College Ready, But Locked Out? Setting the Stage Travis Reindl

College Ready, But Locked Out?College Ready, But Locked Out?Setting the StageSetting the Stage

Travis ReindlTravis Reindl

New England Leadership Summit on College Readiness and Success

Boston, MA • November 30, 2007

The Attainment Challenge: Adults 25-64 with a Postsecondary Degree, 2005

54%53%

51%

41% 41% 41%39%

40%

33%

30%

35%36%

47%

50%

39%

27%

22%

30%

18%

38%

43%

37%

22%

17%

24%

10%

22%

36%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

Canada Japan Korea Norway Ireland Belgium U.S.

25-3435-4445-5455-64

SOURCE: OECD, Education at a Glance 2007

The Attainment Challenge: Adults 25-64 with a Postsecondary Degree, NEBHE States

48.7%

46.0%44.0% 43.7%

41.3%

37.4% 37.2%

25.0%

0.0%

10.0%

20.0%

30.0%

40.0%

50.0%

60.0%

MA CT NH VT RI US ME WV

BENCHMARK FOR INTERNATIONAL COMPETITIVENESS: 55%

SOURCE: U.S. Census Bureau

The Attainment Challenge: U.S. Trends

37.4%

41.9%

45.9%

55.0%

0.0%

10.0%

20.0%

30.0%

40.0%

50.0%

60.0%

Percentage of 25-64 YearOlds with Postsecondary

Degrees (2005)

Percentage of 25-64 YearOlds with PostsecondaryDegrees (2025)--assumescurrent production levels

Percentage of 25-64 YearOlds with PostsecondaryDegrees (2025)--assumescurrent production levels

+ migration

Percentage of 25-64 YearOlds with Postsecondary

Degrees (2025)--best-performing nations

SOURCES: OECD, USDOE, NCHEMS

The Attainment Challenge: Highest Level of Education of Adults by Race/Ethnicity (2005)

8%

16%

38%

11%

18%

29%

34%

28%

17%

33%

22%

24%

16%

13%

25%

9%

8%

5%

7%

9%

33%

18%

13%

51%

15%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

White

African American

Hispanic

Asian/PI

Amer. Indian/AK Native

< HS

HS Grad

Some College

Assoc. Degree

Bachelors +


The Attainment Challenge: Projected Change in 18-44 Population, NEBHE States, 2005-2025

-274,123

78,818

272,570

125,935

2,223

-400,000

-300,000

-200,000

-100,000

0

100,000

200,000

300,000

White African American Hispanic Asian/PI Amer. Indian/AKNative


The Finance Challenge: Per Student Spending on Core Educational Services (2004)

SOURCE: OECD, Education at a Glance 2007

$6,105

$6,953$7,445$7,596$7,664

$10,265

$17,738

$-

$2,000

$4,000

$6,000

$8,000

$10,000

$12,000

$14,000

$16,000

$18,000

$20,000

United States Norway OECDAverage

Belgium Ireland EU Average Korea

The Political Challenge: Changing Public Sentiment

College opportunity is more important than ever

> College education is necessary to participate in the economy: 31% (2000) 50% (2007)

Worry about lack of opportunity is higher than ever

> Qualified students are denied opportunity: 47% (2000) 62% (2007)

Confidence in colleges and universities is relatively high, but skepticism is growing

> Institutions could spend less without compromising quality: 56% (2007)

> Increased spending is producing more learning: 48% (2007)

SOURCES: NCPPHE, Public Agenda

0.5-1.0-1.0

-1.6-2.1-2.3

-2.8-2.9-3.0-3.3

-3.8-3.9-4.2-4.2-4.3-4.3-4.4-4.4-4.8-4.8-4.8-5.1-5.2-5.2-5.3-5.6-5.6-5.7-5.7-5.7-5.8-5.8-5.9-6.2-6.3-6.5-6.7-6.8-6.9-7.0-7.0

-7.4-8.0-8.2

-8.9-9.3-9.3

-9.8

-10.5-10.7

-12.9

-15

-10

-5

0

New Hampshire

DelawareNew Jersey

Maine

Maryland

Massachusetts

WisconsinVerm

ontO

hioNorth Dakota

ConnecticutKansas

ArkansasVirginia

NebraskaO

klahoma

MinnesotaColorado

West Virginia

KentuckyM

ichiganArizona

New YorkG

eorgiaHawaiiIllinois

PennsylvaniaAlaska

Rhode IslandUnited States

Montana

UtahNew M

exicoCalifornia

IowaIndiana

North CarolinaFloridaIdaho

South CarolinaSouth Dakota

Missouri

Washington

OregonTexas

NevadaTennesseeM

ississippiLouisianaAlabam

aW

yoming

The Finance Challenge: Projected State Structural Deficits (2013)

SOURCE: Rockefeller Institute

Critical Questions

How can policy be leveraged to promote increased postsecondary attainment, particularly for underrepresented groups?

How can we expand the affordability conversation to encompass the root cause of the problem (cost) as well as its symptom (price)?

What incentives can be provided for more strategic investment of institutional resources (including financial aid)?

How do we start--and sustain--a conversation about resources in relation to results for students?

How do we build capacity to serve a growing, aging, and more diverse student population in an environment of limited resources?

For More Information

Travis ReindlProgram DirectorJobs for the Future88 Broad StreetBoston, MA [email protected]

www.makingopportunityaffordable.org

College Ready, But Locked Out? Setting the Stage Travis Reindl

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