AT THE INTERSECTION REMOTE PAYMENTS · 2014. 8. 8. · Remote Mobile Commerce in U.S. Market ©...

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AT THE INTERSECTION REMOTE PAYMENTS Consumers, Merchants, FIs and Technology Convergence GEORGE PEABODY OCTOBER 2013 © 2013

Transcript of AT THE INTERSECTION REMOTE PAYMENTS · 2014. 8. 8. · Remote Mobile Commerce in U.S. Market ©...

Page 1: AT THE INTERSECTION REMOTE PAYMENTS · 2014. 8. 8. · Remote Mobile Commerce in U.S. Market © Glenbrook Partners, 2013 5 $113B by 2017, 140M consumers participating

AT THE INTERSECTION REMOTE PAYMENTS

Consumers, Merchants, FIs and Technology Convergence GEORGE PEABODY OCTOBER 2013

© 2013

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TOPICS

Today

Consumers

Merchants

Financial Institutions

Age of Context

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How PayPal Sees Itself

© Glenbrook Partners, LLC 2013 4 Source: eBay Investor Day March 2013

SOURCE: EBAY INVESTOR DAY MARCH 2013

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Remote Mobile Commerce in U.S. Market

© Glenbrook Partners, 2013 5

$113B by 2017, 140M consumers participating

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Mobile Commerce Growth

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

6

Mobile Commerce as % of Global eCommerce, 2012-2017

Source: Glenbrook Analysis, May 2013

8.4% 11.1%

12.3% 13.7%

16.9%

15.4%

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Adyen Mobile Payments Index

Breakdown by market segment, by device…

© Glenbrook Partners, 2013 7

Source: Adyen, Oct 2013

Retail is the only eCommerce segment that is tablet driven

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Remote Mobile Commerce is Tablet Driven

4.6% 95.4%

Mobile Share of Shopping Revenue

Mobile Desktop/Laptop

89%

4% 7%

Mobile Shopping Devices

iPad iPhone Other Mobile

8

Source: RichRelevance Shopping Insights 2012 Q1 Mobile Study, Apr 2012

© Glenbrook Partners, LLC 2013

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Adyen Mobile Payments Index

Breakdown by region, by device

© Glenbrook Partners, 2013 9

Source: Adyen, Oct 2013

European slightly prefer smartphones (9.7%) to tablets (8.5%)

North American’s significantly prefer smartphones (10.8%) to tablets (5.8%)

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MOBILE PAYMENTS AT POS

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PROXIMITY COMMUNICATIONS OPTIONS

BARCODE

QR CODE

NFC

BLUETOOTH

RFID

AUDIO

WIFI

GPS

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Mobile POS Wallets – Two Approaches NFC/Secure Element

Payment Data on the phone in an SE (Card Present Rules)

In the Cloud Payment Data in the Cloud

(Card Not Present Rules)

1 2

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NFC/SE CLOUD

MANY OTHERS

KEY PLAYERS – US MOBILE POS MARKET

Square Wallet

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Tech and EMV-driven Shift to CNP

© Glenbrook Partners, 2013 14

FICO Falcon analysis 2011 - 2012

Credit CNP incident rate + 25%

Credit Counterfeit card incident rate + 14%

Credit CNP as percentage of all credit card fraud 47%

Credit Ratio of fraud as proportion of all transactions Flat

Credit Average loss per compromise - 10%

Debit Card fraud incident rate + <1%

Debit Average loss per compromise - 3%

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WHAT DO CONSUMERS WANT?

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WHAT DO CONSUMERS WANT?

CONVENIENCE LOWER FEES REWARDS

UTILITY

SECURITY AND PRIVACY ARE TABLE STAKES

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CARDS AREN’T BROKEN

WELL UNDERSTOOD, WIDELY ACCEPTED

CONVENIENT IN MOST ENVIRONMENTS

VERY LOW “PAIN” FOR CONSUMER USAGE

BUT, NOT PERFECT…

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A POST-CARD WORLD IS EMERGING

AMAZON 1-CLICK – STORE CARD ON FILE

MANY OTHER CARD ON FILE EXAMPLES

PAYPAL – EMAIL + PASSWORD

NEW EXAMPLES EMERGING

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APPLE EASYPAY

SELF CHECKOUT

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APPLE PASSBOOK

FAST CHECKOUT

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CHIPOTLE

REMOTE ORDER AND PAY SKIP LINE, GRAB FOOD, GO PAYMENT GOES AWAY

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Security a Big Concern

© Glenbrook Partners, 2013 23

But Convenience, Information About Money Attract

Source: Accenture, Mobile Payments Survey 2013

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Consumer Payment Actions

© Glenbrook Partners, 2013 24

Action % Purchased with credit card on file at online retailer 48% Opened a PayPal account 34% Purchased with debit card on file at online retailer 32% Registered credit / debit card with online retailer 28% / 21% Used a discount from issuer’s online statement 13% Merchant used a mobile phone or tablet to take payment 7% − Consumer made a retail payment with mobile device 6% −

Source: TSYSY 2013 Consumer Payment Choice Study

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Consumers Want 2-Way Dialog About Money

Source: TSYSY 2013 Consumer Payment Choice Study

© Glenbrook Partners, 2013 25

• Consumers are more willing to participate in fraud prevention than they are eager to take advantage of incentives programs - Transaction alerts via SMS - Ability to turn off card accounts

• Mobile wallet interest is a function of familiarity

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WHAT DO MERCHANTS WANT? SIMPLE: JUST GET PAID!

INCREASE SALES

LOWER COSTS

AND NO SHARING OF MERCHANT/CONSUMER DATA!

INTERCHANGE FEES PCI-DSS COSTS POS CHANGES

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MERCHANT APPS

MOBILE-ENABLED PREPAID CARD

2D BARCODE FROM PHONE IS READ BY SCANNER AT POS

ALSO IN APPLE PASSBOOK

USING SQUARE FOR PROCESSING

OVER 10% OF POS TRANSACTIONS AT STARBUCKS ARE MADE WITH MOBILE PHONES

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Merchant Mobile Deployment is Underway

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While 27% of retailers see no need, the rest are active

© Glenbrook Partners, 2013

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Mobile POS Merchant Growth

29

Source: Glenbrook estimates

0

5

10

15

20

25

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Number of Merchants – (MM)

OthersSquare

The market has seen rapid merchant enrollment

13.8

5.3 8.6

19.8 23.6

© Glenbrook Partners, 2013

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State of Remote Mobile Commerce 2013

© Glenbrook Partners, 2013 30

eRetailers are becoming more sensitive to mobile retailing…

2009

4% mobile optimized 1% optimized for iPhone 2% have native apps

Source: 2013 Mobile Commerce Top 400, Internet Retailer, Oct 2012

12% mobile optimized 11% optimized for iPhone 7% have native apps

2010

37% mobile optimized 9% optimized for iPhone 26% have native apps

2011

95% mobile optimized 5% optimized for iPhone 49% have native apps

2012

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POS MOVING TO EMV

OCT 2012 PCI reporting

relief V/M

APR 2013 Acquirer/processor (V/M/D/A)

OCT 2013 PCI Amex,

ADC relief MC (50%)

OCT 2015 Fraud Liability

Shift

OCT 2017 US fuel

merchants

US EMV ROADMAP

NO ISSUER MANDATE FOR EMV IN US

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FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS, THE COMING DEMOCRATIZATION OF ELECTRONIC PAYMENTS

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DEMOCRATIZATION OF ELECTRONIC PAYMENTS

ANYONE CAN PAY

ANYONE CAN ACCEPT

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DEMOCRATIZATION OF ELECTRONIC PAYMENTS

ANYONE CAN PAY

ANYONE CAN ACCEPT

MARKETPLACES

CONNECT BUYERS WITH SELLERS

REQUIRES A NEW APPROACH TO PAYMENTS

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DEMOCRATIZATION OF ELECTRONIC PAYMENTS

ANYONE CAN PAY

ANYONE CAN ACCEPT

NEEDS ACCESS TO LOAD FUNDS, INITIATE PAYMENTS

NEEDS ACCESS TO RECEIVE AND

WITHDRAW FUNDS

RISK MANAGEMENT TO ENSURE LEGITIMACY

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IMPLICATIONS

MAJOR MERCHANTS NOT INTERESTED IN MULTI-MERCHANT PAYMENT WALLETS, ETC.

CONSUMERS WANT CONVENIENCE

TO PLAY, FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS MUST SUPPORT MERCHANT PAYMENT INTEGRATION INTO THEIR MOBILE APPS

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Trend Towards Wallets Already Clear

38 © Glenbrook Partners, LLC 2013

Web Based Transactions • 62% Credit Card • 17% PayPal • 13% Amazon Payments • 8% Google Checkout

Mobile Based Transactions • 46% PayPal • 32% Amazon Payments • 22% Credit Card

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REDEFINING “TOP OF WALLET” FI, NOT PAYPAL, AS SOURCE : DESTINATION OF MOVING MONEY

“BANK-GRADE” AUTHENTICATION

SECURE LINKAGE TO MERCHANT AND SERVICE PROVIDER WALLETS VIA ONLINE BANKING

LEVERAGE EMV INFRASTRUTURE BEYOND COUNTERFEIT

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THE AGE OF CONTEXT

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THE AGE OF CONTEXT

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SQUARE

MERCHANT TABLET

POS

SQUARE SERVERS

SQUARE WALLET ON CONSUMER’S PHONE

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PAYPAL BEACON

MERCHANT TABLET

POS

PAYPAL SERVERS

PAYPAL APP ON CONSUMER’S PHONE

BLUETOOTH LE

ANDROID + iOS

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Between Today and Tomorrow…

© Glenbrook Partners, 2013 45

A Clutter of Approaches

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Standard, Shared Authentication

© Glenbrook Partners, 2013 46

Federated Approaches to Attributes and Identity

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INDUSTRY COOPERATION

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Security Education?

© Glenbrook Partners, 2013 48

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2014 THEMES TO WATCH Mobile technologies Wearable computing Marketplace payments Embedding payments Merchant apps Big data for merchants Social identity

Location awareness Stronger authentication Biometrics Merchant initiatives Tokenization Regulatory climate New disruptors

Page 50: AT THE INTERSECTION REMOTE PAYMENTS · 2014. 8. 8. · Remote Mobile Commerce in U.S. Market © Glenbrook Partners, 2013 5 $113B by 2017, 140M consumers participating

2014 THEMES TO WATCH Mobile technologies Wearable computing Marketplace payments Embedding payments Merchant apps Big data for merchants Social identity

Location awareness Stronger authentication Biometrics Merchant initiatives Tokenization Regulatory climate New disruptors

Page 51: AT THE INTERSECTION REMOTE PAYMENTS · 2014. 8. 8. · Remote Mobile Commerce in U.S. Market © Glenbrook Partners, 2013 5 $113B by 2017, 140M consumers participating

THANK YOU!

PHOTO: SCOTT LOFTESNE

[email protected]

Twitter: GeoPeabody

www.glenbrook.com

www. paymentsnews.com

www.paymentsviews.com