Capital Link International Shipping & Offshore Forum

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Capital Link International Shipping & Offshore Forum 21 March, 2016 1

Transcript of Capital Link International Shipping & Offshore Forum

Page 1: Capital Link International Shipping & Offshore Forum

Capital Link International Shipping & Offshore Forum21 March, 2016

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Page 2: Capital Link International Shipping & Offshore Forum

A small niche player…

• 15 vessels• Main focus on products and edible oils• Crude as a complement• Listed on NASDAQ Stockholm 1984 (CCOR)• Stena Group majority shareholder

• Market cap: 100 MUSD• NAV: 200 MUSD

… but part of a large network

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Access to world class resources

Development of more than 100 newbuildings

Commercial operation of more than 100 vessels

Technical operation and manning of more 

than 130 vessels

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10 P‐MAX 2 Suezmax

1 MR (ECO)2 IMOIIMAX

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Best year since 2001

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USD million

Jan–Dec 2015

Jan–Dec 2014

Change in %

Total income 96.0 77.4 24

EBITDA 50.3 31.3 61

Operating result 24.8 8.2 202

Result before tax 20.7 2.4 762

Result per share, USD 0.43 0.03 1333

Available liquid funds* 44.0 29.9 47

Financials 2015

* Including unutilised credit facilities

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Best year since 2001

A strong market – “tanker stars aligned”

• Strong underlying demand for oil and petroleum products

• Low oil prices• “Growth doubled”• Changes in the global refinery infrastructure

Increased earning capacity

• 2 x IMOIIMAX• 2 x 0,5 Suezmax• 1 x 0,5 MR (Eco)

A successful chartering strategy

• Successful P‐MAX niche strategy• Balancing spot/TC• Stena Weco & Stena Sonangol Suezmax Pool 

– superior performance

+22%Fleet growth

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Our market

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MR Clean WW indexEarnings 2014 vs 2015

$/Day

Average MR Clean Earnings (Clarksons)

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

35,000

1‐Jan 1‐Feb 1‐Mar 1‐Apr 1‐May 1‐Jun 1‐Jul 1‐Aug 1‐Sep 1‐Oct 1‐Nov 1‐Dec

2014 2015 2016

AV. 2014: $/Day12.517

AV. 2015: $/Day 21.444

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MR timecharter rates USD/day

$/Day

Source: Clarkson

10,000

12,000

14,000

16,000

18,000

20,000

22,000

1 Year Timecharter  $/Day 3 Year Timecharter  $/Day

P‐Max premium TC ca  

$20.000/day

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• Oil demand forecasted to grow by 1.2m bpdin 2016> translates into a further 5‐6% growth in product trade volumes

• Continued low oil prices

• Continued Middle east refinary expansion > longer distances

Concerns:

• Large scale stock‐building (commercial, refinery level and strategic) 

• High number of deliveries expected

Status product tanker market

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Product tankers

Supply & Demand Summary 2015-2017

*Volume + distance (no speculation on stock build/draw)

Crude tankersGrowth, % 2015 2016 2017 (2018)

Supply (net) 2.2 5‐6 5‐6 (1.4)

Demand* 5.0 2‐4 2‐3 1‐2?

Growth, % 2015 2016 2017 (2018)

Supply (net 5.0 6.0 4.5 (1.3)

Demand* 7.0 5‐6 3‐5 3‐5?

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A well managedfleet strategy

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Light products(CPP) 

Now 15 vessels– few ships – in good hands

P‐MAX SuezmaxIMOIIMAX

Ship and cargo type

Partner (operating 50‐60 ships)(app. 20 ships)

(operating 50‐60 ships)

Heavy products(DPP)

Light products, easychemicals and vegetable oils

Crude oil

(of which one is 50% charter in with Stena Bulk)ECO MR

(50% charter in)

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Far East niche trade

4 SHIPS

Successful P-MAX niche strategy

Atlantic niche trade

6 SHIPS

Niche trade = higher utilization, higher earnings.

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Using momentum in market to time charter out– at good rates

• Ensures a good level of income

• Balancing SPOT‐exposure

• Well positioned vs. market outlook

3 charter contractsfor P-MAX-vessels

1 x 1 year

1 x 2 year

1 x 3 year

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2016 2017 2018

Unnamed vessel

Stena Supreme

Unnamed vessel

Stena Important

Stena Image

Stena President

Stena Perros

Stena Penguin

Stena Primorsk

Stena Progress

Stena Premium

Stena Performance

Stena Polaris

Stena Provence

Stena Paris

Fleet and employment strategy

Suezmax

IMOIIMAX

Spot CVC

P‐MAXProduct tankers

Eco MR

Crude tankers

50% charter in (spot)

Time Charter Option

2016 2017 2018

Employment:

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Financials

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Financial objectives

Profitability Equity ratio Growth

Target At least 10%return on equity

At least 40%over a business cycle

10% average fleet growth over a business cycle

Actual 2015

10% 43% 25% incl. charter in18% wholly owned

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Dividend statistics

‐8

‐6

‐4

‐2

0

2

4

6

8

‐1.5

‐1

‐0.5

0

0.5

1

1.5

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

USD

 Result per share, USD  Dividend per share, USD  Dividend yield, %

%

83% 92% 76% 50% 60% 56%83% 92% 76% 50% 60% 56%

Dividend as percentage of profit, %– – – 14%*–

Total return2015: 55%2014: 10%2013: 15%

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

*Proposed

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Equity and liabilities

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

USD million

 Interest‐bearing liabilities  Other liabilities and provisions

 Equity  Equity per share

Equity per share, USD

Price per shareDec 31: USD 1.65

NAV per shareMarch 17: USD 

4,48

Price per shareas of today: USD 1.99

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Share price vs. peers

• Price 1 January 2015 = 12,90• Price 17 March 2016 = 16,30

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Why invest in Concordia Maritime?

Discount to NAV1

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Improved EBITDA generation capacity• 2 new IMO2MAX-tankers• 1 Suezmax (TC)• 1 MR (EC0)• Successful P-MAX niche trading

Why invest in Concordia Maritime?

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Well positioned vs market outlook• Balancing spot/TC

Why invest in Concordia Maritime?

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Q&A

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Slask

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0

10,000

20,000

30,000

40,000

50,000

60,000

70,000

80,000

90,000

1‐Jan 1‐Feb 1‐Mar 1‐Apr 1‐May 1‐Jun 1‐Jul 1‐Aug 1‐Sep 1‐Oct 1‐Nov 1‐Dec

2014 2015 2016

Suezmax WW indexEarnings 2014 vs 2015

Average Suezmax Long Run Historical Earnings (Clarksons)

$/Day

AV. 2014: $/Day 27.791

AV. 2015: $/Day 46.713

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0.2

0.4

0.6

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1

1.2

1 Year Timecharter  $/Day 3 Year Timecharter  $/Day

Suezmax Timecharter rates USD/day

Last quote:1y; $38,0003y; $31,000

1 yr spread – owners $37,000charterers $30,000

Nothing

Almost no last donesincesummer

$/Day

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Improvedearnings capacity

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Improved earnings capacity – additional vessels

2 X IMOIIMAX

2 X 0,5 Suexmax

1 X MR (ECO)

Stena Weco IMOIIMAX PoolCPP, Easy chemicals & edible oils

Stena Sonangol Suezmax PoolCrude

Stena WecoCPP

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Outlook 2016

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Historical result before tax

‐60

‐50

‐40

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‐20

‐10

0

10

20

30

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

USD million

Including ship sales Excluding ship sales

Kortare period med USD, har ej valutakurs tidigare än så

Impairment

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Share price development

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Assets

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‐60

‐30

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60

90

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

USD million

 Ships and equipment  Ships under construction Cash  Other assets Available cash facilities

Available cash facilities, USD million