Captain Frank W. Garcia Jr.Captain Frank W. Garcia Jr.Acting Director Information SystemsActing Director Information Systems

Deputy Under Secretary of Defense (Science & Technology)Deputy Under Secretary of Defense (Science & Technology)

Screening Categories for CBRNE ModelsOFCM Workshop

Dec 5, 2001

Overview

• Background• CBRNE Model selection criteria• Keeping it simple

Background

• Desert Shield/Storm

• Multiple models, missions and databases• Kamisaya- Chemical Weapons

• OSD Memo - HPAC, VLSTRACK, D2PC

• Organization Changes – CB VV&A Authority:– DEPSECDEF– Under Secretary of Defense for Acquisition, Technology & Logistics– (Assistant to SECDEF for Nuclear, Chemical and Biological Programs)– Deputy Assistant to the SECDEF for Chem/Bio Defense– CB Modeling & Simulation Advisory Council (MSAC)

• CB MSAC Working Group– Technically oriented integrated product teams (IPTs)

NBC Hazard Model Components

Decay, Deposition Processes

Selection Criteria

• Mission Driven– Organize, Train and Equip

– Strike, Defensive and storage

• Convergent acquisition• Transportability• Interoperability• Interwoven w/

– Doctrine, Organization, Training, Materiel, Leadership, Personnel, and Facilities

Mission Considerations

• Strike/Counter Proliferation - minimize collateral damage– Strike WMD facilities

• Defensive/Force Protection - consequence management and recovery– Theater Missile Defense intercepts

– Military Operations in Urban Terrain• Flow through complex structure• Facility modeling

• Facility Readiness– Chemical Storage

– Nuclear stockpile

– Nuclear Reactors

Representative CBW Model Utility

CBWTHREATEVENTS

Defend CivilianPopulation

CombatantWarning and

Protection

ConsequenceManagement

Threatsfrom CBWweapons

Civil Defense Prompt

assessment Terror resp

AttackWarning

Analysis C3I systems

CP targets Forensics Civil Defense

planning

Disruptionof CBW

Materials

Chem Demil Accidents Waste storage

CP effects Weapons

security Decon

WMDforensics

CP effects Weapons

safety

Disruptionof CB Matl(civ systems)

Terror resp. Emer. Resp. CIP revovery

Enemy SOFPlanning

Security anal. Collateral

damage

WMDForensics

Logisticssupport

Security

Defensive Hardware Design, Development, and Acquisition

CONOPS development

Current Models

Defensive Strike/CP Facility EAPChemical VLS Track HPAC D2PCBiological VLS Track HPAC Local*Radiological HPAC HPAC ARAC/HPACNuclear HPAC/ARAC HPAC/ARAC ARAC/HPACExplosive (high) HPAC HPAC HPAC

Backup

JEM - Developmental Strategy

• Block 1 (as outlined by OSD) IOC 2005: – Provide common use hazard prediction model

• Integrate capabilities of current DoD Counterforce, Passive Defense, and Hazard/Incident models within a common architecture

– Technologies in support of this block are at Technology Readiness Level of 7

• Block 2 will develop and integrate:– Urban effects model (e.g., UDM, MIDAS-AT, ?)– High altitude missile intercept (e.g., PEGEM) – Technologies in support of this block are currently at Technology Readiness Level of

5-6

• Block 3 will develop and integrate: – Flow through complex structures – Flow through building interiors– Technologies in support of this block are currently at Technology Readiness Level of

3

JEM - Mission

• Deliver the Common Use DoD NBC Hazard Prediction Model– Enhance situational awareness of the battlespace

• Including Civil Support for Homeland Security IF Lead Federal Agency so indicates. Otherwise DoD will follow Lead Federal Agency designations.

– Provide real-time hazard information to influence current operations

– Maintain Ground, Air and Maritime Operational Tempo

– Support JV2010 - JV2020• Information Superiority • Dominant Maneuver• Rapid Decisive Operations• Assured Access• Full Dimension Protection