVELOPMENT OF THE FIVE YEAR PLAN (FYP)

Bangabandhu Sheikh Mujibur Rahman the father of the nation, dreamt of a 'Shonar Bangla' where the common citizens of thecountry live in prosperity and have equitable access to quality education, healthcare, rule of law and employment opportunities. Hedreamt of a country that was prosperous, was free of poverty, provided equal opportunities for all, where social justice prevailedand there was social protection for the poor and vulnerable against downside risks.

The Awami League-led alliance resurrected that dream in 2008 to drive the country's sustainable development agenda by strikingthe right balance between equitable national economic progress and human development. For the first time in the country'shistory, such a comprehensive and audacious vision, steeped in through the success of a new development pagadigm – The FiveYear Plan (FYP)

The country has moved up to low middle income status but, more importantly, by human development indicators, achieved a levelof development commonly predicted for twice its per capita income.

The 7th FYP has been formulated with full recognition that the 'outlier' phenomenon (differing from all other members of aparticular group or set Bangladesh has emerged as a shining example for countries throughout the world as it continues to defytraditional, linear development models and innovate a novel, alternative pathway for socioeconomic progress. ) is not merely a blipon the development path but rather a sustainable occurrence chartering a new development trajectory.

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WHAT IS 7TH FYP

We made remarkable progress in raising incomes, reducing poverty and improving social indicators.

The Government’s Vision 2021 defines several economic and social outcomes for Bangladesh to achieve by 2021. To convert this Vision into long-term development targets, a Perspective Plan 2010-2021 was prepared. The targets of Vision 2021 and the associated Perspective Plan 2010-2021 were to be achieved through the implementation of two five-year plans, the Sixth Five Year Plan (2011-15) and the Seventh Five Year Plan (2016-2020). The 6th FYP made solid progress in increasing per capita income and reducing poverty through a strategy of pro-poor economic growth.

Without deviating from the main thrust of the 6th FYP, the 7th FYP articulates new strategies, institutions and policies, while strengthening existing ones, to complete the remaining agenda of achieving the social and economic outcomes of the Vision 2021 and the Perspective Plan.

ACHIEVEMENTS OF THE FYP

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GDP growth which held steady at 6% for a number of years and recently moved up to 6.5%

per capita income increased from $619 to $1,314

poverty and extreme poverty have both exhibited significant reduction, falling below 25% and around 12 % respectively,

child mortality 48 per 1000 live births

GOALS AND TARGETS OF THE 7TH FYP

(1) Income & Poverty:

Attaining average real GDP growth rate of 7.4% per year over the Plan period

Reduction in the head-count poverty ratio by 6.2 percentage points

Reduction in extreme poverty by about 4.0 percentage points

Creating good jobs for the large pool of under-employed and new labour force entrants by increasing the share of employment in the manufacturing sector from 15 percent to 20 percent

(2) Sector Development

Significant growth of the agriculture, industry and service sectors

Increase the contribution of the manufacturing sector to 21% of GDP by FY20

Substantial improvement of exports to $54.1 billion by FY20

Achieving a Trade-GDP ratio of 50% by FY20

GOALS AND TARGETS OF THE 7TH FYP

(4) Urban Development:

Infrastructural investment and civic facilities in peri-urban growth centresespecially around Special Economic Zones

Inclusive housing and other civic services for urban inhabitants including for people living in informal settlements and slums

Inclusive urban planning based on sustainable land use planning and zoning

Increased productivity, access to finance, and policy support for urban micro-small and medium enterprises

(3) Macroeconomic Development

Total revenue to be raised from 10.7% of GDP to 16.1% by FY20

Government spending to be increased to 21.1% of GDP by FY20

GOALS AND TARGETS OF THE 7TH FYP

(5) Human Resource Development (Education, Health andPopulation)

Achieving 100 percent net enrolment rate for primary andsecondary education

Percentage of cohort reaching grade 5 to be increased to 100from current 80 percent

Under 5 mortality rate to be reduced to 37 per 1000 live birth

Maternal Mortality Ratio to be reduced to 105 per 100,000 livebirths

Immunization, measles (percent of children under 12 months)to be increased to 100 percent

Reduce proportion of underweight children among under-fivechildren to 20 percent

Births attended by skilled health staff to be increased to 65percent

(6) Water and Sanitation

Safe drinking water for all

Proportion of urban population with access to sanitary latrines to be increased to 100 percent

Proportion of rural population with access to sanitary latrines to be raised to 90 percent

GOALS AND TARGETS OF THE 7TH FYP

(7) Energy & Infra-structure

Installed Generation Capacity of electricity to be increased to 23,000 MW by 2020

Electricity coverage to be increased to 96 percent with uninterrupted supply to industries

Reduce system loss from 13% to 9%, improve energy efficiency & conservation

Improve the multimodal transport network with a significant increase in the share of rail and waterways traffic

Reduce urban traffic congestion with focus on Dhaka and Chittagong cities

Reduce the incidence of road accidents

(8) Gender equality, income inequality and social protection

Female to male ratio in tertiary education to be raised from current 70 percent to 100 percent

The ratio of literate female to male for age group 20-24 to be raised to 100 percent from the current 86 percent

Encourage female enrolment in technical and vocational education

Reduce or maintain the current income inequality of 0.45

GOALS AND TARGETS OF THE 7TH FYP

(10) ICT Development

Improve tele density to 100%, internet penetration to 100% and broadband coverage to 50%

All primary schools to have at least 1 and all secondary schools to have at least 3 multimedia classrooms; 30% of primary schools and 100% of all secondary schools to have an ICT laboratory

25% Community Health Clinics provide teleconsultation with specialists in urban areas

All G2P cash transfers and most P2G and B2G payments done digitally

Most vital government services are made available at all Digital Centres, through the national portal and over mobile devices; 100% of citizens and residents have digital ID that is used in service delivery

Social media is regularly used for communication with various demand and supply side stakeholders

Open government data and big data analysis are regularly used in public decision support. Increase domestic ICT earnings to $2 billion and export earnings to $2 billion; 1 million trained HR for the ICT industry

Spending on Research and Development to constitute 1 % of GDP

Robust cyber security measures are institutionalized

(9) Environmental Sustainability

Increase productive forest coverage to 20 percent

Improve air quality in Dhaka and other large cities and enact Clean Air Act

Promote Zero discharge of industrial effluents

Urban wetlands are restored and protected in line with Wetland Conservation Act

At least 15% of the wetland in peak dry season is protected as aquatic sanctuary

500 meter wide permanent green belt established and protected along the coast

Land zoning for sustainable land/water use completed

Environmental, Climate Change and disaster risk reduction considerations are integrated into project design, budgetary allocations and implementation process

Canals and natural water flows of Dhaka and other major cities restoredrevenue to be raised from 10.7% of GDP to 16.1% by FY20

7TH FIVE YEAR PLAN TARGETS

TargetsBase Year2010

Progress under 6th

FYP 20157th FYP2020

Real GDP Growth(%) 6.1 6.5 8

Head Count Poverty(%) 31.5 24.8 18.6

Growth in agriculture(%) 6.15 3.04 3.34

Growth in industry(%) 7.03 9.6 10.9

Growth in services(%) 5.53 5.83 6.49

Total Revenue(% of GDP) 9.98 10.7 16.1

NBR Tax Revenue (% ofGDP)

8.03 9.0 13.7

Fiscal Deficit(% of GDP) 3.3 4.7 4.7

Continued……

THE THEME OF THE 7TH FYP'ACCELERATING GROWTH, EMPOWERING CITIZENS'.

The average growth rate is projected at 7.4% over the seventh plan period.

The 7th plan seeks to raise the GDP growth rate progressively from 6.5% in FY2015 to 8% by FY 2020.

It is estimated that some 12.9 million additional jobs will be available during the five years of the 7th FYP, including 2 million jobs abroad for migrant workers.

SEVENTH PLAN CORE TARGETS IN THE CONTEXT OF VISION 2021

building a secular tolerant liberal progressive democratic state promoting good governance and curbing corruption promoting sustainable human development reducing the growth of population instituting a prudent macroeconomic policy mix promoting a favorable industrialization and trade policy regime addressing globalization and regional cooperation challenges ensuring adequate supply of electricity and fuel achieving food security making available adequate infrastructure pursuing environmental friendly development, and building a digital Bangladesh

GOVERNMENT APPROVED 7TH FIVE YEAR PLAN (2016-20) AIMING TO EMPOWER PEOPLE BY

creating employment and skill development opportunities,

supplying credit for SME development

and many other ways for people to be more productive.

Along with growth, the 7th Plan will emphasize

social protection,

urban transition and

sustainable development pathway resilient to disaster and climate change.

7TH FIVE YEAR PLAN IS PREPARED IN AN INCLUSIVE PLANNING FRAMEWORK FOCUSING ON

pro-poor economic growth,

sustainable development and risk resilience with the vision of

Accelerating Growth with Equity and empowering citizen.

The drafted plan aims to raise the country's economic growth to 8 percent by the terminal year of its implementation period FY 2020.

The proposed plan also set a target to reduce moderate poverty to 18.6 percent by FY20 and

extreme poverty to 8.9 percent by FY20.

KEY FEATURE

GENERAL PUBLIC SERVICES & PUBLIC ORDER AND SAFETYSTRENGTHENING PUBLIC ADMINISTRATION, PUBLIC INSTITUTIONS AND GOVERNANCE .

INDUSTRIAL AND ECONOMIC SERVICES STRATEGY FOR MANUFACTURING

SECTOR DEVELOPMENT WITH EXPORT-LED GROWTH STRATEGY FOR BOOSTING THE SERVICES SECTOR

AGRICULTURE

POWER AND ENERGY

TRANSPORT AND COMMUNICATION TRANSPORT AND COMMUNICATION DEVELOPMENT STRATEGY

LOCAL GOVERNMENT AND RURAL DEVELOPMENT STRATEGY FOR LOCAL GOVERNMENT AND RURAL DEVELOPMENT

ENVIRONMENT AND CLIMATE CHANGE SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT: ENVIRONMENT AND CLIMATE CHANGE

HOUSING AND COMMUNITY AMENITIES

HEALTH

EDUCATION AND TECHNOLOGY

RECREATION, CULTURE AND RELIGION

SOCIAL PROTECTION

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KEY FEATURE

SECTOR 11: EDUCATION AND TECHNOLOGY

EDUCATION SECTOR DEVELOPMENT STRATEGY

DIGITAL BANGLADESH AND INFORMATION COMMUNICATIONS TECHNOLOGY (ICT)

SECTOR 12: RECREATION, CULTURE AND RELIGION

ROLE OF SPORTS, CULTURE AND RELIGION IN HUMAN RESOURCE DEVELOPMENT

SECTOR 13: SOCIAL PROTECTION

SOCIAL PROTECTION, SOCIAL WELFARE AND SOCIAL INCLUSION .

THE OVERALL OBJECTIVE OF DISASTER MANAGEMENT

The overall objective of disaster management during 7th FYP is to build resilience of the poor and reduce their exposure and vulnerability to geo-hydro-meteorological hazards, environmental shocks, man-made disasters, emerging hazards and climate related extreme events to make our cities, human habitat and resources safe, resilient and sustainable.

The objective of 7th FYP regarding gender is to ensure women's advancement as self-reliant human beings and reduce discriminatory barriers by taking both developmental and institutional measures. Gender equality and women's empowerment agenda for the 7th FYP is based on pursuing strategies and actions that not only enhance women's capabilities and access to resources and opportunities but also address the barriers in structures and institutions and aim at changing social norms and protecting their rights are critical to integrate within the plan. Establishing monitoring, oversight and accountability mechanisms is equally important.

DEVELOPMENT APPROACH OF THE 7TH PLAN

GDP growth acceleration, employment generation and rapid poverty reduction;

A broad-based strategy of inclusiveness with a view to empowering every citizen to participate full and benefit from the development process.

A sustainable development pathway that is resilient to disaster and climate change; entails sustainable use of natural resources; and successfully manages the inevitable urbanization transition.

DISASTER ACTION PLAN THROUGH ICT ,BD

For whom it has been taken?

which areas has been concerned?

By whom ICT plans will be governed and how?

What types of ICT tools will be taken to reduce vulnerability of communities?

Finally what are major focused area for the agencies under ministry of science and technology in disaster management through ICT ?

CONCERNED OBJECT

AERIAL VIEW OF THE FLOOD AFFECTED BRAHMANBARIA AREA, SOME 172KMS SOUTHEAST OF DHAKA, 28 JULY 2004

BY WHOM ICT PLANS WILL BE GOVERNED?

HOW THEY WILL GOVERN ?

Comprehensive Program

Proactive Approaches

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WHAT TYPES OF ICT TOOLS WILL BE TAKEN TO REDUCE VULNERABILITY OF COMMUNITIES?

Remote sensing and forecasting

1 installation of geostationary satellite

2 improvement of internal capacity to analyse satellite data

3 investment in ‘automated weather station’,

Early warning and disaster recovery

1 amending related rules of ICT tools used in disaster management

2 leverage ‘location based service’

WHAT TYPES OF ICT TOOLS WILL BE TAKEN TO REDUCE VULNERABILITY OF COMMUNITIES?

Satellite-based network

1 incorporation of GPS tech into radio receiver

2 promotion of email, internet and devices for 1st responders

GIS-based modelling

1 mainstreaming the model into development planning

GREEN ICT

GREEN ICT

1. Meet the demand for environmental skills and expertise at all levels

2. Minimize the environmental impact of icts in public administration

3. Minimize ict–related disposal

LEVERAGE COMMUNITY RADIO

WHAT ARE MAJOR FOCUSED AREA OF AGENCIES UNDER MO SC AND TECH IN DISASTER MANAGEMENT THROUGH ICT?

Establishing energy efficient green technology based Bangladesh Environmental Specimen Bank.

Research and development for innovation of environment friendly sustainable technology for the economically constrained communities.

Inculcate scientific attitude among the people

Special Focus on Marine Resources

SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT: ENVIRONMENT AND CLIMATE CHANGE

Therefore, the present Seventh Plan’s articulation of a sustainable development strategy involves a large array of actions under three key themes:

I. Climate Change Management and Resilience (comprised of adaptation and mitigation)

II. Environmental Management

III. Disaster Management

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KEY OBJECTIVES

1. To attain good governance in environmental sustainability

2. To eradicate extreme poverty and achieve national food security

3. To address environmental health

4. To ensure cities are sustainable and more efficient, with development following appropriately structured plans.

5. To preserve agricultural land and to ensure production growth for food security with minimum environmental degradation

6. To reduce potential economic losses due to Climate Change (particularly from floods, drought and salinity)

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KEY OBJECTIVES

7. To preserve agricultural land and to ensure production growth for food security with minimum

environmental degradation

8. To meet national air and water quality standards.

9. To achieve tree cover over 20% of the land surface (with tree density > 70%) and ecologically

healthy native forests are restored and protected in all public forest lands (about 16% of land)

10. To ensure no new extinctions of globally and nationally threatened species

11. To meet energy demands of development through a low carbon strategy

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ADDRESSING CLIMATE CHANGE UNDER THE SEVENTH PLAN

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88% of land mass are flood plain

Due to the rise in the average sea level, an additional 14% of

the country may be extremely vulnerable to floods by 2030

MOST CLIMATE VULNERABLE ZONE

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Climate Change Management and Resilience (comprised of adaptation and

mitigation)

As in the Sixth Plan, Climate Change Management under the Seventh Plan will be addressed on two fronts:

1. Climate Change Adaptation

2. Climate Change Mitigation

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CLIMATE CHANGE ADAPTATION(CCA) CONTEXT OF BANGLADESH:The consequences of climate change

1. Food insecurity

2. Human health

3. Damage to infrastructure

4. Stress to urbanization

5. Damage to Industries

6. Economic Impacts

7. Loss of livelihoods leading to migration

8. Poverty and Inequity

9. Gender sensitivity to disasters and climate change

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ACTIVITIES UNDER THE 7TH FYP FOR CLIMATE CHANGE ADAPTATION(CCA)

Issue 1: Promote a whole-of government approach for climate change readiness

Issue 2: Enhance understanding, knowledge, capacity and coordination

Issue 3: Prioritize programmes and projects

Issue 4: Improved Implementation, Monitoring and Shared learning

Issue 5: Enhance CCA financing

Issue 6: Integrate Gender Sensitivity in project design

Issue 7: Food security, social protection and Health

Issue 8: Managing hazards and disasters

Issue 9: Infrastructural functioning and maintenance

Issue 10: Curbing internal migration and displacement

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CLIMATE CHANGE MITIGATION (CCM)

Issue 1: Enhance understanding on LCD

Issue 2: Improve capacity in analysing available opportunities

Issue 3: Enhance capacity of energy saving sectors

Issue 4: Improvement in Coordination and Communication among Institutions

Issue 5: Ensuring investment in research and innovation

Issue 6: Other Activities

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INTERNAL ENVIRONMENTAL MANAGEMENT

Pollution

• Air pollution

• Water pollution

• Industrial pollution

• Noise Pollution

• Solid Waste

• Hazardous & Toxic waste

• Hospital Waste

Rapid Urbanization

Environmental Risk to health

Natural resource management

Environmental Governance

Extent of Forest and Biodiversity Problems

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DELTA PLAN

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DISASTER MANAGEMENT IN 7TH FYP

Accelerating growth, EMPOWERING citizen:

Disaster risk reduction and management for the poor and vulnerable population.

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DM CONTEXT IN BANGLADESH

Prone to several hazards like flood, cyclone, earthquake etc.

Loss of 1.8% GDP from 1990-2008.

Significant development over the last decade.

Through DRR programs, voluntarism, safety net,

community resilience building etc.

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TARGETS OF 7 FYP FOR DM

Targets:

1. Mainstreaming DRR

2. Creating national training capacity

3. ICT based multi hazard early warning system

4. Establish coordination among public-private sector

5. Arranging social safety nets

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GOALS OF 7TH FYP FOR DM

4 broader goals and one cross cutting category.

Goal 1: Mainstreaming DRR and CCA

Goal 2: Making strategies of DRR

Goal 3: Better disaster preparedness, warning and response

Goal 4: Effective post disaster recovery and response

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IMPLEMENTATION CHALLENGES OF DM

Whole of government approach

Mainstreaming

Policy and plan implementation

Decentralization

Technical assistance etc.

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