Development of Congestion Management Process Using A Travel Demand Forecasting Model

Development of Congestion Management Process Using A Travel Demand Forecasting Model

Huey P. Dugas

TRB Planning Applications ConferenceReno, NevadaMay 11, 2011

Causes of Congestion

M&O in Context of Metropolitan Transportation Planning RequirementsM&O in Context of Metropolitan Transportation Planning Requirements

Iberville

Tangipahoa

Livingston

Washington

Pointe Coupee

St. HelenaEast Feliciana

West Feliciana

East Baton Rouge

Ascension

West Baton Rouge

1 Re giona l Planning

Commission Or elans

2 Capital Region

Planning Commis sion

3 South Central

Planning and Dev C ommission

8 North De lta Regional

Planning Commisson

7The Coordinat ing and Development

Cor poration

6 Kisatchie- Delta

Regional Planning and Developme nt

5 Imper ial Calcasie u

Regional Planning and Deve lopmentCommission

4Acadiana Regional Development District

MPO Part of Capital Region Planning Commission

384Text Pages 65 Maps (Graphics)449 Total Pages

www.crpc-la.org

Model Trips by Purpose

TRIP PURPOSE 2009 2012 2022 2032 APR

HBW 433,515 449,359 471,938 510,074 0.71%HBO 1,141,594 1,182,518 1,241,813 1,342,283 0.70%NHBW 415,458 430,373 453,165 490,761 0.72%NHBO 572,839 597,062 641,252 703,935 0.90%CV 243,739 254,647 275,157 303,893 0.96%EI 216,272 234,696 282,218 331,220 1.85%HBS 165,394 171,361 179,871 194,381 0.70%EE 37,190 40,305 48,484 56,691 1.83%TOTAL 3,226,001 3,360,321 3,593,898 3,933,238 0.86%

Population 687,294 711,840 747,889 808,906 0.71%Trips/Pop 4.69377 4.72061 4.80539 4.86242 0.15%n


TRIP PURPOSE 2009 2012 2022 2032 APR


Population 687,294 711,840 747,889 808,906 0.71%Trips/Pop 4.69377 4.72061 4.80539 4.86242 0.15%


TRIP PURPOSE 2009 2012 2022 2032 APR


Population 687,294 711,840 747,889 808,906 0.71%Trips/Pop 4.69377 4.72061 4.80539 4.86242 0.15%

HBW + NHBW Trips in 2009 = 26.3%

Federal Regulations: Congestion Management Process (CMP)

http://crpc-la.org/crpc_new/Documents/CMP/CMP_2010.pdf

Congested Segments by Functional Class

FACILITY TYPE FUNC_CLASS Segment

Count Length (Miles)

Interstate Rural 1 - -

Urban 11 22 127.7 Principal Arterial

Rural 2 1 9

Urban 14 61 201.10 Minor

Arterial Rural 6 1 3.19

Urban 16 62 175.03

Collector Rural Major 7 5 21.85

Rural Minor 8 - -

Urban 17 16 37.72

Local Rural 9 - -

Urban 19 5 6.76

Grand Total 173 586.4

CMP Corridor Map

CMS SEG_ID Length Name From Street To Street Parish Volume V/C Rank Delay Rank FC Rank Crash Rank Total Rank

Local Priority (A, B or C) CMP Strategies Comments TIP/ LRTP

211 1.12 4-H Club Road Vincent Rd US 190 LIV 11674 70 98 63 8 239 A149 1.38 Acadian Thruway Perkins Rd Clay Cut Rd EBR 30701 57 13 63 28 161 C 5.1

35 2.85 Airline Highway Florida Blvd I-12 EBR 42753 20 2 29 47 98 A TIP(P),Stage I, Stage III(P)37 2.15 Airline Highway I-12 Siegen Ln EBR 51920 14 3 29 57 103 A Stage I(P)31 4.12 Airline Highway I-110 Greenwell Springs Rd EBR 34958 27 8 29 56 120 A Stage III33 1.89 Airline Highway Greenwell Springs Rd Florida Blvd EBR 30874 55 11 29 50 145 A TIP(P), Stage I(P), Stage III39 5.47 Airline Highway Siegen Ln ASC Parish Line EBR 41203 16 20 29 81 146 A 2.1,2.4,5.1

317 4.71 Airline Hwy ASC Parish Line Germany Rd ASC 39385 26 28 29 61 144 A319 3.86 Airline Hwy Germany Rd Church Point Rd ASC 30305 59 59 29 64 211 A 5.1235 2.73 Arnold Road Linder Rd Duff Rd LIV 11591 73 111 63 80 327 C287 1.91 Barringer-Foreman Road Highland Rd Jefferson Hwy EBR 10051 91 104 101 71 367 B 2.4

73 1.91 Bluebonnet Boulevard I-10 Airline Hwy EBR 36721 19 12 29 41 101 C 2.7141 2.76 Bluebonnet Boulevard I-10 Highland Rd EBR 33680 67 31 29 44 171 A 5.1(Perkins-MD #3)289 0.81 Brentwood Drive Jefferson Hwy Old Hammond Hwy EBR 10068 90 91 114 115 410 C 2.7163 1.27 Brightside Drive Nicholson Dr 1.27 Mi West of Nicholson Dr EBR 12391 58 83 101 30 272 C Stage II167 7.22 Burbank Drive W Parker Blvd Highland Rd EBR 30352 2 48 29 109 188 A Stage II261 2.92 Burgess Avenue US 190 LA 447 LIV 9696 99 110 102 40 351 C105 1.15 Cedarcrest Ave Coursey Blvd Old Hammond Hwy EBR 17931 41 15 63 75 194 B Stage II

97 4.05 Central Thruway Florida Blvd Sullivan Rd EBR 15242 28 116 63 116 323 A 5.2171 1.35 Clay Cut Road Acadian Thruway Jefferson Hwy EBR 11036 78 99 101 74 352 B 2.4 Turn Lanes247 0.83 Cockerham Road Hatchell Ln LA 1026 LIV 10837 81 103 63 6 253 B147 1.90 College Drive Perkins Rd Jefferson Hwy EBR 34268 10 6 29 7 52 A 2.4,2.5,5.1 Signal Upgrade137 1.33 Coursey Boulevard Airline Hwy Sherwood Forest Blvd EBR 37025 17 14 29 24 84 B 2.2 Superstreets119 2.15 Coursey Boulevard Sherwood Forest Blvd Jones Creek Rd EBR 28556 70 21 63 48 202 C 2.2 Superstreets153 1.44 Dalrymple Drive Highland Rd I-10 EBR 23048 1 1 63 12 77 A 2.1,2.4,2.7291 1.03 Drusilla Lane Jefferson Hwy Old Hammond Hwy EBR 18549 35 56 63 54 208 B Turn Lanes325 0.10 E Roosevelt St Highland Rd Thomas H Delpit Dr EBR 13826 33 36 101 4 174 C 2.4,3.3313 0.45 E Washington Street Thomas Delpit Dr Park Blvd EBR 12881 83 70 114 1 268 B 2.1,2.7,4.18 Already Widened

71 1.88 Essen Lane Perkins Rd Jefferson Hwy EBR 48865 5 4 29 33 71 C265 2.57 Florida Avenue LIV Parish Line S Range Ave LIV 28483 72 22 29 16 139 A TIP (P),Stage II(P)229 5.74 Florida Avenue S Range Ave LA 447 LIV 17970 93 74 63 10 240 B Stage I(P), Stage III

47 2.65 Florida Boulevard Airline Hwy Sherwood Forest Blvd EBR 26940 39 23 29 25 116 A Superstreets49 4.15 Florida Boulevard Sherwood Forest Blvd LIV Parish Line EBR 29023 66 33 29 69 197 C 2.2,2.4 Stage III(P)45 2.87 Florida Boulevard S Foster Dr Airline Hwy EBR 36107 81 34 29 59 203 B43 1.61 Florida Boulevard N 22nd St S Foster Dr EBR 20263 111 84 29 21 245 A 2.1,2.7,4.18

169 0.90 Gardere Lane Highland Rd G.S.R.I Rd EBR 12867 50 89 101 9 249 B 2.4,5.1 Stage I(P)117 1.89 George O'Neal Rd Jones Creek Rd Woodlake Dr EBR 18013 84 78 114 76 352 C All Signals Rebuilt 273 4.14 Goodwood Boulevard E Airport Dr S Flannery Rd EBR 17525 99 72 101 70 342 A TIP(P)

63 3.31 Government Street Saint Ferdinand Street Jefferson Hwy EBR 20233 100 80 29 18 227 B Stage II(P)99 5.76 Greenwell Springs Road Sherwood Forest Blvd Magnolia Bridge Rd EBR 28341 8 25 29 95 157 A Superstreets61 5.26 Greenwell Springs Road N Foster Rd Sherwood Forest Blvd EBR 27984 75 35 29 78 217 C 2.293 2.12 Greenwell Springs Road Hooper Rd LA 37 EBR 14777 21 76 29 108 234 B 2.4,5.1

277 2.74 Greenwell Street Airline Hwy Joor Rd EBR 13211 102 108 63 34 307 B 2.4 Superstreets267 1.49 Harding Boulevard I-110 Plank Rd EBR 13723 116 74 63 2 255 A 2.2,5.1225 1.17 Hatchell Lane US 190 LA 1030 LIV 15024 31 60 63 3 157 A Turn Lanes139 3.67 Highland Rd Stanford Ave Staring Lane EBR 14802 44 65 63 42 214 B 3.3 Stage I131 2.03 Highland Road Perkins Rd Jefferson Hwy EBR 29229 6 24 29 36 95 A157 2.61 Highland Road Terrace Ave Stanford Ave EBR 17395 31 26 63 5 125 A 3.3,5.1 Turn Lanes165 6.03 Highland Road Staring Lane Perkins Rd EBR 14618 32 68 63 66 229 B Stage II(P),Stage III(P)

89 9.94 Hooper Road Plank Rd Greenwell Springs Rd EBR 20025 52 69 63 82 266 C TIP259 14.94 I-10 ASC Parish Line LA 22 ASC 26426 93 85 7 89 274 A 5.1,4.5 LaDOTD

5 5.26 I-10 (EB) I-110 I-10/I-12 Split EBR 52189 23 7 7 65 102 A TIP(P),Stage I(P)4 1.86 I-10 (EB) EBR Parish Line I-110 EBR 32438 34 45 7 105 191 B 2.97 9.99 I-10 (EB) I-10/I-12 Split ASC Parish Line EBR 31106 53 37 7 92 189 A TIP1 3.82 I-10 (EB) Lobdell Hwy EBR Parish Line WBR 28351 29 40 7 45 121 A 5.1,2.3,4.12 TIP(P), Stage I(P)

Segment Rankings and Prioritization Process

Congestion Management Process Corridor Map – Dataview (Partial)

Crash Rate Estimation

Crash Rate (Rse) Formula

Rse = {(A)(1,000,000)} / {(365)(T)(V)(L)}

where:

Rse = Crash Rate of Section of Exposure in accidents per million vehicle miles of travel (ACC/MVM)

A = Total number of accidents on the roadway section for the analysis period

T = Time period of the study (in years or fraction of years)

V = Average Annual Daily Traffic (AADT) during the study period

L = Length of section in miles

Thematic Map of Volumes with 2008 Crash Data

CMP Criteria for Implementation

Criteria Selecting Prioritizing Congested Segments

– Congestion/Delay in Time (Daily Delay Vehicle – Hour per Mile of Segment)

– Transit, e.g., Does Identified segment have transit service?

– Safety (Number of Crashes in 2008 on a Segment)

– Projects Planned in TIP

– Projects in Long Range Transportation Plan

– Local Priorities

Local Input Priorities & Strategies– Ascension Parish

Example of Local Input - East Baton Rouge Parish

CMS CEG_ID Length Name From Street To Street Parish FC FC Rank Crash_08 Crash Rate Crash Rank Total Rank

Local Priority (A, B or C)

Traffic Engineering CMP Strategies Comments

147 1.90 College Drive Perkins Rd Jefferson Hwy EBR 14 16 224 9.44 9 43 A A 2.4, 2.5, 5.1, Signal Upgrade153 1.44 Dalrymple Drive Highland Rd I-10 EBR 16 62 81 6.67 15 79 A A 2.1,2.4, 2.7

53 2.52 Siegen Lane Perkins Rd Airline Hwy EBR 14 16 296 6.58 16 92 A A 2.7, 4.10. GLP281 0.26 W Parker Blvd Burbank Dr Highland Rd EBR 16 62 17 11.29 6 107 A A 2.6, 3.3157 2.61 Highland Road Terrace Ave Stanford Ave EBR 16 62 187 11.27 7 129 A A 3.3, 5.1

39 5.47 Airline Highway Siegen Ln ASC Parish Line EBR 14 16 193 2.34 81 138 A A 2.1, 2.4, 5.1141 2.76 Bluebonnet Boulevard I-10 Highland Rd EBR 14 16 135 3.98 46 167 B A 5.1 (Perkins-MD # 3)133 3.11 Perkins Road Siegen Ln Highland Rd EBR 14 16 37 1.81 94 182 B A 5.1283 0.35 W Lake Shore Drive Stanford Ave W Parker Blvd EBR 17 103 17 9.79 8 196 B A Straighten Road

43 1.61 Florida Boulevard N 22nd St S Foster Dr EBR 14 16 74 6.21 22 247 B A 2.1, 2.7, 4.1823 0.97 N 22nd Street Government St I-110 EBR 14 16 45 6.30 21 252 B A 2.1, 2.4,

127 1.25 Perkins Road Highland Rd ASC Parish Line EBR 19 113 6 0.75 113 262 B A 5.1267 1.49 Harding Boulevard I-110 Plank Rd EBR 16 62 134 17.94 3 272 B A 2.2, 5.1 Super Streets175 0.83 S Choctaw Drive Lobdell Ave Airline Hwy EBR 16 62 14 4.61 36 300 B A 2.1,, 2.7 Turn Lanes

97 4.05 Central Thruway Florida Blvd Sullivan Rd EBR 16 62 3 0.13 116 323 C A 5.2 GLP

15 3.48 I-12 (EB) I-10/I-12 Split Airline Hwy EBR 11 1 41 0.79111 240 B A

Already Widened DOTD

295 1.46 Old Hammond Highway Airline Hwy Sherwood Forest Blvd EBR 14 16 51 4.1843 242 B A

Already Widened DOTD

83 10.94 US 61 I-110 Port Hudson - Plains Rd EBR 14 16 93 0.75 112 270 B A State Widenining311 2.06 River Road South Blvd Choctaw Dr EBR 14 16 11 0.96 109 344 C A 2.7 SignalsAll Rebuilt

273 4.14 Goodwood Boulevard E Airport Dr S Flannery Rd EBR 17 103 72 2.7269 358 C A

SignalsAll Rebuilt Phase III, IV

143 0.97 Kenilworth Parkway Perkins Rd 0.97 Mi South of Perkins Rd EBR 16 62 9 1.74 99 248 C A 5.2 Extend to OLOL4 1.86 I-10 (EB) EBR Parish Line I-110 EBR 11 1 30 1.36 103 188 B B 2.9 LaDOTD

151 1.70 Stanford Avenue Highland Rd Perkins Rd EBR 16 62 40 2.38 79 194 B B 2.4 Turn Lanes25 3.30 Plank Road I-110 Airline Hwy EBR 14 16 173 6.52 18 220 B B 2.7 Phase VI

139 3.67 Highland Rd Stanford Ave Staring Lane EBR 16 62 80 4.04 45 225 B B 3.3 Turn lanes165 6.03 Highland Road Staring Lane Perkins Rd EBR 16 62 92 2.86 66 237 B B Turn Lanes

93 2.12 Greenwell Springs Road Hooper Rd LA 37 EBR 14 16 15 1.31 105 237 B B 2.4, 5.1107 0.94 Monterey Drive S Choctaw Dr Greenwell Springs Rd EBR 16 62 10 1.83 92 238 B B 4.18 Detectors125 1.84 Jefferson Highway Highland Rd ASC Parish Line EBR 16 62 32 3.62 53 259 B B 2.4, 2.7, 5.1

51 3.04 Mickens Road Joor Rd Hooper Rd EBR 16 62 52 3.46 56 260 B B 2.4169 0.90 Gardere Lane Highland Rd G.S.R.I Rd EBR 17 103 34 8.06 10 266 B B 2.4, 5.1155 0.65 Thomas H. Delpit Drive E Washington St Highland Rd EBR 16 62 10 3.85 48 277 B B 2.4313 0.45 E Washington Street Thomas Delpit Dr Park Blvd EBR 19 113 39 18.43 2 283 B B 2.1, 2.7,4.18277 2.74 Greenwell Street Airline Hwy Joor Rd EBR 16 62 62 4.69 34 309 B B 2.4

91 5.83 Joor Road Hooper Rd LA 64 EBR 16 62 47 1.77 97 328 C B ???315 0.52 Terrace Avenue Nicholson Dr I-10 EBR 17 103 12 6.40 19 332 C B 2.4171 1.35 Clay Cut Road Acadian Thruway Jefferson Hwy EBR 17 103 14 2.58 71 358 C B 2.4 Turn Lanes287 1.91 Barringer-Foreman Road Highland Rd Jefferson Hwy EBR 17 103 19 2.72 70 373 C B 2.4 Turn Lanes137 1.33 Coursey Boulevard Airline Hwy Sherwood Forest Blvd EBR 14 16 104 5.79 26 78 A B 2.2 Superstreets279 1.62 Park Boulevard I-10 Florida Blvd EBR 16 62 42 5.92 24 243 B C123 3.82 Jefferson Highway Airline Hwy Highland Rd EBR 16 62 72 2.41 77 258 B C149 1.38 Acadian Thruway Perkins Rd Clay Cut Rd EBR 16 62 80 5.16 28 165 B C 5.1 Phase IV

71 1.88 Essen Lane Perkins Rd Jefferson Hwy EBR 14 16 158 4.7233 58 A C

Already Widened by LaDOTD

73 1.91 Bluebonnet Boulevard I-10 Airline Hwy EBR 14 16 104 4.06 44 94 A C 2.7251 0.26 St Louis Street South Blvd Government St EBR 14 16 15 11.46 4 114 A C 2.5

77 2.46 Nicholson Drive South Blvd Burbank Dr EBR 14 16 70 2.07 88 126 A C 4.18 A177 4.72 Perkins Road Park Blvd Essen Ln EBR 14 16 153 3.79 49 149 A C 3.3325 0.10 E Roosevelt St Highland Rd Thomas H Delpit Dr EBR 17 103 6 11.43 5 182 B C 2.4, 3.3, Turn Lanes

49 4.15 Florida Boulevard Sherwood Forest Blvd LIV Parish Line EBR 14 16 121 2.75 68 190 B C 2.2, 2.4 SuperStreet65 2.94 Jefferson Highway Government St Essen Ln EBR 14 16 77 2.32 84 190 B C 2.1,2.7 DOA Project

Example of Local Input - East Baton Rouge Parish

Introduction to and Update on Unconventional Intersections and Interchanges

Joseph E. Hummer, Ph.D., P.E.Professor of Civil EngineeringRaleigh, NCTelephone 919-515-7733Email [email protected] LA Planning Council, March 30, 2010

Superstreet

Advantages of ‘Superstreet’ (Conceptual)

Referred to as Michigan Left, since used in Detroit for decades

Used on Arterials w/ Heavy Traffic Compared to Cross Streets

Cross Street Traffic Takes Right Turn at Intersection, Then U-Turn and Right Turn

Cross Traffic Choosing Left on Sherwood, Follows Same Path but Remains on Sherwood

Traffic Signal Phasing Reduced to 2 Phases (1 for Protected Left/Right Movements) at U-turn Crossovers and Cross Street Intersections, and 1 for Thru Movement

Advantages of ‘Superstreet’ – (Benefits)

Superstreet eliminates cross-traffic on Principal Arterial

Allows longer Green Times for Thru Traffic on Principal Arterial

So Higher Volumes Get Through During Each Cycle

Appears Counter Intuitive but Reduces Congestion

Some Commute Times have shown reductions by 50%

Increases safety by reducing the number of conflict points from 32 (conventional intersection) to 14 (super street).

http://www.texashighwayman.com/us281ss.shtml

Superstreet Advantages

Advantage Urban? Rural?

Safety Maybe √

Progression √

Capacity √

Pedestrians √

Superstreet Advantages

Perfect two-way progression at any speed with any signal spacing! Install signals anywhere You set progression speed

Pedestrians

Safe, controlled Slow, two-stage Could offset vehicles to align pedestrians Could place midblock ped signals almost

anywhere Could easily prohibit RTOR

Main street Side street

Pedestrians

Ascension East Baton Rouge

Livingston W. Baton Rouge

Vicinity Maps of Priority ‘A’ Segments

Next Steps

Priority ‘A’ Segments Eligible for Stage 0 Studies

Incorporate Priority Segments in Next Long Range Plan Update

Monitor Strategy Effectiveness

Re-evaluate CMP Process (Objectives, Network, Segments and Strategies

Process Limitations Proposed Projects

LA 1/I-10 Connector

LA 1/I-10 Connector

LA 1 Hwy 4 Lane Divided North South Direction

Connects Mississippi River Bridge on Interstate 10 to Chemical Plants South

Large Commute Pattern for Work Trips

Intracoastal Canal Bridge Near I-10 Bridge Problems of Age, Capacity, Repairs, Maintenance and Accidents (No Detour)

3 Mile New Route Designed as Toll Road

Use Private-Public Partnership as Revenue Source

Design Build Proposal

Completing Investment Grade Study

Approved Environmental Study

Modeling Shows 4 Lanes Justified

No. Year Gross Toll Cumulative ADT

0 2012 1,373,700 1,373,700 7,045

1 2013 1,646,200 3,019,900 8,442

2 2014 1,941,200 4,961,100 9,955 Need 4 Lanes before 11,000 (after 2.35 yrs)

3 2015 2,254,900 7,216,000 11,564

4 2016 2,605,300 9,821,300 13,361

5 2017 2,969,400 12,790,700 15,228

6 2018 3,169,900 15,960,600 16,256

7 2019 3,371,900 19,332,500 17,292

8 2020 3,575,400 22,907,900 18,335

9 2021 3,780,400 26,688,300 19,387

10 2022 3,987,100 30,675,400 20,447

11 2023 4,126,600 34,802,000 21,162

12 2024 4,266,000 39,068,000 21,877

13 2025 4,405,500 43,473,500 22,592

14 2026 4,545,000 48,018,500 23,308

15 2027 4,684,500 52,703,000 24,023

16 2028 4,823,900 57,526,900 24,738

17 2029 4,963,400 62,490,300 25,453

18 2030 5,102,900 67,593,200 26,169

19 2031 5,242,400 72,835,600 26,884 Need 6 Lanes before 27,000 (after 19 years)

20 2032 5,381,800 78,217,400 27,599

Total 78,217,400

LA 1 Connector Toll Facility

2001 WBR Conducted Feasibility Study to Build New Road to Connect LA 415 at I-10 and LA 1

DOTD Contracted to Conduct Alignment Analysis and Environmental Study

Environmental Study Concluded with FONSI

Immediately Contacted by Private Investors for Concession to Build as Tolled Project

Need Driven by Detour and Evacuation Route for Traffic South of I-10

Alternative Route for Local and Regional Traffic During Peak Periods

Detour Traffic for Maintenance/Repairs/Accidents Existing LA 1 Intracoastal Bridge

Serves Demand for Trucks to Intermodal Facilities at Baton Rouge Port and Operations on Northline Road

Project Description

Decision to Build Toll Facility Through Public Private Partnership

Local Toll Authority (TA) Created

Articles of Incorporation Adopted and Filed w/ Secretary of State

Bylaws Adopted at TA’s Organizational Meeting

TA Receiving $5mil from State Legislature to Prepare Prelim Design

Prelim Design Plans Used to Purchase Right-of-Way on Three Parcels

TA Advertise and Select Private Investor on Completion of Preliminary Design

Private Investors To Contract for Preparation Final Design and Construction

TA and PP to Contract for Operation and Maintenance of Road and Toll Operations

Current Status

Development of Congestion Management Process Using A Travel Demand Forecasting Model

Huey P. Dugas

TRB Planning Applications ConferenceReno, NevadaMay 11, 2011

Development of Congestion Management Process Using A Travel Demand Forecasting Model

Documents

Transcript of Development of Congestion Management Process Using A Travel Demand Forecasting Model