Dairy Economics: Feeding Milk Quality, and Management 2014 ISDA Annual Meeting ...

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University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign Dairy Economics: Feeding Milk Quality, and Management 2014 ISDA Annual Meeting January 3 rd – Waverly, Iowa

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Dairy Economics: Feeding Milk Quality, and Management 2014 ISDA Annual Meeting January 3 rd – Waverly, Iowa. “Profit Potential”. Time To Vote for 2014. Milk prices < $20/ cwt or > $20/ cwt Corn prices $4.25a bushel - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Transcript of Dairy Economics: Feeding Milk Quality, and Management 2014 ISDA Annual Meeting ...

Page 1: Dairy Economics:  Feeding Milk Quality, and Management 2014 ISDA Annual Meeting                                      January 3 rd  – Waverly, Iowa

University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign

Dairy Economics: Feeding Milk Quality, and Management2014 ISDA Annual Meeting January 3rd – Waverly, Iowa

Page 2: Dairy Economics:  Feeding Milk Quality, and Management 2014 ISDA Annual Meeting                                      January 3 rd  – Waverly, Iowa

University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign

“Profit Potential”

Page 3: Dairy Economics:  Feeding Milk Quality, and Management 2014 ISDA Annual Meeting                                      January 3 rd  – Waverly, Iowa

University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign

Time To Vote for 2014• Milk prices

– < $20/cwt or > $20/cwt

• Corn prices– <$4.25 a bushel or > $4.25a bushel

• Soybean meal prices– <$450 a ton or > $450 a ton

Page 4: Dairy Economics:  Feeding Milk Quality, and Management 2014 ISDA Annual Meeting                                      January 3 rd  – Waverly, Iowa

University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign

Looking Ahead to 2014 Prices(Dec 20, 2013, CME Futures)

Month Milk Corn SB Meal

(cwt) (bu) (ton)

Jan, 2014 $19.45 $4.30 $429

March, 2014 $18.55 $4.38 $419

May, 2014 $18.01 $4.45 $411

Page 5: Dairy Economics:  Feeding Milk Quality, and Management 2014 ISDA Annual Meeting                                      January 3 rd  – Waverly, Iowa

University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign

1980 1983 1986 1989 1992 1995 1998 2001 2004 2007 2010 2013$0.00

$5.00

$10.00

$15.00

$20.00

$25.00

Milk ($/cwt) Corn ($/bu) Soybeans ($/bu)

Historical US Average Farm Price Received

http://farmdoc.illinois.edu/manage/uspricehistory/us_price_history.html

Page 6: Dairy Economics:  Feeding Milk Quality, and Management 2014 ISDA Annual Meeting                                      January 3 rd  – Waverly, Iowa

University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign

The 2013 Crop Year• Over 1.7 million acres of alfalfa winter killed

• Wet spring delayed corn planting, replacing alfalfa, and cutting alfalfa

• Dry areas in August, and September

• Killing frost in mid-September in some areas

• Green immature corn in October

Page 7: Dairy Economics:  Feeding Milk Quality, and Management 2014 ISDA Annual Meeting                                      January 3 rd  – Waverly, Iowa

University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign

Corn Production United States

Crop Production (September 2013) USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service

Page 8: Dairy Economics:  Feeding Milk Quality, and Management 2014 ISDA Annual Meeting                                      January 3 rd  – Waverly, Iowa

University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign

Soybean Production United States

Crop Production (September 2013) USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service

Page 9: Dairy Economics:  Feeding Milk Quality, and Management 2014 ISDA Annual Meeting                                      January 3 rd  – Waverly, Iowa

University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign

Cotton Production United StatesCrop Production (September 2013) USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service

Page 10: Dairy Economics:  Feeding Milk Quality, and Management 2014 ISDA Annual Meeting                                      January 3 rd  – Waverly, Iowa

University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign

• Forage update from 2013• Feeding economics in 2014• Building your milk check• Economic feed prices• Management factors: Additives, grouping,

heifer costs, and “free feed”

Today’s Program

Page 11: Dairy Economics:  Feeding Milk Quality, and Management 2014 ISDA Annual Meeting                                      January 3 rd  – Waverly, Iowa

University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign

Page 12: Dairy Economics:  Feeding Milk Quality, and Management 2014 ISDA Annual Meeting                                      January 3 rd  – Waverly, Iowa

University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign

Page 13: Dairy Economics:  Feeding Milk Quality, and Management 2014 ISDA Annual Meeting                                      January 3 rd  – Waverly, Iowa

University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign

Got Milk?

Page 14: Dairy Economics:  Feeding Milk Quality, and Management 2014 ISDA Annual Meeting                                      January 3 rd  – Waverly, Iowa

University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign

Take Home Message #1

ForageAvailability

Page 15: Dairy Economics:  Feeding Milk Quality, and Management 2014 ISDA Annual Meeting                                      January 3 rd  – Waverly, Iowa

University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign

Avoiding the Forage Cliff

Page 16: Dairy Economics:  Feeding Milk Quality, and Management 2014 ISDA Annual Meeting                                      January 3 rd  – Waverly, Iowa

University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign

Page 17: Dairy Economics:  Feeding Milk Quality, and Management 2014 ISDA Annual Meeting                                      January 3 rd  – Waverly, Iowa

University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign

Forage Inventory• No carry over of

corn silage from 2013

• Limited amounts of 1st cutting legume/grass forages

Page 18: Dairy Economics:  Feeding Milk Quality, and Management 2014 ISDA Annual Meeting                                      January 3 rd  – Waverly, Iowa

University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign

Forage Quality• Late planted corn silage

results in grass rather than starch

• Delayed harvest of first crop due to wet conditions and cool weather

Page 19: Dairy Economics:  Feeding Milk Quality, and Management 2014 ISDA Annual Meeting                                      January 3 rd  – Waverly, Iowa

University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign

Hay/Haylage (Rock River Lab)Nutrient 2011 2012 2013 (fresh)

Protein (%) 18.8 19.4 17.9

NDF(%) 45.8 44.1 47.6

Lignin 8.5 5.9 6.29

NDFD-30 hr 43.0 40.4 38.1

TTNDFD 48.4 44.7 42.6

Page 20: Dairy Economics:  Feeding Milk Quality, and Management 2014 ISDA Annual Meeting                                      January 3 rd  – Waverly, Iowa

University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign

Corn Silage (Rock River Lab)

Nutrient 2011 2012 2013 (fresh)

DM (%) 33.5 40.7 37.2

Protein (%) 9.0 8.1 7.8

NDF(%) 50.9 43.9 48.1

Starch 24.5 11.6 26.7

Page 21: Dairy Economics:  Feeding Milk Quality, and Management 2014 ISDA Annual Meeting                                      January 3 rd  – Waverly, Iowa

University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign

Fuzzy Cottonseed Status• Reduced acreage

• In the drought area

• Prices are up $50 a ton

Page 22: Dairy Economics:  Feeding Milk Quality, and Management 2014 ISDA Annual Meeting                                      January 3 rd  – Waverly, Iowa

University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign

Forage Inventory Today• Plan on 30 lb of DM per cow (includes 5 to

7% shrink) results in 10,950 or 5.5 tons (includes dry cows)

• Add 30% for replacement heifer

• 7 tons of forage dry matter per unit

Page 23: Dairy Economics:  Feeding Milk Quality, and Management 2014 ISDA Annual Meeting                                      January 3 rd  – Waverly, Iowa

University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign

2013 / 2014 Forage Yield DM tons /AcreSpring cereal grain (2014)

Boot stage: 1 to 2Dough stage: 3 to 4

Late planted corn silage (2013) 3 to 4

Fall cereal grain (2013) 1 to 2

Page 24: Dairy Economics:  Feeding Milk Quality, and Management 2014 ISDA Annual Meeting                                      January 3 rd  – Waverly, Iowa

University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign

Using Corn Stalks• Lactating cows

– High producing groups—1 to 2 pounds– Low producing groups—2 to 5 pounds (depending on the ration)

• Older heifers—up to 40 to 50% of DM intake• Dry cows--none• Treat corn stalks with calcium oxide (quick lime)—2 to 5%• Avoid soil contamination in corn stalks• Variable on quality depending on harvesting method

Page 25: Dairy Economics:  Feeding Milk Quality, and Management 2014 ISDA Annual Meeting                                      January 3 rd  – Waverly, Iowa

University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign

Using Straw• Milk cow rations

– Start with 0.5 lb per cow and monitor cow response– Maximum of 2 lb per cow– Processing to 1 to 2 inches in length or

1/3 in each of the Penn State box (3 box unit)– Add water

• Dry cows—up to 1/3 total DM intake (8 to 10 lb)• Older heifers—up to 40 to 50% of DM intake• Be aware of mycotoxin risks in straw