DONG Energy –fromcoal and oil tocompetitiveoffshore wind - the … · Wind turbine rotor...
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DONG Energy – from coal and oil to competitive offshore wind -the story of a global leader's transformation
April, 2017Benj Sykes, Vice President, Head Asset Management & UK Country Manager DONG Energy Wind Power
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Headquarters in Denmark
6,200 employees
Revenue in 2016 ~ £7bnEBITDA in 2016 ~£2.2bn
80%*
Wind Power
1
4%* Bioenergy & Thermal Power
4%* Oil & Gas(discontinued operations)
12%* Distribution & Customer Solutions
DONG Energy at a glance
* Share of the Group’s capital employed
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224
462
2006 2016
2
Significant transformation of DONG Energy over the past decade
Business transformedShare of capital employed1
%
Operating profit tripledDKK Bn
International expansionShare of operating profit (EBITDA)%
19.1
5.3
20162006 20162006
16%
60%
24%
2006 2016
0%16%
84%
1. Excluding unallocated capital employed on DONG Energy group level
-50% 3x >5x
CO2 emissions halvedg/kWh
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Leading the charge to decarbonisation
*We ensure this by having our suppliers of wood pellets and wood chips document their compliance with our sustainability requirements. **This is the most ambitious target among our European peers.
1,000th
turbine installed
Our innovation is not limited to offshore wind power
REnescience Norwich
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Our innovation is not limited to offshore wind power
When I heard about Site Optimisation at
a seminar, it was a real ‘light bulb’
moment. It’s unique – I’d never come
across anything like it before, but it was
the perfect fit for our needs.
David Jeans, Energy Manager, Kodak Alaris
“Site Optimisation” is helping our power customers to cut costs
Kodak Alaris has achieved 11% savings on annual energy costs at it’s UK manufacturing site.
1. INPUT: MARKET & PLANT DATA
3. OUTPUT: OPTIMISED RUN SCHEDULES
2. ANALYSIS
We have developed a new product to assist our power customers with flexibility
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Unparalleled experience and track recordDONG Energy Wind Power geographical footprint
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21 offshore wind farms in operation
7 offshore wind farms under construction
14 Partnerships
25+ years of experience and track record in the offshore wind sector1991 2017
3.8 GWunder
construction
2,000 Dedicated employees
3.6 GW Constructed
capacity
7.5 million Europeans with clean electricity
3.3 GWWorld's leading operator
Taipei office
DONG Energy Wind Power overview
Under construction
In operation
Under development
Decommissioned after 25 years
Asia Pacific
Boston office
USA Europe
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DONG Energy pioneered the offshore wind industry and is today the global leader
3,591
1,285 1,225 1,273
270 336 294 288 158
3,840
849 785 668
588 497 370600 311 111 121
7,431
2,134 2,010 1,941
1,064858 833 664 600 472 399 279
We’re the largest global offshore wind playerGlobal offshore wind capacityMW
Our scale enables cluster synergies
7
29% 10% 10% 10% 2% 1% 2%
Source: Bloomberg New Energy Finance, March 2017, DONG Energy analysis
0%
% share of global installed capacityInstalled2 Under construction
3% 2% 0%
Operational offshore wind farmsOffshore wind farms under construction
Cluster
Synergies Lower logistics costs Fewer technician hours Fewer facilities needed Lower inventory levels
E.ON
InnogyVattenfall
Iberdrola EnBW
Van Oord
Northland Power
Statoil
WPD
SSE
1. Statkraft has decided to scale down their activities in offshore wind. Current assets will be built and development projects will be brought forward to allow divestment before FID2. If a project is executed on behalf of a lead developer managing the construction, then 100% of capacity is allocated to the lead developer. If construction is executed by an integrated joint
venture, capacity is allocated in proportion to the JV share
Statkraft 1
1%
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1991
World’s first offshore wind farm
Vindeby, Denmark. 5MW
DONG Energy is building on 25 years of offshore wind experience
2002
World’s first largescale offshore wind farm
Horns Rev1, Denmark. 160MW
20162012 2013 20152014
2,143 MW
1,416 MW
2000 20051995 2010
1,049 MW
476 MW
1990
50 MW5 MW
2015
First commercial use of 6MW turbines
Westermost Rough, 210MW
2013
World’s largest offshore wind farm
London Array, 630MW
Total constructed capacity by DONG Energy, (MW)
2016
Hornsea FID
Borkum RiffgrundFID
First commercial 8MW turbines installed at Burbo Bank Extension.
2,478 MW
3009 MW
3600 MW
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How have we financed the green transition? Proven track record in developing long-term partnerships
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Major institutional investors are partners in DONG Energy's offshore wind projects
Walney I & II (50.1%) 367 MW (2009 / 2010)
(KIRKBI)
West of Duddon Sands (50%) 389 MW (2010)
Burbo Bank Extension (50%) 258 MW (2016)
Lincs (25%) 270 MW (2017)
Gunfleet Sands (50.1%)173 MW (2011)
Anholt (50%) 400 MW (2011)
Horns Rev 1 (40%) 160 MW (2006)
Nysted (42.7%) 166 MW (2010)
Gode Wind 2 (50%) 252 MW (2014)
Gode Wind 1 (50%)330 MW (2015)
Westermost Rough (50%)210 MW (2014)
London Array (25%)630 MW (2009 / 2014)
Borkum Riffgrund 1 (50%)312 MW (2012)
(KIRKBI)
( ) represents DONG Energy ownership interest
Race Bank (50%)573 MW (2016)
Drawing of Siemens facility in Hull
MHI Vestas facility at Isle of Wight
Offshore Structures Britain facility near Middlesbrough
DONG Energy’s long-term frameworks with developers have helped supply chain companies to invest
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Levelised revenue of electricity, incl. transmission costs£/MWh1, 2016-prices
In 2012, DONG Energy set an ambitious target for cost reduction for 2020 and industry is well ahead of plan
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606069
90
108110
128138
Walney ExtensionUK
2014
Borssele I & IINL
2016
Borkum Riffgrund II
DE2015
Horns Rev IIIDK
2015
Kriegers FlakDK
2016
East AngliaUK
2015
Race BankUK
2015
Borssele III & IVNL
2016
Different national scope leads to differences in the cost of electricity from offshore wind
138
60
Borssele III & IVNL
2016
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A turbine a day has contributed to current cost developments
12
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
2,500
3,000
3,500
0
2,000
500
1,000
1,500
20112010 20162009 2013
365 turbines/year
2012 20152014
Number of new installed turbinesNew installed capacity MW
MW Number of turbines
SOURCE: WINDEUROPE
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Scale is key
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1 /day creates the scale that will unlock further cost reductions in European market.
• Repay the investments in the next turbine platform
• Scale in production
• Scale in installation
• Scale in operation and maintenance
• Investments (and innovation) throughout the supply chain5 wind farms
of 300 MW5 wind farmsof 600 MW
5 wind farmsof 800-1.200 MW
~1.5 GW/yr ~3 GW/yr
European market
~4 – 6 GW/yr-2014FID year 2014 - ~2019 ~2019 - 2030
3-4 MW 7-8 MW 10 – 15+ MW
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Support free offshore wind is within reach in the coming decade
14
46
2030Projected LROE
Offshore wind energy
43 - 51
2030Electricity price
GermanyBNEF, 2017 Q1
Policy risks
Commercially viable
investments are within reach,
however a hedge through a
CFD may remain necessary to
lower the cost of capital
SOURCE: LEVELISED REVENUE OF ELECTRICITY APPROACH BASED ON AUCTION RESULTS AND PUBLIC AVAILABLE PRICE PROJECTIONS. ELECTRICITY PRICES: BNEF FOR 2030
Average price, excl. downlift for wind
£/MWh, 2016-prices*
* Converted at a 1.17 GBP/EUR exchange rate
Cost competitive within a decade
Source: Offshore wind, delivering more for less (BVG associates for Statkraft, 2015)
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Rapid technological developmentWind turbine rotor diameter, year of commissioning
Multiple levers to drive down cost in offshore wind
2002 2005 2007 2011 2014 2016 2020 1
80m90m
107m120m
154m164m
180m
Boeing 747, 76m
Scale1
Innovation2
Industrialisation3
At the forefront of making the industry cost competitive
1. Currently there are no turbines available on the market with a rotor diameter of 180m, however Adwen has announced that they expect to bring such a turbine to market in 2020.
The world needs power
52%
2020 20301990 2000 2010
59%
21%
EU
ChinaChinaUS
MToE, 2015
The UK needs offshore wind
The 2050 carbon challenge Committee on Climate Change, Fifth Carbon Budget
The 2030 capacity challenge Committee on Climate Change, Power Sector Scenarios for the Fifth Carbon Budget
To meet it’s carbon budget To fill the capacity gap
Source: CCC (October, 2015), DECC 2015, Final UK Greenhouse gas emission national statistics 1990-2013.
DECC (2015) Energy Trends; DECC (2015) Digest of UK Energy Statistics; DECC (2014) Updated Energy Projections; CCC calculations.
167
568
2013 2050
-71%MtCO2e
80% vs 1990
308273
379
2030202520202014
+11%341
+11%
Generation Gap
TWh
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GW addition/year
Strong growth in established and new offshore wind marketsInstalled Capacity, GW
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By 2025 offshore wind power will be truly global…
11.0
27.2
45.5
12.5
33.4
2005 2015
11.90.9
2020
+1 GW
78.9
2025
+6 GW
+8 GW
39.7
0.7
%#New marketsEurope
CAGR
33%
27%
14%
Source: Bloomberg New Energy Finance (BNEF), H2 2016 offshore wind market outlook
What have we learnt as a company?
Risk
International
Innovation
Efficiency
Safety
Ambition