Clinton vs Sanders Iowa Poll Quinnipiac Sept 10th
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Transcript of Clinton vs Sanders Iowa Poll Quinnipiac Sept 10th
FOR RELEASE: SEPTEMBER 10, 2015
SANDERS 41 TO CLINTON 40 IN IOWA DEMOCRATIC CAUCUS,
QUINNIPIAC UNIVERSITY POLL FINDS;
DEMS SAY SANDERS IS MORE HONEST AND CARING
In a come-from-behind rally, U.S. Sen. Bernie Sanders of Vermont is the choice of 41 percent of
Iowa likely Democratic Caucus participants, with 40 percent picking former Secretary of State
Hillary Clinton and 12 percent backing Vice President Joseph Biden, according to a Quinnipiac
University poll released today.
This compares to results of a July 2 survey by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-
ack) University showing Clinton at 52 percent, with 33 percent for Sanders and 7 percent for
Biden.
Today, former Maryland Gov. Martin O’Malley gets 3 percent of Iowa likely Democratic
Caucus participants, with 3 percent undecided.
There is a wide gender gap among Democrats today as Sanders leads Clinton 49 – 28
percent among men, with 16 percent for Biden, while Clinton leads Sanders 49 – 35 percent
among women, with 9 percent for Biden.
Sanders and Biden have a higher net favorability rating than Clinton and higher ratings
for honesty and empathy. Clinton has the best scores for leadership and temperament to handle
an international crisis.
“Sen. Bernie Sanders has become the Eugene McCarthy of 2016,” said Peter A. Brown,
assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll. “He is the candidate of the Democratic left,
against his own party’s bosses and their prized presidential candidate, Secretary Hillary Clinton.
“Sanders has seized the momentum by offering a message more in line with
disproportionately liberal primary and caucus voters.”
-more-
Peter A. Brown, Assistant Director,
Quinnipiac University Poll
(203) 535-6203
Rubenstein Associates, Inc.
Public Relations
Contact: Pat Smith (212) 843-8026
2
Quinnipiac University Poll/September 10, 2015 – page 2
“But unlike the late Sen. McCarthy, who came on strong just before the 1968 primaries,
Sen. Sanders has seized the momentum, five months before voting begins in Iowa. History will
eventually tell us whether he has made such a large move too soon,” Brown added.
“Although Vice President Joseph Biden received only 12 percent of the vote in this poll
of likely Democratic Caucus-goers, he still may be a winner in the zero-sum game of presidential
primary politics because it further increases questions about Clinton’s electability.”
Clinton has a 76 – 20 percent favorability rating among likely Democratic Caucus
participants, as these voters say 64 – 30 percent that she is honest and trustworthy, and 78 – 18
percent that she cares about their needs and problems. She has strong leadership qualities, voters
say 92 – 7 percent, and the right temperament and personality to handle an international crisis,
voters say 89 – 9 percent.
Sanders gets a 78 – 6 percent favorability rating and likely Democratic Caucus-goers say
86 – 4 percent that he is honest and trustworthy, and 85 – 5 percent that he cares about their
needs and problems. Voters say 76 – 9 percent that he has strong leadership qualities and
65 – 15 percent that he has the right temperament and personality to handle an international
crisis.
Iowa likely Democratic Caucus participants give Biden a 79 – 9 percent favorability
rating. He is honest and trustworthy, voters say 91 – 5 percent, and cares about their needs and
problems, voters say 84 – 11 percent. He has strong leadership qualities, voters say 81 – 14
percent and the right temperament and personality for an international crisis, voters say 81 – 13
percent.
Iowa Democrats support the nuclear pact with Iran 66 – 19 percent and say 68 – 17
percent that the agreement will make the world safer.
From August 27 – September 8, Quinnipiac University surveyed 832 likely Iowa
Democratic Caucus participants with a margin of error of +/- 3.4 percentage points. Live
interviewers call land lines and cell phones.
The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public
opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia,
Iowa, Colorado and the nation as a public service and for research.
For more information, visit http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling, call (203) 582-5201, or
follow us on Twitter @QuinnipiacPoll.
3
3. If the Democratic caucus were being held today, and the candidates were Joe Biden,
Lincoln Chafee, Hillary Clinton, Martin O'Malley, Bernie Sanders, and Jim Webb, who would
you support? (If undecided) If you had to choose today, would you support Biden, Chafee,
Clinton, O’Malley, Sanders, or Webb?
LIKELY DEM CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
LIBERAL..... Mod/
Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom
Biden 12% 7% 13% 15% 16% 9%
Chafee - - - - - -
Clinton 40 29 45 44 28 49
O'Malley 3 4 3 2 4 2
Sanders 41 59 36 32 49 35
Webb 1 - 1 1 1 -
DK/NA 3 1 2 6 2 5
COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YRS.............. ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...
Yes No 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K
Biden 12% 12% 11% 10% 13% 15% 11% 16% 13% 8%
Chafee - - - - - - - - - -
Clinton 43 37 19 40 48 53 32 38 41 50
O'Malley 3 3 1 4 2 5 1 5 3 2
Sanders 37 44 66 43 31 20 51 38 39 36
Webb 1 1 - 1 1 1 - - 2 -
DK/NA 3 4 2 2 5 6 4 2 2 4
3A. RECALCULATED MATCHUP Q3 ASKING BIDEN VOTERS: Who is your second choice?
LIKELY DEM CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
MATCHUP Q3 WITHOUT BIDEN............................................
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
LIBERAL..... Mod/
Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom
Chafee - - - 1% 1% -
Clinton 47 31 53 53 36 55
O'Malley 4 5 3 3 4 3
Sanders 44 62 41 35 54 37
Webb 1 - 1 2 2 -
DK/NA 4 1 2 7 3 5
COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YRS.............. ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...
Yes No 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K
Chafee 1% - - 1% - - - 1% - -
Clinton 48 46 29 46 54 60 39 48 47 55
O'Malley 4 3 1 4 4 6 2 6 3 3
Sanders 42 46 67 46 37 24 55 40 44 39
Webb 1 1 1 1 1 2 - 1 3 -
DK/NA 4 4 2 3 5 8 4 4 3 4
4
4. Are there any of these candidates you would definitely not support for the Democratic
nomination for president? (Totals may add up to more than 100% because multiple responses
were allowed)
LIKELY DEM CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
LIBERAL..... Mod/
Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom
Biden 5% 5% 5% 3% 4% 5%
Chafee 9 11 7 9 8 10
Clinton 11 10 10 12 17 6
O'Malley 6 5 5 7 5 7
Sanders 3 2 2 6 3 3
Webb 6 7 7 5 6 7
No/No one 63 69 67 57 62 64
DK/NA 9 5 8 13 7 11
COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YRS.............. ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...
Yes No 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K
Biden 3% 6% 4% 4% 5% 5% 6% 4% 5% 1%
Chafee 11 8 7 8 12 11 6 8 10 12
Clinton 6 14 20 8 9 6 19 13 7 6
O'Malley 5 7 7 4 6 10 7 8 5 5
Sanders 3 4 - - 5 10 5 3 2 3
Webb 6 7 6 3 8 9 7 5 6 6
No/No one 70 58 67 64 62 57 50 66 69 70
DK/NA 7 11 9 12 7 10 16 5 7 6
Q62-67. Summary Table - Is your opinion of [Candidate] favorable, unfavorable or haven't
you heard enough about him/her? Table ranked by net favorability (Favorable -
Unfavorable).
LIKELY DEM CAUCUS-GOERS...........
Hvn't
Fav Unfav hrdEn REF NetFav
Sanders 78 6 15 1 72
Biden 79 9 10 2 70
Clinton 76 20 3 2 56
O'Malley 33 8 59 1 25
Webb 17 8 75 - 9
Chafee 10 8 81 1 2
5
62. Is your opinion of Joe Biden favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about
him?
LIKELY DEM CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
LIBERAL..... Mod/
Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom
Favorable 79% 82% 80% 78% 83% 76%
Unfavorable 9 8 9 10 9 10
Hvn't hrd enough 10 8 8 11 7 12
REFUSED 2 2 2 1 1 3
COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YRS.............. ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...
Yes No 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K
Favorable 86% 74% 68% 83% 81% 86% 66% 85% 81% 89%
Unfavorable 8 11 11 10 11 6 12 6 12 7
Hvn't hrd enough 5 13 20 5 6 6 19 7 8 3
REFUSED 1 2 1 2 2 2 2 2 - 1
63. Is your opinion of Lincoln Chafee favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough
about him?
LIKELY DEM CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
LIBERAL..... Mod/
Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom
Favorable 10% 15% 9% 8% 13% 8%
Unfavorable 8 8 7 8 8 7
Hvn't hrd enough 81 76 83 83 78 84
REFUSED 1 1 1 1 1 1
COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YRS.............. ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...
Yes No 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K
Favorable 10% 11% 9% 12% 10% 11% 9% 5% 12% 15%
Unfavorable 7 8 6 5 9 12 11 7 6 7
Hvn't hrd enough 82 81 84 82 81 76 79 87 82 76
REFUSED 1 1 - 1 1 1 1 - - 1
64. Is your opinion of Hillary Clinton favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough
about her?
LIKELY DEM CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
LIBERAL..... Mod/
Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom
Favorable 76% 76% 82% 74% 67% 84%
Unfavorable 20 21 14 22 30 11
Hvn't hrd enough 3 3 3 2 2 3
REFUSED 2 1 1 3 1 2
COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YRS.............. ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...
Yes No 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K
Favorable 82% 72% 64% 79% 80% 83% 69% 76% 80% 81%
Unfavorable 15 23 32 19 16 11 26 22 17 15
Hvn't hrd enough 2 3 2 2 2 4 2 1 3 2
REFUSED 1 2 2 - 3 2 3 1 - 2
6
65. Is your opinion of Martin O'Malley favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough
about him?
LIKELY DEM CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
LIBERAL..... Mod/
Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom
Favorable 33% 42% 37% 25% 37% 29%
Unfavorable 8 7 5 9 9 7
Hvn't hrd enough 59 51 57 65 53 63
REFUSED 1 - 1 1 1 1
COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YRS.............. ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...
Yes No 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K
Favorable 38% 28% 29% 29% 36% 37% 24% 32% 34% 42%
Unfavorable 6 9 13 6 6 6 13 9 3 5
Hvn't hrd enough 55 62 57 64 58 55 61 59 62 53
REFUSED 1 1 - 1 - 2 2 - - -
66. Is your opinion of Bernie Sanders favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough
about him?
LIKELY DEM CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
LIBERAL..... Mod/
Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom
Favorable 78% 92% 82% 66% 82% 75%
Unfavorable 6 1 3 12 5 7
Hvn't hrd enough 15 6 13 21 12 17
REFUSED 1 - 1 1 1 1
COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YRS.............. ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...
Yes No 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K
Favorable 86% 72% 85% 79% 77% 69% 70% 79% 83% 83%
Unfavorable 3 8 1 6 6 13 7 10 4 5
Hvn't hrd enough 10 19 14 14 16 16 22 11 13 10
REFUSED 1 1 - 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
67. Is your opinion of Jim Webb favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about
him?
LIKELY DEM CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
LIBERAL..... Mod/
Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom
Favorable 17% 21% 14% 16% 20% 14%
Unfavorable 8 12 9 5 7 8
Hvn't hrd enough 75 67 78 78 72 77
REFUSED - - - 1 1 -
COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YRS.............. ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...
Yes No 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K
Favorable 22% 13% 10% 21% 15% 23% 11% 16% 20% 20%
Unfavorable 6 10 10 7 8 7 13 10 3 8
Hvn't hrd enough 72 77 80 72 76 69 76 73 77 71
REFUSED - 1 - - 1 1 1 - - -
7
68. Would you say that - Hillary Clinton is honest and trustworthy or not?
LIKELY DEM CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
LIBERAL..... Mod/
Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom
Yes 64% 65% 68% 62% 57% 70%
No 30 31 28 31 38 24
DK/NA 5 4 4 7 5 6
COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YRS.............. ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...
Yes No 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K
Yes 68% 62% 47% 69% 67% 75% 57% 62% 69% 70%
No 28 32 49 28 27 16 39 33 26 26
DK/NA 4 7 4 3 6 9 3 5 5 4
69. Would you say that - Bernie Sanders is honest and trustworthy or not?
LIKELY DEM CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
LIBERAL..... Mod/
Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom
Yes 86% 95% 90% 77% 89% 83%
No 4 1 2 7 4 4
DK/NA 10 4 8 16 7 13
COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YRS.............. ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...
Yes No 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K
Yes 92% 81% 93% 84% 84% 84% 83% 81% 93% 89%
No 2 5 2 3 5 5 7 4 3 1
DK/NA 5 14 5 13 11 12 10 16 4 9
70. Would you say that - Joe Biden is honest and trustworthy or not?
LIKELY DEM CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
LIBERAL..... Mod/
Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom
Yes 91% 95% 92% 88% 92% 90%
No 5 4 4 6 6 5
DK/NA 4 1 4 6 3 5
COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YRS.............. ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...
Yes No 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K
Yes 93% 89% 89% 90% 90% 95% 87% 93% 93% 93%
No 4 6 5 5 6 3 8 5 4 4
DK/NA 3 5 6 4 3 2 5 2 3 4
8
71. Would you say that - Hillary Clinton has strong leadership qualities or not?
LIKELY DEM CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
LIBERAL..... Mod/
Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom
Yes 92% 93% 96% 89% 88% 96%
No 7 7 3 9 11 3
DK/NA 1 - 1 2 1 1
COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YRS.............. ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...
Yes No 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K
Yes 95% 90% 89% 94% 93% 93% 90% 94% 93% 97%
No 4 8 9 6 6 5 9 6 6 3
DK/NA 1 1 1 - 1 2 - - 1 1
72. Would you say that - Bernie Sanders has strong leadership qualities or not?
LIKELY DEM CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
LIBERAL..... Mod/
Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom
Yes 76% 88% 83% 64% 81% 72%
No 9 4 4 15 9 8
DK/NA 15 7 13 22 10 20
COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YRS.............. ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...
Yes No 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K
Yes 77% 75% 89% 80% 70% 61% 75% 76% 80% 78%
No 8 9 7 5 9 14 13 7 8 6
DK/NA 15 16 4 15 21 24 13 17 13 16
73. Would you say that - Joe Biden has strong leadership qualities or not?
LIKELY DEM CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
LIBERAL..... Mod/
Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom
Yes 81% 82% 82% 82% 83% 80%
No 14 12 16 13 15 13
DK/NA 5 6 2 5 3 7
COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YRS.............. ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...
Yes No 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K
Yes 85% 78% 79% 82% 80% 85% 75% 85% 84% 83%
No 10 16 18 12 14 10 18 13 11 11
DK/NA 5 5 3 7 6 4 6 1 5 6
9
74. Would you say that - Hillary Clinton cares about the needs and problems of people like
you or not?
LIKELY DEM CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
LIBERAL..... Mod/
Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom
Yes 78% 79% 79% 78% 69% 85%
No 18 17 18 18 26 11
DK/NA 4 3 3 4 4 3
COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YRS.............. ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...
Yes No 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K
Yes 82% 75% 68% 77% 82% 86% 68% 80% 82% 85%
No 14 21 29 20 13 9 28 15 14 13
DK/NA 4 4 3 3 5 5 4 5 3 2
75. Would you say that - Bernie Sanders cares about the needs and problems of people like
you or not?
LIKELY DEM CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
LIBERAL..... Mod/
Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom
Yes 85% 94% 92% 75% 88% 82%
No 5 1 2 10 6 5
DK/NA 10 4 6 15 7 13
COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YRS.............. ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...
Yes No 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K
Yes 92% 80% 91% 84% 82% 80% 76% 85% 91% 91%
No 3 7 5 3 6 8 10 3 4 1
DK/NA 5 13 3 13 12 12 13 11 5 8
76. Would you say that - Joe Biden cares about the needs and problems of people like you
or not?
LIKELY DEM CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
LIBERAL..... Mod/
Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom
Yes 84% 92% 86% 79% 84% 85%
No 11 4 11 15 13 9
DK/NA 5 4 4 6 4 6
COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YRS.............. ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...
Yes No 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K
Yes 89% 80% 78% 87% 85% 87% 72% 92% 87% 90%
No 6 14 16 9 11 5 21 5 8 6
DK/NA 4 6 6 3 5 8 7 3 5 4
10
77. Would you say that - Hillary Clinton has the right kind of temperament and personality
to handle an international crisis as president, or not?
LIKELY DEM CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
LIBERAL..... Mod/
Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom
Yes 89% 94% 92% 85% 83% 95%
No 9 6 6 12 14 5
DK/NA 2 - 2 2 3 1
COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YRS.............. ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...
Yes No 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K
Yes 95% 85% 84% 93% 90% 92% 82% 88% 93% 96%
No 4 12 13 6 10 6 16 10 7 2
DK/NA 1 3 4 2 - 2 1 2 - 2
78. Would you say that - Bernie Sanders has the right kind of temperament and personality
to handle an international crisis as president, or not?
LIKELY DEM CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
LIBERAL..... Mod/
Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom
Yes 65% 80% 65% 54% 70% 60%
No 15 7 15 21 14 15
DK/NA 21 13 20 26 16 24
COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YRS.............. ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...
Yes No 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K
Yes 69% 62% 81% 64% 62% 49% 67% 65% 64% 67%
No 14 15 10 16 12 22 17 11 16 14
DK/NA 18 23 9 20 26 29 16 24 20 19
79. Would you say that - Joe Biden has the right kind of temperament and personality to
handle an international crisis as president, or not?
LIKELY DEM CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
LIBERAL..... Mod/
Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom
Yes 81% 85% 78% 81% 84% 78%
No 13 11 16 12 13 13
DK/NA 6 4 6 8 3 9
COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YRS.............. ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...
Yes No 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K
Yes 83% 79% 75% 84% 81% 84% 77% 85% 83% 82%
No 11 14 18 11 13 8 13 12 12 13
DK/NA 6 7 7 5 6 8 10 3 4 4
11
80. In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in the nation today;
are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied?
LIKELY DEM CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
LIBERAL..... Mod/
Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom
Very satisfied 9% 11% 6% 9% 7% 10%
Smwht satisfied 51 50 62 47 47 54
Smwht dissatisfied 24 23 22 27 29 21
Very dissatisfied 15 14 10 17 17 14
DK/NA 1 2 - 1 1 1
COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YRS.............. ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...
Yes No 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K
Very satisfied 8% 9% 4% 10% 10% 10% 9% 11% 5% 9%
Smwht satisfied 60 44 50 55 52 46 41 50 53 67
Smwht dissatisfied 23 25 31 15 25 25 27 20 26 18
Very dissatisfied 9 19 14 16 13 18 21 17 14 6
DK/NA 1 2 1 3 - 1 2 1 1 -
81. How much of the time do you think you can trust the government in Washington to do
what is right; almost all of the time, most of the time, only some of the time, or hardly
ever?
LIKELY DEM CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
LIBERAL..... Mod/
Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom
Almost all the time 2% 4% 2% 1% 1% 3%
Most of the time 23 25 24 23 23 24
Some of the time 51 50 57 50 50 53
Hardly ever 21 19 17 25 25 18
DK/NA 2 2 1 1 1 2
COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YRS.............. ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...
Yes No 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K
Almost all the time 2% 3% 2% 2% 3% 3% 4% 4% 1% 2%
Most of the time 24 23 24 24 24 21 22 20 26 26
Some of the time 59 46 50 53 52 50 46 55 53 56
Hardly ever 14 27 23 20 19 22 27 20 19 15
DK/NA 2 1 1 1 1 3 1 1 2 1
12
82. If you had to choose, which type of experience do you think would better help a
candidate serve effectively as president; someone who has experience in Washington or
someone who is a Washington outsider?
LIKELY DEM CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
LIBERAL..... Mod/
Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom
DC experience 69% 69% 75% 64% 63% 73%
DC outsider 23 24 16 28 29 19
DK/NA 8 7 9 8 7 8
COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YRS.............. ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...
Yes No 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K
DC experience 74% 64% 59% 63% 76% 76% 62% 69% 71% 74%
DC outsider 17 29 39 25 15 13 34 23 19 18
DK/NA 9 7 2 11 8 11 4 8 11 8
83. Would you rather have a presidential candidate whose political experience was mostly
outside of Washington or mostly in the government in Washington?
LIKELY DEM CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
LIBERAL..... Mod/
Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom
Outside Washington 33% 26% 31% 41% 40% 27%
In Washington 54 59 54 49 51 57
DK/NA 13 15 15 10 9 16
COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YRS.............. ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...
Yes No 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K
Outside Washington 27% 38% 46% 34% 28% 23% 39% 40% 31% 23%
In Washington 58 51 48 50 61 58 52 51 57 56
DK/NA 15 11 6 16 11 19 9 10 12 21
84. What do you think is the best preparation for being President; working in government
or working in business?
LIKELY DEM CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
LIBERAL..... Mod/
Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom
Government 75% 86% 77% 67% 76% 74%
Business 14 10 11 19 15 14
DK/NA 11 4 12 14 9 12
COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YRS.............. ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...
Yes No 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K
Government 80% 71% 81% 71% 75% 73% 71% 78% 75% 79%
Business 11 17 13 17 16 11 20 12 16 9
DK/NA 9 12 6 12 10 16 9 10 9 11
13
86. In selecting a presidential nominee for the Democratic Party, which is more important
to you: a candidate with the best chance to defeat the Republican candidate or a candidate
who comes closest to your views on issues?
LIKELY DEM CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
LIBERAL..... Mod/
Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom
Defeat Rep candidate 32% 33% 40% 26% 26% 36%
Closest to views 66 65 58 71 71 62
DK/NA 3 2 2 2 3 3
COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YRS.............. ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...
Yes No 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K
Defeat Rep candidate 39% 26% 12% 30% 42% 43% 21% 31% 34% 42%
Closest to views 58 71 85 69 55 53 79 66 63 55
DK/NA 2 3 2 2 2 4 1 3 3 2
87. I am going to mention four phrases and ask you which one best describes how you feel
about the way the federal government works. Do you feel enthusiastic, satisfied but not
enthusiastic, dissatisfied but not angry, or angry?
LIKELY DEM CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
LIBERAL..... Mod/
Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom
Enthusiastic 3% 5% 3% 3% 3% 3%
Sat/Not enthusiastic 34 36 38 32 32 36
Dissat/Not angry 46 36 45 54 49 43
Angry 16 23 14 12 15 17
DK/NA 1 - 1 - 1 1
COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YRS.............. ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...
Yes No 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K
Enthusiastic 3% 4% 5% 2% 3% 3% 5% 3% 3% 3%
Sat/Not enthusiastic 36 33 36 33 34 34 34 37 33 32
Dissat/Not angry 46 45 44 47 49 41 41 41 50 53
Angry 14 17 14 17 13 21 19 18 14 12
DK/NA - 1 1 1 1 1 2 - - -
14
88. Do you think abortion should be legal in all cases, legal in most cases, illegal in
most cases or illegal in all cases?
LIKELY DEM CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
LIBERAL..... Mod/
Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom
Legal all cases 46% 68% 43% 32% 37% 53%
Legal most cases 40 29 45 45 47 35
Illegal most cases 8 2 8 13 11 6
Illegal all cases 3 1 2 4 2 3
DK/NA 3 1 2 6 4 3
COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YRS.............. ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...
Yes No 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K
Legal all cases 47% 45% 48% 53% 40% 41% 43% 41% 53% 42%
Legal most cases 44 37 38 36 47 39 37 39 38 49
Illegal most cases 6 10 10 7 8 8 10 14 5 6
Illegal all cases 1 4 2 3 2 5 6 2 1 2
DK/NA 1 4 2 2 2 7 4 3 2 1
89. How about when the pregnancy was caused by rape or incest; do you think abortion
should be legal in that situation or illegal?
LIKELY DEM CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
LIBERAL..... Mod/
Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom
Legal 93% 98% 97% 88% 93% 93%
Illegal 4 1 2 7 5 4
DK/NA 3 1 1 4 2 3
COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YRS.............. ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...
Yes No 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K
Legal 98% 89% 95% 93% 93% 89% 90% 93% 98% 96%
Illegal 1 7 4 4 4 7 9 3 1 2
DK/NA 1 4 1 4 3 4 1 4 1 3
90. How about when an abortion is necessary to save the life of the mother; do you think
abortion should be legal in that situation or illegal?
LIKELY DEM CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
LIBERAL..... Mod/
Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom
Legal 95% 98% 96% 93% 95% 95%
Illegal 2 1 - 3 1 3
DK/NA 3 1 4 5 4 3
COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YRS.............. ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...
Yes No 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K
Legal 98% 92% 93% 98% 95% 93% 92% 95% 99% 97%
Illegal 1 3 2 - 2 3 4 - - 1
DK/NA 1 5 5 2 3 3 4 5 1 2
15
91. If you agreed with a presidential candidate on other issues, but not on the issue of
abortion, do you think you could still vote for that candidate or not?
LIKELY DEM CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
LIBERAL..... Mod/
Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom
Yes 66% 49% 72% 75% 79% 55%
No 30 48 25 21 19 40
DK/NA 4 3 3 4 3 5
COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YRS.............. ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...
Yes No 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K
Yes 64% 67% 70% 60% 71% 63% 64% 71% 65% 66%
No 31 30 30 37 25 29 34 25 32 30
DK/NA 5 3 - 3 4 8 2 4 2 4
92. Is your opinion of Planned Parenthood favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard
enough about it?
LIKELY DEM CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
LIBERAL..... Mod/
Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom
Favorable 85% 98% 91% 74% 83% 87%
Unfavorable 6 1 2 10 7 5
Hvn't hrd enough 8 1 7 14 9 7
REFUSED 1 - - 2 1 1
COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YRS.............. ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...
Yes No 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K
Favorable 90% 81% 85% 92% 83% 82% 80% 86% 87% 93%
Unfavorable 4 7 6 3 5 9 6 4 5 5
Hvn't hrd enough 5 10 7 5 12 7 12 8 8 2
REFUSED - 2 2 - 1 2 2 3 - -
93. Do you support or oppose cutting off federal government funding to Planned
Parenthood?
LIKELY DEM CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
LIBERAL..... Mod/
Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom
Support 9% 3% 9% 13% 10% 8%
Oppose 87 96 88 81 85 89
DK/NA 4 - 4 6 4 3
COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YRS.............. ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...
Yes No 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K
Support 6% 11% 8% 11% 7% 10% 13% 8% 7% 6%
Oppose 92 84 86 87 89 86 82 89 90 93
DK/NA 2 5 5 2 4 4 5 4 3 1
16
94. Would you support or oppose shutting down the government over differences about
federal government funding to Planned Parenthood?
LIKELY DEM CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
LIBERAL..... Mod/
Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom
Support 7% 7% 2% 9% 7% 7%
Oppose 90 92 96 87 92 89
DK/NA 3 1 2 4 1 5
COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YRS.............. ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...
Yes No 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K
Support 5% 9% 9% 8% 7% 4% 16% 1% 5% 4%
Oppose 93 88 88 91 90 93 81 99 90 96
DK/NA 2 4 3 2 4 3 4 - 5 -
95. Who would you blame more for a government shutdown; the Republicans in Congress or
Barack Obama and the Democrats in Congress?
LIKELY DEM CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
LIBERAL..... Mod/
Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom
Reps in Congress 84% 91% 86% 79% 83% 85%
Obama/Dems in Congrs 3 - 2 6 4 3
BOTH EQUALLY(VOL) 8 6 10 9 11 6
DK/NA 4 3 2 6 3 6
COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YRS.............. ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...
Yes No 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K
Reps in Congress 90% 79% 77% 84% 88% 85% 79% 84% 86% 89%
Obama/Dems in Congrs 1 5 3 3 4 4 7 1 4 1
BOTH EQUALLY(VOL) 7 10 14 9 4 8 10 11 6 7
DK/NA 2 6 6 4 4 3 4 4 3 3
17
96. Which comes closest to your view about illegal immigrants who are currently living in
the United States? A) They should be allowed to stay in the United States and to
eventually apply for U.S. citizenship. B) They should be allowed to remain in the United
States, but not be allowed to apply for U.S. citizenship. C) They should be required to
leave the U.S.
LIKELY DEM CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
LIBERAL..... Mod/
Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom
A) Stay/Citizenship 85% 97% 87% 76% 85% 85%
B) Stay/Not citizen 4 1 5 6 4 4
C) Not stay 9 1 7 16 9 9
DK/NA 2 1 1 3 2 2
COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YRS.............. ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...
Yes No 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K
A) Stay/Citizenship 89% 82% 90% 86% 81% 81% 80% 86% 87% 87%
B) Stay/Not citizen 6 3 4 3 6 4 1 5 4 6
C) Not stay 4 13 5 9 11 12 17 6 8 5
DK/NA 2 2 1 2 2 3 1 3 1 2
97. Do you support or oppose the nuclear deal with Iran?
LIKELY DEM CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
LIBERAL..... Mod/
Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom
Support 66% 79% 70% 55% 73% 60%
Oppose 19 10 13 28 16 21
DK/NA 15 11 17 17 11 19
COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YRS.............. ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...
Yes No 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K
Support 75% 58% 53% 70% 67% 75% 51% 62% 76% 75%
Oppose 11 25 28 17 15 15 31 23 14 5
DK/NA 14 16 19 13 18 9 18 15 9 20
98. Do you think the nuclear deal with Iran would make the world safer or less safe?
LIKELY DEM CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
LIBERAL..... Mod/
Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom
Safer 68% 81% 71% 57% 76% 62%
Less safe 17 7 11 28 14 20
DK/NA 14 11 18 14 10 18
COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YRS.............. ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...
Yes No 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K
Safer 76% 63% 61% 71% 69% 74% 54% 69% 78% 75%
Less safe 10 23 25 15 15 14 32 15 14 5
DK/NA 14 14 14 14 16 11 15 16 8 20
18
99. Would you support or oppose the U.S. sending ground troops to fight ISIS in Iraq and
Syria?
LIKELY DEM CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
LIBERAL..... Mod/
Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom
Support 37% 32% 37% 43% 39% 36%
Oppose 57 63 59 49 57 56
DK/NA 6 5 4 8 4 8
COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YRS.............. ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...
Yes No 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K
Support 29% 43% 50% 40% 34% 24% 41% 34% 38% 37%
Oppose 66 50 47 55 61 63 51 62 56 58
DK/NA 6 7 3 6 5 13 8 4 5 5
100. Do you think the United States and its allies are winning or losing the fight against
ISIS?
LIKELY DEM CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
LIBERAL..... Mod/
Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom
Winning 27% 29% 28% 26% 33% 22%
Losing 48 43 49 50 44 52
DK/NA 25 28 23 24 23 26
COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YRS.............. ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...
Yes No 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K
Winning 27% 27% 27% 32% 29% 18% 27% 28% 27% 24%
Losing 44 51 52 46 47 47 49 48 49 48
DK/NA 28 22 21 21 24 35 24 24 24 27