Azeem Azhar Should You be Afraid of Artificial Intelligence? BoS2016
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Transcript of Azeem Azhar Should You be Afraid of Artificial Intelligence? BoS2016
@azeem
HELLO! MY NAME IS AZEEM AZHAR
➤ Product manager at Schibsted Media Group
➤ Norwegian media & classifieds group with operations in 29 countries & 7,000 employees
➤ Curate, Exponential View (http://azeem.io/s)
➤ @azeem on Twitter
@azeem
THE SEVEN ACCELERANTS OF THE AI BOOM
Moore’s Law
Data explosion
Collaboration
Software eats the world
APIs & microservices
Open source
Lock-in
@azeem
APPLE WATCH MORE POWERFUL THAN A CRAY 2
Fits in a room
1.6Gflops
1985
Fits in a pocket
1.9Gflops
2010
Fits on a wrist
>3Gflops
2015
@azeem
GPUS HAVE BEEN A STEP-CHANGE TECHNOLOGY
https://devblogs.nvidia.com/parallelforall/inference-next-step-gpu-accelerated-deep-learning/
@azeem
44ZB OF DATA BY 2020, 44X IN 11 YEARS
Sources: IDC, Azeem Azhar analysis
0
5
10
15
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2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
Data volume
@azeem
OPEN SOURCE STRATEGIES FROM MAJORS
Major global internet companies release internal machine learning & AI frameworks
G, M & F: Cognitively-rich API services available too
@azeem
BETTER THAN HUMAN: OBJECT DETECTION IN IMAGES
Source: Imagenet / https://devblogs.nvidia.com/parallelforall/mocha-jl-deep-learning-julia/
@azeem
BETTER THAN HUMAN: WIDE RANGE OF VIDEO GAMES
(Better at action oriented than exploration oriented games)
@azeem
Patrick Rhodes: http://www.statisticsviews.com/details/feature/8791241/Artificial-Intelligence-Solving-the-Chinese-Room-Argument.html
BETTER THAN HUMAN: CHESS
@azeem
BETTER THAN HUMAN: SUTURING INTESTINAL TISSUE
Source http://spectrum.ieee.org/the-human-os/robotics/medical-robots/autonomous-robot-surgeon-bests-human-surgeons-in-world-first
@azeem
BETTER THAN HUMAN: PREDICTIONS & BETTING
Predicted top 4 finishers of 2016 Kentucky Derby on May 8th. 540-1 odds.
http://www.techrepublic.com/article/swarm-ai-predicts-the-2016-kentucky-derby/
@azeem
2: APPLICATIONS ARE GETTING BETTER
Better foundational blocks
NLP
CV
µSVC
Data Eng
APIs Data Quality
Integrated applications
Customer service
Querying
Legal
Engineering
@azeem
LAWYERS, DRIVERS, PAS, JOURNALISTS
EMMA
Q&A; discovery; precedent detection based on IBM Watson
Autonomous vehicles; networked learning system
Autonomous writing tool
NLP-rich scheduling and calendaring assistant
@azeem
PLAY OR PRAY
PLAY
BUILD A DATA MOAT
SEMANTICALLY SENSIBLE INTERFACES
KEEP THE HUMAN IN THE LOOP
PROCESSES NOT ONESHOT
@azeem
HOW WILL YOU BUILD YOUR DATA MOAT?
BUILD A DATA
MOAT
CORE ALGORITHMS / FRAMEWORKS ARE IN
OPEN SOURCE
UNIQUR AI NEEDS UNIQUE DATA
BUILD A DATA ACQUISITION STRATEGY
@azeem
HOW WILL YOU ENSURE COHERENT SEMANTICS IN EXPOSED INTERFACES?
CLEAN APIS
EASIER TO INTEGRATE IN OTHER INTELLIGENT
SYSTEMS
EASIER TO OPTIMISE
NARROW AI
@azeem
BUILD THE RIGHT PROCESSES
HUMANS NEEDED
ONGOING TRAINING INVESTMENT
UNDERSTAND YOUR TRADEOFFS
HOW TO SECURE BETTER DATA
@azeem
SHOULD YOU BE SCARED OF ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE?
➤ Huge opportunities to build better products & reach new markets
➤ Competitive threat if you do not innovate ➤ Expensive and requires internal capability
building (so hard) ➤ Unlikely to end humanity right in near future.