BC Hydro Conservation Potential Review · PDF file · 2011-11-24Economic Potential...
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BC Hydro: Conservation Potential Review 2002 – Summary BC Hydro Conservation Potential Review 2002 Summary Report (Base Year: Fiscal 2000/01) Electricity Conservation Potential In BC Hydro’s Service Area May 2003
Transcript of BC Hydro Conservation Potential Review · PDF file · 2011-11-24Economic Potential...
BC Hydro: Conservation Potential Review 2002 Summary
BC Hydro Conservation PotentialReview 2002Summary Report(Base Year: Fiscal 2000/01)
Electricity Conservation Potential In BC Hydros Service Area
May 2003
BC Hydro: Conservation Potential Review 2002 Summary page ii
Con t en t sINTRODUCTION ........................................................................................................................................ 1
BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES ................................................................................................................ 1SCOPE......................................................................................................................................................... 1ANALYTICAL APPROACH............................................................................................................................ 3
Major Analytic Steps and Definitions ................................................................................................... 3DIFFERENCES FROM THE 1991/1994 REVIEW ............................................................................................. 6SUMMARY OF FINDINGS ............................................................................................................................. 8ADDITIONAL TECHNOLOGIES ................................................................................................................... 10CAVEATS.................................................................................................................................................. 11
THE RESIDENTIAL SECTOR................................................................................................................ 12
APPROACH................................................................................................................................................ 12RESULTS AND FINDINGS ........................................................................................................................... 14
Base Year Electricity Use and Calibration......................................................................................... 15Reference Case ................................................................................................................................... 16Economic Potential Forecast.............................................................................................................. 17Achievable Potential Forecast ............................................................................................................ 17Demand Impacts of Energy Efficiency Measures ............................................................................... 18
SUMMARY OF FINDINGS ........................................................................................................................... 19
THE COMMERCIAL SECTOR .............................................................................................................. 21
APPROACH................................................................................................................................................ 21RESULTS AND FINDINGS ........................................................................................................................... 22
Base Year Electricity Use and Calibration......................................................................................... 24Reference Case ................................................................................................................................... 26Economic Potential Forecast.............................................................................................................. 26Achievable Potential Forecast ............................................................................................................ 26Demand Impacts of Energy Efficiency Measures ............................................................................... 27
SUMMARY OF FINDINGS ........................................................................................................................... 28
THE INDUSTRIAL SECTOR .................................................................................................................. 30
APPROACH................................................................................................................................................ 30RESULTS AND FINDINGS ........................................................................................................................... 32
Base Year Electricity Use and Calibration......................................................................................... 33Reference Case ................................................................................................................................... 35Economic Potential Forecast.............................................................................................................. 35Achievable Potential Forecast ............................................................................................................ 36Demand Impacts of Energy Efficiency Measures ............................................................................... 37
SUMMARY OF FINDINGS ........................................................................................................................... 38
APPENDIX: GLOSSARY ........................................................................................................................ 39
BC Hydro: Conservation Potential Review 2002 Summary page iii
A c k n o w l e d g e m e n t sCompletion of the Conservation Potential Review 2002 on an accelerated time table isdue in no small part to the consistent input from many BC Hydro staff members, as wellas the hard work of the consultants engaged by BC Hydro.
BC HYDRO CORE GROUP
The heaviest work load fell on the Conservation Potential Review Core Group, whichoversaw the management of the effort. The Group consisted of the following members:
Murray Bond Quality Assurance Implementation, Power Smart Quality Assurance Dorell Carlson Senior Resource Planning Specialist, Energy Planning Derek Henriques Manager, Power Smart Quality Assurance & Evaluation Dennis Nelson Manager, Business Systems GroupJohn Oliver Load Forecast Policy Analyst, Market ForecastPaul Robillard Lead Consultant, Marbek Resource Consultants, Ltd., OttawaNancy Cooley CPR Coordinator for BC Hydro Nancy J. Cooley & Associates,
Victoria
OTHER BC HYDRO STAFF
In addition, there were many who provided reviews of draft reports and participated inperiodic meetings and conference calls. These individuals included the following BC Hy-dro staff. All are from Power Smart, unless otherwise identified.
Nancy Adams Harinder Bains Sony BaeAllan ChungAlicia ForresterJennifer Gin Gary HamerDavid HayesGraham HendersonSteve HobsonJohn HouganRoy Hughes Grad Ilic Steve IrelandElizabeth Johnston Gifford JungHoy LauToby Lau
Cynthia LeeAllan Leonard Fred LiebichBill MacMillanHenry Mak Market ForecastPat MathotLarry Meyer Market ForecastIngo MoxonJai Mumick Transmission Planning Ron Nielsen Distribution PlanningPeter Northcott Generation Shannon Shackerley-Bennett Shirley Siega Market Intelligence Carmelina Sorace Margot StoilenIris SulymaKevin WallaceMarcus Zeller
BC Hydro: Conservation Potential Review 2002 Summary page iv
EXTERNAL REVIEW PANEL
A number of organizations in B.C. also agreed to serve on an External Review Panel.They reviewed and commented on draft reports. However, their participation on the Panelshould not be construed as indicating agreement with, or endorsement of, any of the CPR2002 reports. Members of the Panel include:
Canadian Home Builders Association of B. C. B.C. Public Interest Advocacy Centre Michael Doherty and Dick GathercoleBuilding Owners and Managers Association Paul LaBrancheJoint Industry Electric Steering Committee Lorne Grasley, Dal Scott, Lisa Doig and
Dan PottsKootenay-Okanagan Electric Consumers Association Fred MarshPembina Institute for Appropriate Development Roger PetersSierra Club of B.C. Tom Hackney, Bo Martin and Michael MascallDavid Suzuki Foundation Dermot FoleyUnion of B.C. Indian Chiefs David Hunt and Don Bain
CONSULTANTS
The Conservation Potential Review 2002 was undertaken by a team of consultantsheaded by Marbek Resource Consultants, Ltd. of Ottawa, Ontario. Consultants and sub-consultants were:
Residential sector: Marbek Resource Consultants conducted the research, mod-elling and analysis of the residential sector, with the assistance of The SheltairGroup Inc., of Vancouver, B.C., and Dr. Edward Vine of the Lawrence BerkeleyNational Laboratory, of Berkeley, California.
Commercial sector: Marbek Resource Consultants conducted the research, mod-elling and analysis of the commercial sector, with the assistance of Prism Engi-neering Ltd., of Burnaby, B.C.; EnerSys Analytics Inc., of Coquitlam B.C.; andDr. Edward Vine of the Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, of Berkeley,California.
Industrial sector: Willis Energy Services Ltd, of Vancouver, B.C. conducted theresearch, modelling and analysis of the industrial sector with assistance from BCResearch Inc. of Vancouver, B.C.; CWA Engineers Inc., of Burnaby, B.C.; J & CNyboer, of Surrey, B.C.; and Demand Side Energy Consultants, Inc. of Winnipeg,MB. Marbek Resource Consultants provided analytic design and ensured that re-search methods and reporting in the industrial sector were consistent with those inother sectors.
This summary of the Conservation Potential Review 2002 was written by Richard Bannerof Pole
