Climate Forecasting Unit Melanie Davis, Francisco Doblas-Reyes, Nube Gonzalez-Reviriego, Verónica...
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![Page 1: Climate Forecasting Unit Melanie Davis, Francisco Doblas-Reyes, Nube Gonzalez-Reviriego, Verónica Torralba Fernandez EUPORIAS General Assembly, Toulouse,](https://reader035.fdocuments.us/reader035/viewer/2022062322/56649e295503460f94b16db2/html5/thumbnails/1.jpg)
Climate Forecasting Unit
Melanie Davis, Francisco Doblas-Reyes,Nube Gonzalez-Reviriego, Verónica Torralba Fernandez
EUPORIAS General Assembly, Toulouse, 21st October 2014
RESILIENCE PROTOTYPEStrengthening the European Energy
Network with Climate Services
![Page 2: Climate Forecasting Unit Melanie Davis, Francisco Doblas-Reyes, Nube Gonzalez-Reviriego, Verónica Torralba Fernandez EUPORIAS General Assembly, Toulouse,](https://reader035.fdocuments.us/reader035/viewer/2022062322/56649e295503460f94b16db2/html5/thumbnails/2.jpg)
Climate Forecasting Unit
If I could tell you the
average wind power generation
for the next one to three months,
could you improve your business operations?
![Page 3: Climate Forecasting Unit Melanie Davis, Francisco Doblas-Reyes, Nube Gonzalez-Reviriego, Verónica Torralba Fernandez EUPORIAS General Assembly, Toulouse,](https://reader035.fdocuments.us/reader035/viewer/2022062322/56649e295503460f94b16db2/html5/thumbnails/3.jpg)
Climate Forecasting Unit
1) Energy producers (e.g. EDF, www.edf.com)
Decision: how to adjust resource management strategies based on a foreseen total wind power capacity of several wind farms.
![Page 4: Climate Forecasting Unit Melanie Davis, Francisco Doblas-Reyes, Nube Gonzalez-Reviriego, Verónica Torralba Fernandez EUPORIAS General Assembly, Toulouse,](https://reader035.fdocuments.us/reader035/viewer/2022062322/56649e295503460f94b16db2/html5/thumbnails/4.jpg)
Climate Forecasting Unit
1) Energy producers (e.g. EDF, www.edf.com)
Decision: how to adjust resource management strategies based on a foreseen total wind power capacity of several wind farms.
2) Wind farm operators (e.g. EDP, www.edp.com)
Decision: how to plan for costly maintenance works during optimal wind conditions.
![Page 5: Climate Forecasting Unit Melanie Davis, Francisco Doblas-Reyes, Nube Gonzalez-Reviriego, Verónica Torralba Fernandez EUPORIAS General Assembly, Toulouse,](https://reader035.fdocuments.us/reader035/viewer/2022062322/56649e295503460f94b16db2/html5/thumbnails/5.jpg)
Climate Forecasting Unit
1) Energy producers (e.g. EDF, www.edf.com)
Decision: how to adjust resource management strategies based on a foreseen total wind power capacity of several wind farms.
2) Wind farm operators (e.g. EDP, www.edp.com)
Decision: how to plan for costly maintenance works during optimal wind conditions.
3) Wind farm financer (e.g. Iberdrola, www.iberdrola.com)
Decision: how to optimise the return on investments, based on a foreseen wind power capacity of an individual wind farm.
![Page 6: Climate Forecasting Unit Melanie Davis, Francisco Doblas-Reyes, Nube Gonzalez-Reviriego, Verónica Torralba Fernandez EUPORIAS General Assembly, Toulouse,](https://reader035.fdocuments.us/reader035/viewer/2022062322/56649e295503460f94b16db2/html5/thumbnails/6.jpg)
INDEX: WIND POWER ESTIMATION
0 Climate Prediction Capacity 1
RESILIENCE service
Target
In Europe In USA / Tropics
Current service
CLIMATOLOGY/PROJECTIONS
PREDICTIONS
Climate Forecasting Unit
![Page 7: Climate Forecasting Unit Melanie Davis, Francisco Doblas-Reyes, Nube Gonzalez-Reviriego, Verónica Torralba Fernandez EUPORIAS General Assembly, Toulouse,](https://reader035.fdocuments.us/reader035/viewer/2022062322/56649e295503460f94b16db2/html5/thumbnails/7.jpg)
Climate Forecasting Unit
![Page 8: Climate Forecasting Unit Melanie Davis, Francisco Doblas-Reyes, Nube Gonzalez-Reviriego, Verónica Torralba Fernandez EUPORIAS General Assembly, Toulouse,](https://reader035.fdocuments.us/reader035/viewer/2022062322/56649e295503460f94b16db2/html5/thumbnails/8.jpg)
Climate Forecasting Unit
![Page 9: Climate Forecasting Unit Melanie Davis, Francisco Doblas-Reyes, Nube Gonzalez-Reviriego, Verónica Torralba Fernandez EUPORIAS General Assembly, Toulouse,](https://reader035.fdocuments.us/reader035/viewer/2022062322/56649e295503460f94b16db2/html5/thumbnails/9.jpg)
Climate Forecasting Unit
1) SCIENTIFIC CONTRIBUTION: IC3 (Verónica Torralba)
2) END-USER GUIDANCE: various inputs (EDF, Marex Spectron, Vortex, Endesa, E.ON)
3) INTERFACE DESIGN CONTRIBUTION: External visualisor
4) ENERGY FORECAST FORUM ORGANISATION
![Page 10: Climate Forecasting Unit Melanie Davis, Francisco Doblas-Reyes, Nube Gonzalez-Reviriego, Verónica Torralba Fernandez EUPORIAS General Assembly, Toulouse,](https://reader035.fdocuments.us/reader035/viewer/2022062322/56649e295503460f94b16db2/html5/thumbnails/10.jpg)
If I could tell you the
average wind power generation
for the next one to three months,
could you improve your business operations?
Climate Forecasting Unit
![Page 11: Climate Forecasting Unit Melanie Davis, Francisco Doblas-Reyes, Nube Gonzalez-Reviriego, Verónica Torralba Fernandez EUPORIAS General Assembly, Toulouse,](https://reader035.fdocuments.us/reader035/viewer/2022062322/56649e295503460f94b16db2/html5/thumbnails/11.jpg)
RESILIENCE Applications
Anticipate market changes:
Identify vulnerabilities and risks
Facilitate strategic climate adaptation action
Climate Forecasting Unit
![Page 12: Climate Forecasting Unit Melanie Davis, Francisco Doblas-Reyes, Nube Gonzalez-Reviriego, Verónica Torralba Fernandez EUPORIAS General Assembly, Toulouse,](https://reader035.fdocuments.us/reader035/viewer/2022062322/56649e295503460f94b16db2/html5/thumbnails/12.jpg)
RESILIENCE Benefits
Anticipate market changes:
Ability to make decisions earlier
Avoid subjective decision making
Take calculated precautionary action
Potential cost saving
Climate Forecasting Unit
![Page 13: Climate Forecasting Unit Melanie Davis, Francisco Doblas-Reyes, Nube Gonzalez-Reviriego, Verónica Torralba Fernandez EUPORIAS General Assembly, Toulouse,](https://reader035.fdocuments.us/reader035/viewer/2022062322/56649e295503460f94b16db2/html5/thumbnails/13.jpg)
Climate Forecasting Unit
The research leading to these results has received funding from the European Union Seventh Framework Programme (FP7/2007-2013) under the following projects:
CLIM-RUN, www.climrun.eu (GA n° 265192)
EUPORIAS, www.euporias.eu (GA n° 308291)
SPECS, www.specs-fp7.eu (GA n° 308378)
THANK [email protected]