Predictions for 2020:

Machine LearningSteffen Wenz, CTO TrustYou

steffen@trustyou.net

Experts agree: Full/strong AI by end of the century● Intelligence explosion, “technological singularity”● Nick Bostrom: Superintelligence: Paths, Dangers,

Strategies

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Disruptions on the labor market● Industrialization diminished physical jobs. What will

smart machines do to thinking/creative jobs?● “Humans need not apply” (YouTube)● The end of capitalism?

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Deep Learning● Revival of neural networks with more computing power?● Representation learning

→ No more feature modeling● Learn from lots of unlabeled data

→ Less/no reliance on labeling data by humans

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“Google’s Artificial Brain Learns to Find Cat Videos”

“A picture is worth a thousand (coherent) words” (2014)

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Deep learning out of the box with open source!● Caffe (Berkeley Vision Group)● TensorFlow (Google)● … ● Integration with big data frameworks

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↝ Deep learning conquers more fields, outperforms ML methods that rely on human expertise○ Medicine, genetics!

↝ Smart assistants, limited to a certain domain,part of everyday life (self-driving cars!)

↝ Dialog-style interaction with computers↝ Resistance movements to technological unemployment

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● Warning, these are predictions made by humans!● “People are biased to predict AI twenty years in the

future, or just before their own deaths”● AI predictions from the 60s, followed by AI winter

2012 2016 2020 2035 2100 ?

Thank you!

Steffen Wenz, CTO TrustYousteffen@trustyou.netwww.trustyou.com