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Michel Kaiser and Andrew PullinBangor University, UK
Are temperate Marine Protected Areas Effective Tools for Sustainable Fisheries Management ?
Systematic Review 23Centre for Evidence-Based Conservationwww.cebc.bangor.ac.uk
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Are Marine Protected Areas Effective Tools for Sustainable Fisheries Management ? I – temperate zone areas
Stewart, G.B., Côté, I.M., Kaiser, M.J., Halpern, B., Lester, S., Bayliss, H.R., Mengersson, K., & Pullin, A.S.
Draft available online in a week or so
Inclusion Criteria
Relevant subject(s): All temperate marine taxa (with subgroups of conservation and/or commercial concern).Types of intervention: Implementation of fishing restrictions within MPA defined as geographically defined areas subject to fishing prohibition (no take).Types of outcome: Changes in abundance (density, biomass or species richness measures).
Review Statistics - Scope
Search identified 3531 articles 34 studies on temperate MPAs provided data with a valid comparatorReporting on 30 independent MPAsyear of establishment (1963 – 1998) size (0.01 – 300km2) Depth (3 – 230m) number of taxa (1-202)
Review Statistics - Quality
31/34 studies were pseudo-replicatedOriginal data extracted from each study and disaggregated as far as possible.Data synthesised using random effects meta-analysis based on standardised mean difference (Hedges d) and log response ratios
Density: pooled at reserve level 1/
SE(
Effe
ct s
ize)
SMD-.840361 34.0313
.123693
8.15411
Extreme outlier-but very low weight
1/S
E (
Eff
ect
size
)
Standardized mean difference (SMD)
Large study (lots of sampling effort) hence highprecision of estimate
Small studies hence greaterVariability around estimate
90% density-R maybe overestimate but 40% density-S is robust- at least a 40% difference in density is therefore conservative at reserve level
Biomass – pooled at reserve level
1/S
E(Ef
fect
siz
e)
SMD-3.23249 3.16155
.106555
8.09404
Small negative studies represented by only one outlier
Standardized mean difference (SMD)
?
1/S
E (
Eff
ect
size
)
>100% difference in biomass therefore probably an overestimate but a biologically significant difference exists
To summarise
Within MPAs the following increases are observed:Density by at least 40%Biomass (>100%) but associated with some uncertaintySpecies richness of between 27 -68%
Fish Density – overall increase 57%
0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1
1.2
artificial reef rock sand & rock
Hed
ges
D
*
No significant differences in species level effects for:
Life-mode (benthopelagic, pelagic etc.)
Utility (subsistence, commercial)
Mobility (migratory/non-migratory)
Life-history (resilience/size)
But
Strong habitat effect
Artificial Reef Rock Sand & Rock
Species - reserve level interactions
Standardised Mean diff.-5.59596 0 5.59596
Study
Banyuls Banyuls-Cerbere Big Creek Marine Ecological Reserve Carry-le-Rouet Hopkins Isla La Graciosa e islotes del norte de lanzarote (Chinijo) Leigh Medes Island Miramare mpa Platform Gail Point Lobos Punta la Restinga-Mar de las Calmas (El Hierro) Scandola Tawharanui Marine Park Te Whanganui a Hei (Hahei) Torre Guaceto Marine Reserve Tsitsikamma
Overall (95% CI)
Fish have a density effect size of 0.3
Invertebrates and algae have small non-significant effects when species within a reserve are pooled
Taxonomic variationPooling fish species within genera results in an increased effect size equating to an 86% difference in density
Standardised Mean diff .-8.23307 0 8.23307
Study Apogon Arnoglos s us Atherina Aux is
Benthosem a blennius Boops Cal l iony m us Cepola
Ceratosc opelus c hrom is Chry s oblephus c or is
c tenolabrus Dic entr arc hus Dip lodus Epinephelus G a idrops arus G obius
G ym nam modytes Hex agr am m nus Labrus Lampany ctus
M ic rom es istius M ugi l M u llus M uraena Notolabrus
Notos copelus oblada O phiodon Pagel lus Pagrus
Parapercis Petrus Phy c is Pom atom us
Sarda Sardinel la s ar pa s ciaena Sc omber Sc orpaena
Sc orpaenichthy s Sebastes Sem icoss y phus Serio la
s er ranus Sparisom a Sparus Sphy raena s pic ara
s pondy l ios oma s ym phodus Tha las s om a Trachurus Trip tery g ion
O veral l (95% CI)
Ray photo: Bill Sanderson
Power analysis – setting objectives30 mpas are just enough to show big effects. To examine small effects (<0.2) such as the difference between mpas and controls for pelagic or bentho-pelagic fish >400 MPAs needed.
020
040
060
080
010
00N
umbe
r of M
PAs
.2 .3 .4 .5 .6 .7 .8 .9Effect size
no of mpas (0.05,0.7) no of mpas (0.01, 0.8)
Critical knowledge gaps (among many)
Soft sediment systems (no studies on sand alone or on mud)No information on spillover effects (one study explicitly examined change in effect with distance)Distinguishing confounding habitat effects from MPA effects difficult because of lack of BACI data
Confounding habitat effects
Devon, England
MPA
MPA
Area of comparison
MPAs – a large-scale experiment
0 300 Kilometers
Status of sites selected for the networkSpecial Area of Conservation (SAC)Area of Search (AOS) for future SACAdditional site
Draft Regional Sea boundariesPlanning region limitsLand
LEGEND
Multiple replicate sites
Representative
Resilience
We should approach management in an experimentalmanner
i.e. adaptive