Big Change Trends
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Transcript of Big Change Trends
Information, trends, considerations and questions
about the future of the non profit sector and its workforce.
About the SectorAbout the SectorRevenue SourcesRevenue Sources
Key TrendsKey TrendsImplications & QuestionsImplications & Questions
Will there be a labour shortage?Will there be a labour shortage?
Strategies - ConsiderationsStrategies - Considerations
OverviewOverview
ABOUT THE ABOUT THE SECTORSECTOR
111.6 billion$Non Profit Revenues in Canada
Compare...Alberta Government 2010 revenues: $34 billion
About the Sector in AlbertaAbout the Sector in Alberta
INDUSTRY REVENUES (BILLIONS)
Energy Products $22.5
Agri-foods $12.7
NonProfit Sector $10.0
Industrial Machinery $ 9.1
ICT $ 8.3
Forest Products $3.4
Non Profit Workforce | AlbertaNon Profit Workforce | Alberta
54% of Non Profit organizations
do not have paid staff
175,000 employees19,000 non profit organizations
Non Profit Workforce | AlbertaNon Profit Workforce | Alberta
NOW CONSIDER...
Hospitals, Universities and Colleges make up 1% of Alberta organizations but employ 40% of
all paid staff.
8,740
Non Profit Workforce | AlbertaNon Profit Workforce | Alberta
BUT ALSO...
64% of staff are employed by 5% of non-profits.
Excluding Hospitals, Universities, Colleges
8,550105,000
67,200 staff are employed by 856
non profits.
77% of therevenue.
23,100 staff are employed by 7,000
non profits
23% of therevenue split
between those aboveand the 10,300 that
have no staff.
Non Profit Workforce | AlbertaNon Profit Workforce | Alberta
Primary Activity Alberta Canada
Sports and Recreation 26% 21%Religion 19% 19%Grantmaking, Fundraising & Voluntarism Promotion
11% 10%
Arts and Culture 10% 9%Social Services 9% 12%Education and Research 8% 5%Development & Housing 5% 8%Business, Professional Associations and Unions
3% 5%
Health 2% 3%Environment 2% 3%Law, Advocacy and Politics 2% 2%Hospitals, Universities and Colleges
1% 1%
Other 2.4% 3%
We need to know more about the various subsectors
Is there data?Is there data?
What are the differences between the 5% that have most the staff and the rest of the non profits?
What are the differences across sub-sectors?
What are the challenges for organizations of different sizes, revenues, geographic locations and missions?
Are the challenges for small non profits more about filling capacity gaps than recruiting staff?
Revenue Revenue SourcesSources
The Sector’s Resource EngineThe Sector’s Resource Engine
33% of their funding from governments.
The national average is 49%.
User Fees/Earned Income is 49%.
The national average of 35%.
Fundraising and other income make up the remainder of income (18%) in Alberta.
What will fuel the sector?What will fuel the sector?
Government funding? Earned Income/User Fees? Fundraising? Consolidations and Mergers? Social Innovation? Social Enterprise? Efficiencies? Fewer NPOs?
Key Key TrendsTrends
PopulationPopulation
BY 2031
All of the Boomers will have retired
Seniors out number children by 2015
Seniors up 110% (2006-2031)
0-24 year olds down 15% (2006-2031)
Everyone else: up 5%
ImmigrationImmigration
Immigration to drive pop. growth
In 2003, one in ten immigrants spoke English or French (compared to one in three in 1980)
By 2017, 19 to 23% of the population will be a visible minority.
In 2031, 50% of the population in Vancouver and Toronto will be immigrants.
WorkforceWorkforce
LabourForce
Participation
In 20 yearsthe
participation rate in the
Alberta workforce will fall from 72%
to 63%
1981One Senior
Five Workers
2005One Senior
FourWorkers
2031One Senior
TwoWorkers
ImplicationsImplicationsandand
Questions?Questions?
Implications & QuestionsImplications & Questions
Tax revenues will decrease unless there are significant new revenues or cost savings found.
Payments to Seniors will increase.
Health Spending will increase.
Payments to children's benefits, child-care allowances and education funding will decrease.
Implications & QuestionsImplications & Questions
Competition will drive wages up in some professions.
Work will become more flexible and employee focused.
Workplaces will be increasingly multicultural.
Boomers will be in demand to offset workforce shortages, but to what extent?
Will education keep pace with talent requirements of employers?
Will there be Will there be a shortage or a shortage or won’t there?won’t there?
Sounds like there will beSounds like there will be
Past 50 years: Canada’s workforce grew by 200%
Next 50 years: 11 percent
http://www.working.com
Or maybe not...Or maybe not...
2/3rds of job openings over the next 10 years will require post-secondary education.
HRSDC projects the labour supply will be adequate to meet the demand.
“
Anticipated Shortages, 10 yearsAnticipated Shortages, 10 years
Senior managers, HR managers, human resource and business services professionals
Managers in health, education, social and community services.
Health care professionals
Managers in Public Administration
University Professorshrsdc.gc.ca
ChallengesChallengesand and
StrategiesStrategies
Attraction/Retention StrategiesAttraction/Retention Strategies
Affiliation with a good cause.
Status as community leader.
Connections to larger networks.
Recognition.
Altruism.
Attraction/Retention StrategiesAttraction/Retention Strategies
Optimal Salaries & Benefits
Flexible Work Hours and Days
Work from Home
Access to Technology Tools
Extra Perks
Aging of leadership and the lack of succession
plans, resulting inthe dissipation of entire networks and the loss of
sector knowledge
Leadership Crisis?Leadership Crisis?
Sector-wide strategies are likely not sufficient. Specific strategies for
specific segments could make more sense.
Issues are bigger than workforce.
Targeted Strategies NeededTargeted Strategies Needed
Results –based fundingRethinking thin funding
Sector InvestmentInvesting in innovation and change
Core funding is criticalSo is project funding
Funding/FundersFunding/Funders
Fund full costsPay market wagesIncrease flexibility
Lighten admin burdens
GovernmentsGovernments
Do more of less
Get organized to address sustainability issues & promote
sector value
Shared space, shared services, shared staff, consolidations,
mergers, and social innovations ....
NonProfitsNonProfits
Major SourcesMajor Sources
Statistics CanadaImagine CanadaGovernment of AlbertaCentre for Public PolicyVolunteer AlbertaUnited WayGlobe and MailHRSDC