Bruce Friend AAA 2016
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Transcript of Bruce Friend AAA 2016
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Bruce B. Friend – NewMR Webinar President of Media & Entertainment, MARU/VCR&C, 2016
Bruce B. Friend MARU/VCR&C
18 August 2016
Is MR ready to “Unleash a New Reality”?
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Bruce B. Friend – NewMR Webinar President of Media & Entertainment, MARU/VCR&C, 2016
Agility, AutomaLon and AI
Agility – “always on,” plaCorm-‐based, longitudinal
AutomaLon – integrated, real-‐Hme data collecHon
ResulLng in: – Faster analyHcs, forecasHng, predicHons – Yielding cost and Hme efficiencies – “Building a smarter planet”
…But this is not ArLficial Intelligence (AI) AI is machine simulaHon of human behavior
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Bruce B. Friend – NewMR Webinar President of Media & Entertainment, MARU/VCR&C, 2016
AI Sci-‐Fi Movies will soon be Science Fact!
AI will have profound implicaHons on our future
• As researchers, we need to be thinking about these implicaHons now
• Specifically, – DisrupHon – ExploitaHon – Our evolving role / posiHon Here are some predicHons that will affect MR
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Bruce B. Friend – NewMR Webinar President of Media & Entertainment, MARU/VCR&C, 2016
AI Sci-‐Fi Movies will soon be Science Fact!
By the late 2010s: • Glasses beam images directly onto reHna
• Ten terabytes of compuHng power cost only $1,000
• Internet of Things becomes Internet of everything (IoE)
On the Internet of Everything, Qualcomm says:
“When smart things everywhere are connected together, we will be able to do more and be more…
…enabling a ‘digital sixth sense’ ”
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Bruce B. Friend – NewMR Webinar President of Media & Entertainment, MARU/VCR&C, 2016
AI Sci-‐Fi Movies will soon be Science Fact!
By the 2020s: • Nanobots will begin curing most diseases
• Normal human eaHng can be replaced by nanosystems
• Self-‐driving cars begin to take over the roads • Telescopes reveals insights into dark maber and energy
• The “Turing Test” is obsolete
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Bruce B. Friend – NewMR Webinar President of Media & Entertainment, MARU/VCR&C, 2016
AI Sci-‐Fi Movies will soon be Science Fact!
By the 2030s: • Virtual reality will feel 100% real • Fossil fuels will be obsolete • Life expectancy of 150 years • Robots indisHnguishable from humans
• No need to learn a second language • Upload mind to the cloud by year 2039
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Bruce B. Friend – NewMR Webinar President of Media & Entertainment, MARU/VCR&C, 2016
AI Sci-‐Fi Movies will soon be Science Fact!
By the 2040s: • Non-‐biological intelligence dwarfs biological intel • Nanotech foglets able to make food out of thin air
• Ability to create any object in physical world • Virtual telepathy is how we communicate
• “Time,” not “Money,” is the new monetary currency
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Bruce B. Friend – NewMR Webinar President of Media & Entertainment, MARU/VCR&C, 2016
AI Sci-‐Fi Movies will soon be Science Fact!
By 2050: • We will mulHply our intelligence a billion-‐fold
• Humans transcend biology
• And become one with the machine!
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Bruce B. Friend – NewMR Webinar President of Media & Entertainment, MARU/VCR&C, 2016
The Usual Suspects
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Bruce B. Friend – NewMR Webinar President of Media & Entertainment, MARU/VCR&C, 2016
Were we ready for Final Fantasy: The Spirits Within? • Final Fantasy: The Spirits Within was released 15 years ago!
• First 100% CGI-‐based, photorealisHc “human” feature film
• Remains the most expensive video game-‐inspired film to date
• It took 200 coders over 4 years to render all 141,964 frames
• Aki Ross was to be the first photo-‐realisHc CGI-‐animated actress
• Film was praised for the realism of the CGI-‐animated characters
• Debuted to mixed criHcal recepHon, only grossed $85MM
• SHll one of the ten biggest box office bombs of all Hme
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Bruce B. Friend – NewMR Webinar President of Media & Entertainment, MARU/VCR&C, 2016
And are we ready for AI? So, why did Final Fantasy: The Spirits Within fail so miserably…and what can we learn from this?
Sony Pictures spent half a million dollars on research to find out why…and here is what we learned: • The movie “looked” amazing • It didn’t connect emoHonally with viewers • Actors looked, acted and sounded real, but sHll weren’t human • Actors felt too arHficial, even creepy, for the audience to care
The moral of this story is: • Just because technology CAN enable us to do something… • It doesn’t mean we should do it or that it’s even the right thing to do • And it’s sHll decades away from emulaHng or replacing us humans
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Bruce B. Friend – NewMR Webinar President of Media & Entertainment, MARU/VCR&C, 2016
AI’s Role In The EvoluLon of MR • ConHnue to use technology to create, collect and deliver informaHon and intelligence • But, don’t lose sight that it sHll takes human beings to understand human beings • There will always be a “human” arHsHc, emoHonal component to generaHng insights and knowledge from data that machines simply can’t emulate…
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Bruce B. Friend – NewMR Webinar President of Media & Entertainment, MARU/VCR&C, 2016
The End
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Bruce B. Friend – NewMR Webinar President of Media & Entertainment, MARU/VCR&C, 2016
The End?
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Bruce B. Friend – NewMR Webinar President of Media & Entertainment, MARU/VCR&C, 2016
Thank You!
Bruce B. Friend [email protected]
(310) 570-‐7737
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Bruce B. Friend – NewMR Webinar President of Media & Entertainment, MARU/VCR&C, 2016
Q & A
Ray Poynter The Future Place
Bruce B. Friend MARU/VCR&C