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Transcript of Australian American Chamber of Commerce Houston Energy Conference Funding Investments in Australia...
Australian American Chamber of Commerce Houston
Energy Conference
Funding Investments in Australia
Scott Speedie
Global Head of Specialized Finance
Commonwealth Bank of Australia
January 2014Strictly Private and Confidential
Institutional Banking & Markets
2
The Commonwealth Bank of Australia
Australia’s largest bank by market capitalisation
Statutory NPAT A$7,677mCash NPAT A$7,819mReturn on equity 18.4%Total assets A$754bCash earnings per share A$4.86Dividend per share A$3.64
Basel III CET1 (International) 11.0%
$101b
June 2011
$135b
June 2012
$137b
June 2013
14.6m Customers
3,000 Institutional Clients
S&P Moody’s Fitch
CREDIT RATING KEY FINANCIALS
GLOBAL COMPARISON LIQUIDITY (AUD)
Market Capitalisation
(US$bn)
Global Market Capitalisation
Ranking
Senior Debt Rating
Moody’s S&P
268.02 1 A2 A+
243.52 2 A3 A
232.44 4 Aa3 A+
198.11 6 Baa2 A-
183.81 7 Baa2 A-
124.01 10 Aa2 AA-
104.29 15 Aa3 AA-
92.91 18 Baa1 A-
Industry specialisation and understanding make the Bank an ideal partner providing balance sheet strength and broad product capability
Oil & Gas industry teams placed in key commercial and financing hubs. CBA is a Bank that actively deploys balance sheet into our client’s businesses
Broad range of debt products spanning project, corporate and acquisition finance
Strong global financial markets capabilities across commodities, foreign currency and interest rates
The only domestic Australian bank with a full in-house equity business, focused on retail and institutional clients
Source: Bloomberg. As at 13 January 2014. Credit rating: S&P
3
Funding Options for Upstream Companies
Project Finance Reserve-Based Lending Balance Sheet LendingEquity
Development Finance
Small Borrowing Base
Large Borrowing Base
Corporate Credit Facility
Exploration Single Field
DevelopmentFew Producing Fields
Several Producing Fields plus Permitted Development Assets
Large Portfolio of Producing Fields
Development Assets plus Exploration Acreage
refinance refinance refinance
Funding Investments In Australia
Start-Up Development of an E&P Company Mature E&P
4
Australian Equity MarketWhere does Australia stand?
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013$0
$10
$20
$30
$40
$50
$60
$70
$80E&POther
Source: CBA and Bloomberg
Funding Investments In Australia
49%
15%
18%
5%
13%
US
Canada
Asia Pac (ex Aus)
Australia
Other
Australian Secondary Issuances (A$bn)Market Capitalisation of Global E&P Stocks
5
Australian Loan Markets
2009 2010 2011 2012 20130
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
53.2966.122
116.042
95.066103.25
4.41
13.078
13.658
9.934 3.75
Energy and Resources Other
Australian Loan Market Volumes (A$bn)
6
7 LNG projects in Australia currently under construction – A$194bn total capex value
Australia benefits from geographic proximity to Asia
Ichthys LNG Project (A$42bn):
– Largest project finance globally
– Quality sponsors – Inpex (Japan) and Total (France)
– A$20bn of debt – funded by export credit agencies and commercial banks
– Forecast A$3.5bn p.a. contribution to GDP
– Supported by long term take or pay LNG sales contracts into Asia
– LNG prices are oil-linked
Funding Investments In Australia
LNG – Advent of Major Australian Energy Projects
7
Project Finance/Development Finance
Project finance
Lending to complete a specific project
Repayment of debt from project cash flow
Security over borrower and assets
Lenders’ recourse is often limited to the project itself
Australia – 2nd largest market for project finance (after the United States) with 10% global share of project finance in 2013
Development project finance is common and characterised by
Extensive technical due diligence
P90 production profile
Guarantee from the sponsor
No dividends or asset sales
Restrictions on exploration expenditure
Funding Investments In Australia
8
Reserve Based Lending
Funding Investments In Australia
$
time
Facility size, with amortisation to zero
Declining value
of Asset 1
Extension of availability
Addition of new assets allows full utilisation
of facility
The structure of choice of the independent sector – flexible, revolving credit facility
Reserves based lending for multiple fields
– Requires diversification – no single asset must dominate portfolio
– P50 reserves can be used for producing assets
– Aggregate cash flows considered
– Covenants and pricing are lower than for single-asset financing
9
Balance Sheet Lending
Debt capacity linked to past performance
Debt covenants linked to balance sheet/ P&L rather than cash flow
Suited to larger independents
– Fewer restrictions
– Lower maintenance
– Increased flexibility
– Cheapest source of debt finance for the independent
Company Corporate Debt (A$’bn) Total Assets (A$’bn) Market Cap (A$’bn)
4.3 24.8 31.4
3.7 17.0 13.8
2.9* 7.1 11.0
Source: Bloomberg, company annual reports* Wholly comprised of Oil Search’s guarantee of its portion of debt associated with PNG LNG project; guarantee falls away on completion.
10
Australian Bond MarketsSignificance of the A$ MTN market in a global context has grown since 2007
A$ MTN Issuance by Industry
Mining & Mining Services issuers raised A$2.3bn in the A$MTN market in 2013, accounting for 24% of total issuance (2012: 15%)
A$ MTN Monthly Issuance Volumes
The A$ MTN market witnessed strong issuance activity in 2013, with total volume reaching A$97.2bn (2012: A$99.9bn). While SSAs and FIs have dominated issuance, consistent flows of corporate supply has been positively supported by investors.
A$ MTN Issuance by Sector
Corporate issuance remains under-represented in the A$ MTN market in 2013. The overall contribution to total market supplies has improved in recent years to 10.2% (2012: 9.6% and 2011: 5.6%) as issuers have taken advantage of the very favourable demand conditions
Domestic Banks
Semi SSA Foreign Bank / Branches
Corporate Non-Bank Financial
0.0%
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
20.0%
25.0%
30.0%
Jul-12 Sep-12 Nov-12 Jan-13 Mar-13 May-13 Jul-13 Sep-13 Nov-13$0
$1,000
$2,000
$3,000
$4,000
$5,000
$6,000
$7,000
$8,000
$9,000
$10,000
Bank Non-Bank Financial Corporate
A$
bil
lio
n
Jun Jul Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun$0
$2
$4
$6
$8
$10
$12
$14
$16
Red
emp
tio
ns
(A$b
n)
Monthly Bond Redemptions
The A$99bn of maturities over FY14 (FY13 A$72bn) is expected to drive continued support for primary issuance
Property Infrastructure & Utilities Energy & Resources Other$0.0
$500.0
$1,000.0
$1,500.0
$2,000.0
$2,500.0
$3,000.0
$3,500.0
$4,000.0 14 deals$3.6bn
14 deals$1.7bn
6 deals$2.0bn
7 deals$2.3bn
A$
bil
lio
n
Source: CBA and Bloomberg as at 21 January 2014
12
Grant Willis
Managing Director Natural Resources
P: +44 20 77106990E: [email protected] 85 Queen Victoria St, London EC4V4HA
Client Coverage Group
Michael Thorpe
Managing Director
P: +61 (0)2 9118 4337E: [email protected] 201 Sussex Street Sydney 2000
Andrew Loadsman
Executive Director Natural Resources
P: +61 (0)2 9118 4330E: [email protected] Sussex Street Sydney 2000
Charles Davis
Executive Director
P: +61 (0)2 9118 4304E: [email protected] Sussex Street Sydney 2000
Jeff Heazlewood
Director Natural Resources
P: +61 (0)2 9118 4339E: [email protected] Sussex Street Sydney 2000
Jon Verlander
Executive Director
P: +1 713 3419751E: [email protected] Main Street, Suite 4675, Houston, TX, USA
Project Finance
Scott Speedie
Managing Director
P: +61 (0)2 9118 4333E: [email protected] 201 Sussex Street Sydney 2000
Specialized Finance
13
This presentation does not constitute an offer to provide finance on any terms. The provision of any such offer is subject to formal review and credit approval, satisfactory due diligence, sign off by legal, tax, accounting and other professional advisers and execution of satisfactory documentation. The Commonwealth Bank shall not be bound unless and until final terms are agreed and formal documentation is signed. That final documentation may not necessarily mirror the contents of this presentation and any actions you may choose to take should not be taken in reliance on this presentation.
The information contained herein is confidential and is the proprietary structure of the Commonwealth Bank. It is provided on the basis that you will not disclose its contents to any persons other than directors, employees and advisors without the written consent of the Commonwealth Bank. It is not to be discussed either directly or indirectly with any other financier. This obligation will not apply if the information is available to the public generally (except as a result of a previous breach of this confidentiality obligation) or you are required to disclose it by law.
© Copyright Commonwealth Bank Australia