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Transcript of Airbus Defence and Space - Unmanned Cargo Aircraft · PDF file• A400M, A330 MRTT, CN235,...
Airbus Defence and Space
One mission, one team, one direction
Julian Hasinski CEng, Senior Expert (Aeronautics)
11 Feb 2014 / First International Unmanned Cargo Aircraft Conference, Holland.
This presentation represents the views
of the Author/Speaker and not
necessarily those of Airbus Defence and
Space.
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Airbus Defence and Space
Europe’s No. 1 in defence
World’s No. 2 in space
More than 40,000 employees
Approximately €14 billion in revenue
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Global
innovation leader
spending more
than €3 billion
in R&D
each year.
Airbus Defence and Space: A unique international leader
Being strong together – 3 turn into 1
One Parent Company
Three Brands
Multiple Business Segments
One Company
One Brand
Four Business Segments
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Airbus Defence and Space: Management Team
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Military Aircraft Space Systems Comm., Intelligence
& Security (CIS) Electronics
Operations
Integration Management Marketing & Sales Finance Human Resources
Pilar Albiac Murillo Christian Scherer Julian Whitehead Lars Immisch
Domingo Ureña Raso François Auque Evert Dudok Thomas Müller
CEO
Bernhard
Gerwert
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Germany 1. Manching
2. Ulm
3. Friedrichshafen
4. Unterschleißheim
5. Ottobrunn
6. Bremen
France 7. Toulouse
8. Elancourt
9. Les Mureaux
10. Aquitaine
11. Suresnes
Spain 12. Getafe
13. Barajas
14. Seville
15. Cadiz
UK 16. Stevenage
17. Portsmouth
18. Newport
Luxembourg Mielec
Oostkamp
Brussels
Torino
Warsaw
Bratislava
Budapest
9
8
11
10
7
13 12
14 15
3 5
4
1 2
17
18 16
6
Leiden
Eik
Helsinki
Jyväskylä
Athens
Ankara
Airbus Defence and Space: Our locations in Europe
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Airbus Defence and Space worldwide
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Airbus Defence and Space: Market leading products
Eurofighter A400M A330 MRTT (Multi-Role Tanker Transport)
Ariane 5 Automated Transfer Vehicle (ATV) Satellites
Airbus Defence and Space: 4 Business Lines �
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Military Aircraft
• A400M, A330 MRTT, CN235,
C212, Orlik
• Eurofighter, Tornado
• Barracuda, Atlante, Harfang,
Euro Hawk, Future European
Male, Tracker, Tanan, Survey
Copter
Electronics
• Mission Data Transfer Systems,
Optics for Spectrograph
Instrumentation, Identification
Friend or Foe (IFF) Systems,
Space Platform Electronics,
Space Payload Electronics
Space Systems
• Ariane 5, Automated Transfer
Vehicle, Eurostar E3000,
Pléiades, Gaia, Skynet,
observation satellites (Spot,
TanDEM-X, TerraSAR-X, M51,
MetOp, Swarm), International
Space Station ISS,
interplanetary probes (Herschel,
Mars Express, Solar Orbiter),
Lunar Lander
Communication,
Intelligence
& Security (CIS) • Surveillance and Security
Solutions, Secure
Communications Solutions,
Cyber Security, Coastal
Surveillance Systems, NATO
SATCOM Post-2000, Wireless
Intranet Solutions in Theatre,
Farmstar Expert, Tetra Systems
Unmanned Cargo Aircraft
• A Brief History
• Unmanned Aircraft or Operational Concept, a Chicken and
Egg Problem
• Pre/Post Single European Skies
• SKYTUNNELS or Full Autonomy
• The Economic Decision Factors
• The Industry Decision Factors
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Carrier Pigeon
• In use for at least 2600 years
• Capable of fully autonomous flight
• Capable of sense and avoid
• Can carry 20% of its take off Mass as
Payload
• Celestial/magnetic positioning system
• Fuelled by pure Bio Fuel
• Capable of Pigeongram type services
• Virtually unlimited range and duration
with the ability to refuel enroute
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KMAX and other derivatives
• After many millions of dollars invested
in a variety of ISTAR and offensive
roles for UAS Forces have begun to
realise that unmanned resupply is the
easiest application and the one most
likely to provide military utility and save
lives.
• Different VTOL airframes have been
used in this role and it is known to be
expanding
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2013 Small UAS emerge
• Amazon, Waterstones and DHL all
announced their interest in using small
UAS in parcel deliveries using small
Uas
• Usually high value cargo such as first
edition books or medecines
• All the announcements provoked
debate around:
• Competition
• Landing facilities
• Permissions
• Descrimination
• etc
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What Comes First? The Aircraft or the Operational Concept
Many Phrases come to mind:
• Build it and they will come
• Answer the question Stupid
• Money Talks
• Paralysis by Analysis
To name a few…
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What Comes First? The Aircraft or the Operational Concept
The Operation First?
• Operational Concepts are supposed to
provide the basis of an Operation
• Which in turn is the basis of a
Business Plan
• But does the provider of an
Operational Solution also the
Operation owner…Generally not.
The Aircraft First
• One Business cannot write a Business
plan for another Business
• If you want a facility to execute an
operation you look to a market place to
satisfy your needs..ideally.
• If you need to be a pioneer you still
look to businesses with a track record
of success to reduce your own risk
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Pre or Post Single European Skies?
• The advent of Single European Skies
Operations across Europe, and Next
Gen in the USA have been both a help
and hindrance to progress.
• Whilst the prospect exists for UAS to
operate in the 4D open environment
UAS pre se have only been given
attention in the later stages of the
development of SESAR/Next Gen.
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Pre or Post Single European Skies?
Post SES
• The Environment is more congruous
with the way automatic and
autonomous aircraft will be
programmed
• The timescales, being in the future, will
naturally suggest that the population of
UAVs will be greater than at present.
• If there are no Pre SES services, then
suggesting confidence in a service
may be difficult
Pre SES
• In unmanned operations there is no
substitute for getting on and
experimenting and doing practical
demonstration.
• Waiting for every aspect of SES to be
a reality may be counter productive.
• Its frequently easier for decision makes
to defer to SES timescales as a way of
shifting the critical path
• SES does not necessarily ensure
commercial benefit for operations, and
waiting for SES may add cost and
make benefits more marginal.
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Restriction or Autonomy?
Restriction
• UAS restricted to unpopulated areas
such as over the sea
• UAS likely to operated on single route
convoys for economy of scale
• Makes setting up of routes require a
relatively high investment
• The Systems involved are mostly
existing technology and proven
• Operating under the ‘old’ rules will
provide a de-risking for Autonomous
operations
Autonomy
• The Technology of the vehicle is likely
to be State of the Art
• There will be no restrictions as to
where the vehicles can navigate as
long as the airframes and systems are
certified.
• Low cost of setting up routes, balanced
by the higher cost of the aircraft and
systems
• Vehicles will be dispersed and not
reliant on pre defined routes
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Economic Decision Factors, To Fly or not to Fly?
• A Choice now faces most
organisations that offer some sort of
transiting service as the possibility of
unmanned aerial logistics becomes a
reality.
• The Choice will be based on a variety
of business factors that may initially
elude the aircraft designer
• The obvious ones are:
• Payload
• Distance
• Utilisation
• Mode Mix
• Urgency
• Cost
• And so on
• The Future Business Development of
Cargo UAS will be based on
interpreting these factors for the end
users and stakeholders.
• A Simple Test should demonstrate to a
business whether there is a true
benefit for and aerial service.
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