Automated Prediction
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Transcript of Automated Prediction
Automated Prediction
Perception, Law, and Policy
Overview
• Author
• Introducing Automated Prediction
• The Case For AP
• Other Considerations & Challenges
• Take Aways
• Discussion
Author
Dr. Tal Zarsky
BIG DATAPredictive Analytics
Automated Prediction (AP)
Automated Prediction (AP)
(Personal Information)
AP 3000
IN
OUTCRIME
PREDICTION
Automated Prediction (AP)
KEYWORD
IP ADDRESS WEBSITE
ASSOCIATION
PURCHASE
TARGET POOL
Probability
High
Automated Prediction (AP)
War on Terror
nctc.gov
-McKean, Virginia
The Greater Good?
PrivacySafetyvs
Cost & Efficiency
Human Driven Computer Driven
Vast Amounts of Data
- Hard for humans to analyze- Easily analyzed by computers- Programmed by humans - Errors and Bias
We Make Mistakes
Hidden Biases
Values
Beliefs
Prejudice
Identity
Culture
Status
Emotion
Equality & Fairness
Take Aways
• AP will be hard to do right but the positives outweigh the negatives
• Good for some complex and costlyproblems - hopefully terrorism
• If done right, AP will increase equality & fairness
Questions Comments
- Robot Fortune Teller London, England 1934