Current and Future Customers in HVDC Market USU 15 May 2013 Final

5/22/2018 Current and Future Customers in HVDC Market USU 15 May 2013 Final

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Current and Future trends in the High Voltage Direct

Current (HVDC) Market

Current and Future trends in the High Voltage Direct

Current (HVDC) Market

Current and Future Development in the High

Voltage Direct Current (HVDC) Business

Ir. Terklin Sinulingga MM

Senior Bid Manager Alstom HVDC, Stafford - England

USU Medan, 15/05/2013


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HVDC Market

Teknik Elektro USU, 15 May 2013

Market assessment


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Market Trends since 2010 till 2020 and onwards


1. Many HVDC projects in the execution stages, numerous projects in pipeline :

HVDC LCC : Trend on EHVDC : 800 KV >> India, China, Brazil

HVDC-VSC : More projects coming : Norbalt, EstLink, South West Link, Dolwin 3

Offshore wind : Existing market in Germany, potential market in UK, North America

2. Many new outsiders willing to enter the game : Chinese, Japanese, Korean, GE

3. Global price trend : the demand higher than delivered capacity, a positive

effect on higher end markets.


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Market assessmentHVDC

Assumption 1 EURO = Rp. 12 000

Potential market HVDC = Rp. 600 Billion, Equi = 60 Billion/year.

APBN Indonesia 2013 = Rp. 1 700 Billion >> 3x potential market HVDC


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HVDC Market Evolution


0

1

2

3

4

5

6

2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16

Market (

B)

Market (m)


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Market Growths



7/32Teknik Elektro USU, 15 May 2013

UHVDC Prospects 600kV-800kV


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HVDC Market Situation



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Current : Traditional Customers

Transmission System Operators (TSO)

- SGCC, CSG - China, project : 3 GeorgesShanghai 500 kV, 3000 MW

- FurnasBrazil, project : Rio Madeira 600 KV, 3150 MW

Government owned

- KEPCO - Korea, project : JejuHainam 180 KV, 400 MW

- Svenska KraftnatDenmark, project : Konti Skan 380 KV, 400 MW

- UTEUruguay, project : Melo 80 KV, 500 MW

- PLN (Future), project : JavaSumatera 500 KV, 3000 MW

De-regulated privately owned- National Grid - UK, project : Western Link 600KV, 2200 MW

- Scottish Power Large companies, UK



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Future : Potential Customers

Merchant :

- Tres Amigas, AWT in USA

Large Company :

- Gorgon - Australia, Free port - Indonesia

Significant engineering capability

Manitoba Hydro/TeshmontCanada

Confirmed source of finance



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Government owned : HVDC BtB project

MeloUruguay

- Interconnects

500kV 50Hz Uruguay 525kV 60Hz Brazil

- 500MW pole

- 80kV

- 3125A DC current

- Turn-key project - 31 months

Rivera 80MW BtB project


MontevideoBuenosAires

Rivera

URUGUAY

Melo


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Government owned : Submarine Cable Project


400 MW submarine cable scheme

- 250kV

- 105km submarine cable

- 17km underground cable

- Metallic return

- Bi-directional power flow

- Turn-key project (excluding cables)

Seoul

S. KOREA

Jeju


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TSO : Brazilian Model

Customer is a consortium of TSOs

I E Madeira = Furnas + Chesf + ISA/CTEP

Multiple packages ,e.g. stations, lines, switchyards,

Pre-qualification of bidders

Internet auction for contract award

Build Own Operate concept



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TSO : Rio Madeira Project - Brazil


Rio Madeira, Brazil

- 2 x 3150MW bi-poles

BP1: ABB BP2: Alstom

- 600kV

- 2635A DC current

- 2375km OHL

- Worlds longest DC line

- 2 x BtB (ABB)


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Chinese Model

Only 2 TSO customers

State Grid Corporation of China (SGCC), China SouthGrid (CSG)

Equipment supply only

Technology transfer to local partners is mandatory

Customer integrates the project

Design Institute is heavily involved

Teknik Elektro USU, 15 May 2013Knowledge Club, 11 May 2012


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HVDC Valves : China Main Market features

1. HVDC market in China is not turnkey projects market

2. HVDC scheme is split in various packages by Customers.

3. Market more dominated by the three Chinese players :

XD, XUJI and CEPRI. Both XUJI and CEPRI, owned by SGCC

XUJI based on a technology similar to Siemens technology for 50% of

the sending end, other 50 % is based XUJI/ABB technology.

CEPRI based on their own technology for 25% of the receiving end.

4. Most of the coming 5 years projects in China will be 800 kV or above.



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TSO, China : OHL Transmission Projects

Teknik Elektro USU, 15 May 2013Knowledge Club, 11 May 2012

Ningdong Shandong

4000MW

660kV

1335km OHL

3030A DC current

3 Gorges - Shanghai

3000MW

500kV

970km OHL

3000A DC current

ALSTOM + CEPRI partners in thyristor valve order


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Ningdong-Shandong 660kV scheme

2

Ningdong-Shandong HVDC Scheme,

Northern China

Worlds first 660kV HVDC system

All converter equipment supplied by Alstom

Worlds largest single power electronicconverter (2000MW)

660kV1 5 9

7 11 3

12 4 8

6 10 2

12m tall

3000A


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Merchant Schemes

Private developments for economic gain

Small companies (


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Tres Amigas Project, USA



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Atlantic Wind Connection, USA



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Off-shore Wind Farms - UK Round 3

Off-shore Transmission Operators (OFTO)

Can not be the GB system operator (National Grid)

Consortia of groups have won the rights

EAOW = Iberdrola + Scottish Power + Vatenfall Hornsea = Mainstream Renewable + Siemens + Hotchtief Dogger Bank = SSE Renewables + RWE Renewables + Statoil/Statkraft Firth of Forth = SSE Renewables + Fluor

Generators can build the transmission scheme, but must sell the asset



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North Sea HVDC projects


Firth of

Forth

Dogger Bank

Hornsea

East Anglia


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HVDC Connections - incl. Off-shore Wind Farms


DC cable

Q1 Q2P

VSC VSC

Station 1 Station 2

UC1 UC2

IC1

Network

1

Network

2

Off-shore

wind farm

HVAC

platform

HVDC

platform

On-shore

HVDC station


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Off-shore Wind Farm Connection


AC/AC AC/DC DC/AC

Wind

turbines

MV

cablearray

AC

platform

HV

cable

HVDC

platform

DC cable HVDC

station

Generator Transmission operator

HVAC/HVDC manuf.

Scope


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Potential market : Refurbishment ConverterStation

The last mercury arc and first generation thyristor HVDC scheme need

equipment replacement

Complete station replacementKonti-Skan, Denmark

Valve and control replacementCross Channel, France - England

Controls replacementMcNeil, Canada

Many more schemes need refurbishment/replacement

Pacific intertieCelilo and Sylmar, USA



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Example Refurbishment : Cross Channel (IFA2000)


Sellindge (UK)

Air-cooled Valves, H200 type : old

2 x 3.6kV, 56mm

Thyristor Valves , H400 type: new

8.5 kV, 125 mm Thyristor

Les Mandarins (Fr)

Air-cooled Valves, H200 type : old

2 x 4kV, 75mm

Thyristor Valves, H400 type : new

8.5 kV, 125 mm Thyristor


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Potential market : Multi-terminal DC Schemes(MTDC)

There are only 2 such (LCC) schemes in the world

SCAOI : Sardinia - CorsicaItaly QuebecNew England

LCC scheme in construction

NERAGRA in India

VSC technology opens up the market for many moreMTDC schemes

South West Link, Sweden Eastern Link, UK Atlantic Wind, USA Ultimately the European Super grid



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Example MTDC : Sweden - South West

Power: 2 x 720MW

Voltage DC: +/-300kVdcVoltage AC: 420kVac

Client: Svenska Kraftnt

Contract award : Dec 2011

Phase 1 in-service : 2014/15

Phase 2 in service : 2018

Phase 1: South West Link

-4 x VSC Converter Stations

-2 x 720MV links, +/- 300kV DC,

-OHL and Cables (by others)

-Multi-terminal control system

Phase 2:

- 2 x VSC Converter Stations in Norway

- Connection of Barkeryds converter

stations to Norway

- Operation in multi-terminal mode


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PriorityElectricity Corridors

Northern Seas

North Sea Irish Sea Baltic Sea English Channel

NorthSouth

Western Europe

North- South

Central Europe Eastern Europe

Baltic states



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HVDC Trend Markets Conclusions

1. HVDC is a multi-Billion Euro per year market

2. The customer base is increasing but changing

3. Traditional TSOs are being joined by new players, such as generators,

construction companies, oil & gas companies, etc

4. Merchant schemes are now being developed

5. VSC Multi-terminal systems are coming and will need new technologies

6. HVDC scope of supply is increasing


O f C


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Opportunity for Collaboration Industry andUniversity

More and more Collaboration between Industry & University :

- Development Thyristor Valves H400 : Alstom with Manchester University, England

- Development VSC Generation 1 & 2 : Alstom with Nottingham University andImperial College London

- Development Software engineering study : Alstom with Manitoba University Canada

Teknik Elektro USU 15 Ma 2013

Current and Future Customers in HVDC Market USU 15 May 2013 Final

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