Automated Trading's Brave New World: Speed Flexibility and Competitive Advantage Through Open Source
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Transcript of Automated Trading's Brave New World: Speed Flexibility and Competitive Advantage Through Open Source
Marketcetera | February 2009
Automated Trading's Brave New WorldSpeed, Flexibility and Competitive Advantage
Through Open Source
Presented byKevin McPartland
TABB Group
Source: TABB Group 2
Agenda
Introduction The Market The Latest and Greatest Execution Management Systems Order Management Systems Looking Ahead
Source: TABB Group 3
The Market
Source: TABB Group 4
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
Jan-
97
Jan-
98
Jan-
99
Jan-
00
Jan-
01
Jan-
02
Jan-
03
Jan-
04
Jan-
05
Jan-
06
Jan-
07
Jan-
08
Avg
. S
ha
res
(m),
Avg
. T
rad
es(
k)
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
1,600
Avg
. S
ha
res
/ T
rad
e
Avg Shares Per Day (mm) Avg Trades Per Day Shares / Trade Source: TABB Group and Exchange Data
Electronic trading has drastically changed the US market
US Equity Share volume and trades
Dec 07 Avg. Trade Size 247
Shares / Trade
Jan 97 Avg. Trade Size
1,477 Shares / Trade
Decimalization
Source: TABB Group 55
47%
9%
14%
21%
9%
37%
12%
14%
22%
15%
32%
10%
17%
26%
15%
Sales Desk
ProgramDesk
Direct ToExchange
Algorithms
CrossingNetwork
2006 2007 2009e
-12%
4%
7%
7%
19%
Shares by Execution Venue (volume weighted) ’06-’09 CAGR
Trade flow is continuing to move from sales traders to low touch channels
Source: TABB Group 6
H 89.53
Volatility reaches wild highs… and stays there
Source: Yahoo! Finance, TABB Group
Source: TABB Group 77
All of which will continue driving up data volumes
4,000 13,00016,00039,39175,00086,339140,000
573,000
1,300,000
1,540,000
1,846,000
2,157,000
0
500,000
1,000,000
1,500,000
2,000,000
2,500,000
July-00 July-01 July-02 July-03 July-04 July-05 July-06 July-07 July-08 Jan2009(e)
July2009(e)
Jan2010(e)
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
7000
8000
9000
10000OPRA Capacity Recommendations
Messages Per Second (MPS)
4yr CAGR 98%
6yr CAGR 81%
Source: TABB Group 8
Data is not only abundant, but must also be fast
$168$154
$122
$95
2007 2008 2009 2010
21% CAGR
Spending on Low LatencyMessaging Infrastructure
$USD Millions
Source: TABB Group Estimate
Percentage of Firms Using Low Latency Data
100%
100%
90%
75%
17%
Exchanges
CrossingNetworks
Top TierBroker/Dealers
$5B+ EquityHedge Funds
$150B+Traditional Inv.
Managers
Source: TABB Group 9
The Latest and Greatest
Source: TABB Group 10
98%
Trading systems are necessary in today’s market environment
95%
92%
89%
69%
82%
82%
Europe
UK
US
OMS EMS
Source: TABB Group 11
30%
23%
21%
21%
19%
14%
12%
7%
2%
EMSs / OMSs
Dark Pool Aggregators
Crossing Networks
Nothing Right Now
Advances in Algorithms
Electronic Access / DMA / Connectivity
TCA (pre- & post-)
Commission Allocation Reports
CSAs
When finding liquidity hedge funds value their EMSs and OMSs above all other technologies
Which are the products or tools that are most useful to you?
Source: TABB Group 12
No57%
Yes24%
Maybe19%
31%
23%
15%
12%
12%
8%
4%
4%
4%
Platfo
rm co
nsoli
datio
n
Inte
grat
ion/
Custo
miza
tion
Bette
r Tec
hnol
ogy
Lower
Cos
ts
Broke
r neu
tral
Mul
ti-br
oker
Faste
r
Ease
of u
se
Mul
ti-as
set
Why are you planning to change your EMS?Are you planning to change your EMS?
Nearly half of buy side participants plan to change their EMS in 2009
Source: TABB Group 13
Why are you planning to change your OMS?
Are you planning to change your OMS?
Maybe1%
Yes28%
No71%
47%
32%
16%
16%
11%
Perfo
rman
ce/In
tegr
ation
Platfo
rm C
onso
lidat
ion
/ EM
S Only
Need
for M
ulti-a
sset
Dislike
of c
urre
nt sy
stem
Globa
l Rea
ch
Fewer are thinking about an OMS change, yet consolidation is still a key driver
Source: TABB Group 14
44%
34%
28%
16%
13%
13%
9%
9%
9%
6%
3%
Integration/Customization
Best Available Technology
Relationship
Broker Neutral
Reliability
Global Reach
Multi-asset
Connectivity
Cost
Ease of Use
Portfolio Trading
What are the key factors in selecting an EMS?
Customization and Integration are critical
Source: TABB Group 15
Only the best will do
More now than ever, buy side traders know what’s out there and what they want
Despite the complexities involved, buy side traders are still willing to make a change to their current OMS or EMS
The ability to customize, integrate with existing technology and consolidated needed functionality is critical
Source: TABB Group 16
So what’s the problem?
Source: TABB Group 17
$622$567
$484 $499 $532
$303
$268
$228 $232$241
2007 2008 2009(e) 2010(e) 2011(e)
Asset Manager Hedge Fund
2 Yr CAGR 4%2 Yr CAGR -12%
The global trading system market has contracted
Source: TABB Group 18
$1,450
$1,249
$869
$691
Estimated Hedge Fund IT Spending ($USD Millions / year)
Scenario 3: Steep declines in the number of funds and IT spend among survivors
Scenario 2: Across the board decline in hedge funds, and modest declines in IT spending
Scenario 1: Current industry figures with modest declines in IT spending
Pre-Crisis Spending Estimates
Due in large part to a decrease in overall IT spend by hedge funds
Source: TABB Group 19
98%
Unsure45%
Average $400K55%
How much do you pay for your OMS?
The cost of broker-independent technology remains high
Source: TABB Group 20
2.833.4
5.86.3
4.2
3.1
2010(e)2009(e)20082007200620052004
2 Yr CAGR 43%5 Yr CAGR -15%
Average Number of EMSs Used
Buy side traders are consolidating trading activities onto fewer platforms
Source: TABB Group 21
Everyone must do more with less
Hedge funds and asset managers will rationalize their application portfolios over the next year
The buy side will look to access all broker provided trading tools through a single interface
Counterparty risk concerns from the global financial crisis will leave some looking for alternatives to broker provided solutions
Doing more with less continues to be the trend
Source: TABB Group 22
Growing while contracting
Source: TABB Group 23
33%
25%
18%
10%
10%
5%
Flextrade
Proprietary
Portware
GL Trade
TradeScreen
Other
Hedge Fund Usage of Broker Independent EMSs
Proprietary trading platforms are still common
30%
18%
14%
11%
8%
8%
6%
3%
2%
2%
Charles River
Proprietary
Macgregor
Other
Moxy
Longview
EZE Castle
LatentZero
Bloomberg
Decalog
Asset Manager Usage of OMSs
Source: TABB Group 24
…but IT budget cuts and new off the shelf technology are causing a change
Internally developed systems are tailored to meet the needs of the firm, but starting from scratch and ongoing support is too expensive and time consuming for many hedge funds in today’s environment
Off the shelf trading technology can prove too sophisticated and too expensive for smaller funds
What other options are there?
Source: TABB Group 25
The best of both worlds – Buy vs. Build
Buy A working (and proven) system right out of the
box Ongoing support for the product
Build Complete control over the code base A system unique to your competitors Customizations at will
Open Source All of the above
Source: TABB Group 26
Open source growing in financial services
The use of Linux is widespread from major exchanges to top tier investment banks
Products such as MySQL and Apache sit underneath many mission critical applications
A number of banks along with an enterprise messaging provider all support the development of the AMQP messaging standard
OrecX is used to record spoken trade details Financial specific Open Source projects continue to
grow in sophistication and usage such as Quick FIX and QuantLib
Source: TABB Group 27
In steps the open source trading system
The idea of an open source OMS may prove a good alternative for those contemplating whether an internally developed system makes sense.
Open source platforms are created by a community of developers and distributed for free. Providers make money from these platforms by charging fees for maintenance and support.
A few years ago this idea seemed crazy for financial services, but in today’s cost conscious environment an open source OMS can provide just the right blend of buy vs. build for some buy side firms.
Source: TABB Group 28
What the future holds
Source: TABB Group 29
9%
16%
9%
25%
13%
27%
25%
56%
44%
34%
48%
19%
32%
21%
16%
1%
1%
1%
Functionality
Support
Innovation
Integration
Low Below Average Average Above Average High
Current Satisfaction with EMS Elements
Despite generally high markets, more innovation is needed
Source: TABB Group 30
Summary
In an effort to cut IT spend and create a more efficient trading process, the buy side is increasingly looking to rationalize their use of trading technology.
Buy side traders know what they want, making customization key
Everyone is trying to figure out how best to do more with less
Open Source can provide a piece to that puzzle for many
Marketcetera | February 2009
Automated Trading's Brave New WorldSpeed, Flexibility and Competitive Advantage
Through Open Source
Presented byKevin McPartland
TABB Group