Cornyn at risk with Republicans next year

8/12/2019 Cornyn at risk with Republicans next year

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2/24

November 1-4, 2013Survey of 388 Republican primary voters

November 1-4, 2013Survey of 388 Republican primary voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988



Texas Survey Results

Q1 Do you approve or disapprove of Senator JohnCornyn's job performance?

46%Approve ..................

33%Disapprove..............

20%Not sure ..................

Q2 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinionof Louie Gohmert?

22%Favorable........................................................

16%Unfavorable ....................................................

62%Not sure ..........................................................

Q3 If the Republican candidates for Senate nextyear were David Barton and John Cornyn, whowould you vote for?

18%David Barton ...................................................

51%John Cornyn ...................................................

31%Not sure ..........................................................

Q4 If the Republican candidates for Senate nextyear were Louie Gohmert and John Cornyn,who would you vote for?

31%Louie Gohmert ................................................

40%John Cornyn ...................................................29%Not sure ..........................................................

Q5 If the Republican candidates for Senate nextyear were Rick Perry and John Cornyn, whowould you vote for?

46%Rick Perry .......................................................

35%John Cornyn ...................................................

20%Not sure ..........................................................

Q6 Generally speaking, would you like theRepublican candidate for Senate next year tobe John Cornyn or someone moreconservative than him?

33%John Cornyn ...................................................

49%Someone more conservative ..........................

18%Not sure ..........................................................

Q7 Do you have a higher opinion of John Cornynor Ted Cruz?

23%John Cornyn ...................................................62%Ted Cruz .........................................................

15%Not sure ..........................................................

Q8 Would you describe yourself as very liberal,somewhat liberal, moderate, somewhatconservative, or very conservative?

2%Very liberal ......................................................

3%Somewhat liberal ............................................

15%Moderate.........................................................

36%Somewhat conservative..................................

44%Very conservative ...........................................

Q9 If you are a woman, press 1. If a man, press 2.

48%Woman ...........................................................

52%Man.................................................................

Q10 If you are 18 to 45 years old, press 1. If 46 to65, press 2. If you are older than 65, press 3.

28%18 to 45...........................................................

37%46 to 65...........................................................

35%Older than 65 ..................................................


3/24

November 1-4, 2013survey of 388 Republican primary voters






Crosstabs

Base

Ideology

Very

liberal

Somewhat

l iberal Moderate

Somewhat

conservative

Very

conservative

Cornyn Approval

App ro ve

Disapprove

Not sur e

46% 13% 24% 47% 49% 47%

33% 79% 71% 35% 27% 33%

20% 8% 5% 18% 24% 20%

Base

Ideology

Very

liberal

Somewhat

l iberal Moderate

Somewhat

conservative

Very

conservative

Gohmert Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sur e

22% 13% 5% 15% 21% 28%

16% 64% 8% 15% 18% 13%

62% 23% 87% 70% 61% 59%

Base

Ideology

Very

liberal

Somewhat

l iberal Moderate

Somewhat

conservative

Very

conservative

Barton/Cornyn

David Barton

John Cornyn

Not sur e

18% 25% 15% 21% 15% 19%

51% 33% 48% 49% 58% 48%

31% 41% 37% 30% 27% 33%

Base

Ideology

Very

liberal

Somewhat

l iberal Moderate

Somewhat

conservative

Very

conservative

Gohmert/Cornyn

Louie Gohmert

John Cornyn

Not sur e

31% 59% 10% 25% 25% 38%

40% 8% 45% 45% 46% 35%

29% 34% 45% 30% 30% 27%


4/24







Crosstabs

Base

Ideology

Very

liberal

Somewhat

l iberal Moderate

Somewhat

conservative

Very

conservative

Perry/Cornyn

Rick Perr y

John Cornyn

Not sur e

46% 23% 15% 24% 45% 57%

35% 25% 48% 63% 38% 22%

20% 51% 37% 13% 17% 21%

Base

Ideology

Very

liberal

Somewhat

l iberal Moderate

Somewhat

conservative

Very

conservative

Cornyn or Someone

More Conservative

John Cornyn

Someone m ore

conservative

Not sur e

33% 33% 56% 63% 39% 16%

49% 54% 26% 21% 39% 67%

18% 13% 18% 16% 22% 16%

Base

Ideology

Very

liberal

Somewhat

l iberal Moderate

Somewhat

conservative

Very

conservative

Higher Opinion ofCornyn or Cruz

John Cornyn

Ted Cruz

Not sur e

23% 38% 56% 47% 27% 8%

62% 41% 13% 38% 59% 78%

15% 21% 31% 14% 14% 14%

Base

Gender

Wom an Man

Cornyn Appr oval

Appr ove

Disapprove

Not s ure

46% 43% 49%

33% 28% 39%

20% 29% 12%


5/24







Crosstabs

Base

Gender

Wom an Man


Favorable

Unfavorable

Not s ure

22% 22% 22%

16% 6% 2 5%

62% 72% 52%

Base

Gender

Wom an Man

Barton/Cornyn

David Bart on

John Cornyn

Not s ure

18% 13% 23%

51% 46% 57%

31% 42% 20%

Base

Gender

Wom an Man

Gohmert/Cornyn

Louie Gohmert

John Cornyn

Not s ure

31% 28% 33%

40% 34% 46%

29% 38% 21%

Base

Gender

Wom an Man

Perry/Cornyn

Rick Per ry

John Cornyn

Not s ure

46% 46% 46%

35% 33% 36%

20% 21% 18%


6/24







Crosstabs

Base

Gender

Wom an Man

Cornyn or Som eone

More Conse rvative

John Cornyn

Someone m ore

conservative

Not s ure

33% 33% 33%

49% 45% 52%

18% 22% 15%

Base

Gender

Wom an Man

Higher Opinion of

Cornyn or Cruz

John Cornyn

Ted Cruz

Not s ure

23% 17% 28%

62% 60% 64%

15% 22% 8%

Base

Age

18 to

45

46 to

65

Older

than 65

Cornyn Appr oval

Appr ove

Disapprove

Not s ure

46% 37% 46% 53%

33% 43% 33% 27%

20% 20% 21% 19%

Base

Age

18 to

45

46 to

65

Older

than 65

Gohm ert Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not s ure

22% 20% 21% 24%

16% 18% 19% 12%

62% 62% 60% 64%


7/24







Crosstabs

Base

Age

18 to

45

46 to

65

Older

than 65

Barton/Cornyn

David Barton

John Cornyn

Not s ure

18% 24% 16% 15%

51% 43% 50% 60%

31% 33% 34% 25%

Base

Age

18 to

45

46 to

65

Older

than 65

Gohmert/Cornyn

Louie Gohmert

John Cornyn

Not s ure

31% 41% 28% 25%

40% 29% 36% 53%

29% 31% 36% 21%

Base

Age

18 to

45

46 to

65

Older

than 65

Perry/Cornyn

Rick Perry

John Cornyn

Not s ure

46% 55% 41% 44%

35% 29% 33% 41%

20% 16% 26% 16%

Base

Age

18 to

45

46 to

65

Older

than 65

Cornyn or Som eone

More Conse rvative

John Cornyn

Someone mor e

conservative

Not s ure

33% 35% 28% 38%

49% 47% 52% 47%

18% 18% 20% 16%


8/24


9/24

November 1-4, 2013Survey of 500 Texas voters






Texas Survey Results

Q1 Do you approve or disapprove of PresidentBarack Obamas job performance?

42%Approve ..........................................................

56%Disapprove......................................................

2%Not sure ..........................................................

Q2 Do you approve or disapprove of Senator JohnCornyn's job performance?

30%Approve ..................

42%Disapprove..............

27%Not sure ..................

Q3 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinionof Louie Gohmert?

13%Favorable........................................................

18%Unfavorable ....................................................

69%Not sure ..........................................................

Q4 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinionof Julian Castro?

18%Favorable........................................................

29%Unfavorable ....................................................

53%Not sure ..........................................................

Q5 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinionof Bill White?

24%Favorable........................................................

21%Unfavorable ....................................................

56%Not sure ..........................................................

Q6 If the candidates for Senate next year wereRepublican John Cornyn and Democrat JulianCastro, who would you vote for?

49%John Cornyn ...................................................

35%Julian Castro...................................................

17%Not sure ..........................................................

Q7 If the candidates for Senate next year wereRepublican Louie Gohmert and DemocratJulian Castro, who would you vote for?

44%Louie Gohmert ................................................

35%Julian Castro...................................................

21%Not sure ..........................................................

Q8 If the candidates for Senate next year wereRepublican John Cornyn and Democrat BillWhite, who would you vote for?

44%John Cornyn ...................................................39%Bill White.........................................................

17%Not sure ..........................................................

Q9 If the candidates for Senate next year wereRepublican Louie Gohmert and Democrat BillWhite, who would you vote for?

40%Louie Gohmert ................................................

39%Bill White.........................................................

21%Not sure ..........................................................

Q10 In the last presidential election, did you vote forBarack Obama or Mitt Romney?

41%Barack Obama ................................................

53%Mitt Romney....................................................

6%Someone else/Don't remember......................

Q11 Would you describe yourself as very liberal,somewhat liberal, moderate, somewhatconservative, or very conservative?

8%Very liberal ......................................................

14%Somewhat liberal ............................................

26%Moderate.........................................................

26%Somewhat conservative..................................25%Very conservative ...........................................

Q12 If you are a woman, press 1. If a man, press 2.

50%Woman ...........................................................

50%Man.................................................................


10/24







Q13 If you are a Democrat, press 1. If a Republican,

press 2. If you are an independent or identifywith another party, press 3.

35%Democrat ........................................................

42%Republican......................................................

24%Independent/Other..........................................

Q14 If you are Hispanic, press 1. If white, press 2.If African-American, press 3. If other, press 4.

19%Hispanic..........................................................

63%White ..............................................................

11%African-American ............................................

7%Other...............................................................

Q15 If you are 18 to 45 years old, press 1. If 46 to

65, press 2. If you are older than 65, press 3.33%18 to 45...........................................................

41%46 to 65...........................................................

26%Older than 65 ..................................................


11/24

November 1-4, 2013survey of 500 Texas voters






Crosstabs

Base

2012 Vote

Barack

Obama

Mitt

Romney

Someone else/Don't

remember

Obama Ap proval

Ap pr ove

Disapprove

Not s ure

42% 90% 6% 36%

56% 8% 93% 50%

2% 2% 1% 14%

Base

2012 Vote

Barack

Obama

Mitt

Romney

Someone else/Don't

remember

Cornyn Approval

Ap pr ove

Disapprove

Not s ure

30% 10% 47% 19%

42% 58% 30% 44%

27% 32% 23% 37%

Base

2012 Vote

Barack

Obama

Mitt

Romney

Someone else/Don't

remember


Favorable

Unfavorable

Not s ure

13% 6% 20% -

18% 21% 18% 7%

69% 73% 63% 93%

Base

2012 Vote

Barack

Obama

Mitt

Romney

Someone else/Don't

remember

Castr o Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not s ure

18% 38% 3% 11%

29% 15% 42% 7%

53% 47% 55% 81%


12/24







Crosstabs

Base

2012 Vote

Barack

Obama

Mitt

Romney

Someone else/Don't

remember

White Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not s ure

24% 36% 14% 23%

21% 11% 30% 6%

56% 53% 56% 71%

Base

2012 Vote

Barack

Obama

Mitt

Romney

Someone else/Don't

remember

Cornyn/Castro

John Cornyn

Julian Cast ro

Not s ure

49% 10% 81% 31%

35% 76% 5% 17%

17% 14% 14% 52%

Base

2012 Vote

Barack

Obama

Mitt

Romney

Someone else/Don't

remember

Gohmert/Castro

Louie Gohmer t

Julian Castr o

Not s ure

44% 5% 76% 17%

35% 77% 5% 21%

21% 17% 19% 62%

Base

2012 Vote

Barack

Obama

Mitt

Romney

Someone else/Don't

remember

Cornyn/White

John Cornyn

Bill White

Not s ure

44% 7% 74% 21%

39% 77% 11% 32%

17% 15% 14% 46%


13/24







Crosstabs

Base

2012 Vote

Barack

Obama

Mitt

Romney

Someone else/Don't

remember

Gohmert/White

Louie Gohmer t

Bill White

Not s ure

40% 6% 70% 15%

39% 77% 10% 31%

21% 17% 20% 54%

Base

Ideology

Very

liberal

Somewhat

l iberal Moderate

Somewhat

conservative

Very

conservative

Obama Approval

Ap pr ove

Disapprove

Not sur e

42% 82% 84% 68% 15% 7%

56% 18% 16% 27% 83% 93%

2% - - 6% 2% -

Base

Ideology

Very

liberal

Somewhat

l iberal Moderate

Somewhat

conservative

Very

conservative

Cornyn Approval

App ro ve

Disapprove

Not sur e

30% 10% 10% 18% 46% 45%

42% 69% 69% 48% 24% 32%

27% 21% 21% 33% 30% 24%

Base

Ideology

Very

liberal

Somewhat

l iberal Moderate

Somewhat

conservative

Very

conservative


Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sur e

13% 10% 1% 6% 14% 26%

18% 40% 23% 17% 18% 10%

69% 50% 77% 76% 68% 64%


14/24







Crosstabs

Base

Ideology

Very

liberal

Somewhat

l iberal Moderate

Somewhat

conservative

Very

conservative

Castro Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sur e

18% 32% 34% 30% 9% 1%

29% 34% 20% 14% 34% 41%

53% 34% 47% 56% 57% 58%

Base

Ideology

Very

liberal

Somewhat

l iberal Moderate

Somewhat

conservative

Very

conservative

White Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sur e

24% 49% 40% 29% 16% 10%

21% 21% 11% 14% 25% 28%

56% 30% 49% 58% 59% 62%

Base

Ideology

Very

liberal

Somewhat

l iberal Moderate

Somewhat

conservative

Very

conservative

Cornyn/Castro

John Cornyn

Julian Castro

Not sur e

49% 24% 16% 21% 73% 80%

35% 63% 72% 57% 13% 4%

17% 13% 12% 22% 14% 17%

Base

Ideology

Very

liberal

Somewhat

l iberal Moderate

Somewhat

conservative

Very

conservative

Gohmert/Castro

Louie Gohmert

Julian Castro

Not sur e

44% 19% 14% 14% 59% 83%

35% 69% 71% 57% 14% 4%

21% 13% 15% 29% 28% 13%


15/24







Crosstabs

Base

Ideology

Very

liberal

Somewhat

l iberal Moderate

Somewhat

conservative

Very

conservative

Cornyn/White

John Cornyn

Bill White

Not sur e

44% 11% 10% 13% 69% 79%

39% 70% 76% 68% 14% 6%

17% 19% 15% 19% 17% 14%

Base

Ideology

Very

liberal

Somewhat

l iberal Moderate

Somewhat

conservative

Very

conservative

Gohmert/White

Louie Gohmert

Bill White

Not sur e

40% 16% 7% 10% 60% 79%

39% 73% 80% 62% 14% 6%

21% 11% 12% 28% 26% 16%

Base

Gender

Wom an Man

Obama App roval

Appr ove

Disapprove

Not s ure

42% 47% 38%

56% 50% 61%

2% 3% 1%

Base

Gender

Wom an Man

Cornyn Appr oval

Appr ove

Disapprove

Not s ure

30% 26% 35%

42% 39% 45%

27% 35% 20%


16/24







Crosstabs

Base

Gender

Wom an Man


Favorable

Unfavorable

Not s ure

13% 10% 16%

18% 12% 25%

69% 79% 59%

Base

Gender

Wom an Man

Cast ro Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not s ure

18% 19% 17%

29% 19% 38%

53% 62% 45%

Base

Gender

Wom an Man

White Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not s ure

24% 25% 22%

21% 11% 30%

56% 64% 47%

Base

Gender

Wom an Man

Cornyn/Castro

John Cornyn

Julian Castr o

Not s ure

49% 46% 52%

35% 36% 33%

17% 18% 15%


17/24







Crosstabs

Base

Gender

Wom an Man

Gohmert/Castro

Louie Gohmert

Julian Castr o

Not s ure

44% 37% 50%

35% 37% 33%

21% 26% 17%

Base

Gender

Wom an Man

Cornyn/White

John Cornyn

Bill Whit e

Not s ure

44% 40% 48%

39% 41% 38%

17% 19% 14%

Base

Gender

Wom an Man

Gohmert/White

Louie Gohmert

Bill White

Not s ure

40% 32% 49%

39% 42% 36%

21% 26% 15%

Base

Party

Democrat Republican Independent/Other

Obama ApprovalAp pr ove

Disapprove

Not sur e

42% 85% 5% 43%

56% 13% 94% 53%

2% 2% 1% 4%


18/24







Crosstabs

Base

Party


Cornyn Approval

Ap pr ove

Disapprove

Not sure

30% 11% 49% 25%

42% 55% 25% 54%

27% 34% 26% 21%

Base

Party



Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sur e

13% 10% 17% 10%

18% 24% 15% 17%

69% 66% 68% 73%

Base

Party


Castro FavorabilityFavorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

18% 37% 2% 18%

29% 20% 41% 21%

53% 44% 57% 61%

Base

Party


White FavorabilityFavorable

Unfavorable

Not sur e

24% 33% 12% 30%

21% 16% 30% 12%

56% 51% 58% 58%


19/24







Crosstabs

Base

Party


Cornyn/Castro

John Cornyn

Julian Castr o

Not sure

49% 16% 80% 43%

35% 70% 5% 35%

17% 14% 15% 22%

Base

Party


Gohmert/Castro

Louie Gohmert

Julian Castr o

Not sur e

44% 12% 72% 40%

35% 73% 5% 33%

21% 16% 23% 27%

Base

Party


Cornyn/WhiteJohn Cornyn

Bill White

Not sure

44% 10% 80% 30%

39% 72% 7% 49%

17% 18% 13% 20%

Base

Party


Gohmert/WhiteLouie Gohmert

Bill White

Not sur e

40% 9% 70% 33%

39% 74% 8% 42%

21% 17% 22% 24%


20/24







Crosstabs

Base

Race

Hispanic White

Af r ican -

Am er ican Other

Obama Appr oval

Ap pr ove

Disapprove

Not s ure

42% 58% 27% 91% 56%

56% 41% 71% 7% 44%

2% 1% 2% 2% -

Base

Race

Hispanic White

Af r ican -

Am er ican Other

Cornyn Appr oval

Appr ove

Disapprove

Not s ure

30% 20% 37% 9% 29%

42% 47% 38% 52% 51%

27% 32% 25% 39% 20%

Base

Race

Hispanic White

Af r ican -

Am er ican Other


Favorable

Unfavorable

Not s ure

13% 13% 13% 6% 20%

18% 23% 18% 18% 8%

69% 64% 68% 76% 72%

Base

Race

Hispanic White

Af r ican -

Am er ican Other


Favorable

Unfavorable

Not s ure

18% 35% 14% 11% 21%

29% 34% 29% 22% 19%

53% 31% 57% 67% 59%


21/24







Crosstabs

Base

Race

Hispanic White

Af r ican -

Am er ican Other

White Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not s ure

24% 24% 23% 27% 24%

21% 25% 22% 6% 25%

56% 50% 56% 67% 51%

Base

Race

Hispanic White

Af r ican -

Am er ican Other

Cornyn/Castro

John Cornyn

Julian Castr o

Not s ure

49% 40% 60% 17% 28%

35% 47% 27% 54% 37%

17% 13% 13% 29% 35%

Base

Race

Hispanic White

Af r ican -

Am er ican Other

Gohmert/Castro

Louie Gohm ert

Julian Castr o

Not s ure

44% 29% 54% 14% 34%

35% 52% 25% 60% 37%

21% 18% 21% 26% 28%

Base

Race

Hispanic White

Af r ican -

Am er ican Other

Cornyn/White

John Cornyn

Bill Whit e

Not s ure

44% 39% 54% 3% 28%

39% 37% 33% 73% 45%

17% 24% 12% 24% 27%


22/24







Crosstabs

Base

Race

Hispanic White

Af r ican -

Am er ican Other

Gohmert/White

Louie Gohm ert

Bill Whit e

Not s ure

40% 32% 49% 12% 34%

39% 49% 30% 70% 37%

21% 19% 21% 18% 28%

Base

Age

18 to

45

46 to

65

Older

than 65

Obama App roval

Appr ove

Disapprove

Not s ure

42% 46% 45% 33%

56% 54% 52% 64%

2% - 3% 3%

Base

Age

18 to

45

46 to

65

Older

than 65

Cornyn Appr oval

Appr ove

Disapprove

Not s ure

30% 25% 29% 39%

42% 42% 45% 38%

27% 33% 25% 23%

Base

Age

18 to

45

46 to

65

Older

than 65


Favorable

Unfavorable

Not s ure

13% 12% 11% 16%

18% 18% 20% 17%

69% 70% 69% 67%


23/24







Crosstabs

Base

Age

18 to

45

46 to

65

Older

than 65


Favorable

Unfavorable

Not s ure

18% 19% 17% 17%

29% 33% 26% 27%

53% 47% 57% 56%

Base

Age

18 to

45

46 to

65

Older

than 65

White Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not s ure

24% 25% 25% 21%

21% 26% 19% 16%

56% 49% 56% 63%

Base

Age

18 to

45

46 to

65

Older

than 65

Cornyn/Castro

John Cornyn

Julian Castr o

Not s ure

49% 49% 44% 57%

35% 40% 32% 31%

17% 11% 24% 12%

Base

Age

18 to

45

46 to

65

Older

than 65

Gohmert/Castro

Louie Gohmert

Julian Castr o

Not s ure

44% 47% 37% 49%

35% 39% 34% 33%

21% 14% 29% 18%


24/24



3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh NC 27604

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh NC 27604

Crosstabs

Base

Age

18 to

45

46 to

65

Older

than 65

Cornyn/White

John Cornyn

Bill White

Not s ure

44% 42% 40% 52%

39% 42% 40% 35%

17% 16% 20% 13%

Base

Age

18 to

45

46 to

65

Older

than 65

Gohmert/White

Louie Gohmert

Bill Whit e

Not s ure

40% 44% 36% 44%

39% 40% 40% 36%

21% 16% 25% 20%

Cornyn at risk with Republicans next year

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