Disaster Risk Reduction General concepts
description
Transcript of Disaster Risk Reduction General concepts
Disaster Risk Reduction General concepts
REPUBLICOF MACEDONIAPR
OTEC
TION
AN
DRESCUE
DIRECTORATE
Vlatko Jovanovski,MDMaProtection and Rescue Directorate
ul.Vasko Karangeleski 8, 1000 [email protected]
+389 75 457 538
Content
• Disaster risk reduction– Evolution– Core elements
• DRR challenges– Climate change– Urbanization– Information management
• Conclusion
DRR a moving agendaInternational Decade on Natural Disaster Reduction
1990-1999
1994
Yokohama Strategy – World Conference on Disaster Risk Reduction
United Nations International Strategy for Disaster Reduction(UNISDR)
2000
2005
World Conferenceon Disaster Risk Reduction - Kobe
Global Platform for DRR
2007
Hyogo Framework for Action 2005 - 2015
• Make DRR national priority; • Identification, assessment and monitoring
of disaster risks; • Using knowledge and innovation for DRR; • Reducing underlying factors and • Strengthening preparedness capacities.
DRR definition
“The conceptual framework of elements considered with the possibilities to minimize
vulnerabilities and disaster risks throughout a society, to avoid (prevention) or to limit
(mitigation and preparedness) the adverse impacts of hazards, within the broad context of
sustainable development.”
Source UNISDR,2009
Disasters as social constructions
Pakistan floods, 2010 Haiti earthquake, 2010
Hurricane Katrina, 2005 Great East Japan earthquake,2010
Iceland volcanic erruption,2010
Disaster Management (DM)
Disaster Risk Reduction Resp Rec.
Risk Assessment
Prevention Mitigation Preparedness
Risk Analysis
Risk Eval.
Conceptual framework for DM
Sustainable development
Another Risk Model
Concept of Risk
Risk(R)
HAZARD(H)
VULNERABILITY(V)
DISASTER
Modified from C.Wamsler, Lund Univerisity 2012
Risk Assessment• Answers the questions:
– What can happen?– How likely is that to happen?– What will the consequences be?
• Challenges– Risk perception– Time– Agent– Multi-hazard
Risk assessment products
TsunamiGeographic
extent
Large
Small
Scenario 2
Scenario 1
Early warning system
successful?
No
Yes
Scenario 4
Scenario 3
Early warning system
successful?
No
Yes
Risk assessment outcomes
Source:I.Davis,2012
Challenges
• Urbanization– More than half of the world’s current population lives in cities– By the year 2015 there are expected to be 60 megacities in the
world, each with a population of 10 million or more people– High concentrations of resources and people within cities also
mean that the economic social, and environmental costs of extreme events are high in urban areas
,
Challenges
• Climate change– increase the frequency and magnitude of
many types of extreme events, including floods, droughts, tropical cyclones and wildfires
– change the nature of many types of hazards– may lead to relocation within and between
countries
Challenges
• Digital era– Number of cell phone users is bigger than the
total world population– Use of social media in disaster management
“The difficulty in securing andmaintaining resources for disasterrisk reduction is that if it issuccessful, nothing happens andnobody knows about it”
John Tomblin,1988