Drought Decision Support - Amazon Web Services · Historical Drought The Drought Risk Atlas will...
Transcript of Drought Decision Support - Amazon Web Services · Historical Drought The Drought Risk Atlas will...
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NOAA’s National Centers for Environmental Information
September 12, 2018
NOAA Satellite and Information Service
Doug KluckRegional Climate Services Director
Kansas City, MO
Drought Decision Support
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2NATIONAL CENTERS FOR ENVIRONMENTAL INFORMATION
Mission and Goal
•Mission: To lessen societal vulnerability to drought
by promoting planning and the adoption of
appropriate risk management techniques (NDMC)
•To improve the nation’s capacity to manage drought-
related risks by providing the best available
information and tools to assess the potential
impacts of drought, and to prepare for and mitigate
the effects of drought (NIDIS)
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3NATIONAL CENTERS FOR ENVIRONMENTAL INFORMATION
Avoid at all costs
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4NATIONAL CENTERS FOR ENVIRONMENTAL INFORMATION
Considerations
• The Who, What, Where, When– Sector, Region, Time-Scale, Indicator Specific
• Monitoring Tools vs Planning Tools– Which to use, which ones, how?
• Drought Capacity– States, Tribes, Communities, International, Sectors
• Comprehensive (holistic) Planning vs Reactive Planning– Reactive Planning: setting triggers based on a particular index can be an issue
– Vulnerability assessment (drought tournaments, community input, scenario planning)
– Capacity building and/or education
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Monitoring Tools
Planning Tools
Outreach
Remote Sensing
Historical Drought
Data
Drought Impact
Archive
NDMC
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6NATIONAL CENTERS FOR ENVIRONMENTAL INFORMATION
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7NATIONAL CENTERS FOR ENVIRONMENTAL INFORMATION
Regional Drought Early Warning
Systems (DEWS)
Working with communities and existing networks to
build capacity for better decision making for
drought planning and mitigation.
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8NATIONAL CENTERS FOR ENVIRONMENTAL INFORMATION
Resources
https://drought.unl.edu/droughtplanning/PlanningHome.aspx
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9NATIONAL CENTERS FOR ENVIRONMENTAL INFORMATION
10-Step Drought Planning Program
1. Appoint a Drought Task Force
2. State the Purpose and Objectives of the Drought Plan
3. Seek Stakeholder Participation and Resolve Conflict
4. Inventory Resources and Identify Groups at Risk
5. Develop Organizational Structure and Prepare
Drought Plan
6. Integrate Science and Policy, Close Institutional Gaps
7. Publicize the Proposed Plan, Solicit Reaction
8. Implement the Plan
9. Develop Education Programs
10.Post-Drought Evaluation
https://drought.unl.edu/archive/Documents/NDMC/Planning/10StepProcess.pdf
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droughtmonitor.unl.edu
The United States
Drought Monitor
➢ Hosted by the NDMC as part of a 3-way partnership with NOAA and USDA
➢ Over 12.5 million hits a year
➢ Used in several USDA programs
➢ Used by the IRS for tax deferrals
➢ Many others !
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U.S. Drought Monitor Change
Maps
At various time-scales of:1 week4 weeks8 weeks
12 weeks24 weeks
1 yearCalendar year
Water year
NATIONAL DROUGHT MITIGATION CENTER
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Many regional maps are available
NATIONAL DROUGHT MITIGATION CENTER
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Indices: SPI/PDSI
Soil Moisture
Streamflow and
Reservoirs
Remote Sensing
Expert Local Input and Impacts
Precipitation and Snow
Most of the information analyzed each week falls into one of these categories.
Authors now use roughly 40-50 unique indicators while creating the U.S. Drought Monitor map, but not all areas are represented equally by all pieces of data.
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Historical Drought
The Drought Risk Atlas will answer the following questions for users through the data and products available within the tool
How does the current drought compare historically?
How often does a drought of this magnitude happen (frequency)?
When was the last time a drought like this happened?
What is the likelihood of the drought continuing?
What did the spatial footprint of the last drought look like?
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Drought Risk Atlas
droughtatlas.unl.edu
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Multiple options within the user interface allows for the selection of historical drought information
NATIONAL DROUGHT MITIGATION CENTER
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Documenting the Impact of
Drought is Important
droughtreporter.unl.edu
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Handbook of Drought
Indicators and Indices
https://library.wmo.int/pmb_ged/wmo_1173_en.pdf
http://www.droughtmanagement.info/handbook-drought-indicators-and-indices/
Handbook of Drought Indicators and Indices. WMO/GWP Integrated Drought Management Programme(IDMP). 2016. WMO-No. 1173. WMO, Geneva, Switzerland and GWP, Stockholm, Sweden.
NATIONAL DROUGHT MITIGATION CENTER
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20NATIONAL CENTERS FOR ENVIRONMENTAL INFORMATION
Contacts:[email protected]
•National Drought Mitigation Center
(https://drought.unl.edu/Home.aspx)–Director: Mark Svoboda - [email protected]
–Brian Fuchs - [email protected]
–Kelly Smith - [email protected]
•National Integrated Drought Information System (drought.gov)–Elizabeth Ossowski - [email protected]
–Britt Parker - [email protected]
–Molly Woloszyn - [email protected]
•Case studies: –Climate Resilience Toolkit - https://toolkit.climate.gov/
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21NATIONAL CENTERS FOR ENVIRONMENTAL INFORMATION
NCEI Climate Facebook: http://www.facebook.com/NOAANCEIclimate
NCEI Ocean & Geophysics Facebook: http://www.facebook.com/NOAANCEIoceangeo
NCEI Climate Twitter (@NOAANCEIclimate): http://www.twitter.com/NOAANCEIclimate
NCEI Ocean & Geophysics Twitter (@NOAANCEIocngeo): http://www.twitter.com/NOAANCEIocngeo
www.ncei.noaa.gov
www.climate.gov
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U.S. Drought MonitorIntegrates KeyDrought Indicators:• Palmer Drought Index• SPI• SPEI• KBDI• Modeled Soil Moisture
• NLDAS• 7-14 Day Avg.
Streamflow• Precipitation
Anomalies• AHPS Precipitation • Other data which are
available
Growing Season:• Crop Moisture Index• Sat. Veg. Health Index• VegDRI/ESI/etc.• Soil Moisture• Mesonets• State/Regional data
In The West:• SWSI• Reservoir levels• Snowpack (SNOTEL)• SWE
• Streamflow
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23NATIONAL CENTERS FOR ENVIRONMENTAL INFORMATION
State of Nebraska Governor’s Drought Info