Climate, Ocean and Sea Ice Modeling Program - IARC...

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Climate, Ocean and Sea Ice Modeling Program CICE The Los Alamos Sea Ice Model . . . a Community Ice CodE . . . Elizabeth Hunke Fluid Dynamics Group, Los Alamos National Laboratory

Transcript of Climate, Ocean and Sea Ice Modeling Program - IARC...

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Climate, Ocean and Sea Ice Modeling Program

CICE

The Los Alamos Sea Ice Model

. . . a Community Ice CodE . . .

Elizabeth Hunke

Fluid Dynamics Group, Los Alamos National Laboratory

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Operational Forecasting/Data Assimilation

6 Dec 20056 Dec 2005 HYCOM Consortium MeetingHYCOM Consortium Meeting 1212

CICE (PIPS 3.0) Annual Ice ConcentrationCICE (PIPS 3.0) Annual Ice Concentration

StandStand--alone CICE alone CICE –– 19991999--2003 NOGAPS 32003 NOGAPS 3--hourly wind and thermal forcinghourly wind and thermal forcingNaval Research Laboratory

National Ice Center

Environment Canada

others...

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Operational Forecasting/Data AssimilationDelta-Eddington Radiative TransferMelt Pond Albedo Effects

Dave Bailey

National Center for Atmospheric Research

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Operational Forecasting/Data AssimilationDelta-Eddington Radiative TransferMelt Pond Albedo Effects Melt Pond Physics

71

Figure 1: Sea ice topography.

Throughout the melt season, the area of sea ice covered in ponds of meltwater varies, and this significantly alters the area-averaged albedo of the sea ice cover.

A paper has been accepted that describes the formulation of a model of melt ponds suitable for inclusion within the sea ice component of a GCM. The Los Alamos CICE sea ice model (version 4.0) is being modified to include our new melt pond model. e) Coupled sea ice—ocean modelling of the Arctic Ocean (Turner, Feltham and Laxon). We have coupled the CPOM CICE sea ice model to the NEMO ocean model component (OPA) for a regional model of the Arctic Ocean and have begun test calculations. We plan to initially test calculations against measured ice thickness, extent etc and then to explore halocline formation. f) Geophysical scale sea ice rheology from ice tank experiments and satellite imagery (Modelling: Feltham and Taylor; Experiments: Sammonds and Hatton). Satellite data coincident with the SHEBA experiment are incorporated into a model that can be used to determine the continuum-scale sea ice rheology from the material rheology of sea ice, the geometry of the sea ice cover, and the sub-continuum scale deformation of the sea ice cover. At the large-scale (about 200 km) the shear stress is found to be much less than the longitudinal stresses independent of the precise details of the material rheology and independent of the time of year. The satellite data reveal that along large-scale lead features there is variation between small-scale divergence and convergence with a lengthscale of the same order of magnitude as individual sea ice floes (about 1 km). Combining data from several timepoints produces a yield curve envelope and demonstrates the growth of the yield curve as the ice thickens. g) PhD students Fern Scott, Lucas Stone-Drake, Eleanor Bailey and Sinead Farrell. Fern is developing an advanced hydrological model of the lateral evolution of melt ponds on sea ice. Lucas is doing experiments on the formation of snow ice. Eleanor is doing experiments and modelling regarding the consolidation of rafted ice. Sinead is analysing satellite data from IceSat. (2) Professor Graham Shimmield, Director, Scottish Association for Marine Science, Dunstaffnage Marine Laboratory, Dunbeg, Oban, Argyll, PA37 1SG, Scotland ([email protected] http://www.sams.ac.uk/) SAMS Arctic Activities 2006 Professor Graham Shimmield, Director, Scottish Association for Marine Science, Dunstaffnage Marine Laboratory, Dunbeg, Oban, Argyll, PA37 1SG, Scotland ([email protected] http://www.sams.ac.uk/). Co-leader of the IPY – Pan Artic Marine Ecosystem IPY project (PAN-AME) with Barber (U. Manitoba) and Falk-Petersen (Norwegian Polar Institute) Partnership in Ny-Ålesund marine lab: SAMS continues to be the official UK partner of the Kings Bay Arctic Marine Laboratory at Ny Alesund, Svalbard. The UK National Scientific Diving Facility at SAMS

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hsurf !

"

Daniela Flocco

University College London

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Operational Forecasting/Data AssimilationDelta-Eddington Radiative TransferMelt Pond Albedo Effects Melt Pond PhysicsBiogeochemistry

!Framework is ready

!Harvest data, guidance, assistance

!Several groups have S and other results

!Build 1st regional DMS ice model

!Multielemental basis has to be strong

ON TO COLLABORATIONS

Offshore Barrow, Landfast Water column BeringAll data courtesy Deal IARC

Clara Deal

International Arctic Research Center

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Operational Forecasting/Data AssimilationDelta-Eddington Radiative TransferMelt Pond Albedo Effects Melt Pond PhysicsBiogeochemistry Soot and Snow

Wiscombe, 1980], implying further ablation acceleration during the melt season. Fourth, spring62

and summer melting can concentrate hydrophobic BC at the surface [Clarke and Noone, 1985],63

further accelerating the ablation process. Fifth, the stable atmosphere of high latitudes confines64

thermal responses to surface energy forcings to low-altitudes, implying greater forcing “efficacy”65

for dirty snow relative to greenhouse gases [Hansen et al., 2005].66

Very small quantities of BC alter snow reflectance

Figure 2: Difference in summer surfaceforcing (Wm!2) from black carbon insnow on sea-ice between a strong borealfire year (1998) and a weak year (2001).

67

because the absorption coefficient of BC is about 8 or-68

ders of magnitude greater than ice in the visible spec-69

trum. While very few BC measurements have been70

made in Arctic snow, mixing ratios of 5–50 ng g!1 are71

reported in two studies [Clarke and Noone, 1985;Gren-72

fell et al., 2002]. In large-grained snow, 50 ng g!173

lowers broadband snow reflectance by > 0.03. BC74

sources are primarily from anthropogenic fossil fuel75

combustion and biomass burning. Boreal fires are the76

dominant source of Arctic BC during strong fire years77

such as 1998, but otherwise contribute a small share78

[Flanner et al., 2005]. Figure 2 shows the simulated79

summer (JJA) 1998–2001 difference (2001 was a weak80

boreal fire year) in surface forcing from BC in snow on81

sea-ice using SNICAR/CSIM. Global BC emissions82

are likely to increase 25% by 2030 and perhaps 100%83

by 2100 [Penner et al., 2001], augmenting the impor-84

tance of understanding climatologic influences of dirty85

snow processes.86

In spite of globally-uniform greenhouse forcing, summertime Arctic and Antarctic sea-ice87

show asymmetric trends over the last 25 years [Folland et al., 2001]. While Antarctic sea-ice has88

shown little trend, summertime Arctic sea-ice has retreated by more than 15%. We will evaluate89

the extent to which asymmetric polar forcing by BC in snow on sea-ice and in the polar atmosphere90

can explain this phenomenon.91

6 Approach92

We treat snow as a collection of ice particles following Grenfell and Warren [1999], adjusting Mie93

Theory to obtain optical properties of aspherical ice grains of varying sizes [Wiscombe and Warren,94

1980]. We use BC optical properties and mixing states recommended by [Bond and Bergstrom,95

2005]. Our multi-layer two-stream radiative transfer solution [Toon et al., 1989] accounts for96

vertical heterogeneity and snowpack transmittance. SNICAR uses 470 and 5 spectral bands in97

offline and coupled GCM modes, respectively.98

Because our microphysical snow aging model [Flanner and Zender, 2006] is too computa-99

tionally expensive for use in a GCM, we adopt a simple and effective representation (Equation 16100

in Flanner and Zender [2006]), first suggested by Legagneux et al. [2004], with best-fit, online101

lookup parameters that depend on snow temperature, temperature gradient, and density. We will102

work with Elizabeth Hunke and Bill Lipscomb to implement SNICAR into the developmental103

3

Charlie Zender

University of California Irvine

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Operational Forecasting/Data AssimilationDelta-Eddington Radiative TransferMelt Pond Albedo Effects Melt Pond PhysicsBiogeochemistry Soot and SnowGrease and Frazil Ice

Fig. 1. Processes relevant ...... .

Smedsrud, L. H. (2001). Frazil ice entrainment of sediment: large tank lab-oratory experiments. Journal of Glaciology 47 (158), 461–471.

Smedsrud, L. H. (2002). A model for entrainment of sediment into sea iceby aggregation between frazil ice crystals and sediment grains. Journalof Glaciology 48 (160), 51–61.

Smedsrud, L. H. and R. Skogseth (2006). Field measurements of Arcticgrease ice properties and processes. Cold Regions Science and Technol-ogy 44 (3), 171–183. doi:10.1016/j.coldregions.2005.11.002.

Svensson, U. and A. Omstedt (1998). Numerical simulations of frazil icedynamics in the upper layers of the ocean. Cold Regions Science andTechnology 28 (1), 29–44.

Vancoppenolle, M., T. Fichefet, and C. M. Bitz (2006). Modeling thesalinity profile of undeformed arctic sea ice. Geophysical Research Let-ters 33 (L21501), doi:10.1029/2006GL028342.

Winsor, P. and G. Bjork (2000). Polynya activity in the Arctic Ocean from1958 to 1997. Journal of Geophysical Research 105 (C4), 8789–8803.

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Lars Smedsrud

Bjerknes Centre for Climate Research, Norway

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Operational Forecasting/Data AssimilationDelta-Eddington Radiative TransferMelt Pond Albedo Effects Melt Pond PhysicsBiogeochemistry Soot and SnowGrease and Frazil Ice Sliding Friction Rheology

cream-cone yield curve was originally adopted by Coon(1972), who considered the analogy of sea ice with agranular soil. Laboratory experiments produced similarresults (Schulson and Nickolayev 1995) that have beenused for larger-scale modeling, for example, Hibler andSchulson (2000). Yield curves of a similar droplet shapehave been produced by considering floe collision (Shenet al. 1987), applying the method of characteristics(Pritchard 1988), discrete element simulation (Hopkins1996), and studying the effect of the presence of twoleads (Hibler and Schulson 1997). Although ice-cream-cone and Mohr–Coulomb-type yield curves are used inlarge-scale Arctic simulations (Armstrong et al. 2003;Heil and Hibler 2002), the most commonly used yieldcurve still remains an elliptic yield curve. Depending ona particular value of the parameter k, the yield curveshape used here can change from that determined byonly ridging (k ! 0), which is more similar to a sine-wave shape, to that determined by sliding (k ! !),which has a shape of an imperfect ice cream cone. Thesea ice dynamics are determined not only by the yieldcurve shape but also the flow rule.

5. Simulations of the Arctic sea ice cover

We have incorporated our new model of sea ice rhe-ology into the Los Alamos CICE sea ice model code(version 3.0, freely available online at http://climate.lanl.gov/Models/CICE/), which describes boththe thermodynamic and dynamic evolution of the seaice cover. A full description of the Los Alamos CICEsea ice model code is contained in the user manual(Hunke and Lipscomb 2001). To incorporate our newsea ice rheology, we changed the sea ice strengths for

ridging and sliding, now given by (43); changed the arealoss rate due to ridging, which is now given by | " |#r($);and inserted a new routine for calculating sea ice stress.The sea ice stress calculation was modified to includeour sea ice rheology, but following Hunke and Dukow-icz (1997) we introduced artificial elasticity. Elasticitywas included not to describe any physical effect, but tomake use of an efficient, explicit numerical algorithmused to solve the full sea ice momentum balance. Werepresent the plastic sea ice rheology in standard, re-duced Reiner–Rivlin form:

! % !&"'1 ( 2"&"'"*, &45'

where "* is the traceless part of the strain rate andplasticity is ensured by homogeneity of the scalar coef-ficients ) and * with respect to strain rate magnitude oforder zero and minus unity, respectively. The scalarcoefficients, interpreted as viscosities, are given by

! % #I+$&"',, " % #II+$&"',%"II, &46'

where -.($), -..(-.) are given by (29) and (30) and-r,s

I ($), -r,sII (-r,s

I ) are represented through the polyno-mial approximations given in the appendix. The elastic–viscous–plastic rheology is given by

T&!

&t( ! % !&"'1 ( 2"&"'"*, &47'

where T is an elastic relaxation time scale and we havewritten a partial time derivative instead of an objectivecorotational time derivative because the advectionalterms are relatively small (Hunke and Dukowicz 1997).In the case of an elliptic yield curve with aspect ratio1/ea, the above model becomes identical with the elas-tic–viscous–plastic (EVP) model of Hunke and Duko-witz (1997) if the elastic relaxation time for the isotro-pic part of the stress -. is taken to be e2

a times that for

FIG. 6. Some yield curve shapes used in sea ice modeling. Theproposed yield curve is plotted for k % 1.

FIG. 5. The normalized yield curves found using the ice thick-ness distribution within regions A and B for k % 0.2 (solid), k %0.6 (dashed), and k % 1 (dotted–dashed), as well as the ellipticyield curve with an aspect ratio equal to 1/2 (dotted).

SEPTEMBER 2006 W I L C H I N S K Y E T A L . 1727

Alexander Wilchinsky

University College London

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Operational Forecasting/Data AssimilationDelta-Eddington Radiative TransferMelt Pond Albedo Effects Melt Pond PhysicsBiogeochemistry Soot and SnowGrease and Frazil Ice Sliding Friction Rheology

EVP on the C-grid

Martin Losch

Alfred Wegener Institute

for MITgcm

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Operational Forecasting/Data AssimilationDelta-Eddington Radiative TransferMelt Pond Albedo Effects Melt Pond PhysicsBiogeochemistry Soot and SnowGrease and Frazil Ice Sliding Friction Rheology

EVP on the C-gridParameter OptimizationClose Print

[previous] [next]

Fig. 11. Model optimization, illustrated using one metric to gauge thickness, speed, and extent predictions, where α = 0.56. Red lines: hmod - hobs (m); contour interval: 0.2 m; green lines: υmod -

υobs (cm s-1); contour interval: 0.2 cm s-1; blue lines: RMSDsep (106 km2); contour interval: 0.02 ×106 km2. Optimal values are indicated with bold lines. The + symbol marks the optimized model run and the × symbol marks the standard model run. We also indicate parameter values used in previousstudies that use the same air drag and ice strength parameterizations: , Hibler (1979); △, Hollandet al. (1993); !, Hibler and Walsh (1982); *, Harder and Fischer (1999). Note, however, that the albedoparameterizations and values used in these studies differ.

[previous] [next]

Paul Miller

University College London

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Operational Forecasting/Data AssimilationDelta-Eddington Radiative TransferMelt Pond Albedo Effects Melt Pond PhysicsBiogeochemistry Soot and SnowGrease and Frazil Ice Sliding Friction Rheology

EVP on the C-gridParameter OptimizationInverse ModelingTotal hemispheric ice volume sensitivity

Jong Kim

Argonne National Laboratory

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Operational Forecasting/Data AssimilationDelta-Eddington Radiative TransferMelt Pond Albedo Effects Melt Pond PhysicsBiogeochemistry Soot and SnowGrease and Frazil Ice Sliding Friction Rheology

EVP on the C-gridParameter OptimizationInverse Modeling Computational Efficiency

March 16, 2007 Software Engineering Working Group Meeting 33

1! CICE4 on 20 processors1! CICE4 on 20 processors

Small domains @ high latitudes

Large domains @ low latitudes

John Dennis

National Center for Atmospheric Research

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CICE User Community

United StatesArgonne National Laboratory

Colorado State University

Columbia University

Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory

Jet Propulsion Laboratory

Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory

Los Alamos National Laboratory

Massachusetts Institute of Technology

National Center for Atmospheric Research

Naval Postgraduate School

Naval Research Lab, Stennis Space Center

NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies

New York University

Old Dominion University

University of Alaska, Fairbanks

University of California, Los Angeles

University of California, San Diego

University of California, Santa Cruz

University of Colorado, Boulder

University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign

University of Miami

U.S. Army Cold Reg. Res. and Engineer. Lab

InternationalAlfred Wegener Institute, Germany

Allahabad University/CSIR, India

Bjerknes Centre for Clim. Res., Norway

British Antarctic Survey

CRIEPI, Japan

CSIRO, Victoria, Australia

Dalhousie University, N. S., Canada

Danish Meteorological Institute

Environment Canada

Hadley Centre, UK Met Office

Institut Maurice-Lamontagne, Canada

Institute of Ocean Sciences, B. C., Canada

Inst. of Ocean., Polish Academy of Sciences

NERSC, Norway

Norwegian Meteorological Office

Proudman Oceanographic Laboratory, UK

Universite Catholique de Louvain, Belgium

Southampton Oceanography Centre, UK

Swedish Meteorolog. and Hydrolog. Institute

Universite Laval, Quebec, Canada

University College London, UK

University of Reading, UK

University of Tasmania, Australia

University of Tokyo, Japan

University of Victoria, B. C., Canada

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CICE

version 3.14 version 4.0

energy conserving, multi-layer thermodynamics multi-layer snow

ice thickness distribution with 5 categories and open water multiple-scattering radiation

variables/tracers (for each thickness category):

ice area fraction ice age

ice/snow volume in each vertical layer melt ponds

ice/snow energy in each vertical layer algal ecosystem

surface temperature

elastic-viscous-plastic (EVP) dynamics

incremental remapping advection

energy-based, multi-category ridging and ice strength

nonuniform, curvilinear, logically rectangular grids tripole grids

Fortran 90 regional configuration

parallelization via the Message Passing Interface (MPI) cache-based decomposition

netCDF or binary input/output more coupling/forcing options

users in 12 countries, dozens of institutions available to collaborators through

subversion repository

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∂c

∂t+∇ · c~u = 0 (1)

∂ch

∂t+∇ · ch~u = 0 for tracer h

IncrementalRemappingAdvection

conservative

monotone

tracers are cheap!

c constant ⇒ 1st order

c linear ⇒ 2nd order

AAAAA

``````````�

��

��

PPPPPP

�����1

�����

��3

��

���

~uarrival cell (n+1)

departure cell (n)

(1) can be rewrittend

dt

ZV (t)

c dV = 0

Mn+1 = Mn =R

Vc dV

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m∂ui

∂t=

∂σij

∂xj

+ τai + τwi + εij3mfuj −mg∂H◦

∂xi

momentum

internal stress

wind stress

ocean stress

Coriolis

sea surface tilting

Elastic-Viscous-Plastic Dynamics

1

E

∂σij

∂t+

1

2ησij +

η − ζ

4ηζσkkδij +

P

4ζδij = εij

timescale τe ∼ ∆x

rm

E? EXPLICIT

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CICE

version 3.14 version 4.0

energy conserving, multi-layer thermodynamics multi-layer snow

ice thickness distribution with 5 categories and open water multiple-scattering radiation

variables/tracers (for each thickness category):

ice area fraction ice age

ice/snow volume in each vertical layer melt ponds

ice/snow energy in each vertical layer algal ecosystem

surface temperature

elastic-viscous-plastic (EVP) dynamics

incremental remapping advection

energy-based, multi-category ridging and ice strength

nonuniform, curvilinear, logically rectangular grids tripole grids

Fortran 90 regional configuration

parallelization via the Message Passing Interface (MPI) cache-based decomposition

netCDF or binary input/output more coupling/forcing options

users in 12 countries, dozens of institutions available to collaborators through

subversion repository

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CICE Plans

• New/improved parameterizations from users

• Improved snow physics

aging, densification

• Accelerated melting/weakening

biology, soot, etc.

temperature change

ridge disintegration

• Alternative dynamics schemes

e.g., elastic-decohesive model

• Geodesic infrastructure

• Hydrology

prognostic salinity

percolation

flushing, flooding, etc.

• Biogeochemistry

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Ice Algae

mmol/m2

February May

August November

work with Scott Elliott, LANL

Nutrients/Limiters/Active Tracers

biomassDMSPsilicatenitrateammoniumlightice melt

Inactive TracerscarbonchlorophyllDMS

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Questions?