Boston LDC Gas Forum - National Fuel Gas Company Fuel Gas Supply Corporation Boston LDC Gas Forum pp...
Transcript of Boston LDC Gas Forum - National Fuel Gas Company Fuel Gas Supply Corporation Boston LDC Gas Forum pp...
NationalFuelGasSupplyCorporationBoston LDC Gas Forum
pp y pEmpirePipeline,Inc.
une 2014
Gas Forum –Ju
Jeffrey SchaugerG l M
Boston LDC
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General ManagerInterstate Marketing
National Fuel Gas CompanySafeHarborForForwardLookingStatementsf gThis presentation may contain “forward‐looking statements” as defined by the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, including statements regarding future prospects, plans, objectives, goals, projections, estimates of oil and gas quantities, strategies, future events or performance and underlying assumptions, capital structure, anticipated capital expenditures, completion of construction projects, projections for pension and other post‐retirement benefit obligations, impacts of the adoption of new accounting rules, and possible outcomes of litigation or regulatory proceedings, as well as statements that are identified by the use of the words “anticipates,” “estimates,” “expects,” “forecasts,” “intends,” “plans,” “predicts,” “projects,” “believes,” “seeks,” “will,” “may,” and similar expressions. Forward‐looking statements involve risks and uncertainties which could cause actual results or outcomes to differ materially from those expressed in the forward‐looking statements. The Company’s expectations, beliefs and projections are expressed in good faith and are believed by the Company to have a reasonable basis, but there can be no assurance that management’s expectations, beliefs or projections will result or bein good faith and are believed by the Company to have a reasonable basis, but there can be no assurance that management s expectations, beliefs or projections will result or be achieved or accomplished.
In addition to other factors, the following are important factors that, in the view of the Company, could cause actual results to differ materially from those discussed in the forward‐looking statements: factors affecting the Company’s ability to successfully identify, drill for and produce economically viable natural gas and oil reserves, including among others geology, lease availability, title disputes, weather conditions, shortages, delays or unavailability of equipment and services required in drilling operations, insufficient gathering, processing and transportation capacity, the need to obtain governmental approvals and permits, and compliance with environmental laws and regulations; changes in laws, regulations or judicial interpretations to which the Company is subject, including those involving derivatives, taxes, safety, employment, climate change, other environmental matters, real property, and exploration and production activities such as hydraulic fracturing; governmental/regulatory actions, initiatives and proceedings, including those involving rate cases (which address, among other things, target rates of return, rate design and retained natural gas), environmental/safety requirements, affiliate relationships, industry structure, and franchise renewal; changes in the price of natural gas or oil; changes in price differentials between similar quantities of natural gas or oil sold at different geographic locations, and the effect of such changes on commodity production, revenues and demand for pipeline transportation capacity to or from such locations; other changes in price differentials between similar quantities of natural gas or oil having different quality, heating value, hydrocarbon mix or delivery date; impairments under the SEC’s full cost ceiling test for natural gas and oil reserves; uncertainty of oil and gas reserve estimates; significant differences between the Company’s projected and actual production levels for natural gas or oil; changes in demographic patterns and weather conditions; changes in the availability, price or accounting treatment
une 2014
of derivative financial instruments; delays or changes in costs or plans with respect to Company projects or related projects of other companies, including difficulties or delays in obtaining necessary governmental approvals, permits or orders or in obtaining the cooperation of interconnecting facility operators; financial and economic conditions, including the availability of credit, and occurrences affecting the Company’s ability to obtain financing on acceptable terms for working capital, capital expenditures and other investments, including any downgrades in the Company’s credit ratings and changes in interest rates and other capital market conditions; changes in economic conditions, including global, national or regional recessions, and their effect on the demand for, and customers’ ability to pay for, the Company’s products and services; the creditworthiness or performance of the Company’s key suppliers, customers and counterparties; economic disruptions or uninsured losses resulting from major accidents, fires, severe weather, natural disasters, terrorist activities, acts of war, cyber attacks or pest infestation; significant differences between the Company’s projected and actual capital expenditures and operating expenses; h i l t i l ti th i t t t i t d th t l /t t t l t d t th C ’ i d th t ti t b fit
Gas Forum –Ju changes in laws, actuarial assumptions, the interest rate environment and the return on plan/trust assets related to the Company’s pension and other post‐retirement benefits,
which can affect future funding obligations and costs and plan liabilities; the cost and effects of legal and administrative claims against the Company or activist shareholder campaigns to effect changes at the Company; increasing health care costs and the resulting effect on health insurance premiums and on the obligation to provide other post‐retirement benefits; or increasing costs of insurance, changes in coverage and the ability to obtain insurance.
Forward‐looking statements include estimates of oil and gas quantities. Proved oil and gas reserves are those quantities of oil and gas which, by analysis of geoscience and engineering data, can be estimated with reasonable certainty to be economically producible under existing economic conditions, operating methods and government regulations. Other estimates of oil and gas quantities, including estimates of probable reserves, possible reserves, and resource potential, are by their nature more speculative than estimates
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Other estimates of oil and gas quantities, including estimates of probable reserves, possible reserves, and resource potential, are by their nature more speculative than estimates of proved reserves. Accordingly, estimates other than proved reserves are subject to substantially greater risk of being actually realized. Investors are urged to consider closely the disclosure in our Form 10‐K available at www.nationalfuelgas.com. You can also obtain this form on the SEC’s website at www.sec.gov.
For a discussion of the risks set forth above and other factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from results referred to in the forward‐looking statements, see “Risk Factors” in the Company’s Form 10‐K for the fiscal year ended September 30, 2013 and the Forms 10‐Q for the quarters ended December 31, 2013 and March 31, 2014. The Company disclaims any obligation to update any forward‐looking statements to reflect events or circumstances after the date thereof or to reflect the occurrence of unanticipated events.
NFG PL&S/Midstream Focus
NiagaraNiagaraChippawa
Hopewell
Corning
JacksonEllisburg
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Leidy
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Holbrook
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Recent Extreme Winter Conditions Send Throughput SoaringWinter Throughput on NFGSC
80,000
90,000
g p
60,000
70,000
(MDth)
40,000
50,000
onthly Throu
ghpu
t (
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20,000
30,000Mo
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0
10,000
Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar
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Winter 2011‐2012 Winter 2012‐2013 Winter 2013‐2014
Winter 13‐14: Top Gas Inventory Ends at 11.6 BcfNFGSC Storage Inventory
70
80
NFGSC Storage Inventory
50
60
22.1 Bcf
35.1 BcfMarch 15, 2012
40
50
Bcf April 8, 2013
Low of 11.6 Bcf on April 2, 2014
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20
30
April 2, 2014
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0
10
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Nov‐11 Feb‐12 May‐12 Aug‐12 Nov‐12 Feb‐13 May‐13 Aug‐13 Nov‐13 Feb‐14
Winter 2011‐2012
Winter 2012‐2013
Winter 2013‐2014
NFG PL&S/Midstream Focus
NiagaraNiagaraChippawa
Hopewell
Corning
JacksonEllisburg
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Leidy DRY GAS
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Holbrook
WET GASWET GASWET GAS
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Recent Expansions Have Transformed the System
ProjectProject
Northern Access 320,000 Dth/d
Tioga County Extension 350,000 Dth/d
( ) h/d
Northern Access
Tioga County Extension
Line N (2011, 2012 & 2013) 353,000 Dth/d
Total New Capacity 1,023,000 Dth/d
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Northern Access $72 million
Tioga County Extension $58 million
Line N (2011, 2012 & 2013) $58 millionLine N Projects
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Total Capital Expenditures * $188 million
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9* Capital Cost is for Expansion Only – Excludes Modernization Cost
Recent Expansions Have Transformed the System
ProjectProject
Northern Access 320,000 Dth/d
Tioga County Extension 350,000 Dth/d
( ) h/d
Northern Access
Tioga County Extension
Line N (2011, 2012 & 2013) 353,000 Dth/d
Total New Capacity 1,023,000 Dth/d
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Northern Access $72 million
Tioga County Extension $58 million
Line N (2011, 2012 & 2013) $58 millionLine N Projects
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Total Capital Expenditures * $188 million
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11* Capital Cost is for Expansion Only – Excludes Modernization Cost
Directly Connected Production Continues to Increase1 00030 00
800
900
1,000
25.00
30.00
23.69 MMDth(846 MDth/d)
nth)
Day)
600
700 20.00
MDth
per M
on
(MDth per D
400
500 15.00
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(MM
2.74 MMDth(88 MDth/d)
200
300
5.00
10.00
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100
0.00
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Jan
Ma
May Ju Sep
No Jan
Ma
May Ju Sep
No Jan
Ma
May Ju Sep
No Jan
Ma
May Ju Sep
No Jan
Ma
May Ju Sep
No Jan
Upper Devonian ‐ NFGSC Marcellus ‐ NFGSC Marcellus ‐ NFG Midstream Marcellus ‐ Empire
NationalFuelisaMajorSWPATransporter
800
900
600
700
per D
ay)
400
500
hput (M
Dth
p
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200
300
Daily Throu
g
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100
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
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2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
TCP DTI Equitrans Other TGP NFGSC
Source: Production Data – Bentek Northeast Natural Gas Production Monitor (November 2013)
h h
Niagara is Now a Net Export Point to Canada
500
600
NFGSC Throughput at Niagara
300
400
100
200
Dth/day
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(100)
0
MD
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(300)
(200)Northern Access project was placed in‐service
November 2012
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(400)Nov‐05 Nov‐06 Nov‐07 Nov‐08 Nov‐09 Nov‐10 Nov‐11 Nov‐12 Nov‐13
Midstream BusinessesDeliveringIntothePremiumEasternCanadianMarketg
$3 50
$4.00Dawn to Dominion South Point
Dawn to TGP 300 Zone 4
Differential
Differential
Winter 13/14 Premiums in Excess of $25
$3.00
$3.50
u
Dawn to TGP 300 ‐ Zone 4Differential
$2.00
$2.50
$ pe
r MMBtu
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$1.00
$1.50
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$0.00
$0.50
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$0.00
Source: ICE Daily Cash Prices
Line N Expansion to TGP 219 Pool
I S i N b 2014
Mercer Expansion
In‐Service: November 2014
System: NFGSC
Capacity: 105,000 Dth/day
Market: Range Resources
Executed PA; 10 Yrs
Interconnect( )
Mercer Expansion
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Mercer (TGP Station 219)
Capital Cost: $33.6 Million Expansion: $29.6 million System Modernization: $4 million
Mercer(TGP Station
219)
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Facilities 3,550 HP Compressor 2.08 miles – 24” Replacement Pipeline
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Continued Expansion to TGP 219 Pool & TETCO M2
In‐Service: November 2015
Westside Expansion & Modernization
In Service: November 2015
System: NFGSC
Capacity: 175,000 Dth/day Market:
Executed PA with Range Resources; 145,000 Dth per day; 10 Yrs
Executed PA with Seneca Resources; 30,000 Dth per day; 10/15 Yrs
Interconnect
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Mercer(TGP Station
219)
Interconnect Mercer (TGP Station 219) Holbrook (TETCO)
Capital Cost: $76.2 million Expansion: $39 6 million
Westside Expansion & Modernization
Gas Forum –Ju Expansion: $39.6 million
System Modernization: $36.6 million
Facilities 3,550 HP Compressor 23 3 miles – 24” Replacement Pipeline
Holbrook (TETCO)
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23.3 miles 24 Replacement Pipeline
Deliveries into Eastern Canada
In‐Service: November 2015
Northern Access 2015
Canada & In Service: November 2015
System: NFGSC
Capacity: 140,000 Dth/dayN th
Canada & Eastern U.S.
Niagara (TCPL) Market: Executed PA – Lease
arrangement with TGP
Overall Path
Northern Access 2015
Niagara (TCPL)
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Producing area to Niagara
Capital Cost: $66 million
Facilities
Clermont
Gas Forum –Ju Facilities
15,400 HP Hinsdale CS 7,700 HP Concord CS East Eden M&R Upgrades
Delivery Point
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y
Unique Solutions for On‐System LDC’s
In‐Service: November 2015
Tuscarora Lateral
System: NFGSC & Empire
New No‐Notice Services (FTNN/FSNN) Market: RG&E NYSEGNFGDC
RG&E
Market: RG&E, NYSEG Combination of Contract Renewals and
New Business Includes 3.3 Bcf of Storage Service
Interconnect
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Interconnect Tuscarora (NFGSC /Empire)
Capital Cost: Empire $34.1 million
Tuscarora Lateral
Gas Forum –Ju Supply $11.1 million
Facilities 1,500 HP Compressor 17 miles – 12/16” Pipeline
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Additional Projects into Eastern CanadaNorthern Access 2016
Open Seasons in Progress: OS#195 ‐ NFGSC OS#12 ‐ Empire
Capacity: ~350,000 Dth/day Proposed Facilities Include: 100+ miles of 24”/30” Pipeline
Proposed In‐Service: Nov 2016
Transport Path: NFGSC to Empire @ Pendleton, with Deliveries to Chippawa
100+ miles of 24 /30 Pipeline Empire Compressor Station for
Pendleton deliveries Empire Dehydration M&R Facilities M&R Facilities
Chippawa(TCPL)
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Access 2016
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Delivery Point
Empire South‐to‐North Expandability
Status: Open Season pending –J /J l 2014
2017 Empire Expansion
June/July 2014
Proposed In‐Service: Nov 2017
Capacity: ~325,000 Dth/day
26 Mile, 24”
p y , / y Gas Supply: Marcellus, Utica, NFG
Storage Delivery Points: Chippawa, TGP
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,ExtensionJackson200, other On‐System Points
Receipts: TGP 300, PVR, Jackson, Corning, Tuscarora
i ili i l d
TGP 300
Gas Forum –Ju Prospective Facilities May Include:
26 miles of 24” Pipeline from Jackson, PA to vicinity of TGP 300 Line
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3 Compressor Stations
Continued Line N Expansion
Line N 2017
Status: Finalizing Design, Open Season: Summer 2014
Proposed In‐Service: 2017p
Capacity: TBD
Gas Supply: Marcellus, Utica
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Delivery Points: Holbrook, Mercer, REX
Receipts: Producers in
Mercer
Gas Forum –Ju Receipts: Producers in
Marcellus/Utica Fairway
lb k
Line N 2017
REX
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HolbrookREX