Canadian Market Overview Presentation by: Louise Roberge, President, Tea Association of Canada.
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Transcript of Canadian Market Overview Presentation by: Louise Roberge, President, Tea Association of Canada.
AGENDA
Introduction
Market Place Overview
Trends & Opportunities
Barriers
Tea Association of Canada Programs
Tea Imports
Market Share by Country of Origin
Consumption
Grocery Sales
Foodservice Sales
MARKET PLACE OVERVIEW
Tea Imports Volume Metric Tons (000,000)
Source: International Tea Committee
0
5
10
15
20
25
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
GreenTea
BlackTea
Imports from Major Producing Countries 2004-2008
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
India
Sri Lanka
Kenya
China
Producing Country Canadian Market Share Black
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
India
Sri Lanka
Kenya
China
UK
USA
Producing Country Canadian Market Share Green
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
China
Japan
UK
USA
Imports $
0
20000
40000
60000
80000
100000
120000
140000
160000
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
Black Tea
Green Tea
Total
Black Tea Imports Volume
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
India SriLanka
Indo China&HK
Japan VietnamKenya Malaw i UK Germany oEU US ARG PapuaNew
Guinea
Other
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
Black tea Imports $
0
10000
20000
30000
40000
50000
60000
70000
India
Sri La
nka
Indo
nesia
China
&HK
Japa
n
Kenya
Mala
wiUK
Ger
man
y
Oth
er EU
USA
Argent
ina
Oth
er
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
Green Tea Imports Volume
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
China & HK Taiwan Japan Other Asia UK US Other
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
Green Tea Import $
0
2000
4000
6000
8000
10000
12000
China &HK
Taiwan Japan OtherAsia
UK US Other
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
Litres Consumed Per Person
Series1 42 61 51 63 68 73 71 73 75 67 62 70
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Consumption
1991 1993 1995 1998 1999 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
Canadian Beverage Consumption Share of Throat
(Litres per Person)
86 82 81 84 86 88 87 89
101 109 111 117 114 110 103 95
97 99 9799 102 105
102 104
4256 49
68 73 7367 70
2222 29
27 27 2828 28
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
1991 1994 1996 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007
Alchohol Soft Drinks Coffee Tea Juice
Tea Sales by Category(Dollars)
0
50,000,000
100,000,000
150,000,000
200,000,000
250,000,000
300,000,000
350,000,000
400,000,000
450,000,000
1997 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
Hot Tea
RTD
Total Tea
TOTAL READY-TO-DRINK SALES 1997-2008 CANADIAN DOLLARS
0
20,000,000
40,000,000
60,000,000
80,000,000
100,000,000
120,000,000
1997 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
Ice Tea Mixes
RTD (ex cans)
TRD (cans)
Tea Sales Yearly Trend (2003 – 2008)Dollars (000,000’s)
Regular Tea Bags Specialty Tea Bags
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
National West East Ontario Quebec
Total Tea Sales Maritimes 2008
0
5,000,000
10,000,000
15,000,000
20,000,000
25,000,000
30,000,000
1
Hot Tea
RTD
Total Tea
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
2004 2006 2008
Total RegularTea Bags
Total SpecialtyTea
Green Tea
Herbal Tea
Flavoured incl.Decaf
UnspecifiedSpeacialty Tea
Tea Sales (Hot) MaritimesTea Sales (Hot) Maritimes
Tea Sales (RTD) Maritimes2008
0
500000
1000000
1500000
2000000
2500000
3000000
3500000
4000000
4500000
5000000
1
Ice Tea Mixes
RTD (exc. cans)
RTD (cans)
Total Tea Sales Quebec 2008
0
10000000
20000000
30000000
40000000
50000000
60000000
70000000
1
Hot Tea
RTD
Total Tea
Tea Sales HOT- Quebec
02468
101214161820
2004 2006 2008
Total RegularTea Bags
Total SpecialtyTea
Green Tea
Herbal Tea
Flavoured incl.Decaf
UnspecifiedSpeacialty Tea
Tea Sales RTD Quebec 2008
0
2000000
4000000
6000000
8000000
10000000
12000000
14000000
16000000
1
Ice Tea Mixes
RTD (excl canx)
RTD (cans)
Total Tea Sales Ontario 2008
0
20,000,000
40,000,000
60,000,000
80,000,000
100,000,000
120,000,000
140,000,000
160,000,000
180,000,000
1
Hot Tea
RTD Tea
Total Tea
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
2004 2006 2008
Total RegularTea Bags
Total SpecialtyTea
Green Tea
Herbal Tea
Flavoured incl.Decaf
UnspecifiedSpeacialty Tea
Tea Sales - OntarioTea Sales - Ontario
Total Sales RTD Ontario 2008
0
5,000,000
10,000,000
15,000,000
20,000,000
25,000,000
30,000,000
35,000,000
40,000,000
1
Ice Tea Mixex
RTD ( excl cans)
RTD(cans)
Total Tea Sales West 2008
0
20,000,000
40,000,000
60,000,000
80,000,000
100,000,000
120,000,000
140,000,000
160,000,000
180,000,000
1
Hot Tea
RTD Tea
Total Tea
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
2004 2006 2008
Total RegularTea Bags
Total SpecialtyTea
Green Tea
Herbal Tea
Flavoured incl.Decaf
UnspecifiedSpeacialty Tea
Tea Sales – Western CanadaTea Sales – Western Canada
Tea Sales RTD West 2008
0
5,000,000
10,000,000
15,000,000
20,000,000
25,000,000
30,000,000
35,000,000
40,000,000
45,000,000
50,000,000
1
Ice Tea Mixex
RTD(excl cans)
RTD (cans)
Avg. # of Items
Avg. # of Items
Avg. # of Items
$/Avg. # of Items
Total Tea Bags 71.0 106.6 109.7 $1,271,167
Total Regular Tea 11.0 18.1 17.6 $4,017,706
Total Specialty Tea 60.0 88.5 91.3 $742,998
Flavoured Black Tea 16.0 16.7 18.6 $551,820Green Tea 6.0 18.4 21.2 $950,105Herbal Tea 36.0 41.6 40.1 $640,917
2005 20061999
Tea rebounded in shelf presence at Grocery retailers driven by Green Tea and Flavoured Black Tea SKUs
Source: ACNielsen MarketTrack, National Grocery Banner - Latest 52 Weeks Ending January 20, 2007
Penetration is growing faster among households who associate
Hot Tea with health benefits
61.6
35.0
61.7
40.2
Total Tea Drinkers Health Associated
2006 2007
Source: ACNielsen Homescan – 52 wks to July 7, 2007 vs YAG
Household Penetration(Home Purchases)
Total Tea
Regular Black 35.3 35.4 +0.1 19.9 22.8 +2.9
Specialty 43.5 44.3 +0.8 25.3 29.7 +4.4
Green 20.2 22.9 +2.7 12.2 15.8 +3.6
+5.2
Note: Health Associated penetration is a percentage of total Hot Tea Drinkers household penetration
Restaurants in Canada served 406,459,000 cups of Hot Tea in the past 12 months
Hot Tea sales at Restaurants in Canada were approx. $609,688,000 * in the past 12 months
*Based on AEC multiplied by servings
YE May 2007 Total Canada Preliminary Data Subject To Change
$
0
10000
20000
30000
40000
50000
60000
70000
80000
MAM'07 JJA'07 SON'07 DJF'07 MAM'08
Tea-HotRegular
Tea-HotSpecialty
Servings Volume Hot Tea (000’s)
Regular Tea in slight decline while Specialty Tea experiencing strong volume gains on the year
CREST® YE May 2008 Total Canada Proprietary & Confidential for NPD clients
Tea occasions outside the home peak in the afternoon whereas evening is the
peak for inside the home.
39%
59%
74%
28%
45%41%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Morning Afternoon Evening
Inside the home Outside the home
Tea Consumption (Time of Day) - % Inside versus Outside the Home
Base = Hot tea drinkers, N=11,234
Almost ¾’s of respondents
consume tea at home in the
evening
30
30
27
21
13
7
6
Workplace
Familyrestaurant
Coffee/donutshop
Fine dining
Specialty shops
Fast food
Tea room
Thinking about the last three months, where have you consumed Hot Tea when you are outside of your home?*
Three out of ten hot tea drinkers have consumed hot tea at the workplace or
family restaurant.
Base = Hot tea drinkers that drink hot tea outside of their home, N=7,497 *Multiple mentions Source NPD Group Canada
Who is the Hot Tea Consumer?
18 to 24 Year Olds
9%25 to 34 Year Olds
15%
35 to 44 Year Olds
15%45+ Year Olds
57%CREST® YE May 2008 Total Canada Proprietary & Confidential for NPD clients
Snapshot of the Hot Tea consumer:
Specialty Tea Regular Tea
38% between ages 45-64
61% Females
30% under the age of 34
59% Females
35% consumed at Supper 38% consumed at Morning Meal
Friday is the most popular day of the week to consume
Hot Tea!
Key Learning's For Tea in Commercial Foodservice…
Key Trends in Commercial Foodservice:
Ethnic
Health
Snacking
Tea, more so than any other beverage, can capitalize on these influential trends
Trends & Opportunities
Green Tea Tea as an ingredient in cooking
and cocktails Tea as a health and beauty aid Fancy Tea bags Cause related Tea Organic Tea & foods in general
Size of the Tea Market in Canada
91% Increase in 11 years 1997 2008DOLLARS $(000’s)
IMPORTS 77.1
SALES HOT 115.2
REGULAR 73
SPECIALTY 42.2
SALES RTD 70.4
RTD (excld cans) 10.9
RTD Cans 35
Ice Tea Mixes 24.5
TOTAL HOT & RTD 185.6
SALES FOODSERVICE (est.)
340
TOTAL 602.7
DOLLARS $(000’s)
%increase since 1997
IMPORTS (ITC 2007) 137.5 78.3
SALES HOT 191.3 66
REGULAR 89.2 22
SPECIALTY 102.1 142
SALES RTD 217.1 208
RTD (excld cans) 98.8 806
RTD Cans 69.4 98
Ice Tea Mixes 48.8 99
TOTAL HOT & RTD 408.5 120
SALES FOODSERVICE (est.)
609.6 79
TOTAL 1,155.5 91
Size of the Tea Market in Canada
11% Increase over last year 2007 2008DOLLARS $(000’s)
IMPORTS 123.7
SALES HOT 181.4
REGULAR 88.8
SPECIALTY 92.6
SALES RTD 207.1
RTD (excld cans) 92.2
RTD Cans 65.7
Ice Tea Mixes 49.1
TOTAL HOT & RTD 388.5
SALES FOODSERVICE (est.)
527.5
TOTAL 1,039.7
DOLLARS $(000’s)
%increase
IMPORTS 137.5 11
SALES HOT 191.3 5.4
REGULAR 89.2 .4
SPECIALTY 102.1 10
SALES RTD 217.1 4.8
RTD (excld cans) 98.8 7
RTD Cans 69.4 5.6
Ice Tea Mixes 48.8 -.6
TOTAL HOT & RTD 408.5 5.1
SALES FOODSERVICE (est.)
609.6 15.5
TOTAL 1,155.5 11
Health Claim
• After a period of extensive review, Health Canada as granted us with a health Claim for Green Tea:
• The consumption of green tea helps to protect blood lipids from oxidation
• Green Tea increases antioxidant capacity in blood
• Green tea has an antioxidant effect in blood ( blood lipids)
• We are pursuing to have a similar claim for Black tea
Barriers Regulatory IssuesMEDIUM Priority HIGH Priority
LOW Priority On the Radar
PESTICIDEMRL’S
Health &Safety Act
MANDATORY NUTRITIONLABELLING
Healthy Living
Allergen Regulation
Organic regulation
Stewardship Ontario
Codex
WHO report
NHP’s Product SpecificHealth Claims
CBSA-CFIA
Generic Health Claim
Caffeine Labelling
Pest Management Regulatory Agency (PMRA)
•Canadian MRL’s (default 0.01 ppm)
•We are actively pursuing our efforts for Global Harmonisation with the Pest Management Regulatory Agency keeping them inform of the progress from the Global Initiative Working
New Regulations
• New Organic Regulations will be in effect in June 2008 • www.inspection.gc.ca
• New Allergen Regulation:The proposed amendments to the Food and Drug Regulations- Enhanced Labelling for Food Allergens, Gluten Sources and added sulphites was published in Canada Gazette, Part I on Sat. July 26th. They are available at the Canada Gazette website: http://canadagazette.gc.ca/partI/index-e.html.
• Labelling regulation Guide to Food Labelling and Advertising for CFIA contacts for other labelling enquiries
–
Organic Regulation
• Organic Products Regulations:• CFIA Website: www.inspection.gc.ca• Canada Gazette Website: www.canadagazette.gc.ca
• Organic Production Systems Standards:• Canadian General Standards Board Website:• www.pwgsc.gc.ca/cgsb
• Contact: • Michel Saumur, Manager, Canada Organic Office• (613) 221-7165 [email protected]
Future Challenges
• Consumer 2012
• Health and well being
• Higher Quality and premiumisation
• Stronger convenience
• More demanding
• More out-of-home consumption
• Greater environmental awareness of products
• More experience driven
• Price led value
• Exploring new tastes
Industry 2012 • Health and nutrition• Growing importance of
environmental and social factors• Constant innovation• Continuing industry consolidation• The rise of the hard discounters• An even tougher regulatory
environment• Service excellence• Technology and value chain
integration• The role of private equity