CNBC Fed Survey Results: October 31, 2011

8/3/2019 CNBC Fed Survey Results: October 31, 2011

1/25

KDIK{ Hca [syxc| Gkqgicy ;: 9?::

_jec : gh 93

HCA [SYXC\Gkqgicy ;: 9?::

Qnc{c {syxc| yc{s`q{ ycpyc{cdq qnc gpldlgd{ gh 8:gh qnc djqlgd{ qgp mgdc| mjdjecy{,

ldxc{qmcdq {qyjqcel{q{ jda pyghc{{lgdj` ckgdgml{q{$

Qnc| yc{pgdaca qg KDIK{ ldxlqjqlgd qg pjyqlklpjqc ld gsy gd`ldc {syxc|$ Qncly yc{pgd{c{ ucyckg``ckqca gd Gkqgicy 95 jda Gkqgicy 9>, 9?::$ _jyqlklpjdq{ ucyc dgq yczslyca qg jd{ucy

cxcy| zsc{qlgd$

Yc{s`q{ jyc j`{g {ngud hgy lacdqlkj` zsc{qlgd{ ld cjy`lcy {syxc|{$

Qnl{ l{ dgq ldqcdaca qg ic j {klcdqlhlk pg`` jda lq{ yc{s`q{ {ngs`a dgq ic c~qyjpg`jqca ic|gdaqng{c ung ala jkkcpq gsy ldxlqjqlgd$

:$Ul`` qncyc ic jdgqncy Hcacyj` Yc{cyxc zsjdqlqjqlxc cj{ldepygeyjm ld qnc dc~q |cjy .:9 mgdqn{,7

:#

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18#

;5#

:5#

;1#

3#

18#

5#

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\c{

Dg

Agd%qbdgu'sd{syc

Fs`| 9? [syxc| Jses{q :: [syxc| [cpqcmicy :< [syxc| Gkqgicy ;: [syxc|


2/25


_jec 9 gh 93


9$Hgy qng{c yc{pgdacdq{ ung ycp`lca \c{ qg zsc{qlgd +:6Ngu `jyec ag |gs c~pckq qnc dcu zsjdqlqjqlxc pygeyjm

ul`` ic gxcy qnc dc~q |cjy .:9 mgdqn{,7 _`cj{c ag dgqldk`sac ycldxc{qmcdq gh mjqsylde {cksylqlc{$

!;55

!89>

!395

!135

!?

!:??

!9??

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!1??

!3??

!8??

!5??

Jxcyjec .Ld Il``lgd{,

Fs`| 9? [syxc| Jses{q :: [syxc|

[cpqcmicy :< [syxc| Gkqgicy ;: [syxc|


3/25


_jec ; gh 93


;$Hgy qng{c yc{pgdacdq{ ung ycp`lca \c{ qg zsc{qlgd +:6 Jqunlkn mccqlde gh qnc Hcacyj` Gpcd Mjybcq Kgmmlqqcc ag

|gs qnldb qnc Hca l{ mg{q `lbc`| qg jddgsdkc j dcu ZCpygeyjm7

93#

;?#

:3#

3#

:3#

3#

3#

?#

?#

5#

99#

98#

:


4/25


_jec 1 gh 93


1$[ngs`a qnc Hca knjdec lq{ eslajdkc hgy ngu `gde lq ul``bccp ldqcyc{q yjqc{ `gu hygm j kj`cdajy ajqc qg ckgdgmlk

qjyecq{ {skn j{ ldh`jqlgd sdcmp`g|mcdq gy dgmldj`EA_7

;8#

35#

5#?#

:?#

9?#

;?#

1?#

3?#

8?#

5?#

\c{ Dg Agd%q Bdgu'Sd{syc


5/25


_jec 3 gh 93


3$Unjq qjyecq gy qjyecq{ {ngs`a qnc Hca s{c7

Yc{pgdacdq{ ucyc ji`c qg {c`ckq mgyc qnjd gdc yc{pgd{c {g pcykcdqjec{ qgqj` mgyc qnjd :??#

>8#

1:#

3?#

3#?#

:?#

9?#

;?#

1?#

3?#

8?#

5?#

>?#


6/25


_jec 8 gh 93


8$Unjq ldh`jqlgd qjyecq {ngs`a qnc Hca s{c qg qyleecy jknjdec ld lq{ ldqcyc{q yjqc pg`lk|7

?#

3#

:?#

:3#

9?#

93#

;?#

:$?# :$3# 9$?# 9$3# ;$?# ;$3# 1$?# 1$3# 3$?# 3$3# 8$?# 8$3# 5$?# Mgycqnjd

5$?#

Jxcyjec69$8>#


7/25


_jec 5 gh 93


5$Unjq sdcmp`g|mcdq qjyecq {ngs`a qnc Hca s{c qg qyleecyj knjdec ld lq{ ldqcyc{q yjqc pg`lk|7

?#

3#

:?#

:3#

9?#

93#

;?#

;3#

$3# >$?# 5$3# 5$?# 8$3# 8$?# 3$3# 3$?# 1$3# 1$?# @c{{qnjd

1#

Jxcyjec68$3?#


8/25


_jec > gh 93


>$Unjq dgmldj` EA_ qjyecq {ngs`a qnc Hca s{c qg qyleecy jknjdec ld lq{ ldqcyc{q yjqc pg`lk|7

?#

3#

:?#

:3#

9?#

93#

;?#

9$?# 9$3# ;$?# ;$3# 1$?# 1$3# 3$?# 3$3# 8$?# 8$3# 5$?# 5$3# >$?#

Jxcyjec63$13#


9/25


_jec < gh 93



10/25


_jec :? gh 93


:?$ Ul`` qnc knjdec ld HGMK xgqlde mcmicy{ ld 9?:9 yc{s`qld cj{lcy pg`lk|7

::$ [ngs`a ycelgdj` Hcacyj` Yc{cyxc Ijdb pyc{lacdq{ icjppgldqca i| qnc _yc{lacdq jda jppygxca i| Kgdeyc{{7

\c{9?#

Dg13#

Agd%q bdgu:?#


11/25


_jec :: gh 93


:9$ Ngu ugs`a |gs knjyjkqcylvc qnc Hca%{ ksyycdq

mgdcqjy| pg`lk|7

1:#

39#

;#

3#

98#

39#

:9#

:?#

;#

?# :?# 9?# ;?# 1?# 3?# 8?#

Qgg jkkgmmgajqlxc

Fs{q ylenq

Qgg yc{qylkqlxc

Agdq bdgu'Sd{syc

Fs`| 9? [syxc| Jses{q :: [syxc|

[cpqcmicy :< [syxc| Gkqgicy ;: [syxc|


12/25


_jec :9 gh 93


:;$ Unjq eyjac ugs`a |gs elxc Hca Knjlymjd IcdIcydjdbc7

Dsmcylkj` jxcyjec ij{ca gd J=1 I=; K=9 A=: H=?

98#

19#

99#

3#

3#

99#

1>#

:


13/25


_jec :; gh 93


:1$ Uncyc ag |gs c~pckq qnc [(_ 3?? {qgkb ldac~ ul`` icgd 7

:;81

:19:

:939

:;:?

:931

:;:9

:;:8

:;3>

::3? :9?? :93? :;?? :;3? :1?? :13?

Ack ;: 9?::

Fsdc ;? 9?:9

Fs`| 9? [syxc| Jses{q :: [syxc| [cpq :< [syxc| Gkq ;: [syxc|


14/25


_jec :1 gh 93


:3$ Unjq ag |gs c~pckq qnc |lc`a gd qnc :?-|cjy Qycj{sy|dgqc ul`` ic gd 7

;$1:#

;$53#

9$8:#

9$


15/25


_jec :3 gh 93


:8$ Unjq l{ |gsy hgyckj{q hgy qnc |cjy-gxcy-|cjypcykcdqjec knjdec ld ycj` S$[$ EA_7

9$15#

9$>3#

:$>8#

9$15#

:$8>#

9$91#

:$>


16/25


_jec :8 gh 93


:5$ Uncyc ag |gs c~pckq qnc hca hsda{ qjyecq yjqc ul`` icgd 7

?$9:#

?$15#

:$?:#

?$::#

?$:;#

?$93#

?$:;#

?$:8#

?$95#

?$:9#

?$99#

?$;3#

?$?# ?$9# ?$1# ?$8# ?$># :$?# :$9#

Ack ;:

9?::

Fsdc ;?

9?:9

Ack ;:

9?:9

Fs`| 9? [syxc| Jses{q :: [syxc| [cpq :< [syxc| Gkqgicy ;: [syxc|


17/25


_jec :5 gh 93


:>$ Ld qnc dc~q :9 mgdqn{ unjq pcykcdq pygijil`lq| ag |gsp`jkc gd qnc S$[$ cdqcylde yckc{{lgd7 .?#=Dg knjdkc gh

yckc{{lgd :??#=Kcyqjldq| gh yckc{{lgd,

?#

3#

:?#

:3#

9?#

93#

;?#

;3#

?# :?# 9?# ;?# 1?# 3?# 8?# 5?# >?#


18/25


_jec :> gh 93


:# 91# >;# 9># 1#

Jse :: [syxc| 13# ;5# 9;# 5?# 93# 9# ;# 9# 9#

[cpq :< [syxc| 1:# ;1# 9;# >9# 91# 9# 1# :# 9#

Gkq ;: [syxc| 15# ;;# 9># >1# 98# 9# 1# 9# ;#

?#

:?#

9?#

;?#

1?#

3?#

8?#

5?#

>?#


19/25


_jec :< gh 93


9?$ Unjq eyjac ugs`a |gs elxc gsqeglde CKI _yc{lacdqFcjd-K`jsac Qylkncq7

Dsmcylkj` jxcyjec ij{ca gd J=1 I=; K=9 A=: H=?

J`` ajqj hygm Gkqgicy ;: {syxc|

:9#

95#

;;#

:>#

3#

3#

9:#

18#

9?#

::#

?#

9#

?# 3# :?# :3# 9?# 93# ;?# ;3# 1?# 13# 3?#

J

I

K

A

H

Agd%q bdgu'sd{syc

Qylkncq Icydjdbc

Qylkncq Jxcyjec69$9;

Icydjdbc Jxcyjec69$5>


20/25


_jec 9? gh 93


9:$ Elxcd unjq |gs%xc ncjya {g hjy gh qnc kgmpycncd{lxcCsygpcjd p`jd qg {g`xc lq{ hldjdklj` kyl{l{ unlkn{qjqcmcdq ic{q knjyjkqcylvc{ |gsy gpldlgd gh qnc gxcyj``p`jd jda lq{ kgmpgdcdq{7

?#

:?#

9?#

;?#

1?#

3?#

8?#

5?#

>?#

Egc{ hjy

cdgsen qg

yc{g`xc kyl{l{

Agc{d%q eg hjy

cdgsen, isq

Csygpc gd

ylenq qyjkb

Hj``{ uc``

{ngyq, Csygpc

ugd%q ic ji`c

qg yc{g`xc

kyl{l{

Agd%q

bdgu'sd{sy

Gxcyj`` 9# 59# 9;# 1#Ijdblde yckjplqj`lvjqlgd :?# 5:# :1# 3#

@cxcyjelde qnc CH[H


21/25


_jec 9: gh 93


99$ Unjq l{ |gsy gsq`ggb hgy qnc Csygpcjd Mgdcqjy| Sdlgdhlxc |cjy{ hygm dgu

19#

3;#

?#

3#

15#

39#

9#

?#

?# :?# 9?# ;?# 1?# 3?# 8?#

Dg kgsdqylc{ ul`` ic cfckqca gy `cjxc

[gmc kgsdqylc{ ul`` ic cfckqca gy `cjxc

Lq ul`` ic `jyec`| al{{g`xca jda mg{qCsygpcjd kgsdqylc{ ul`` njxc qncly gud

ksyycdk|

Agd%q bdgu'sd{syc

Fs`| 9: [syxc| Gkq ;: [syxc|


22/25


_jec 99 gh 93


9;$ Unjq l{ |gsy pylmjy| jycj gh ldqcyc{q7

Kgmmcdq{6

Ujya MkKjyqn| Fchhcylc{6 Qnc ncj`lde pygkc{{ ld qnc S$[$ jda Csygpc l{ gd qnc ylenq qyjkbisq ul`` qjbc |cjy{ ichgyc lq l{ kgmp`cqca$

Ajxla Bgqgb Ksmicy`jda Jaxl{gy{6 Csygpc agc{ dgq njxc j )acjqn ul{n$) Qnjq l{ un|

qnc| ul`` pyc{cyxc igqn qnc Csygvgdc jda ijdblde {|{qcm hsdkqlgdj`lq|$

Iyljd Uc{isy| Hly{q Qys{q Jaxl{gy{6 Qnc ileec{q {sypyl{c uc ul`` ecq ld qnc dc~q |cjy l{

qnjq qnc Hca ul`` ic hgykca qg qlenqcd lq{ pg`lk| {qjdkc$ Qnc ckgdgm| l{ dgq gd qnc iyldb gh

yckc{{lgd jda ldh`jqlgd ul`` ickgmc j {cylgs{ jda xl{li`c pygi`cm$

Es| @cIj{ Fjddc| Mgdqegmcy| [kgqq6 Qnc kgdkcpq gh {gxcycled ld{syjdkc ld qnc CH[H%{

jeyccmcdq {ngs`a ic cdgsen qg pycxcdq `lzslalq| kgdkcyd{ hygm jhhckqlde qnc jil`lq| gh qnc

[pjdl{n jda Lqj`ljd {gxcycled aciq mjybcq{ qg hsdkqlgd s`qlmjqc`| kj`mlde agud qnc yl{b ghkgdqjelgd jmgde CS {gxcycled{$

Fgnd Ygicyq{ Nl``ljya @|gd{6 Uc jyc `ggblde hgy j {`lenq lmpygxcmcdq ld qnc ckgdgm|eglde hgyujya ulqn jd ldxc{qlde cmpnj{l{ gd qnc hldjdklj`{ jda qckndg`ge| {ckqgy{ j{ ic{qpcyhgymlde mjybcq {ckqgy{$ Uc ugs`a sdacyuclenq qnc kgd{smcy {qjp`c{ achcd{lxc {ckqgy{

jda ycqjl`cy{ jq qnl{ pgldq$ Uc j`{g c~pckq qnjq qnc ms`ql-djqlgdj` kgmpjdlc{ ul``

sdacypcyhgym mgyc agmc{qlkj``|-hgks{ca kgmpjdlc{ {g gsy ldxc{qmcdq hgks{ nj{ mgxcajuj| hygm qnc ms`qldjqlgdj`{ qg mgyc agmc{qlkj``| hgks{ca ldxc{qmcdq{$

Ckgdgmlk{18#

Czslqlc{

93#

Hl~caLdkgmc

:9#

Ksyycdklc{

;#

Gqncy

:1#


23/25


_jec 9; gh 93


Fgnd Jses{qldc Hlhqn Qnlya J{{cq Mjdjecmcdq6 Qnc cj{lde gh qnc hldjdklj` {qyc{{ ldCsygpc l{ pcykclxca j{ j pg{lqlxc hgy qnc qlmc-iclde unl`c qnc ckgdgmlk l{{sc{ {ql`` `ldecy hgy

qnc hsqsyc$

Ygi Mgyejd Hs`kysm [cksylqlc{6 Qnc njlyksq gd Eyccb igda{ jda jaalqlgdj` `cxcyjelde ghqnc Csygpcjd ijl`gsq hsda {ngs`a ic jaczsjqc qg kgxcy qnc kyl{l{$ L qnldb uc dcca qg ncjy

mgyc {pcklhlk{ gd p`jd{ qg yckjplqj`lvc Csygpcjd ijdb{$

@cc Ng{bld{ _jklhlk Yc{cjykn Ld{qlqsqc6 Hca jda CKI njxc cdejeca ld jkqlgd{ qnjq jyc

kgdqyjy| qg {gsda kcdqyj` ijdblde$ Qnc yc{s`q ul`` pygxc njymhs` ickjs{c gh ldkycj{ca mgyj`njvjya ml{j``gkjqlgd gh kjplqj` jda pg`lqlkj` ijkb`j{n$

[sigan Bsmjy [sigan Bsmjy ( J{{gkljqc{6 Gd pg`lqlkj` kcdqyj` ijdb jda cjydlde{cxcdq{ j ycj`lq| knckb {ql`` ickbgd{ dgq fs{q hgy Csygpc ulqn lq{ accp {gxcycled aciq kyl{l{ isqe`gij``|$ Hgy ldxc{qmcdq yl{b qg ack`ldc qnc hgks{ dcca{ qg ic qg hjxgy zsj`lq| gh ac`lxcy| dgq

qnc mgmcdqsm ql`q {ql`` {g cxlacdq ld mjybcq{$

Nsen Fgnd{gd Nsen Fgnd{gd Jaxl{gy{6 J`qngsen lq jppcjy{ j{ qngsen qnc Jpyl`-Jses{qack`ldc ld {qgkb pylkc{ uj{ {lmp`| j kgyyckqlgd ld jd gd-eglde k|k`lkj` is`` mjybcq jda qnc

{`guagud ld qnc ckgdgm| dgq `lbc`| qg acqcylgyjqc ldqg j yckc{{lgd qnc yl{b{ ycmjld nlen$ Qncpyldklpj` yl{b l{ hl{kj` yc{qyjldq jq j qlmc uncd qnc ckgdgm| l{ {ql`` jqqcmpqlde qg c`lmldjqc qncc~kc{{c{ gh qnc 9??1-?3 ngs{lde mjdlj$ _g`lk|mjbcy{ njxc `lqq`c jppyckljqlgd hgy qnc `cdeqn

gh qlmc lq qjbc{ qg ycaskc gy c`lmldjqc qnc c~kc{{c{$ Sdql` qnc| jyc c`lmldjqca ckgdgmlkeyguqn ul`` ycmjld zslqc {siasca jda qnc yl{b{ j{{gkljqca ulqn hl{kj` yc{qyjldq xcy| nlen$ Jqic{q uc ul`` msaa`c qnygsen$

@|dd Ycj{cy _gldq @gmj Djvjycdc Sdlxcy{lq|6 Csygpc%{ pygi`cm{ jyc dgq gxcy$Kgsdqylc{ {skn j{ Eycckc _gyqsej` jda Lqj`| dcca qg jaayc{{ hsdajmcdqj` l{{sc{ ycejyalde

qncly kgmpcqlqlxcdc{{ jda jil`lq| qg eygu$ Hgy dgu ngucxcy Csygpc%{ {gxcycled aciq l{{scmj| hjac j `lqq`c hygm qnc `lmc`lenq unl`c qnc S$[$ aciq l{{sc jda qnc pygpg{j`{ gh qnc )[spcyKgmmlqqcc) kjpqsyc qnc {pgq`lenq$

Acjd Ijbcy Kcdqcy hgy Ckgdgmlk jda _g`lk| Yc{cjykn6 Qnl{ ung`c kyl{l{ l{ j qyjelk hjykc$

Nsdayca{ gh ml``lgd{ gh pcgp`c jyc {shhcylde jygsda qnc e`gic ickjs{c qnc pcgp`c knjyecaulqn mjdjelde ckgdgmlk pg`lk| ag dgq njxc j k`sc j{ qg unjq qnc| jyc aglde$ Qnc ugy{q pjyq

l{ qnjq qnc| jyc {g k`sc`c{{ qnc| agd%q cxcd ycj`lvc ngu al{j{qygs{ qncly pcyhgymjdkc nj{iccd$ Fcjd-K`jsac Qylkncq {ngs`a ic {`lpplde gsq gh nl{ fgi ld nsml`ljqlgd hgy njxlde gdc gh

qnc mg{q al{j{qygs{ qcdsyc{ gh jd| kcdqyj` ijdb pyc{lacdq ld nl{qgy|$ Ld{qcja nc ul`` icqycjqca j{ jd jkkgmp`l{nca psi`lk {cyxjdq mgxlde ldqg ycqlycmcdq$

Njdb [mlqn Njxcyhgya Ldxc{qmcdq{6 Unjq l{ gkksyylde dgu l{ j egga hly{q {qcp isq lhqncyc l{ dgq {qyskqsyj` ychgym .l$c$ `c{{ psi`lk {ckqgy mgyc pylxjqc {ckqgy j`j qnc SB ld qnc

mla-clenqlc{, qnjq ul`` ycxlxc eyguqn qncd qnc Csyg Vgdc ul`` {ql`` njxc ldqcymcaljqc qg `gdeqcym pygi`cm{$ Ld gqncy ugya{ Csygpcjd {gklj`l{m dcca{ qg ic ycxcy{ca qgujya mgyc hycc

mjybcq kjplqj`l{m$

Mlbc Ascbcy Ys{{c`` Ldxc{qmcdq{6 Gdc jubujya hcjqsyc gh Gpcyjqlgd Qul{q l{ qnjq gdc

nj{ qg k`jlm qnjq qnc jlm l{ qg `gucy `gde-qcym ldqcyc{q yjqc{ {g qnc achldlqlgd gh {skkc{{ kjdic pygi`cmjqlk$ Ulqn Zsjdqlqjqlxc Cj{lde ld kgdqyj{q lq l{ cdqlyc`| hjly qg {j| qnjq qnc


24/25


_jec 91 gh 93


gifckqlxc gh qnc pg`lk| l{ qg jxgla Fjpjd-{q|`c ckgdgmlk {qjedjqlgd {g j yl{c ld `gde-qcymyjqc{ ugsà ic j {led gh {skkc{{$ Jncja gh qnc [cpqcmicy mccqlde mjd| gi{cyxcy{ qngsenq

m|{c`h ldk`saca qnjq Icd Icydjdbc ugsà gpq hgy Gpcyjqlgd Qul{q yjqncy qnjd jdgqncy ygsda

gh Zsjdqlqjqlxc Cj{lde ld gyacy qg ycaskc qnc dsmicy gh al{{cdq{ hygm qnc qnycc ld Jses{q$[ldkc qnc dsmicy gh al{{cdq{ ycmjldca qnc {jmc .qnc jqqcmpq jq kgmpygml{c hjl`ca, L {cc`c{{ pgldq ld kngg{lde Gpcyjqlgd Qul{q gxcy jdgqncy ygsda gh ZC$ Mgycgxcy Gpcyjqlgd Qul{q

l{ j gdc-ghh {qcp `lmlqca i| ngàlde{ gh {ngyq-qcym {cksylqlc{$ Gpcyjqlgd Qul{q hygm qnc cjy`|: )qg nc`p qnc

mgyqejec jda ngs{lde mjybcq{$) Mgyqejec mjybcq l{ {qyc{{ca jejld jda `lmlqca ZC ul`` nc`p

`gucy ;?-|y mgyqejec mgdc|$ Unl`c lq ul`` c~pjda qnc Hca%{ ij`jdkc {nccq dgq {syc lq kjd ickgd{lacyca hs``-gd zsjdqlqjqlxc cj{lde$

Ijyy| Bdjpp Ijyk`j|{ _@K6 Qnc %p`caec% qg pygxlac j ijdb sd{cksyca aciq {sppgyq {kncmc

{ngsà ic {shhlklcdq qg pycxcdq j al{gyacy`| ac`cxcyjelde gh Csyg ijdb{ ngucxcy qnc j{{cq{lac gh qnc ij`jdkc {nccq ul`` dgq ic {qjil`lvca lmp`|lde qncyc ul`` ic jdgqncy yl{b h`jyc ld

:N:9$


25/25


Fgnd Bjqqjy Cj{qcyd Ldxc{qmcdq Jaxl{gy{6 Uc mj| ic ld jd cdxlygdmcdq `jqc qnl{ |cjygy cjy`| dc~q |cjy uncyc mg{q gh qnc ugyà%{ kcdqyj` ijdb{ jyc jeeyc{{lxc`| cj{lde$ Qnl{ l{

pgqcdqlj``| xcy| pg{lqlxc hgy yl{b j{{cq{$

J`jd Byj` Qycxgy [qcujyq Isyqgd ( Fjkgi{cd6 Hca ycmjld{ jkkgmmgajqlxc hgks{lde gd9?:9 c`ckqlgd{$

Knja Mgyejd`jdacy [qlhc` Dlkg`js{ .Uj{nldeqgd Kyg{{lde Jaxl{gy{,6 Qnl{ uccb{

Csygpcjd p`jd l{ alyckqlgdj``| pg{lqlxc$ Czslq| mjybcq{ ul`` kgdqldsc qg eylda nlency ldqg qnc

Dcu \cjy$

Fgc` Djyghh Djyghh Ckgdgmlk Jaxl{gy{6 :$ Qnc hcjy{ gh j agsi`c-alp ucyc gxcyi`gud jda lq

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CNBC Fed Survey Results: October 31, 2011

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Transcript of CNBC Fed Survey Results: October 31, 2011