Daily Trade Journal - 11.06.2013

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    q

    q

    Today's Turnover (LKR mn)

    Annual Average Daily Turnover (LKR mn)

    Volume (mn)

    Annual Average Daily Volume (mn)

    Market Capitalization (LKR bn)

    Net Foreign Inflow / (Outflow) [LKR mn]

    - Foreign Buying (LKR mn)

    - Foreign Selling (LKR mn)

    YTD Net Foreign Inflow / (Outflow) [LKR bn]

    YTD Performance

    S&P SL 20 Index

    41.0

    213.1

    16.0

    358.6

    145.5

    Tuesday, June 11, 2013

    921.7

    % ChangePoint ChangeToday

    31.7

    750.6

    -0.59 %

    -0.39 %

    2,420.7

    ASPI

    S&P SL 20 Index

    - 37.49

    - 13.98

    6,303.79

    3,560.47

    ASPI 11.7%

    15.4%

    Level 23, East Tower, World Trade Centre,

    Colombo 01

    Tel: +94 11 727 7000,

    Fax: +94 11 727 7099

    Email: [email protected]

    CSE Diary for 11.06.2013Indices reverted to the red amidst stagnation: Bourse

    depicted a rather stagnating pattern where the early

    uptrend in the benchmark index failed to sustain as it

    fluctuated between marginal gains and losses during

    mid-day to close down 34 points. The key dividend

    players which saw considerable rallying recently; Ceylon

    Tobacco Company (-1.3%) and Chevron Lubricants

    Lanka (-5.2%) weighed negatively on the indicesoutweighing gains in John Keells Holdings, Lanka Orix

    Leasing Company and Hemas Holdings. The S&P SL20

    index adopted a similar trend as it settled at 3,562.55 (-

    11 points).John Keells Holdings dominated the turnover: Investor

    focus stayed in John Keells Holdings depicting strong on-

    board activity weighing largely on the selling side while

    off-board activity highlighted a block of 126k shares at

    LKR275.0. The counter closed with a gain of 0.8% at

    LKR275.0. United Motors Lanka added a block of 1 mn

    shares to the crossings board at LKR119.0 however on-

    board participation remained insignificant.

    Interest stayed in large banks and diversified sector:

    Sampath Bank and Commercial Bank continued to

    gather focus with their strong valuation status as they

    dipped 0.1% and 0.3% during the days trading enabling

    opportunity for further accumulation. The former saw a

    block of c.231k shares being transacted on-board at

    LKR217.0 while the latter encountered significant buying

    interest as several mid-sized blocks traded between

    LKR119.5 and LKR121.5. The BFI and diversified sectors

    collectively added 61% to the turnover. Hemas Holdings

    sustained interest with a few large blocks being picked

    between LKR36.5 and LKR37.0 while renewed interest in

    Aitken Spence was noted as two blocks totaling c.170.5k

    shares were collected on-board at LKR135.0. Some

    renewed interest was also observed in Lanka Orix

    Leasing Company.

    Retail activity extended in penny stocks: Selected retail

    favourites gathered attention amidst the consolidation

    phase of the bourse. Interest continued in Kelsey

    Developments and Nation Lanka Finance while Blue

    Diamond [Non-Voting] and FLC Holdings also saw

    notable activity.

    Indices relapsed to the red asselected heavy caps dipped

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    Statistical Look Up

    Treasury Bill (%) 07.06.2013

    8.70

    9.81

    10.85

    12.71

    Inflation (%) May-13 7.3

    8.8

    All Share Price Index q

    S&P SL20 Index q

    Turnover (LKR mn)

    Turnover (USD mn)Volume (mn shares)

    Traded Entities

    Market Capitalization (LKR bn)

    Foreign Purchases (LKR mn)

    Foreign Sales (LKR mn)

    Net Foreign Inflow (LKR mn)

    Market PER (X)

    Market PBV (X)

    Market Dividend Yield

    SECTOR INDICES

    Banks, Finance & Insurance q

    Beverage, Food & Tobacco q

    Construction & Engineering q

    Diversified p

    Healthcare q

    Hotels & Travels q

    Land & Property q

    Manufacturing q

    Plantation q

    Telecom q

    -7.66%

    2.4

    102.9

    439.0

    13,846.1

    % Change

    -0.59%2.3

    -40.40%

    17.2

    -2.55%

    -1.22%

    -2.92%

    -5.90%

    % WoW

    ChangeLast Week

    -2.26%

    -33.83%

    41.35%

    -51.46%

    541.9

    2,435.1

    26.6

    -27.65%

    -27.65%

    % WoW

    ChangeLast Week

    1,037.5

    8.2

    -1.22%

    -2.53%

    -0.59%

    Today

    213.1

    2.3

    145.5

    17.1

    6,303.8

    -0.39%

    2,420.7

    2.1

    358.6

    -9.11%

    -9.11%19.13%

    -3.69%

    5.931.7

    235

    3,560.5

    825.9

    6.5

    244

    750.6

    -0.59%

    -23.72%

    29.31%

    Week ending

    -1.35%

    36.10%

    -9.27%

    -2.26%

    -2.34%

    -2.26%

    259

    2,476.7

    6,449.7

    3,645.9

    23.3

    -2.26%

    0.00%

    470.1

    112.5

    357.6

    Change %

    6,341.3

    3,574.5

    2.1

    -0.59% 17.5

    Pre Day

    13,959.2

    19,349.3

    2,067.4

    3,571.6

    638.7

    -1.03%

    2,943.7

    2,098.9

    -0.41%

    -1.20%

    -0.29%

    0.29%

    2,912.6

    19,613.8

    663.5

    166.7 170.9-0.12%166.5

    2.1

    3,137.9

    19,117.6

    2,904.0

    2,073.4

    13,789.2

    Pre Day

    0.00%

    3 months

    6 months

    12 months

    YoY Change

    Annual Avg

    AWPLR

    Excess Liquidity (LKR 'bn) as at 11.06.2013

    Today

    -12.03

    688.2 695.2 -1.00% 708.9 -2.92%

    809.3 819.5 -1.25% 835.0 -3.07%

    3,398.2

    3,641.1

    -2.25%

    3,534.7

    624.3

    -1.90%3,198.5

    6000

    6100

    6200

    6300

    6400

    6500

    6600

    Index

    ASPI

    3400

    3450

    3500

    3550

    3600

    3650

    3700

    Index

    S&P SL20

    0.0

    10.0

    20.0

    30.0

    40.0

    50.0

    60.0

    70.0

    0

    500

    1,000

    1,500

    2,000

    2,500

    3,000

    Volume('mn)

    TurnoverLKR('mn)

    Turnover Volume

    Softlogic Equity Research Page | 2.

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    High Index Calibre USD350 Mn

    Price Gainers Price Losers

    Top 05 Performers for the Day

    JKH

    UNITED MOTORS

    SAMPATH

    HEMAS HOLDINGS

    COMMERCIAL BANK

    Most Active

    Close

    275.00

    972.00

    274.50

    989.00

    167.00

    135.00

    706.20

    9.00

    Volume (mn)

    0.1%

    Turnover

    (LKR)

    4.6%

    143,832,087

    40,445,300

    32,703,961

    119,024,680

    110,500,942

    2.23

    1.00

    0.27

    1.0% 24,576,316

    1,996,577

    4.9%

    217.00

    37.00

    119.70

    S M B LEASING[NON VOTING] 0.40

    PC HOUSE 2.70

    % Change

    NATION LANKA

    BLUE DIAMONDS[NON VOTING] 1.40

    2.69

    5.72

    5.25

    1.40

    0.00%117.50

    0.51

    1.102.78%

    1.52

    -40.00%

    0.00%

    0.00%

    1.7%

    1.4%

    0.6%

    Contribution to

    Total T/O

    2,131,531

    -0.25%

    11.40

    14,681,064

    1,074,962

    23.99

    BERUWELA WALKINN

    ASCOT HOLDINGS

    Pre Day

    0.81%272.80 5.9%0.52

    Volume (mn)% Change

    6.10%

    + 15.00 6.98%

    275.00

    CompanyContribution to

    Total T/O

    145.80

    0.0%

    0.1%

    Turnover

    (LKR)

    175.00

    2.48

    1.68

    119.50

    58.60

    175.00

    41.90

    110,500.94

    73.00

    217.00

    167.00

    41.90

    700.00

    72.00

    1.10

    3.40

    TodayCompany

    180.00

    ENVI. RESOURCES [W 0003]

    145.00

    872.19

    5.56704.59

    6.25

    299.20

    314.27

    126.96

    Today

    5.94%

    Turnover

    USD ('000)

    67.3016.82%

    Intraday

    Low (LKR)

    Turnover

    LKR ('000)

    32,703.96

    16,084.91

    258.13

    2.36

    970.00

    143,832.09

    Intraday

    High (LKR)

    276.00

    218.62

    144.80

    216.60

    135.00

    195.00

    42.50

    9.00

    % Change

    JOHN KEELLS HOLDINGS 523,001

    SAMPATH BANK

    ASIAN HOTELS & PROPERTIES 9,659

    1.6%

    03,504

    11,915

    9.7%

    7.5%CEYLON TOBACCO

    CARSON CUMBERBATCHNESTLE LANKA

    SRI LANKA TELECOM

    COMMERCIAL BANK [V]

    3.6%

    3.0%BUKIT DARAH

    DIALOG AXIATA

    HNB [V]

    DFCC BANK

    CARGILLS

    13.24

    1,990.00

    121.50

    27,697.15

    3.95

    LOLC

    AITKEN SPENCE 136.10

    2.4% 22.11

    500.58

    171.00

    0.006,972.97

    0.0055.04

    0.00

    710.00

    9.20

    1,990.00

    119.70

    0.001,999.00

    791.49

    2,801.08

    3.9%

    2.3%

    1.2%

    427

    34,755

    4,700

    205,164

    4.4%

    199.00

    60.00

    3.0%

    195.00

    60.00

    440.10

    3.1%

    117.50

    -0.09%

    1.5%

    2.2%

    Change

    - 11.20

    - 15.00

    - 0.10

    - 0.30

    % Change

    218.00

    36.00

    120.00

    217.20

    CEYLON LEATHER [W 0014]

    + 5.00

    HUEJAY

    72.00

    145.00

    Volume

    1,135.28

    -7.02%

    0.00%

    272,414

    3,039.16

    212.26

    1,729 1,677.50

    1.3%

    Change

    75.00

    Company% of

    Mkt Cap

    10.60

    Today Pre Day

    0.50

    2.70

    0.40

    + 10.80

    DISTILLERIES

    20,924

    509,215

    NATION LANKA[WARRANTS] 0.30

    Company

    14,347

    268,114

    1,210

    CONVENIENCE FOOD

    MIRAMAR

    Company Today

    1.6%

    SOFTLOGIC FIN

    KELSEY 24.10 + 4.40 22.34% NATION LANKA [W 0021] 0.30 - 0.20 -40.00%

    -8.11%

    -8.33%

    -14.27%

    -9.38%

    33.90

    87.00

    230.00

    + 1.90

    Softlogic Equity Research Page | 3.

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    Currency Board Announcements

    Local - Indicative Rate against LKR Dividends

    Dollar No Announcements

    Yuan 0

    Euro 0

    Rupee 0

    Yen 0

    Ringgit 0

    Rouble 0

    Riyal 0

    Dollar Rights Issues / Scrip Dividend / Sub division / Capitalization

    Franc Company

    Baht No Announcements

    Pound 0

    Dollar 0Source: www.cbsl.gov.lk

    Global Markets

    q

    q

    q

    q

    q

    q

    * Time is as at ET Source: www.bloomberg.com

    Commodit Markets

    Crude Oil (Brent) q

    Crude Oil (WTI) q

    ICE Cotton #2 p

    CBOT Wheat q

    COMEX Gold q

    COMEX Silver q

    COMEX Copper q

    * Time is as at ET Source: www.bloomberg.com

    00-Jan-00

    00-Jan-00

    1/0/1900

    1/0/1900

    00-Jan-00

    Description

    0.00

    0.00

    0 1/0/1900

    0

    XR Date

    00-Jan-00

    00-Jan-00

    00-Jan-0000-Jan-00

    Renunciation

    00-Jan-00

    0.00

    Time*

    USd/bu.

    86.80

    Price

    102.80

    94.79

    USD/bbl.

    100.54

    AGRICULTURE

    Hong Kong Hang Seng Index

    Nikkei 225

    ASIA

    FTSE 100 Index

    EU

    197.23

    0.00

    0.00 0

    0

    126.69

    0.0033.78

    Malaysia

    3.92

    119.20

    20.66

    2.18

    1.28

    40.27

    India

    Currency

    167.94

    Indicative Rate

    11.06.2013

    China

    0

    Payment DateDPS (LKR) XD Date

    6,292.9

    Singapore

    Switzerland

    Thailand

    UK

    -1.15

    -260.4

    0

    2,665.1

    135.64

    1/0/1900

    1/0/1900

    4.10

    USA

    02:28

    -107.6

    1/0/1900

    Change

    -2.00%

    -196.6

    04:01

    0

    00-Jan-00

    1/0/1900

    1/0/1900

    06:52

    07:13

    -1.68%

    07:13

    Company

    07:11

    06:51

    07:13

    10-Jun

    0-Jan

    07:07

    07:06

    Time*

    07:12

    -1.43%

    Change %

    -0.07%

    -1.55%

    -1.11%

    -1.02%

    -1.45%

    -1.20%

    -1.00%

    -0.6

    Change

    0.17%0.15

    0

    -0.98

    Change %

    319.45

    USD/t oz.

    USD/t oz. -0.34

    689.25

    -4.65

    21.59

    Index

    Dow Jones Industrial Average

    S&P 500 Index

    EUROPE

    EURO STOXX 50 Price EUR

    13,317.6

    Value

    15,238.6

    1,642.8

    USD/bbl.

    USd/lb.

    USd/lb.

    AMERICA

    -0.50

    METALS

    ENERGY

    Commodity

    21,354.7

    Units

    0

    -54.3

    Proportion

    00-Jan-00

    00-Jan-00

    0.00

    0.00

    -0.06%

    -0.03%

    -9.5

    Russia

    Saudi Arabia

    Japan

    1,372.20 -13.80

    Australia

    Softlogic Equity Research Page | 4.

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    Softlogic Equity Research Page | 5

    CSE Announcements

    Debenture Issue: The debentures issues of Central Finance [CFIN:LKR190.5], Lion Brewery [LION: LKR390.0]has been oversubscribed.

    Conversion of Warrants:

    Dealing by Directors:

    Local News

    Sri Lanka rupee weakens below 127 to dollar: Sri Lanka's rupee weakened below 127 to the US dollar in thespot market in mid-morning trade Tuesday, amid excess liquidity, dealers said. The spot US dollars weakened

    as much as 127.10/15 to the US dollar from levels of around 126.50 seen Friday. In late April the Central

    Bank sold down its Treasury bill stock on a net basis, an action that drain rupee reserves from the banking

    system and reduces credit and import demand. In May liquidity a term repo auction also locked up liquidity

    temporarily, which was unwound on May 31. The bill stock has also climbed slightly in the period. The

    Central Bank has been encouraging greater domestic credit to boost economic activity. Many Asian

    currencies which operate close to floating rates have weakened in the past few months as the US dollar

    tended to strengthen.

    [Source: www.lbo.lk]

    Mixed aroma over 2013 tea crop: Upturn in Sri Lankas, as well as global, tea crop has evoked mixedsentiments over the industrys fortunes with some taking heart from a likely record output whilst others

    expressed that it could hurt prices. With positive growth in tea crop witnessed in the first four months this

    year, top tea industry analysts predict that Sri Lanka would see a record year in tea production for 2013.

    While the tea production for April 2013 exceeded the previous best of 32.2 mn kilograms achieved in 2005,

    analysts hinted that 2013 will end with the highest ever tea yield of 335 mn kilograms. Attributing theincrease in tea production to the favourable weather conditions that was witnessed so far this year, Forbes

    and Walkers Tea Brokers Managing Director Yshan Fernando told the Daily FT that since cumulative

    production for January to April in 2013 was 9.5% higher than the corresponding period of last year, the

    chances of having a record high is possible. With a production of 115 mn kilograms for the first four months

    this year, we have noted that this is approximately 10 mn kilograms higher than the production of 2011.

    Based on this, we predict the annual production for 2013 to be around 335 mn kilograms, Fernando said.

    [Source: www.ft.lk]

    Secondary market Treasury bond yields edge up marginally: Secondary market Treasury yields reflected anupward trend as selling pressure resulted in yields closing the day marginally higher in comparison toFridays closing levels. The two liquid five-year maturities (i.e. 1 April 2018 and 15 August 2018) increased to

    intraday highs of 11.08% and 11.15% respectively while the four-year maturity was offered at 11.02%. In the

    meantime the eight year maturity was quoted at levels of 11.43/50% and the 364-day maturity within the

    range of 10.75/10.85%. However, the volumes traded were marginal. In the money markets, overnight call

    Company Cut-off date Expiration

    Date

    Exercise

    Price (LKR)

    Nation Lanka Finance [CSF: LKR10.6] 14.06.2013 01.07.2013 12

    Company Name Relationship Transaction Quantity Price (LKR) Date

    Richard Pieris and Company [RICH: LKR7.4] Dr. Sena Yaddehige Chairman Purchase 18,850,005 5.2 10.06.2013

    Nation Lanka Finance [CSF: LKR10.6] Mr. V R Ramanan Director Purchase 7,600,000 11.4-12.0 10.06.2013

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    Softlogic Equity Research Page | 6

    money and repo rates remained steady at 8.50% and 8.09% respectively with surplus liquidity increasing to

    LKR12.35 bn. The Open Market Operations (OMO) department of Central Bank drained an amount of LKR

    8.73 bn at a weighted average of 7.69% by way of an overnight Repo auction. Furthermore, the CBSL also

    drained a further LKR5 bn by way of a term Treasury bill auction with durations of 17 and 31 days, value 11

    June. The 17-day bill fetched a weighted average of 8.25%, while the weighted average of the 31-day bill was

    8.49%

    [Source: www.ft.lk]

    Hemas - Thailands Minor in USD70 mn hotel project: Sri Lankas Hemas Holdings [HHL:LKR37.0], a family-run conglomerate with a strong presence in FMCG and healthcare sectors has embarked on to develop 3

    new hotel properties in partnership with Thai-based Minor Group, a top official of the firm said. Hemas

    Holdigns Chief Executive Husein Esufally told shareholders that the 3 properties located in Southern Sri

    LankaTangalle, Kalutara and Ambalangoda will be developed at a cost of USD70 mn and branded under

    Avani and Anantara brands of Minor Group. Hemas portfolio of hotel properties includes Club Hotel

    Dolphin, Hotel Sigiriya, Avani Bentota Resort and Spa and Avani Kalutara Resort and has a room strength of

    410.

    [Source: www.dailymirror.lk]

    Global News

    U.K. Industrial Output Increased on Mining in April: Economy: U.K. industrial production unexpectedly rosein April, boosted by increased output at oil and water companies. Manufacturing fell after gains in February

    and March. Output at factories, utilities and mines rose 0.1% from March, the Office for National Statistics

    said today in London. The median forecast of 28 economists in a Bloomberg News survey was for no change.Manufacturing dropped 0.2% after gains averaging 0.9% in the previous two months. Industrial output

    posted its strongest quarterly performance in almost three years through April, adding to signs the economy

    is gaining momentum after returning to growth in the first quarter. Surveys by Markit Economics published

    this month showed services and manufacturing were at the highest in 14 months in May. The euro area,

    Britains largest trading partner, is also showing signs of improvement, with European Central Bank President

    Mario Draghi saying last week the regions economy will return to growth by the end of the year. The U.K.

    economy can and will get better, said Rob Wood, an economist at Berenberg Bank in London. Todays

    industrial production data suggest the sector will contribute positively to growth in the second quarter.

    [Source: www.bloomberg.lk]

    U.K. RICS House-Price Index Reaches 3-Year High on Buyer Revival: A U.K. house-price gauge rose in May toa three-year high as government credit-easing programs revived buyer interest across the country, the Royal

    Institution of Chartered Surveyors said. A price index increased to 5 from 1 in April, London-based RICS said

    in an e-mailed report today, citing a monthly poll of property surveyors. A positive number means more

    respondents saw values increase rather than decline. Measures of new buyer enquiries and newly agreed

    sales reached levels last seen in 2009. The improvement largely reflects the Bank of Englands expanded

    Funding for Lending Scheme, which is designed to ease the flow of credit by lowering bank funding costs.

    Chancellor of the Exchequer George Osbornes Help to Buy initiative to help people struggling to raise a

    deposit is also contributing, RICS said. Mortgage approvals are still about half of what they were before the

    financial crisis struck the U.K. in 2007. There is still a very long way to go until we see a full-scale recovery

    but green shoots are beginning to sprout, Peter Bolton King, global residential director at RICS, said in the

    report. A measure of new buyer enquiries rose to 30 from 27 and newly agreed sales jumped to 30 from 21,adding to the improved picture of buyer interest, RICS said. A three-month price expectation measure

    increased to 20 from 12. Respondents expect house prices to rise 1.4% over the next 12 months, up from

    expectations of 1.1% last month and 0.1% in December.

    [Source: www.bloomberg.lk]

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    Softlogic Equity Research Page | 7

    Softlogic Equity ResearchDimantha Mathew

    [email protected]+94 11 7277030

    Kavindu Ranasinghe

    [email protected]

    +94 11 7277031

    Imalka Hettiarachchi

    [email protected]

    +94 11 7277032

    Softlogic Equity SalesBranches

    Horana

    Madushanka Rathnayaka

    No. 212, 1st

    Floor, Panadura Road, Horana

    [email protected]

    +94 34 7451000, +94 77 3566465

    Negambo

    Krishan Williams

    No. 121, St. Joseph Street Negambo

    [email protected]

    +94 31 2224714-5, +94 77 3569827

    Kurunegala

    Bandula Lansakara

    No.13, Rajapihilla Mawatha, Kurunegala

    [email protected]

    +94 37 2232875, +94 77 3615790

    MataraLalith Rajapaksha

    No.8A, 2nd

    Floor, FN Building, Station Road, Matara

    [email protected]

    +94 41 7451000, +94 77 3031159

    Dihan Dedigama

    [email protected]

    +94 11 7277010, +94 77 7689933

    Chandima Kariyawasam

    [email protected]+94 11 7277058, +94 77 7885778

    Sonali Abayasekera

    [email protected]

    +94 11 7277051, +94 77 7736059

    Thanuja De Silva

    [email protected]

    +94 11 7277059, +94 77 3120018

    The report has been prepared by Softlogic Stockbrokers (Pvt) Ltd. The information and opinions contained herein has been compiled or arrived at based upon

    information obtained from sources believed to be reliable and in good faith. Such information has not been independently verified and no guaranty, representation

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