Baltic Transport Outlook 2030
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Baltic Transport Outlook 2030 Tallin 14 October 2010 Morten Steen Petersen and Charlotta Hök
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Baltic Transport Outlook 2030. Tallin 14 October 2010 Morten Steen Petersen and Charlotta Hök. Baltic Transport Outlook 2030 - BTO. Priority project within chapter 11 of the Baltic Sea Strategy which is coordinated by Lithuania and Sweden - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Transcript of Baltic Transport Outlook 2030
Baltic Transport Outlook 2030
Tallin 14 October 2010Morten Steen Petersen and Charlotta Hök
BALTIC TRANSPORT OUTLOOK
Baltic Transport Outlook 2030 - BTO
Priority project within chapter 11 of the Baltic Sea Strategy which is coordinated by Lithuania and Sweden
BTO coordinator: Swedish Transport Administration on behalf of Swedish Ministry of Enterprise, Energy and Communications
Project period: 1 June 2009 – 31 December 2011
Total budget: € 1,000,000
Co-financed 50% by TEN-T
BALTIC TRANSPORT OUTLOOK
The overall aim is to achieve better prerequisites for national long term infrastructure planning in the Baltic Sea region to make the region more accessible and competitive.
Aim of the Baltic Transport Outlook study
BALTIC TRANSPORT OUTLOOK
Organisation
Steering CommitteeRepresentatives from participating countries
Project SecretariatWSP Sweden AB
Ad hoc working groups
External ContractorTetraplan A/S and
partners
Project Manager
The process – ”project motor”
Relations with stakeholders
Anchoring and marketing
The core of the project – the study
BALTIC TRANSPORT OUTLOOK
Factors for success
Cooperation! Engagement and active
participation from all countries Anchoring results during the study
on a local/regional and national level
Spreading the end-results Learning about and establishing
contact at an early stage with other relevant EU-projects Workshop for
stakeholders in Vilnius 6 December!
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BTO: Content of study
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Core Network Methodology
A BSR core network should be based on issues and criteria relevant for the BSR.
Not only EU countriesEconomic disparitiesLong distances to the core of EUThinly populated regionsImportant raw materialsThe Baltic Sea as an important maritime routeNeed for connections to neighbouring regions and countries
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Core Network MethodologyA BSR core network should:
Enhance communication between BSR states and facilitate tradeImprove cohesion in the regionImprove mobility and accessibility Ensure integration of the transport system in the whole BSREnsure efficient ties with neighbouring countriesFacilitate sustainable transport solutionsBe multi-modal and include terminals of trans-national importanceInclude non geographic attributes aiming at enhancing socio-economic efficiency and sustainability, e.g. Green corridors.
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Core Network Methodology: International Freight flows by road
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BTO 2030: Task 3: Scenarios
3 different scenarios proposed for 2030 and a baseline for 2016
BaselineSustainability (International infrastructure development)Rigidity (local infrastructure development)
Main drivers:Population developmentEconomic growthTradeDevelopment paths in RussiaTransport policyEnvironmental policies
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BTO 2030: Task 3: Scenarios
Data for model calculations 2016 and 2030
PopulationEconomic growth and tradeTravel and transport costsValue of timeNetwork dataTransport policy (cost recovery, congestion charges, emission charges, speed limits)
TT-model resultsCalculation of traffic flows and other transport indicators for 2016 and 2030
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BTO 2030: Task 6: National Transport Planning and Implementation Methodologies
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BTO: TimeplanTaskCalendar Week 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52Working week 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27
0 Kick-off and interim report
1 Core Network Methodology
2 Drivers for transport development
3 Scenarios
4 Analysis of core network
5 SWOT and MCA analysis
6 National Transport Planning Methodology
7 Dissemination of results
8 Management, Purchase and collection of data
