Capital Markets Event - Genus plc · Global porcine pig production market represents protion in top...
Transcript of Capital Markets Event - Genus plc · Global porcine pig production market represents protion in top...
20 June 2018
Capital Markets Event
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Disclaimer
This presentation has been prepared by Genus (“Genus” or “the Company”) and has not been independently verified. Genus is solely responsible for the contents of this document and has taken all reasonable care to ensure that the facts stated herein are true and accurate in all material respects and that there are no material facts the omission of which would make misleading any statement in this document whether of fact or opinion.
While the information contained in this presentation has been provided in good faith, neither the Company, nor any of their advisers, representatives, officers, agents or employees makes any representation, warranty or undertaking, express or implied, in respect of this presentation and no responsibility or liability is accepted by any of them as to the accuracy, completeness or reasonableness of the information provided. The issue of this presentation to the recipient does not create any obligation on the part of the issuer to provide the recipient access to any additional information or to update this presentation or any additional information or to correct any inaccuracies in this presentation or any additional information which may become apparent. The recipient should conduct its own investigation into the Company and of any other information contained in the presentation.
This presentation is for information purposes only and does not constitute, and shall not be interpreted as, either an offer for sale, prospectus, invitation to subscribe for shares or debentures in the Company, or as the basis of a contract.
This presentation has been prepared on the basis that it will only be made available to investment professionals and is thereby exempt from the provisions of s21 of the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000.
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Bob Lawson, Chairman
Welcome to the Genus Capital Markets Event
2018
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Agenda
Karim Bitar CEO Pioneering animal genetic improvement
(2.00 – 2.15)
Dr. Jon Lightner Chief Scientific Officer Delivering superior genetic solutions through pioneering technologies
(2.15 – 2.45)
Dr. Bill Christianson COO Porcine Delivering genetic improvement to large integrated pork producers globally
(2.45 – 3.15)
Dr. Nate Zwald COO Dairy Delivering genetic improvement to progressive dairy farmers globally
(4.00 – 4.30)
Jerry Thompson COO Beef Delivering genetic improvement across the beef value chain globally
(4.30 – 4.50)
Stephen Wilson CFO Delivering sustainable profit growth and investing to strengthen our position
(4.50 – 5.05)
Q&A I (3.15 – 3.40) Q&A II (5.05 – 5.30)
BREAK (3.40 – 4.00) DRINKS RECEPTION (5.30 – 7.00)
Session 1 Session 2
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Karim Bitar, CEO
Pioneering animal genetic improvement
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Genus – global agricultural biotechnology pioneer
Pork Dairy Beef
(1) Adjusted operating profit including JVs; data for financial years ending 30 June
R&D
£372m Revenue
Genus in 2014
£459m Revenue
Genus in 2017
£45m Operating Profit1
£60m Operating Profit1
Performing well Turning around Starting to seize opportunity Robust pipeline
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Genus vision
“Pioneering animal genetic improvement
to help nourish the world”
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
Aver
age
milk
pro
duce
d pe
r far
m (t
onne
s)
Num
ber o
f dai
ry fa
rms
Number of US dairy farms (000s)
Average milk produced per US dairy (tonnes) 8
Positive long term demand drivers for our business
Consumption of animal protein
continues to grow1
Protein producers are getting larger and becoming more technified
(1) Represents forecast global production CAGR between 2017 – 2026 Sources: OECD-FAO; USDA; FAOSTAT
Consumers are demanding high quality, affordable protein produced sustainably
+1% +1% +2%
Consolidation (Top 3 market share)1 47% 27%
International competitors
Regional/other competitors
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Competitive landscape
Pork Beef Dairy
(1) Genus estimates for financial year ending June 2017; includes merger between two Top 5 bovine genetics competitors in 2018 Note: competitor populations shown are not exhaustive
Internal Programmes
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Genus business model
GENOMIC SELECTION GENE EDITING
SHARED PROPRIETARY TECHNOLOGY PLATFORM GENETIC IMPROVEMENT
Pork
Dairy
Beef
BIOSYSTEMS ENGINEERING
GENOME SCIENCE
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Genus strategy and capabilities
Increasing genetic control & product differentiation
Deliver value in key markets and segments Share in the value delivered
Tailored products & services
Global supply chain
Strong customer relationships
Understanding customer needs
Data-driven validation
Performance-based pricing
Elite breeding herds - germplasm
Proprietary technology platform
Expert people
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Dr. Jon Lightner, Chief Scientific Officer
Delivering superior genetic solutions
through pioneering technologies
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Shared proprietary technology platform
GENOMIC SELECTION GENE EDITING
SHARED PROPRIETARY TECHNOLOGY PLATFORM GENETIC IMPROVEMENT
Pork
Dairy
Beef
BIOSYSTEMS ENGINEERING
GENOME SCIENCE
43% 35%
40% 27%
5% 13% 12%
18%
7% Gene editing
Research, IP, genome science,
management
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Growing investment in R&D and IP
Dairy & Beef product develop.
Biosystems engineering
Porcine product development
100% = £35m
100% = £47m
R&D Investment1
IP position2
2014 2017
(1) Includes IntelliGen capitalised development cost; all data in FY17 constant exchange rates (2) Represents patents granted and applications that are owned and excludes in-licenced patents and applications; 2017 figure represents current position
~200 patents
~300 patents
+34%
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Pioneering through people: culture and organization
Attract and develop talent
• Challenging expectations
• Best-in-class career opportunities
Engage people
• Communicate to drive alignment & trust
• Encourage thought leadership
Strengthen R&D community
• Expanded the team
• Over 100 PhDs staff (across Genus)
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Accelerating our technology transformation
Programme status Impact today Impact tomorrow
Cutting edge lab and computing capabilities
A critical enabler but not a profit centre
Efficiency and improved customer solutions
Successful launch of leading semen sexing technology
Introduced competition to the market
Growing internal and
external business
Profit driver
Continued innovation
Industry leading programmes in porcine and
bovine
5+ years to commercial launch
Advancing development phase
Progressing to regulatory
approval
Genome Science
Biosystems Engineering
Gene Editing
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Being the best at driving genetic improvement
Programme status Impact today Impact tomorrow
Industry leading genomic selection programme
Industry leading products
Maintain product leadership
Møllevang to further strengthen our offering2
Industry leading Holstein programme (De Novo)
46 Top 100 bulls globally1
Sustain product leadership
Produce 75%+ bulls internally (De Novo)
Developing industry leading terminal beef programme
(NuEra)
Discovering value through partnerships with leading
beef producers
Develop clear, demonstrable product advantage through
data
Pork
Dairy
Beef
(1) Refers to both active and non-active genomic bulls based on Net Merit Dollar rankings as at April 2018 (2) Effective July 2018
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Genomic selection delivering: porcine
> Consistently sustained 35%+ increase in rate of gain
> Continue to lead the global industry
— Significantly increased animals genotyped
— Refined statistical methodology for maximizing accuracy 0
50
100
150
06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
PIC Genetic Index
years
Relationship based genomic selection starts
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Genomic selection made real
-5.0%
-2.5%
0.0%
2.5%
5.0%
-3.0
-2.0
-1.0
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
200601 200901 201201 201501 201801
Pre-wean survivability Total born
Birth Year / Month
Trends: pre-wean survivability and total born
Total bornPre-wean survivability
Success story...more and better piglets
2006 2009 2012 2015 2018
(1) Genetic trends from PIC genetic nucleus (2) Data rebased to zero based on animals born over the last two years in the genetic nucleus
Relationship based genomic selection starts
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De Novo: Genus’s leading Holstein breeding programme
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16
15 7
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partner herds
Competitor 1 Competitor 2
Other
(1) Represents the Top 100 NM$ Holstein females as at April 2018 CDCB (using the 3 April 2018 official and weekly files from CDCB)
People & talent Technology Leading germplasm1 + +
Consistently producing
world leading Holstein bulls
Leading breeding prgramme =
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Successfully launched Sexcel™ and Intelligen™
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Multiple routes to market maximize technology impact
Sexing our own genetics
DIRECT
Processing third party genetics
INDIRECT
Licensing our technology
INDIRECT
Delivering superior genetic solutions through pioneering technologies
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R&D VIDEO
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Sexcel performance
Sexcel has demonstrated superior product performance
Rigorous scientific performance comparisons
> Captured large real world dataset
> Identified contemporaneous use of Sexcel and competitor sexed product
> Comparative analysis on 20,000+ inseminations in 130+ herds in 5 countries
> Statistically significant fertility improvement
> Customer observable
“…our cows are getting pregnant faster. Better results, better product”
“Thanks to ABS as it is going to increase my
profitability in future”
“We were very satisfied and hope to use more
and more”
“…a much better conception rate
compared to the old technology”
“I am delighted with the results and will now be using 100% Sexcel
in 2018”
- LUIS BETTENCOURT - Bettencourt Dairy
- JAIDEV SARASWAT - Saraswat Dairy Farm
- PEDRO HENRIQUE - Fazenda Figueiredo
- HARRY DEWIT - Blue Sky Farms
- GAVIN HAMILTON - Lockerbie
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Transformational potential of gene editing
2013
2015 Today
• Advanced development of PRRSv technology by Genus
• Seeking proof of concept for Bovine Respiratory Disease Resilience
• Publication of PRRSv resistance by U Missouri and Genus
• Genus exclusive global license • First gene edited pig
created in collaboration with Roslin Institute (Edinburgh)
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Combatting PRRSv through gene editing
PRRSv infected region PRRSv free region
PRRSv impacts pigs and producers around the world
Source: European PRRSpective Symposium (2015); Journal of Swine Health and Production (March/April, 2013)
€1.5bn+ cost impact in Europe
$650m+ cost impact in US
Genus research collaboration demonstrates PRRSv-resistance in pigs
> Resistance through edit of single native gene without introduction of other species’ DNA
> Gene edited pigs are not transgenic GMOs
> PRRSv resistance depends on gene being passed from both parents
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PRRSv programme – significant progress made
December 2015 2016 2017 2018
- First PRRSv resistant pigs produced - Genus exclusive global license
Genus Caribou exclusive collaboration
Renovate Bio formed to conduct elite editing
Optimized Caribou reagents deployed for editing
First elite edited pigs born
US-FDA INAD granted1
(1) INAD refers to Investigational New Animal Drug application with the US Food and Drug Administration for the investigational PRRSv programme (2) ‘475 patent granted to the University of Missouri; and patent ‘790 patent granted to the University of Edinburgh; Note: Timeline represents calendar years
US and European patents granted2
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PRRSv programme – path forward and key milestones
First breedings of elite edited pigs
~100 Homozygous edited pure line animals off test
~100 Homozygous Camborough™ parent sows farrowed
Live animal disease challenge of Genus edit
Additional animal disease challenge of Genus edit
Cell line disease testing of Genus edit
Animal Amplification & Evaluation
Disease Testing
Workstream
Regulatory Submissions
First US FDA submission
US FDA package complete
Timeline represents calendar years
2019 2020 2021 2022+ 2018
~1000 terminal pigs evaluated
Gateway #1 Gateway #2
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Future directions
Delivering today… …shaping tomorrow
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Dr. Bill Christianson, COO Porcine
Delivering genetic improvement to large
integrated pork producers globally
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Never stop improving
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PIC is the global leader in pig genetics
Internal programs
Other
Competitor 2
Competitor 1
Competitor 3 Competitor 4
Note: reflects competitive landscape in 2017 Source: Governmental agencies, local pork organizations, Genus estimates. Global porcine pig production market represents production in top pig production markets, including small and non-industrial farming activity in those markets. Market shares in addressable market represent the estimated share of production in advanced production in top pig production markets
23%
Advanced production
~50%
Less advanced production
~50%
Global pig production market Share of addressable market
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Strong fundamentals for PIC genetics
Continued growth in pork
Competition
Rapid modernization
Increasing expectations
Implications for PIC
Growth of pig genetics market Improved ability for producers to measure impact of genetics Continued search for genetics that meet production needs Consolidating competitive landscape Opportunity for PIC to compete effectively and drive value for producers
Market dynamics
118 128
2017 2026
+1% p.a. Growth in all regions
Global Pork production outlook OECD (mln metric tons)
Example: consolidation in China (Rabobank)
0%
100%
08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20Commercial (>10,000 head)Mid sized (500 - 10,000 head)small size (<500 head)
Genetic gain requires scale & R&D investment
Investments for each $ of gain
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PIC competes by driving genetic improvement in pig genetics
…resulting in acceleration of the rate of gain PIC investing in genetic gain levers…
ΔG = Selection Intensity* Genetic variation* Selection accuracy Generation Interval
ΔG
Selection intensity: increased pure line populations
Genetic variation: acquired new
germplasm
Generation interval: increased replacement rates in genetic farms
Selection accuracy: introduced relationship-
based genomics
Examples of recent investments
0
50
100
150
06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
PIC Genetic Index
years
Relationship based genomic selection starts
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PIC focuses on the top of the breeding pyramid
Great Grand Parent (GGP)
Grand Parent (GP)
Parent (P)
1
10
100
2500 produced
PIC owned / leased Contracted Customer Owned
Boar studs
boars
semen
Multiplication
Commercial production
Nucleus
Slaughter pigs
Pure line expansion
Cross breeding for parent (F1) production
F1 hybrid females to terminal sires
Genetic improvement
Objectives vary at each level of the pyramid
PIC presence in the pig breeding pyramid
Sows in inventory
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PIC’s global supply chain has presence in all regions
Example: PIC owned & contracted elite nucleus farms in 6 clusters1
PIC manage genetics for 800+ farms
• 400+ multipliers (sireline & damline)
• ~400 boar studs Farms are owned by PIC, contracted from 3rd parties or owned by customers
PIC supply network
1. Farm locations indicative; overview includes two farms for gene editing project
Planned expansions in next ~4 years Existing elite farm
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PIC sells to leading producers across the globe
PIC customers include over 70% of the world’s top pork producers who... • ...measure the impact of genetics
• ... aim to capture value along the end-
to-end pork supply chain PIC works with strong partners to supply smaller local producers
Delivering genetic improvement to leading integrated pork producers globally
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CUSTOMER VIDEO
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PIC’s sales approach is underpinned by a royalty model
- 12 24 36 48 60
£
Months since first stocking
Revenue Gross Margin
North America EMEA
Latin America Asia
96% 96% 96% 97% 97%
FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 1H
65% 64% 73% 77% 77%
FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 1H
38% 59% 64% 63% 70%
FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 1H
35% 46% 41% 50% 47%
FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 1H
PIC royalty model
Stocking Grand
Parents
Producing parent sows
Ramp up production
commercial pigs Full
production
% of volumes under royalty
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Growth has come from organic and inorganic initiatives
Go to market Genetic gain Supply chain efficiency Customer focus Aligned interest
Inorganic
Génétiporc
Birchwood
Hermitage
Møllevang from July 2018
Organic
Genomics Elite farm expansions Key account strategy New royalty models
80+ production trials Transformation in Europe & China Profit plus products
Investments in services First China royalty contracts
Growth vs FY14
35%+ increase in rate of genetic gain1 Reduced lag by >0.5 year Grew volume by 14% Grew OP/MPE2 60%
Grew OP by 70%
1. Relative to FY13 baseline 2. Adjusted OP per market pig equivalent including our share of our Brazilian JV
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PIC has delivered profitable growth
1. Refers to the number of market pig equivalents that contain our genetics; 2. Including Joint Ventures and including PIC Asia for all years; 3. Adjusted operating profit 4. Excludes Gene Editing
£169m £187m
£208m
£250m
2014 2015 2016 2017
£43m
£52m
£65m
£78m
2014 2015 2016 2017
£56m £64m
£78m
£95m
2014 2015 2016 2017
OP inc. Product Development3,4
OP ex. Product Development3 Revenue2
22% p.a. 19% p.a. 14% p.a.
122m 129m 133m 139m
2014 2015 2016 2017
Volume (MPE) 1
4% p.a.
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Improved performance has enabled PIC to expand margins
Gross Margin (£/MPE)
• Accelerated genetic improvement in nucleus herds
• Drove down lag through expanding the PIC supply chain
• Demonstrated the value in customer systems with customer trials
• Continued shift from upfront sales to royalties tied to customer performance
• Introduction of premium sireline products
Actions that enabled margin improvement
FY13 FY17
FY13 FY17
+10%
+40%
Note: data is in FY17 constant currency
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Case study: European transformation
Four pillars of PIC Europe transformation • Directly serving large integrated producers
• Serving other segments through distribution
partners
• Upgraded product by reducing genetic lag
• Right-sized the organization & strengthened talent
PIC Europe OP grew by 20% p.a. from FY14 to FY17
GOZAGRI
Examples of PIC distribution partners1
1. Møllevang strategic relationship to be effective from July 2018
(From July 2018)
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Case study: PIC China has laid a strong foundation for growth
Shennong
CP
New Hope (incl. Besun JV)
Shanxi Daxiang
Guo Ming
Jinluo
Riverstone
Shyiang
Giastar
Track record:
• Introduced royalty to multiple customers
• Reduced genetic lag
• Reduced farming exposure
• Invested in local talent
• Significant growth since FY14
Strategic plan:
• Continue focus on professional producers
• Invest in own & contracted supply
• Double people capacity in core functions
PIC China track record and strategic plan Example: PIC China’s long term relationships
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Building PIC’s competitive advantages
Global supply chain
Competitive product portfolio
Deep technical expertise
Strong cash generation & governance
• Leading products for all segments • Earliest adopter of technology
• Deliver improved germplasm
• Use sequencing data for accuracy • Progress PRRSv-resistance programme
• Supply base in all key regions reduce genetic lag and provide contingency
• Expand supply – especially North America elite nucleus and Asia
• Largest cross functional technical team in the industry
• Invest in technical team through training, hiring, partnerships
• Strong cash position from global scale • Monitor for M&A
Relations with top producers
• Serving >70% of ~200 largest producers; 77% of volumes under royalty
• Continue key account strategy • Leverage distribution model for
smaller producers
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PIC: the world’s leading porcine genetics company
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Q&A
Q&A – session I
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Dr. Nate Zwald, COO Dairy
Delivering genetic improvement to progressive dairy farmers globally
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Our global dairy business
Demand for quality dairy genetics is supported by strong long term fundamentals
50
GROWING DEMAND FOR HIGH QUALITY
DAIRY GENETICS
FARMER PRODUCTIVITY farmers want to produce more
milk with fewer inputs, as competition for resources grows
FARMER CONSOLIDATION larger farmers typically measure performance in more detail and better understand the impact of
superior genetics
CONSUMER DEMAND growing demand for affordable,
high quality and sustainably produced dairy products
COW HEALTH farmers desire cows that are
naturally more resilient, reducing the need for drugs
51
ABS Dairy produces and markets elite dairy genetics
~18m units sold annually
50,000+ customers
1,600+ employees globally
6 production studs
70+ countries
Commercial Platform
Breed superior bulls Collect and
process semen
Market semen and embryos Reproductive &
genetic services
Information as of June 2017; units as of 12 months ending December 2017
40 days
9 months
3-5 years
Genomic technology is changing the way genetics are evaluated and priced
52
INSEMINATION heifer is artificially bred with semen from a breeding bull
PREGNANCY CHECK heifer is checked to confirm
success of insemination
CALF IS BORN birthing ease assessed
‘CALF’ BEGINS PRODUCTIVE LIFE ‘calf’ gives birth and begins milking;
farmer realises the benefit of the genetics from the original insemination
Historically a bull would be evaluated according to how
productive its offspring are years after breeding…
…today a bull’s DNA is checked at birth against known markers,
which reliably indicates its quality as a breeding animal even
before it is sexually active
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Dairy genetics market is changing rapidly
Source for dairy animal consolidation data: Genus analysis; US Holstein breeders represented in the Top 200 NM$ rankings by birth year; 2018 data based on Top 200 Holsteins active as at April 2018 CDCB (using the 5 April 2018 official and weekly files from CDCB); ABS volume growth data as for calendar year 2017
Ownership of the world’s leading dairy animals (used for breeding) is consolidating
Breeders in Top 200 NM$ bull rankings ABS volume growth by product type for 2017
Customers are harnessing sexing and IVF technologies to improve their herds
6%
29% 35%
Convetionalgenetics
Sexedgenetics
Embryos
107
48% 48
85%
# of breeders featured Top 20 breeders'share of top bulls
2008
2018
ABS has the strongest dairy product line-up in the industry
54 Analysis based on Top 100 Holsteins active as at April 2018 CDCB (using the 5 April 2018 official and weekly files from CDCB); NM$ refers to Net Merit Dollar rankings *Includes both active and non-active genomic bulls (all young bulls that are currently not yet producing semen, but have received genomic evaluations)
# of bulls
% of ABS Holstein bulls sourced internally
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
Competitor 1 Competitor 2 Competitor 3 Competitor 4
Top 100 NM$ bulls - Proven
Top 100 NM$ bulls - Active Genomic
Top 100 NM$ bulls - Pipeline*
Top 100 NM$ bull rankings
0% 20% 45% 65%
FY14 FY16 FY18F FY20F
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
7%
8%
9%
ABS Competitor 1 Competitor 2 Competitor 3 Competitor 4 Competitor 5 Competitor 6 Competitor 7 Competitor 8 Competitor 9
Recently acquired share
Existing share
55
Consolidation in genetics is also driving consolidation amongst bovine genetics companies
Merging
Share of global bovine genetics by volume
Source: National industry associations; Genus estimates as at June 2017; volume relates to units of semen sold; shares based on top 30 target dairy and top 8 beef markets
Transforming ABS Dairy
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Create superior genetics
Become the genetic advisor of choice
Capture a share of the value delivered
Large progressive dairies
Small/medium sized dairies
Sourcing bulls from third party breeders and utilising competitor’s
technology to sex semen
Selling proven bulls from catalogues based on public index scores
Unit pricing based on genetic merit
Making our own genes
Sexing genetics with our own technology
Producing embryos to accelerate genetic progress
Engaging with customer to define breeding objectives and build a
tailored index
Ensuring our genetics perform: technical & repro services
Moving towards subscription
model and value-share pricing
Online tool enabling all customers to tailor genetic selection
Ensuring our genetics perform: technical & repro services
Unit pricing based on
genetic merit
FROM
TO TO TO
Other sexed genetics
Demand for Sexcel is exceeding our expectations
57 (1) Revenues represent global revenues in FY17 constant currency (2) Represents average unit price for sexed genetics in constant currency with ‘Other sexed genetics’ data for the period July 2016 – May 2018; Sexcel data for the period August 2017 – May 2018
Global Sexcel revenues1 ABS average unit price for sexed genetics2
+5%
Sexcel sales are growing rapidly… …and we are capturing a share of the value
Revenues Sep 17 Jan 18 May 18
Sexcel as % of total sexed semen revenues 27% 58% 77%
Sexcel as % of total dairy semen revenues 8% 18% 26%
0
1
2
3
Aug 17 Sep 17 Oct 17 Nov 17 Dec 17 Jan 18 Feb 18 Mar 18 Apr 18 May 18
£m
ABS: the genetic and repro partner of choice for progressive dairy farmers globally
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CUSTOMER VIDEO
ABS’s sexed genetics accelerate genetic progress and increase dairy farmers’ profitability
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Higher quality heifers identified and bred with
sexed semen
Conventional dairy semen
Beef semen
High quality female calves (replacements)
Lower cost milking pregnancies
Milking pregnancies with higher value calf
ABS’s growing IVF platform means that more customers can access the power of male and female selection
60
ABS acquires IVB US media & embryo laboratory opens
New laboratory in Mexico
US key account business doubles year-on-year
IVB relocates to ABS’s Brazilian headquarters
IVB USA launched to serve progressive dairies
2015 2016 2017 2018 270,000+ embryos1
p.a.
(1) Volumes and growth relate to 12 months ending December 2017
+35%1
in 2017
ABS provides a differentiated service model for our customers globally
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Universal genetic selection tool
High touch model for strategic accounts
PRODUCTION HEALTH CONFORMATION
Cheese
Fat & protein
Fluid
Maintain size
Smaller cows
Larger cows
Repro
General health
Udder health
Robot ready
Functional
Improve type
Simple online tool generates tailored genetic index and ranks bulls according to a
farmer’s specific requirements
Senior ABS thought leaders engaging directly with
customers to define and deliver their breeding goals
62
ABS has a strong global footprint
Direct presence
Indirect presence
ABS production stud(s)
Other bull facility
IVF facilities
IntelliGen facility
ABS: the genetic and repro partner of choice for progressive dairy farmers globally
63
Making our own elite genetics
Sexing with proprietary
technology
Producing embryos to accelerate
genetic progress
Total Genetic Solution
Delivering superior genetic and repro services
64
Jerry Thompson, COO Beef
Delivering genetic improvement across the beef value chain
globally
65
ABS’s global beef business
Beef is a large and growing opportunity
The top 6 markets account for over 60% of beef produced globally
Source: OECD-FAO; Beef and veal production in cwe; growth in consumption represents CAGR between 2017 – 2026
11 mT
10 mT
8 mT
7 mT
3 mT 3 mT
Global beef production 70mT
Consumption growth – developed 0.4%
Consumption growth – developing 1.4%
66
ABS is focused on key beef production markets where we can have an impact with elite terminal genetics
67 (1) BxB – purebred beef animal; BxD – beef animal crossed with a dairy animal; DxD – purebred dairy animal (2) Analysis excludes Dairy x Dairy matings; Source: OECD-FAO; AHDB; Genus estimates
11 mT
10 mT
94%
1% 6%
32%
50%
18%
88%
12%
BxB
BxB
BxD DxD
BxD
DxD
BxB (Tropical)
DxD
~50%
10-15%
5-10%
1 mT
Beef produced Genetic source of beef1 Beef produced through artificial insemination2
68
Transforming ABS Beef
Create superior genetics
Demonstrate value to our customers
Capture a share of the value delivered
Beef x Beef
Beef x Dairy
Beef x Tropical
Sourcing bulls from third party breeders
Selling ‘the bull’ based on generic industry evaluations to all segments
Unit pricing based on industry evaluations
Starting to produce genetics from our own
proprietary herds
&
developing proprietary indices tailored to specific segments
Demonstrating which genetics deliver value across the value chain
Capturing additional value
&
moving towards value-share pricing
Demonstrating which genetics deliver better calves when cross-bred
Demonstrating which genetics deliver value for the dairy farmer and
beef processor
TO TO TO
FROM
69
Shifting genetic focus to whole chain profitability
(1) Pedigree producers of commercial breeding stock (2) Commercial beef producers selling weaned calves (3) Develops weaned calves for sale to the feedlots Source: National Cattlemen’s Beef Association; USDA; Genus Estimates; data relates to US market
MATERNAL MATERNAL MATERNAL MATERNAL MATERNAL MATERNAL MATERNAL
HEALTH HEALTH HEALTH HEALTH HEALTH HEALTH HEALTH
EFFICIENT GROWTH EFFICIENT GROWTH EFFICIENT GROWTH EFFICIENT GROWTH EFFICIENT GROWTH EFFICIENT GROWTH EFFICIENT GROWTH
CARCASS CARCASS CARCASS CARCASS CARCASS CARCASS CARCASS
PROVENANCE PROVENANCE PROVENANCE PROVENANCE PROVENANCE PROVENANCE PROVENANCE
Seedstock1 Cow Calf2 Stocker3 Feedlot Packer Retailer Consumer
70,000 728,000 20,000 2,100 4 (major) 10s > 100m
Now our focus is to create new products prioritising
terminal genetics that deliver value across the
chain and create demand downstream
Traditionally we have focused on genetics from third-party breeders that prioritize traits
preferred by calf producers
Utilise insight from real data
for product development
Improve nucleus herd
Breed customer herd with our
genetics
Measure performance of offspring from
farm to fork
Developing whole chain profit-focused terminal genetics
70
We are developing proprietary genetics tailored to key markets
T14 Terminal Line
T15 Terminal Line
Partnering with a leading US feedlot to develop whole chain terminal BeefxBeef genetics
71
R&D partnership to discover value of
terminal genetics in customer system
Starting to collect data on total profitability from birth to harvest
Proprietary profit-focused index being
finalised
<2015 2016 2017 2018 2019+
Develop a scalable commercial supply and
value share model
Longstanding ABS beef genetics customer
Sire Index
Total Profit
Identifying which beef genetics are more profitable for tropical BeefxBeef cross-breeding, and capturing value
72
Increasing XBlack genetic index value
Sire 1 Sire 2 Sire 3 Sire 4
Price Pre XBlack
Price Post XBlack
No change
+12%
+21%
+74%
Change in price of genetics post XBlack launch
Source: Genus data
Delivering more profitable proprietary beef genetics to dairy farmers
73
Maximising dairy farmers’ profitability through proprietary beef genetics
Delivering more value
Source: Genus data
More milk from the herd
More calves to sell for beef
More £££ per calf sold
Incremental £ value to the dairy farmer by sire compared with low indexing sire
+37 +61
+77 +95 +101 +108 +114
+127 +141
+157
Sire1
Sire2
Sire3
Sire4
Sire5
Sire6
Sire7
Sire8
Sire9
Sire10
Strong double digit growth in average unit prices
since index launch
Delivering more profitable whole chain beef genetics to a leading beef processor
74
+1.8%
+3.2%
+2.3%
+4.7% +4.5%
+6.0% +6.1%
+7.8%
Medium index sireHigh index sire
Red meat Fillet Loin Rib eye
Source: Actual data from leading UK customer
Demonstrating which genetics produce more profitable carcasses
Carcass yield compared with low indexing sire
Delivering incremental profit and starting to implement a royalty model
Baseline: low index
bull
Incremental £ value per head realised by our customer compared with low indexing sire
+30
+141
Mediumindex sires
Highindex sires
Developing profit-focused terminal genetics
75
CUSTOMER VIDEO
76
Pioneering a new approach to genetic value creation for the beef industry
> ABS Beef is at the start of an exciting transformation
> The opportunity for whole chain profit focused terminal beef genetics is large
> The biology of bovine reproduction and pace of industry change make this a medium to long term opportunity
> ABS Beef is making good progress and there are encouraging early signs
77
Stephen Wilson, CFO
Delivering sustainable profit
growth and investing to strengthen our
position
78
Strong historical financial performance
Operating profit adjusted and includes joint ventures; profit before tax and earnings per share on adjusted basis; all numbers £m in actual currency for financial years ending 30 June
372 399 388 459
2014 2015 2016 2017
45 51 54 60
2014 2015 2016 2017
39 47 50 56
2014 2015 2016 2017
Revenue CAGR 7%
Profit Before Tax CAGR 13%
Operating Profit CAGR 10%
47 57 61 69
2014 2015 2016 2017
Earnings per Share (pence) CAGR 14%
79
Historical operating profit performance
FY14 FY17 CAGR actual
currency
CAGR constant currency
2018 H1 growth in
const. currency
55.6 94.8 20% 14% 7%
27.3 21.3 (8%) (10%) 47%
R&D (27.7) (43.8) (17%) (10%)
Central Costs (10.4) (12.2) (6%) (1%)
Operating Profit 44.8 60.1 10% 7%
Gene editing costs (add back)
- 3.5 - -
Operating Profit ex. gene editing 44.8 63.6 12% 9%
Operating profit represents adjusted operating profit including joint ventures; 2018 H1 growth compared with 2017 H1; financial years ending 30 June
£m
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17
£m
Research & Development Capital Expenditure Acquisitions & Investments1 2
80
Investing to strengthen our position
(1) Includes IntelliGen capitalised development cost (2) Includes biological asset cash movements and finance lease payments
Invested £100m in 2017
Besun JV
51%
49%
81
Strong cash generation supporting investment and dividend growth
(53)
(112)
Opening net debt2014
Cash generated Capex Pension deficitrepair
Dividends Acquisitions &investments
Currency impact Closing net debt2017
176
(59)
(24)
(47)
(82)
(23)
Net debt 2014 refers to opening net debt in FY14 (as at 30 June 2013)
£m
1.0x EBITDA
1.5x EBITDA
82
We will continue to invest and strengthen our business
Pork Beef Dairy
Product/ technology
Supply chain
Enterprise system
PRRSv programme
New global production facility Expand supply chain
Møllevang effective July 2018
83
Focused on delivering sustainable growth
2009 - 2014 2014 - 2017 2017 - 2023
Operating profit – actual currency 2% 10%
Operating profit – constant currency 4% 7% Mid-high single digit
Operating profit – constant ex. gene editing 4% 9% Double digit
• Lead in profit-focused genetics
• Grow share of large progressive dairies globally
• Grow Sexcel
• Lead in profit-focused genetics
• Grow royalty with large producers
• Grow in China
• Develop and market profit-focused genetics
• Share in value delivered across the supply chain
Pork Dairy Beef
Growth (CAGR)
Profit drivers
84
Clear objectives to growing shareholder value
OBJECTIVE MEDIUM TERM TARGET
Grow operating profit
Convert profit to cash
Strengthen our capabilities
Maintain a strong balance sheet
10% CAGR constant currency, ex. gene editing
> 90% cash conversion net cash from operations : operating profit ex. JVs
Invest in our R&D technology platform, people, IT and supply chain
1.0x – 2.0x Net Debt : EBITDA
Shareholder returns Sustain a progressive dividend policy
85
Q&A
Q&A – session II