DisasterTech Presentation @ NEMA
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Transcript of DisasterTech Presentation @ NEMA
What is changing,How it is changing,
Why it matters to you.
None LotsExperience
ScaredFoolish
None LotsExperience
ScaredFoolish
“We’ll save everyone with our new technology!”
Geeks:
None LotsExperience
ScaredFoolish
“We’ll save everyone with our new technology!”
“It will never work and you’ll kill everyone!”
Geeks:
Emergency Managers:
None LotsExperience
ScaredFoolish
“OMG No! It won’t work and it will kill everyone!”
“We’ll save everyone with your new technology!”
Geeks:
Emergency Managers:
“the future is here, it’s just not widely distributed yet”
-William Gibson
What is changing...
“Web 2.0”
define:
“Web 2.0”the set of economic, social, and technology trends that form the basis for
the next generation of the Internet,
characterized by user participation, openness, and network effects.
Web 2.0 is not a product, company, or standard.
(you can’t buy, download, or install it!)
Nothing is “Web 2.0 compliant”
There is no “Web 3.0”
define:
“Web 2.0”the set of economic, social, and technology trends that form the basis for
the next generation of the Internet,
characterized by user participation, openness, and network effects.
How it is changing...
Los Angles Earthquake
http://twitter.com/thevixy/statuses/871799064
http://twitter.com/MissRFTC/statuses/871803775
11:42
11:44
11:41 5.4 Earthquake
define:
twitterTwitter is a website that allows people to instantly share short (140 char) messages using cellphones & computers.
Pattern: Disaster Tech Innovation
1.Disaster
2.Ad-Hoc Adaptation
3.Championship
4.Iterative Improvement
Ad-Hoc Adaptation:
Nate Ritter’s Twitters
http://twitter.com/nateritterhttp://twitter.com/nateritter
Ad-hoc Adaptation:
American Red Cross
http://twitter.com/redcross
Champion: InSTEDD - SMS
Iteration: InSTEDD
Collaborating with traditional EM and Humanitarian agencies to build new tools.
Others experimenting as well.
Boxing Day Tsunami
225,000 Dead
Boxing Day Tsunami
225,000 Deaths
Preventable with effective evacuation.
Ad-Hoc Adaptation:
JRC Tsunami Model
1.USGS GeoRSS earthquake feed
2.EU Commission lightweight tsunami propagation model
3.GeoRSS polygons republished
Ad-Hoc Adaptation:
JRC Tsunami Model
Champion:
GDACS: Global Disaster Alert & Coordination System
http://www.gdacs.org
Iteration:
Pending.
Will these technologies save lives?We won’t know until they do... or don’t.
anti-pattern
Anti-Pattern
1.Disaster
2.Ad-Hoc Adaptation
3.Championship
4.Iterative Improvement
Ad-hoc Adaptation:
Tenacious SearchDistributed analysis of imagery for Search & RescueImages put into Amazon.com’s Mechanical Turk crowdsourcing tool.Possible hits sent to experts for review.
Source: http://www.wired.com/techbiz/people/magazine/15-08/ff_jimgray_lost
Champion:
none.
Public now believes that this is easily repeatable.
Iteration:
Steve Fossett SearchInadequate training for volunteers.Many false positives.People called SAR teams directly which hindered search.
Anti-Pattern“In hindsight, I wish it hadn’t been there, because it didn’t produce a darn thing that was productive except for being a giant black hole for energy, time and resources. There may come a day when this technology is capable of doing what it says it can deliver, but boy, that’s not now.”
- Maj. Cynthia Ryan
http://www.humanitarian.info/2007/11/08/the-perils-of-the-distributed-approach/
New Champions: InternetSAR
New Champions: InternetSAR“ABSOLUTELY UNDER NO CIRCUMSTANCES are InternetSAR.org participants to report objects found in imagery we provide directly to search authorities. [...] The reason for this policy is that our systems are set up to manage and filter reports for search teams and those who bypass our reporting system can actually impede the efforts of search teams.”
Why it matters to you...
http://crescentmaps.org/hurricanes/
