Alumetal Group 2015 financial results · 2016. 3. 16. · increased by 9,7% (9,3% increase in PC...
Transcript of Alumetal Group 2015 financial results · 2016. 3. 16. · increased by 9,7% (9,3% increase in PC...
15th March 2016
Alumetal Group
2015 financial results
165 k tons sales volume (6% increase yoy), full capacity utilisation
PLN 106,6 mn EBITDA (36% increase yoy) due to volume growth and better margins despite the negative impact of one-off events
PLN 77,7 mn net profit (32% increase yoy) due to EBITDA growth despite negative impact of negative balance on exchange rate differences
PLN 46,7 mn net debt (0,4x EBITDA’15) although higher capex, increase in net working capital and dividend payment
PLN 70,1 mn operating cash flow (20% increase yoy) due to higher EBITDA, despite the increase in net working capital
FY 2015 at glance
18 698
19 725
18 439
15 290
17 079
17 552
16 276 16 318 17 127
18 177
18 130 18 520
16 760 15 774
15 104 15 065
13 749 13 563
14 400
15 793
12 000
13 000
14 000
15 000
16 000
17 000
18 000
19 000
20 000
21 000
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Produkcja Rejestracja
In 2015 the motor vehicle production in the EU increased by 6,1% and the motor vehicle sales increased by 9,7% (9,3% increase in PC and 12,5% increase in CV)
In 2015 the CEE5 share in the production of motor vehicles in the EU accounted for 21,2% and the CEE5 and Germany share amounted to 54,4%
Motor vehicle production and sales in the EU in thou. units
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
01-2
008
03-2
008
05-2
008
07-2
008
09-2
008
11-2
008
01-2
009
03-2
009
05-2
009
07-2
009
09-2
009
11-2
009
01-2
010
03-2
010
05-2
010
07-2
010
09-2
010
11-2
010
01-2
011
03-2
011
05-2
011
07-2
011
09-2
011
11-2
011
01-2
012
03-2
012
05-2
012
07-2
012
09-2
012
11-2
012
01-2
013
03-2
013
05-2
013
07-2
013
09-2
013
11-2
013
01-2
014
03-2
014
05-2
014
07-2
014
09-2
014
11-2
014
01-2
015
03-2
015
05-2
015
07-2
015
09-2
015
11-2
015
Benchmark margin (EUR/t)
Metal Bulletin 226 alloy spread in EUR per ton
345
In 2015 average margin amounted to 405 EUR/t, that was 19,4% higher than 2014 and 17,3% higher than the eight-year average
1128
877
228
356
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Export/import of Al scrap from/to the EU in k tons
Eksport Import
93
172
67
247
20
70
120
170
220
270
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Export/import of Al Scrap from/to Poland in k tons
Eksport Import
* *
* data for 2015 - form Dec 2014 till Nov 2015
Export/import of aluminium scrap from/to the EU and Poland
Net export of aluminium scrap from the EU decreased from 641k tons in 2014 to 521k tons in 2015, which is 15% decrease (export declined by 10% and import went down by 1%). Export to China and India is responsible for 2/3 of the total EU export
Net import of aluminium scrap to Poland increased from 33k tons in 2014 to 75k tons in 2015, which is growth of 128% (import increased by 19% and export decreased by 2%)
Sales volume in thou. tons
6%
In 4Q 2015 sales volume increased by 2% yoy to 40k tons
In 2015 sales volume increased by 6% yoy to 164,8k tons
39,2
45,4
41,3 38,2
40,0
0,0
5,0
10,0
15,0
20,0
25,0
30,0
35,0
40,0
45,0
50,0
4Q'14 1Q'15 2Q'15 3Q'15 4Q'15
88,1 99,4
126,9
156,1 164,8
-
20,0
40,0
60,0
80,0
100,0
120,0
140,0
160,0
180,0
200,0
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Sales revenue in mn PLN
17%
In 4Q 2015 sales revenue increased by 4% yoy to PLN 338 mn
In 2015 sales revenue increased by 17% yoy to PLN 1 442 mn
326,4
385,4 367,0 351,3
338,1
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
4Q'14 1Q'15 2Q'15 3Q'15 4Q'15
811,7 844,6
1 015,3
1 235,3
1 441,9
-
200
400
600
800
1 000
1 200
1 400
1 600
1 800
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
EBITDA in mn PLN
36%
In 4Q 2015 EBITDA increased by 11% yoy to PLN 25 mn
In 2015 EBITDA increased by 36% yoy to PLN 106,6 mn
22,4
19,2
28,2
34,3
25,0
0,0
5,0
10,0
15,0
20,0
25,0
30,0
35,0
40,0
4Q'14 1Q'15 2Q'15 3Q'15 4Q'15
63,0 52,9 54,0
78,3
106,6
-
20,0
40,0
60,0
80,0
100,0
120,0
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
EBITDA per ton in PLN
In 4Q 2015 EBITDA per ton increased by 9% yoy to 624 PLN/t
In 2015 EBITDA per ton increased by 29% yoy to 647 PLN/t
29%
571
424
682
897
624
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1 000
4Q'14 1Q'15 2Q'15 3Q'15 4Q'15
715
532
425
502
647
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Net profit in mn PLN
32%
In 4Q 2015 net profit increased by 10% yoy to PLN 18,6 mn
In 2015 net profit increased by 32% yoy to PLN 77,7 mn
16,9
9,8
21,6
27,7
18,6
0,0
5,0
10,0
15,0
20,0
25,0
30,0
4Q'14 1Q'15 2Q'15 3Q'15 4Q'15
43,9
34,5
35,8
58,9
77,7
-
10,0
20,0
30,0
40,0
50,0
60,0
70,0
80,0
90,0
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
One-off events impact for 2015 financial results in thou. PLN
1Q’14 2Q’14 3Q’14 4Q’14 2014 1Q’15 2Q’15 3Q’15 4Q’15 2015
Valuation of the managerial option program and yearly bonus for significant exceeding of 2015 budget
- 2 169 - 2 169 -1 205 - 265 - 381 - 1 614 -3 465
IPO costs - 347 - 597 -546 - 1 490 0
Reversal of provision for VAT 1 106 1 106 0
Impairment of fixed assets 0 - 867 - 867
Receivables impairment charges decreased by previously written-off receivables
- 9 757 2 439 - 7 318
-7 329 -7 329
Impact on EBITDA - 347 - 9 249 - 546 270 - 9 871 -1 205 -265 -381 -9 810 -11 660
Interest on refund of VAT 884 884 0
Income tax 66 1 967 104 - 463 1 673 774 774
Impact on net profit -281 -6 398 -442 -193 -7 314 -1 205 -265 -381 - 9 037 -10 887
34%
In 4Q 2015 adjusted EBITDA increased by 57% yoy to PLN 34,8 mn
In 2015 adjusted EBITDA increased by 34% yoy to PLN 118,3 mn
Adjusted EBITDA in mn PLN
22,1 20,4
28,4
34,7 34,8
0,0
5,0
10,0
15,0
20,0
25,0
30,0
35,0
40,0
4Q'14 1Q'15 2Q'15 3Q'15 4Q'15
63,0 52,9
54,0
78,3
106,6
88,2
118,3
-
20,0
40,0
60,0
80,0
100,0
120,0
140,0
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
EBITDA Adj. EBITDA
27%
In 4Q 2015 adjusted EBITDA per ton increased by 54% yoy to 870 PLN/t
In 2015 adjusted EBITDA per ton increased by 27% yoy to 718 PLN/t
Adjusted EBITDA per ton in PLN
565
450
689
907 870
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1 000
4Q'14 1Q'15 2Q'15 3Q'15 4Q'15
715
532
425
502
647
565
718
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
EBITDA/t Adj. EBITDA/t
Adjusted net profit in mn PLN
34%
In 4Q 2015 adjusted net profit increased by 61% yoy to PLN 27,6 mn
In 2015 adjusted net profit increased by 34% yoy to PLN 88,5 mn
17,1
11,0
21,8
28,1 27,6
0,0
5,0
10,0
15,0
20,0
25,0
30,0
35,0
4Q'14 1Q'15 2Q'15 3Q'15 4Q'15
43,9
34,5 35,8
58,9
77,7
66,2
88,5
-
20,0
40,0
60,0
80,0
100,0
120,0
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Zysk netto Adj. zysk netto
Capex in mn PLN
In 2015 capex increased by 338% yoy to PLN 47,3 mn of which:
PLN 7,7 mn maintenance capex
PLN 5,8 mn metal management
PLN 33,8 mn product mix (liquid metal)/ capacity increase (Hungary)
*including amount transferred on collateral manager account (construction trustee service)
338%
3,1
4,2 6,0
11,9
25,1*
0,0
5,0
10,0
15,0
20,0
25,0
30,0
4Q'14 1Q'15 2Q'15 3Q'15 4Q'15
4Q'14 1Q'15 2Q'15 3Q'15 4Q'15
64,2
38,6
33,5
10,8
47,3*
-
10,0
20,0
30,0
40,0
50,0
60,0
70,0
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
EBITDA vs OCF in mn PLN
In 4Q 2015 OCF amounted to PLN 39,8 mn vs PLN 25,0 mn of EBITDA
In 2015 OCF amounted to PLN 70,1 mn vs PLN 106,6 mn of EBITDA
22,4 19,2
28,2 34,3
25,0
18,7
-19,4
15,0
34,7
39,8
-30,0
-20,0
-10,0
0,0
10,0
20,0
30,0
40,0
50,0
4Q'14 1Q'15 2Q'15 3Q'15 4Q'15
EBITDA OCF
63,0
52,9
54,0
78,3
106,6
17,2
60,9
36,5
58,5
70,1
-
20,0
40,0
60,0
80,0
100,0
120,0
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
EBITDA OCF
Net debt and effective CIT rate
Net debt Effective CIT rate
At the end of 2015 net debt amounted to PLN 46,7 mn and Net debt/EBIDTA ratio decreased to the level of 0,4
Effective CIT ratio in 2015 amounted to 3,2%
112,1
72,1 70,2
45,4 46,7
1,8
1,4 1,3
0,6 0,4
0,0
0,2
0,4
0,6
0,8
1,0
1,2
1,4
1,6
1,8
2,0
0,0
20,0
40,0
60,0
80,0
100,0
120,0
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Dług netto Dług netto/EBITDA
12,3%
7,8%
1,7%
1,1%
3,2%
0,0%
2,0%
4,0%
6,0%
8,0%
10,0%
12,0%
14,0%
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Management Board proposal of the net profit distribution
PLN 77,7 mn of consolidated net profit
Management Board profit distribution proposal:
- PLN 38,8 mn dividend for shareholders
- PLN 38,4 mn for supplementary capital
- PLN 0,5 mn for employees’ social fund
PLN 2,55 dividend per share (PLN 1,95 year ago) – dividend yield at 5,4%
Planned dividend record date on 20th May 2016 and planned dividend payment date on 31st May 2016
Hungarian project status
September 2015 – start of the recruitment and training in Poland of the first production employees from Hungary, currently 26 employees are employed
October 2015 – start of construction of the plant, currently construction works progress at ca. 50%
October 2015 – signing cash grant agreement with the Hungarian goverment, the agreement entered into force on 2nd February 2016
October 2015 – signing investment credit agreement between ING Bank Śląski S.A. and ALUMETAL S.A. and long-term loan agreement between ALUMETAL S.A. and ALUMETAL Group Hungary Kft.
April 2016 – start of assembly of machines and equipment
The project is on time and budget
Prizes and Awards in 2015
Warsaw Stock Exchange award for the highest value IPO in 2014
Prize „Bulls and Bears" awarded by Parkiet newspaper in the category Debut in 2014
Nomination for Prize „Best New Listed Company” awarded by Federation of European Securities Exchanges
Award of Rzeczpospolita newspaper in the category of Employment Growth
Awards: Business Cheetah 2015, Business Power 2015, Export Eagle 2015
Share price on the Warsaw Stock Exchange
At the end of 2015 share price was higher by 45% compared to IPO price
Market parameter for option in 2015 accomplished: change of average WIG –1,4% vs. the average Alumetal share price adjusted by dividend payment +29,2% (required difference +5%)
32
37
42
47
52
57
62
2014-0
7-1
7
2014-0
7-2
4
2014-0
7-3
1
2014-0
8-0
7
2014-0
8-1
4
2014-0
8-2
2
2014-0
8-2
9
2014-0
9-0
5
2014-0
9-1
2
2014-0
9-1
9
2014-0
9-2
6
2014-1
0-0
3
2014-1
0-1
0
2014-1
0-1
7
2014-1
0-2
4
2014-1
0-3
1
2014-1
1-0
7
2014-1
1-1
7
2014-1
1-2
4
2014-1
2-0
1
2014-1
2-0
8
2014-1
2-1
5
2014-1
2-2
2
2015-0
1-0
5
2015-0
1-1
3
2015-0
1-2
0
2015-0
1-2
7
2015-0
2-0
3
2015-0
2-1
0
2015-0
2-1
7
2015-0
2-2
4
2015-0
3-0
3
2015-0
3-1
0
2015-0
3-1
7
2015-0
3-2
4
2015-0
3-3
1
2015-0
4-0
9
2015-0
4-1
6
2015-0
4-2
3
2015-0
4-3
0
2015-0
5-0
8
2015-0
5-1
5
2015-0
5-2
2
2015-0
5-2
9
2015-0
6-0
8
2015-0
6-1
5
2015-0
6-2
2
2015-0
6-2
9
2015-0
7-0
6
2015-0
7-1
3
2015-0
7-2
0
2015-0
7-2
7
2015-0
8-0
3
2015-0
8-1
0
2015-0
8-1
7
2015-0
8-2
4
2015-0
8-3
1
2015-0
9-0
7
2015-0
9-1
4
2015-0
9-2
1
2015-0
9-2
8
2015-1
0-0
5
2015-1
0-1
2
2015-1
0-1
9
2015-1
0-2
6
2015-1
1-0
2
2015-1
1-0
9
2015-1
1-1
7
2015-1
1-2
4
2015-1
2-0
1
2015-1
2-0
8
2015-1
2-1
5
2015-1
2-2
2
Summary
Record financial results in 2015 – the highest ever EBITDA and net profit despite the one-off events
Strong balance sheet and solid OCF will allow to implement the developement strategy and to continue the dividend policy
The project in Hungary realized according to schedule and budget
In 2016 the Management Board aims to achieve the parameteres necessary for the completin of the third tranche of the management option. Sustained upward trend in the automotive industry and the pressure on margins is expected