Australian Shareholders’ Association 08/11/16

39
Australian Shareholders’ Association Presentation to Concord Discussion Group Tuesday 8 November 2016 Perpetual Equity Investment Company Limited

Transcript of Australian Shareholders’ Association 08/11/16

Page 1: Australian Shareholders’ Association 08/11/16

Australian Shareholders’

AssociationPresentation to Concord Discussion Group

Tuesday 8 November 2016

Perpetual Equity Investment Company Limited

Page 2: Australian Shareholders’ Association 08/11/16

Disclaimer

The ASA is not licensed to give financial advice The content of these presentations is not designed to

provide any specific investment advice to any person present

The ASA does not accept any responsibility to inform you of any matter that subsequently comes to our notice that may affect any of the information discussed

Anyone wishing to act on any matter discussed should seek independent advice from a licensed financial adviser

Page 3: Australian Shareholders’ Association 08/11/16

Perpetual Equity Investment Company Limited

Investment Philosophy – Sound Management (disciplined, deliver, good

board) Conservative debt Quality Business Recurring Earnings (3 year track record) Unloved & overlooked stocks

Investment Style – fundamental high conviction investor

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Perpetual Equity Investment Company Limited

Asset Allocation 30 June 2016 Australian Stocks 55% Global Stocks 23% Cash 22%

NTA (post tax) 30 September 2016 $1.045 Market Price 3 November 2016 $0.955 Discount on NTA 8.6%

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NameTicker

Investment $millions *

Current

Price($)

Morningstar

Fair Value ($)

Morningstar

Analyst

Recom

1 Year Total

Return

(%)

ROE

(%)30/6/16 4/11/16

Woolworths WOW 26.6 22.81 28.00 Accum 0.8 32.1Sky Network SKT 15.4 (9.9) 4.11 4.20 Hold 2.9 12.0

BlueScope Steel BSL 14.9

(11.6) 7.45 3.50 Sell 70.0 4.3Suncorp Group SUN 14.8 (5.8) 11.58 12.00 Hold -2.4 8.1Graincorp Ltd GNC 14.6 8.37 7.80 Hold 0.2 2.4Caltex Australia CTX 12.2 30.08 28.00 Hold -0.2 17.7Henderson Group HGG 8.7 3.60 4.20 Hold -39.8 19.0Automotive Holdings AHG 7.1 3.98 4.60 Hold 1.7 14.6SAI Global SAI 6.5 4.67 4.75 Hold 11.7 14.2AMP AMP 5.9 4.60 5.30 Accum -15.9 13.4Bapcor BAP 3.9 (5.3) 5.11 na na 41.0 12.2Tegel Group Holdings TGH 3.6 1.41 na na

3-May-16 na

Super Retail Group SUL 2.9 9.45 9.00 Hold 4.0 15.6Southern Cross Media SXL 2.2 1.41 1.20 Reduce 47.7 7.9Monash IVF MVF 1.1 2.02 2.10 Hold 53.5 18.6PIC PIC 140.3       7.7 14.9* Figures in brackets =30/6/15

Looking at the Australian stocks portfolio

Perpetual Equity Investment Company Limited

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Perpetual Equity Investment Company LimitedSoldA2 Milk 71c at 30/6/15 > $2.00 Dec 16 > now $1.86Glenworth Mortgage $3.06 at 30/6/15 >$2.22 Feb 16 > now $3.04Nine Entertainment $1.53 at 30/6/15 >$1.91 Jan 16 > now 94c

BoughtAMPAutomotive Holdings Caltex Australia Graincorp Ltd Henderson Group Monash IVF SAI Global Southern Cross Media Super Retail Group Tegel Group Holdings Woolworths

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Perpetual Equity Investment Company Limited

% of Holding Name

Industry

Price 4/11/16

Market Value

YTD Total

Assets ($) $000s Return (%)

            18.6  Woolworths Ltd Grocery Stores 22.87 26,627 -1.710.8  Sky Network

Television Pay TV 4.11 15,437 3.4

10.3  Suncorp Group Ltd Insurance 11.56 14,792 5.310.3  Graincorp Ltd Class Farm Products 8.42 14,710 -2.010.1  BlueScope Steel LtdSteel 7.24 14,458 74.6

8.1  Caltex Australia Ltd Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing 30.12 12,168 -14.5

6.1  Henderson Group PLC Asset Management 3.59 8,648 -41.4

4.9  Automotive Holdings

Auto & Truck Dealerships 3.93 6,993 -4.6

4.6  SAI Global Ltd Business Services 4.67 6,524 17.34.1  AMP Ltd Insurance - Life 4.55 5,840 -16.23.8  Southern Cross

Media Media - Diversified 1.43 5,390 32.12.7  Bapcor Ltd Specialty Retail 5.11 3,923 24.22.5  Tegel Group

Holdings Packaged Foods 1.4 3,541 ---

2.0  Super Retail Group L Specialty Retail 9.44 2,851 -11.7

0.8  Monash IVF Group Ltd Biotechnology 2.01 1,087 33.4

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Perpetual Equity Investment Company Limited

Avoided HIPPs Healthcare Infrastructure Property Pizzas

and Miners Big 4 Banks

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Standing Still

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AMP

Time Frame:

Frequency:

Chart: Log

Pop-out chart

Modify Options

SMA

Enter up to 4 SMAs Update (10,20,50,100)

Benchmark:

Volume:

Trendlines:

Bollinger Bands:

Indicator Chart(s): You can select multiple charts

Dividend:

Splits:

Earnings:

Chart Size

More Top Indicators:

EMA

Symbol Comparison:

Enter up to 4 EMAs Update (10,20,50,100)

Enter up to 3 Symbols Update (BHP,ANZ,NCM)

Saved chart settings Save Settings   Use as my default

Delete Settings

27/8/2012 Open: 4.390 High: 4.520 Low: 4.370 Close: 4.400 Volume: 40,861,868

Remove ChartCustomize Chart   

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         

   

Chart Options

           

Unloved

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191 Franchises in 110 dealerships

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Automotive Holdings

Time Frame:

Frequency:

Chart: Log

Pop-out chart

Modify Options

SMA

Enter up to 4 SMAs Update (10,20,50,100)

Benchmark:

Volume:

Trendlines:

Bollinger Bands:

Indicator Chart(s): You can select multiple charts

Dividend:

Splits:

Earnings:

Chart Size

More Top Indicators:

EMA

Symbol Comparison:

Enter up to 4 EMAs Update (10,20,50,100)

Enter up to 3 Symbols Update (BHP,ANZ,NCM)

Saved chart settings Save Settings   Use as my default

Delete Settings

27/8/2012 Open: 2.800 High: 2.860 Low: 2.670 Close: 2.840 Volume: 1,214,368

Remove ChartCustomize Chart   

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         

   

Chart Options

           

overlooked

5 YearWeeklyLineNoneNoneLargeNone

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BAPCOR

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Bapcor

Time Frame:

Frequency:

Chart: Log

Pop-out chart

Modify Options

SMA

Enter up to 4 SMAs Update (10,20,50,100)

Benchmark:

Volume:

Trendlines:

Bollinger Bands:

Indicator Chart(s): You can select multiple charts

Dividend:

Splits:

Earnings:

Chart Size

More Top Indicators:

EMA

Symbol Comparison:

Enter up to 4 EMAs Update (10,20,50,100)

Enter up to 3 Symbols Update (BHP,ANZ,NCM)

Saved chart settings Save Settings   Use as my default

Delete Settings

8/9/2014 Open: 2.172 High: 2.383 Low: 2.172 Close: 2.347 Volume: 1,413,747

Chart Options

           

Good Management

5 YearWeeklyLineNoneNoneLargeNone

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BlueScope Steel

Time Frame:

Frequency:

Chart: Log

Pop-out chart

Modify Options

SMA

Enter up to 4 SMAs Update (10,20,50,100)

Benchmark:

Volume:

Trendlines:

Bollinger Bands:

Indicator Chart(s): You can select multiple charts

Dividend:

Splits:

Earnings:

Chart Size

More Top Indicators:

EMA

Symbol Comparison:

Enter up to 4 EMAs Update (10,20,50,100)

Enter up to 3 Symbols Update (BHP,ANZ,NCM)

Saved chart settings Save Settings   Use as my default

Delete Settings

2/7/2012 Open: 1.740 High: 1.830 Low: 1.500 Close: 1.800 Volume: 15,820,496

Chart Options

           

unloved

5 YearWeeklyLineNoneNoneLargeNone

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Caltex

Time Frame:

Frequency:

Chart: Log

Pop-out chart

Modify Options

SMA

Enter up to 4 SMAs Update (10,20,50,100)

Benchmark:

Volume:

Trendlines:

Bollinger Bands:

Indicator Chart(s): You can select multiple charts

Dividend:

Splits:

Earnings:

Chart Size

More Top Indicators:

EMA

Symbol Comparison:

Enter up to 4 EMAs Update (10,20,50,100)

Enter up to 3 Symbols Update (BHP,ANZ,NCM)

Saved chart settings Save Settings   Use as my default

Delete Settings

30/4/2012 Open: 13.660 High: 13.810 Low: 13.610 Close: 13.720 Volume: 1,892,890

Chart Options

           

unloved

5 YearWeeklyLineNoneNoneLargeNone

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Graincorp

Time Frame:

Frequency:

Chart: Log

Pop-out chart

Modify Options

SMA

Enter up to 4 SMAs Update (10,20,50,100)

Benchmark:

Volume:

Trendlines:

Bollinger Bands:

Indicator Chart(s): You can select multiple charts

Dividend:

Splits:

Earnings:

Chart Size

More Top Indicators:

EMA

Symbol Comparison:

Enter up to 4 EMAs Update (10,20,50,100)

Enter up to 3 Symbols Update (BHP,ANZ,NCM)

Saved chart settings Save Settings   Use as my default

Delete Settings

30/4/2012 Open: 9.287 High: 9.336 Low: 9.019 Close: 9.158 Volume: 2,536,379

Chart Options

           

Looking for earnings recovery

5 YearWeeklyLineNoneNoneLargeNone

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Henderson

Time Frame:

Frequency:

Chart: Log

Pop-out chart

Modify Options

SMA

Enter up to 4 SMAs Update (10,20,50,100)

Benchmark:

Volume:

Trendlines:

Bollinger Bands:

Indicator Chart(s): You can select multiple charts

Dividend:

Splits:

Earnings:

Chart Size

More Top Indicators:

EMA

Symbol Comparison:

Enter up to 4 EMAs Update (10,20,50,100)

Enter up to 3 Symbols Update (BHP,ANZ,NCM)

Saved chart settings Save Settings   Use as my default

Delete Settings

9/4/2012 Open: 1.970 High: 1.995 Low: 1.930 Close: 1.950 Volume: 8,477,020

Chart Options

           

Unloved due to Brexit

5 YearWeeklyLineNoneNoneLargeNone

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Monash IV

Time Frame:

Frequency:

Chart: Log

Pop-out chart

Modify Options

SMA

Enter up to 4 SMAs Update (10,20,50,100)

Benchmark:

Volume:

Trendlines:

Bollinger Bands:

Indicator Chart(s): You can select multiple charts

Dividend:

Splits:

Earnings:

Chart Size

More Top Indicators:

EMA

Symbol Comparison:

Enter up to 4 EMAs Update (10,20,50,100)

Enter up to 3 Symbols Update (BHP,ANZ,NCM)

Saved chart settings Save Settings   Use as my default

Delete Settings

3/11/2014 Open: 1.585 High: 1.600 Low: 1.310 Close: 1.525 Volume: 7,494,966

Chart Options

           overlooked

5 YearWeeklyLineNoneNoneLargeNone

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SAI Global

Time Frame:

Frequency:

Chart: Log

Pop-out chart

Modify Options

SMA

Enter up to 4 SMAs Update (10,20,50,100)

Benchmark:

Volume:

Trendlines:

Bollinger Bands:

Indicator Chart(s): You can select multiple charts

Dividend:

Splits:

Earnings:

Chart Size

More Top Indicators:

EMA

Symbol Comparison:

Enter up to 4 EMAs Update (10,20,50,100)

Enter up to 3 Symbols Update (BHP,ANZ,NCM)

Saved chart settings Save Settings   Use as my default

Delete Settings

20/8/2012 Open: 4.340 High: 4.480 Low: 3.830 Close: 4.100 Volume: 13,800,181

Chart Options

           

Take-over bid $4.75

5 YearWeeklyLineNoneNoneLargeNone

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SKY Network TV

Time Frame:

Frequency:

Chart: Log

Pop-out chart

Modify Options

SMA

Enter up to 4 SMAs Update (10,20,50,100)

Benchmark:

Volume:

Trendlines:

Bollinger Bands:

Indicator Chart(s): You can select multiple charts

Dividend:

Splits:

Earnings:

Chart Size

More Top Indicators:

EMA

Symbol Comparison:

Enter up to 4 EMAs Update (10,20,50,100)

Enter up to 3 Symbols Update (BHP,ANZ,NCM)

Saved chart settings Save Settings   Use as my default

Delete Settings

8/10/2012 Open: 4.050 High: 4.130 Low: 4.050 Close: 4.050 Volume: 30,380

Chart Options

           

Overlooked

5 YearWeeklyLineNoneNoneLargeNone

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Southern Cross Media

Time Frame:

Frequency:

Chart: Log

Pop-out chart

Modify Options

SMA

Enter up to 4 SMAs Update (10,20,50,100)

Benchmark:

Volume:

Trendlines:

Bollinger Bands:

Indicator Chart(s): You can select multiple charts

Dividend:

Splits:

Earnings:

Chart Size

More Top Indicators:

EMA

Symbol Comparison:

Enter up to 4 EMAs Update (10,20,50,100)

Enter up to 3 Symbols Update (BHP,ANZ,NCM)

Saved chart settings Save Settings   Use as my default

Delete Settings

12/3/2012 Open: 1.345 High: 1.375 Low: 1.290 Close: 1.295 Volume: 6,793,711

Chart Options

           

unloved

5 YearWeeklyLineNoneNoneLargeNone

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SUNCORP

Time Frame:

Frequency:

Chart: Log

Pop-out chart

Modify Options

SMA

Enter up to 4 SMAs Update (10,20,50,100)

Benchmark:

Volume:

Trendlines:

Bollinger Bands:

Indicator Chart(s): You can select multiple charts

Dividend:

Splits:

Earnings:

Chart Size

More Top Indicators:

EMA

Symbol Comparison:

Enter up to 4 EMAs Update (10,20,50,100)

Enter up to 3 Symbols Update (BHP,ANZ,NCM)

Saved chart settings Save Settings   Use as my default

Delete Settings

27/8/2012 Open: 8.850 High: 9.250 Low: 8.770 Close: 9.230 Volume: 29,074,596

Chart Options

           

Unloved

5 YearWeeklyLineNoneNoneLargeNone

Page 33: Australian Shareholders’ Association 08/11/16
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Super Retail Group

Time Frame:

Frequency:

Chart: Log

Pop-out chart

Modify Options

SMA

Enter up to 4 SMAs Update (10,20,50,100)

Benchmark:

Volume:

Trendlines:

Bollinger Bands:

Indicator Chart(s): You can select multiple charts

Dividend:

Splits:

Earnings:

Chart Size

More Top Indicators:

EMA

Symbol Comparison:

Enter up to 4 EMAs Update (10,20,50,100)

Enter up to 3 Symbols Update (BHP,ANZ,NCM)

Saved chart settings Save Settings   Use as my default

Delete Settings

15/10/2012 Open: 8.320 High: 8.500 Low: 8.160 Close: 8.340 Volume: 1,270,703

Chart Options

           

unloved

5 YearWeeklyLineNoneNoneLargeNone

Page 35: Australian Shareholders’ Association 08/11/16
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Tegel

Time Frame:

Frequency:

Chart: Log

Pop-out chart

Modify Options

SMA

Enter up to 4 SMAs Update (10,20,50,100)

Benchmark:

Volume:

Trendlines:

Bollinger Bands:

Indicator Chart(s): You can select multiple charts

Dividend:

Splits:

Earnings:

Chart Size

More Top Indicators:

EMA

Symbol Comparison:

Enter up to 4 EMAs Update (10,20,50,100)

Enter up to 3 Symbols Update (BHP,ANZ,NCM)

Saved chart settings Save Settings   Use as my default

Delete Settings

24/6/2016 Open: 1.580 High: 1.610 Low: 1.535 Close: 1.560 Volume: 87,098

Chart Options

           

Chicken IPO

1 YearDailyLineNoneNoneLargeNone

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WOW

Time Frame:

Frequency:

Chart: Log

Pop-out chart

Modify Options

SMA

Enter up to 4 SMAs Update (10,20,50,100)

Benchmark:

Volume:

Trendlines:

Bollinger Bands:

Indicator Chart(s): You can select multiple charts

Dividend:

Splits:

Earnings:

Chart Size

More Top Indicators:

EMA

Symbol Comparison:

Enter up to 4 EMAs Update (10,20,50,100)

Enter up to 3 Symbols Update (BHP,ANZ,NCM)

Saved chart settings Save Settings   Use as my default

Delete Settings

28/1/2013 Open: 30.900 High: 31.610 Low: 30.790 Close: 31.610 Volume: 12,893,798

Chart Options

           

unloved

5 YearWeeklyLineNoneNoneLargeNone

Page 39: Australian Shareholders’ Association 08/11/16