Costs of Meeting SDG 6.1 and 6.2 Targets on Household ... and... · Overall costing approach •...
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Costs of Meeting SDG 6.1 and 6.2 Targets on Household Water Supply, Sanitation and Hygiene
The SDGs Context: Goals & Targets
• SDG 6 Framework, with six targets
• Drinking-water, sanitation and hygiene (WASH) explicitly included in Targets 6.1 – 6.3 and implicit in Targets 6.4 – 6.6:
6.1. Achieve universal and equitable access to safe and affordable drinking water for all.
6.2. Achieve access to adequate and equitable sanitation and hygiene for all and end open defecation, paying special attention to the needs of women and girls and those in vulnerable situation.
6.3. Improve water quality by reducing pollution, eliminating dumping and minimizing release of hazardous chemicals and materials, halving the proportion of untreated wastewater and increasing recycling and safe reuse by [x] per cent globally.
6.4. Substantially increase water-use efficiency across all sectors and ensure sustainable withdrawals and supply of freshwater to address water scarcity and substantially reduce the number of people suffering from water scarcity
6.5. Implement integrated water resources management at all levels, including through transboundary cooperation as appropriate
6.6. Protect and restore water-related ecosystems, including mountains, forests, wetlands, rivers, aquifers and lakes
• Water-related targets within other Goals (health, energy, urban, etc.)
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JMP
GEMI
SDG: Means of Implementation
• Mobilize Member States and international community to achieve SDGs
• For water, specific MOI targets:
6a. Expand international cooperation and capacity-building support to developing countries in
water- and sanitation-related activities and programmes, including water harvesting,
desalination, water efficiency, wastewater treatment, recycling and reuse technologies
6b. Support and strengthen the participation of local communities in improving water and
sanitation management
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6.B
Local
participation
GLAAS
The Post-2015 Context: SDG 17
• Financing under SDG 17 on MOI and Global Partnerships:
17.1 Strengthen domestic resource mobilization, including through international support
to developing countries, to improve domestic capacity for tax and other revenue
collection
17.2 Developed countries to implement fully their official development assistance
commitments, including to provide 0.7 per cent of gross national income in official
development assistance to developing countries, of which 0.15 to 0.20 per cent should
be provided to least developed countries
17.3 Mobilize additional financial resources for developing countries from multiple
sources
17.4 Assist developing countries in attaining long-term debt sustainability through
coordinated policies aimed at fostering debt financing, debt relief and debt restructuring,
as appropriate, and address the external debt of highly indebted poor countries to
reduce debt distress
17.5 Adopt and implement investment promotion regimes for least developed countries4
Overall costing approach
• Costs estimated for extending and sustaining WASH coverage for the
unserved, covering 140 countries presented in 10 MDG regions.
• Model ‘gives’ access to 15 equal segments of unserved population over
2015-2030.
• Current and potential future financing options assessed to recommend how
the costs might be financed.
• Central to achieving the WASH targets are:
More technical issues of sustainability, quality, affordability and behavior change
More political issues that provide enabling environment such as political will, legal
framework, transparency and accountability
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WASH service definitions & indicators
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Service Lower level service Safe or advanced service
Water Percentage of population using a
protected community source or
piped water with a total collection
time of 30 minutes or less for a
roundtrip including queuing.
Percentage of population using an
improved drinking water source on
premises accessible to all members of the
household, which delivers sufficient water to meet
domestic needs, was functional > 12 days in the
last 2 weeks, meets WHO guideline values for
E.coli, fluoride and arsenic, and is subject to a
verified risk management plan.
Sanitation • Percentage of population not
practicing open defecation.
• Percentage of population using
a basic, private sanitation
facility.
Percentage of population using a
‘safely managed’ sanitation service.
Hygiene Percentage of population with
handwashing facilities with soap
and water at home
-
Current service coverage (2015)
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MDG Region Water Sanitation Hygiene
Basic Safe ODF Adequate Safe Handwashing
Urban Rural Urban Rural Rural Urban Rural Urban Rural Urban Rural
LAC 95% 83% 88% 48% 88% 87% 64% 35% 34% 92% 85%
SSA 60% 42% 25% 2% 66% 40% 23% 33% 34% 40% 16%
Northern Africa 94% 88% 82% 48% 95% 94% 87% 50% 34% 92% 88%
Western Asia 96% 79% 84% 54% 100% 94% 76% 41% 34% 97% 92%
CCA 93% 81% 75% 20% 100% 95% 94% 35% 34% 92% 77%
South Asia 85% 83% 48% 9% 51% 65% 33% 6% 34% 85% 49%
South-East Asia 70% 81% 46% 12% 84% 81% 65% 37% 34% 93% 79%
Eastern Asia 98% 87% 90% 45% 98% 86% 64% 24% 34% 83% 44%
Oceania 88% 87% 69% 22% 76% 84% 56% 35% 34% 92% 88%
Developed 98% 95% 90% 54% 100% 86% 79% 21% 34% 99% 97%
Total 87% 76% 68% 20% 72% 76% 46% 26% 34% 82% 50%
Population to be served from 2015 to 2030
• Population growth in 15 years
1,024 million urban areas
20 million rural areas
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MDG Region Basic Water -
Universal
Safe Water – reduce
by 50%
Safe Water -
Universal
Urban Rural Total Urban Rural Total Urban Rural Total
LAC 114 19 133 112 32 145 148 61 209
SSA 417 521 939 302 385 687 550 767 1,317
Northern Africa 34 15 49 35 26 60 46 47 93
Western Asia 44 19 63 43 19 63 57 34 92
CCA 11 12 23 11 21 32 17 41 58
South Asia 345 239 584 345 555 900 576 1,103 1,679
SE Asia 189 65 254 155 142 298 263 281 544
Eastern Asia 240 0 240 258 78 335 308 195 503
Oceania 0 0 1 0 1 1 0 1 2
Developed 2 0 2 7 13 20 12 24 36
World 1,396 892 2,287 1,268 1,271 2,540 1,977 2,554 4,531
Water Supply
Population to be served from 2015 to 2030
• Population growth in 15 years
1,024 million urban areas
20 million rural areas
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Sanitation
MDG Region ODF Basic Sanitation -
Universal
Safe Sanitation –
reduce by 50%
Safe Sanitation -
Universal
Rural Urban Rural Total Urban Rural Total Urban Rural Total
LAC 18 157 40 197 215 37 252 400 76 476
SSA 395 493 639 1132 301 314 615 520 572 1,092
N Africa 10 34 16 50 46 29 75 78 57 135
W Asia 7 45 20 65 60 23 83 106 44 149
CCA 4 10 6 16 17 18 35 32 34 66
South Asia 629 473 832 1305 426 415 840 836 815 1,651
SE Asia 59 159 117 276 162 102 263 286 207 493
Eastern Asia 0 329 50 379 440 97 537 826 251 1,077
Oceania 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 2
Developed 0 20 7 27 65 17 81 130 37 168
World 1,121 1,721 1,727 3,448 1,733 1,051 2,784 3,214 2,095 5,309
Population to be served from 2015 to 2030
• Population growth in 15 years
1,024 million urban areas
20 million rural areas
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Hygiene
MDG Region Basic Hygiene
Urban Rural Total
LAC 128 118 246
SSA 490 780 1270
N Africa 36 84 120
Western Asia 42 64 106
CCA 11 50 61
South Asia 451 1,210 1661
SE Asia 124 319 443
Eastern Asia 390 464 854
Oceania 0 2 2
Developed 1 63 64
World 1,674 3,154 4,828
Progressive elimination of inequalities in access in this study focuses on accelerated access for those with lower current access by rural/urban location and by wealth quintile. Other important forms of discrim-inationexist that could not be included in this study
Technology choice
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Service Baseline Technology Assumption Sensitivity Analysis
Low Cost High Cost
Basic water • 50% protected community
borehole/tubewell
• 50% protected dug well
100% protected dug
well
100% protected
community borehole or
tubewell
Safe water • Piped water supply on plot Increase bulk water
supply costs
Open defecation
free - rural
• Simple or traditional latrines - -
Adequate sanitation
- urban
• 50% flush toilet to septic tank
• 50% any type of pit latrine
100% any type of pit
latrine
100% flush toilet to
septic tank
Adequate sanitation
- rural
• 50% pour-flush pit latrine
• 50% dry pit latrine
100% dry pit latrine 100% pour-flush pit
latrine
Safe sanitation • 50% sewerage with treatment
• 50% FSM with treatment
100% FSM with
treatment
100% sewerage with
treatment
Handwashing • 100% with mix of handwashing basin
options (variable by region)
Costing methodology
• Cost components
Capital investment and software
Capital maintenance
Operations
• Unit cost data
Global database
Unit costs of each technology updated to 2015 prices
Cost data gaps: extrapolated costs from most similar country,
adjusting for purchasing power parity
• Costs estimated in 2015 prices
Future costs discounted using 5% discount rate
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Costing assumptions for missing data
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Service Duration
of CapEx
Time after
which
CapManEx
Software (%
of
hardware)
Capital
maintenance (as
% of hardware)
Operating
costs (as %
hardware)
Water supply
Safe household piped 20 years 10 years 10% 30% NR
Basic household piped 20 years 10 years 5% 30% NR
Borehole or tubewell 20 years 10 years 5% 30%
Dug well 10 years 5 years 5% 30% NR
Sanitation
Septic tank, sewerage,
sewage/sludge treatment
20 years 10 years 10% 30% NR
Urban basic pit latrine 8 years 4 years 10% 30% 5%
Rural basic pit latrine 8 years 4 years 20% 30% 5%
Rural traditional pit
latrine (for ODF)
2 years 1 year 10% of basic
pit latrine
30% 5% of basic
pit latrine
Hygiene
Handwashing 1-5 years Half
lifespan
Estimated
separately
30% NR
HENCE: Uncertainty in several parameters leads to
considerable uncertainty in overall estimates
Global Costing study
GLOBAL & REGIONAL RESULTS
Annual Global Capital Costs of Different WASH Service Levels, 140 Countries
Source: Hutton G, Varughese M (2016). Costs of meeting the 2030 Sustainable Development Agenda targets on drinking water, sanitation and hygiene. World
Bank, Water and Sanitation Program: Washington DC.
Costs of Basic and Safely Managed Services as Percentage of Gross Regional Product (GRP) by Region, with Uncertainty
RangeNote: Approximate spending on increasing coverage 2000-2015 = 0.12% of gross world
product
Annual Capital Costs of Meeting SDG Targets 6.1 and 6.2 by MDG Region with Urban-Rural Breakdown
Source: Hutton G, Varughese M (2016). Costs of meeting the 2030 Sustainable Development Agenda targets on drinking water,
sanitation and hygiene. World Bank, Water and Sanitation Program: Washington DC.
Capital Costs: Globally, Urban Dominates Rural
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End OD Water Sanitation Hygiene WASH Water Sanitation WatSan Meeting
(by 2025) Basic Service - Universal Access Safe Service - Universal Access Targets 6.1-3
Urban vs. Rural Comparison
Urban Rural
Financing Feasibility: Proportion of GDP
Costs of universal access basic WASH in line with historic spending
Continued growth rates in developing economies brings costs of targets
6.1-6.3 of 0.28% GDP within 2.5 times historical spending on service
extension (range 0.23% to 0.34%)
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0.00%
0.10%
0.20%
0.30%
0.40%
0.50%
HistoricSpending
0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5%
2000-2015 Global spending requirement under different GDP growthscenarios
Cap
ital
sp
end
ing
nee
ds
as %
of
Gro
ss P
rod
uct Basic WASH Safe WatSan Targets 6.1-6.3
Growing Operating Costs of New Infrastructure
• Tariff policy will be key to avoid massive additional financial
burden falling on public budget
• Mechanisms for targeting subsidies to poor groups will be
critical to ensure affordability
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NOT FOR CITATION
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Capital O&M
Global Costing study
Conclusions and recommendations
Concluding remarks
• Globally, basic WASH access is affordable at historic funding levels
Achieving ODF should not be a financial issue
Greater targeting needed to reach poorest countries, poorest population pockets
and bring about behavior change
• Meeting the SDG WASH targets will require growth in funding
But will bring massive economic and social benefits
The financing sources are available, both private investment and growing
economies and tax revenues
• Hence a major challenge remains in the policy and institutional
developments needed to reach the poor, ensure cost recovery on
O&M (and investment) and regulate quality and coverage of services
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Financing Options to Explore
• Increased financing, with greater attention on mobiliz-ation of the
private sector and domestic public finances
• Greater harmonization and consolidation of funds such as
through pooled financing mechanisms
• Greater service efficiency, through improved planning,
implementation and M&E, and through competition
• Improved effectiveness and distribution of public funds,
through better targeting of poor people, spending on raising demand
and leveraging the private sector
• Equitable tariff structure, one which enables expansion to
unserved areas while protecting the poor
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Recommendations
• Target policies and financing at poor and marginalized populations
Donors rethink which countries to provide support to
Shift subsidies away from the better-off
• For new infrastructure, consider financing mechanism and
management model beforehand for sustainability
Sequencing of infrastructure to avoid unnecessary re-investments
Seek economies when combining W, S and H services.
• More accurate country-level assessments, demanded and led by
responsible line ministries
Cost estimation of different service options and levels
Financing strategy and investment plan to reach universal access
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Thank you