Accuracy of load assessments based on modelled … › sites › winddenmark.dk › files...–M....
Transcript of Accuracy of load assessments based on modelled … › sites › winddenmark.dk › files...–M....
![Page 1: Accuracy of load assessments based on modelled … › sites › winddenmark.dk › files...–M. Kelly (2014) mentions possible equation: 𝛼Τ 𝑇 −1≅𝑧Τ𝐿 •This study:](https://reader036.fdocuments.us/reader036/viewer/2022070815/5f0f27677e708231d442c0cf/html5/thumbnails/1.jpg)
A novel method to quantifyatmospheric stability…
Presenter: Lasse Svenningsen
![Page 2: Accuracy of load assessments based on modelled … › sites › winddenmark.dk › files...–M. Kelly (2014) mentions possible equation: 𝛼Τ 𝑇 −1≅𝑧Τ𝐿 •This study:](https://reader036.fdocuments.us/reader036/viewer/2022070815/5f0f27677e708231d442c0cf/html5/thumbnails/2.jpg)
Or… what can you do with only standard measurements?
Presenter: Lasse Svenningsen
![Page 3: Accuracy of load assessments based on modelled … › sites › winddenmark.dk › files...–M. Kelly (2014) mentions possible equation: 𝛼Τ 𝑇 −1≅𝑧Τ𝐿 •This study:](https://reader036.fdocuments.us/reader036/viewer/2022070815/5f0f27677e708231d442c0cf/html5/thumbnails/3.jpg)
Outline
• A question!
• Intro, Motivation & Hypothesis
• Some MOST Theory
• Method & Demo
• Validation main assumption
• Conclusions
[References and eq. numbers refer to windEU 2018 paper]https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1742-6596/1102/1/012009/pdf
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Which measurements do you typically have from a mast?
A) Just wind speed / TI (cups)
B) + Temp. diff / dual temp.
C) + 3D-Sonic
First a question!
![Page 5: Accuracy of load assessments based on modelled … › sites › winddenmark.dk › files...–M. Kelly (2014) mentions possible equation: 𝛼Τ 𝑇 −1≅𝑧Τ𝐿 •This study:](https://reader036.fdocuments.us/reader036/viewer/2022070815/5f0f27677e708231d442c0cf/html5/thumbnails/5.jpg)
Which measurements do you typically have from a mast?
(my guess ☺)
A) Just wind speed / TI (cups) [~85%]
B) + Temp. diff / dual temp. [<10%]
C) + 3D-Sonic [<5%]
First a question!
![Page 6: Accuracy of load assessments based on modelled … › sites › winddenmark.dk › files...–M. Kelly (2014) mentions possible equation: 𝛼Τ 𝑇 −1≅𝑧Τ𝐿 •This study:](https://reader036.fdocuments.us/reader036/viewer/2022070815/5f0f27677e708231d442c0cf/html5/thumbnails/6.jpg)
Stability – what is it?
• Static stability
– Temp. lapse rate compared to adiabatic lapse rate (~1°/100m)
– Only static effects on buoyancy forces (wind speed≈0)
– Measures: Δθ/Δz
Intro
![Page 7: Accuracy of load assessments based on modelled … › sites › winddenmark.dk › files...–M. Kelly (2014) mentions possible equation: 𝛼Τ 𝑇 −1≅𝑧Τ𝐿 •This study:](https://reader036.fdocuments.us/reader036/viewer/2022070815/5f0f27677e708231d442c0cf/html5/thumbnails/7.jpg)
Stability – what is it?
• Static stability
– Temp. lapse rate compared to adiabatic lapse rate (~1°/100m)
– Only static effects on buoyancy forces (wind speed≈0)
– Measures: Δθ/Δz (Stable: Δθ/Δz>0 / Unstable: Δθ/Δz<0)
Intro
![Page 8: Accuracy of load assessments based on modelled … › sites › winddenmark.dk › files...–M. Kelly (2014) mentions possible equation: 𝛼Τ 𝑇 −1≅𝑧Τ𝐿 •This study:](https://reader036.fdocuments.us/reader036/viewer/2022070815/5f0f27677e708231d442c0cf/html5/thumbnails/8.jpg)
Stability – what is it?
• Static stability
– Temp. lapse rate compared to adiabatic lapse rate (~1°/100m)
– Only static effects on buoyancy forces (wind speed≈0)
– Measures: Δθ/Δz (Stable: Δθ/Δz>0 / Unstable: Δθ/Δz<0)
• Dynamic stability
– The dynamic effect of wind speed is accounted for
– Wind shear => turbulent mixing and fluxes of heat and momentum
– Measures: Ri, L
Intro
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Stability – how is it quantified and measured?
• Recommended methods:
– Monin-Obukhov length (L)
– Richardson number (Ri)
Intro
![Page 10: Accuracy of load assessments based on modelled … › sites › winddenmark.dk › files...–M. Kelly (2014) mentions possible equation: 𝛼Τ 𝑇 −1≅𝑧Τ𝐿 •This study:](https://reader036.fdocuments.us/reader036/viewer/2022070815/5f0f27677e708231d442c0cf/html5/thumbnails/10.jpg)
Stability – how is it quantified and measured?
• Recommended methods:
– Monin-Obukhov length (L)
– Richardson number (Ri)
Intro
![Page 11: Accuracy of load assessments based on modelled … › sites › winddenmark.dk › files...–M. Kelly (2014) mentions possible equation: 𝛼Τ 𝑇 −1≅𝑧Τ𝐿 •This study:](https://reader036.fdocuments.us/reader036/viewer/2022070815/5f0f27677e708231d442c0cf/html5/thumbnails/11.jpg)
Stability – how is it quantified and measured?
• L – The Monin-Obukhov length
– Below L: shear-effects dominate TI, Above L: buoyancy-effects dominate TI
– Required measurements: 3D sonics (𝜃𝑣′𝑤′ and 𝑢′𝑤′ ~ 𝐻 and 𝑢∗)
– Very sensitive to 𝑢∗ => very local, 𝑢∗3 depends strongly on roughness and terrain
Intro
L =𝜌𝐶𝑝𝜃𝑢∗
3
𝜅𝑔𝐻
![Page 12: Accuracy of load assessments based on modelled … › sites › winddenmark.dk › files...–M. Kelly (2014) mentions possible equation: 𝛼Τ 𝑇 −1≅𝑧Τ𝐿 •This study:](https://reader036.fdocuments.us/reader036/viewer/2022070815/5f0f27677e708231d442c0cf/html5/thumbnails/12.jpg)
Stability – how is it quantified and measured?
• L – The Monin-Obukhov length
– Below L: shear-effects dominate TI, Above L: buoyancy-effects dominate TI
– Required measurements: 3D sonics (𝜃𝑣′𝑤′ and 𝑢′𝑤′ ~ 𝐻 and 𝑢∗)
– Very sensitive to 𝑢∗ => very local, 𝑢∗3 depends strongly on roughness and terrain
– Is this point estimate optimal choice e.g. to drive input to a CFD model?
Or do we actually need a more ‘regional’ value?
Intro
L =𝜌𝐶𝑝𝜃𝑢∗
3
𝜅𝑔𝐻
![Page 13: Accuracy of load assessments based on modelled … › sites › winddenmark.dk › files...–M. Kelly (2014) mentions possible equation: 𝛼Τ 𝑇 −1≅𝑧Τ𝐿 •This study:](https://reader036.fdocuments.us/reader036/viewer/2022070815/5f0f27677e708231d442c0cf/html5/thumbnails/13.jpg)
Stability – how is it quantified and measured?
• Ri - Richardson number (gradient)
– Ri is the ratio of ‘buoyant TI-generation/consumption’ to ‘shear TI-generation’
– Required measurements: temperature diff. and wind speed difference (issue for du/dz→0)
– Directly related to z/L via similarity theory:
Unstable (Ri<0): z/L ≡ 𝜑𝑚2
𝜑ℎ≈ Ri
Stable (Ri>0): z/L ≡ 𝜑𝑚2
𝜑ℎ≈ Ri/(1-5Ri) (alternative expressions published)
Intro
Ri =𝑔 ൗ∆𝜃
∆𝑧
𝜃 ൗ∆𝑢∆𝑧
2
![Page 14: Accuracy of load assessments based on modelled … › sites › winddenmark.dk › files...–M. Kelly (2014) mentions possible equation: 𝛼Τ 𝑇 −1≅𝑧Τ𝐿 •This study:](https://reader036.fdocuments.us/reader036/viewer/2022070815/5f0f27677e708231d442c0cf/html5/thumbnails/14.jpg)
Stability – how is it quantified and measured?
The problem:
• Recommended methods require measurements not installed on standard masts
• What can we do with only a standard mast setup?
Motivation
![Page 15: Accuracy of load assessments based on modelled … › sites › winddenmark.dk › files...–M. Kelly (2014) mentions possible equation: 𝛼Τ 𝑇 −1≅𝑧Τ𝐿 •This study:](https://reader036.fdocuments.us/reader036/viewer/2022070815/5f0f27677e708231d442c0cf/html5/thumbnails/15.jpg)
Stability – what are the (well known) effects?
• Turbulence (*): 𝑇𝐼
𝑇𝐼𝑁Vs
𝑧
𝐿
• Shear (o): 𝛼
𝛼𝑁Vs
𝑧
𝐿
Motivation
![Page 16: Accuracy of load assessments based on modelled … › sites › winddenmark.dk › files...–M. Kelly (2014) mentions possible equation: 𝛼Τ 𝑇 −1≅𝑧Τ𝐿 •This study:](https://reader036.fdocuments.us/reader036/viewer/2022070815/5f0f27677e708231d442c0cf/html5/thumbnails/16.jpg)
Stability – what are the (well known) effects?
• Turbulence (*): 𝑇𝐼
𝑇𝐼𝑁Vs
𝑧
𝐿
• Shear (o): 𝛼
𝛼𝑁Vs
𝑧
𝐿
Motivation
![Page 17: Accuracy of load assessments based on modelled … › sites › winddenmark.dk › files...–M. Kelly (2014) mentions possible equation: 𝛼Τ 𝑇 −1≅𝑧Τ𝐿 •This study:](https://reader036.fdocuments.us/reader036/viewer/2022070815/5f0f27677e708231d442c0cf/html5/thumbnails/17.jpg)
Can we quantify MOL from shear and turbulence?
• Previous studies:
– Iterative profile methods (e.g. Holtslag et al., 2012)
– Stability classification from shear only (e.g. Wharton & Lundquist, 2012)
– M. Kelly (2014) mentions possible equation: Τ𝛼 𝑇𝐼 − 1 ≅ Τ𝑧 𝐿
• This study:
– Quantify shear and TI deviations from their neutral value (u→∞)
– Must be handled versus direction due to terrain and roughness effects v
– Can we infer L from these deviations?
Hypothesis
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Can we quantify MOL from shear and turbulence?
• Previous studies:
– Iterative profile methods (e.g. Holtslag et al., 2012)
– Stability classification from shear only (e.g. Wharton & Lundquist, 2012)
– M. Kelly (2014) mentions possible equation: Τ𝛼 𝑇𝐼 − 1 ≅ Τ𝑧 𝐿
• This study:
– Quantify shear and TI deviations from their neutral value (u→∞)
– Must be handled versus direction due to terrain and roughness effects v
– Can we infer L from these deviations?
Hypothesis
![Page 19: Accuracy of load assessments based on modelled … › sites › winddenmark.dk › files...–M. Kelly (2014) mentions possible equation: 𝛼Τ 𝑇 −1≅𝑧Τ𝐿 •This study:](https://reader036.fdocuments.us/reader036/viewer/2022070815/5f0f27677e708231d442c0cf/html5/thumbnails/19.jpg)
MO Similarity Theory for shear and TI
Theory
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MO Similarity Theory for shear
• Wind profile:
• Shear exponent:
φ𝑚𝑧
𝐿is the universal similarity function for shear
Ψ𝑚𝑧
𝐿is an integral of φ𝑚
𝑧
𝐿.
Theory
𝑢 𝑧 =𝑢∗𝜅
ln𝑧
𝑧0−Ψ𝑚
𝑧
𝐿
𝛼 ≡ൗ𝑑𝑢𝑑𝑧Τ𝑢 𝑧
=𝑢∗𝑢 ⋅ 𝜅
φ𝑚
𝑧
𝐿
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MO Similarity Theory for TI
• Turbulence:
– Does not fully follow MOST, as it does not fully scale with z
– For unstable conditions it scales with zi (ABL height), but with low sensitivity
𝜑1?
𝐿is a quasi-universal similarity function for turbulence
Theory
𝜎𝑢 = 𝑢∗𝜑1𝑧
𝐿(stable)
𝜎𝑢 = 𝑢∗𝜑1𝑧𝑖
𝐿(unstable)
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Universal functions for shear and TI
• Some published expressions for the similarity functions:
• Typical constants: a=1.7-2.3, … (see paper)
• Neutral limits: let L → ±∞
• Problem(?): “a” not consistent across published stable-unstable
Theory
u-function Neutral limit Stable Unstable
Shear: 𝛗𝒎 1 1 + 𝑏𝑧𝐿
[8–10] 1 − 𝑏𝑧𝐿
𝑐[8–10]
TI: 𝛗𝟏 a 𝑎 + 𝑏 𝑧
𝐿
𝑐[11,12] 𝑎 1 − 𝑏𝑧𝑖
𝐿
𝑐[10,13]
![Page 23: Accuracy of load assessments based on modelled … › sites › winddenmark.dk › files...–M. Kelly (2014) mentions possible equation: 𝛼Τ 𝑇 −1≅𝑧Τ𝐿 •This study:](https://reader036.fdocuments.us/reader036/viewer/2022070815/5f0f27677e708231d442c0cf/html5/thumbnails/23.jpg)
MO Similarity Theory for shear and TI
• Revisit of MOST expected shear and TI
deviations versus roughness and z/L:
• Notice the alignment across roughnesses
• And how the lines converge to {-1,-1}
• Why?....
Theory
![Page 24: Accuracy of load assessments based on modelled … › sites › winddenmark.dk › files...–M. Kelly (2014) mentions possible equation: 𝛼Τ 𝑇 −1≅𝑧Τ𝐿 •This study:](https://reader036.fdocuments.us/reader036/viewer/2022070815/5f0f27677e708231d442c0cf/html5/thumbnails/24.jpg)
MO Similarity Theory for shear and TI
• Revisit of MOST expected shear and TI
deviations versus roughness and z/L:
• Notice the alignment across roughnesses
• And how the lines converge to {-1,-1}
• Why?....
• The ratio is independent
of roughness
Theory
𝛼
𝛼𝑁
𝑇𝐼
𝑇𝐼𝑁
−1
![Page 25: Accuracy of load assessments based on modelled … › sites › winddenmark.dk › files...–M. Kelly (2014) mentions possible equation: 𝛼Τ 𝑇 −1≅𝑧Τ𝐿 •This study:](https://reader036.fdocuments.us/reader036/viewer/2022070815/5f0f27677e708231d442c0cf/html5/thumbnails/25.jpg)
MO Similarity Theory for shear and TI
• Plot of versus all roughnesses!
Theory
𝛼
𝛼𝑁
𝑇𝐼
𝑇𝐼𝑁
−1𝑧
𝐿
![Page 26: Accuracy of load assessments based on modelled … › sites › winddenmark.dk › files...–M. Kelly (2014) mentions possible equation: 𝛼Τ 𝑇 −1≅𝑧Τ𝐿 •This study:](https://reader036.fdocuments.us/reader036/viewer/2022070815/5f0f27677e708231d442c0cf/html5/thumbnails/26.jpg)
MO Similarity Theory for shear and TI
• Plot of versus all roughnesses!
• A “universal” relationship only a function
of ratios of universal functions:
Theory
𝛼
𝛼𝑁
𝑇𝐼
𝑇𝐼𝑁
−1𝑧
𝐿
𝛼
𝛼𝑁
𝑇𝐼
𝑇𝐼𝑁
−1
=φ𝑚
φ𝑚,𝑁
𝜑1𝜑1,𝑁
−1
![Page 27: Accuracy of load assessments based on modelled … › sites › winddenmark.dk › files...–M. Kelly (2014) mentions possible equation: 𝛼Τ 𝑇 −1≅𝑧Τ𝐿 •This study:](https://reader036.fdocuments.us/reader036/viewer/2022070815/5f0f27677e708231d442c0cf/html5/thumbnails/27.jpg)
MO Similarity Theory for shear and TI
• Plot of versus all roughnesses!
• A “universal” relationship only a function
of ratios of universal functions:
• Constants like “a” in cancel out
Theory
𝛼
𝛼𝑁
𝑇𝐼
𝑇𝐼𝑁
−1𝑧
𝐿
𝛼
𝛼𝑁
𝑇𝐼
𝑇𝐼𝑁
−1
=φ𝑚
φ𝑚,𝑁
𝜑1𝜑1,𝑁
−1
𝜑1
![Page 28: Accuracy of load assessments based on modelled … › sites › winddenmark.dk › files...–M. Kelly (2014) mentions possible equation: 𝛼Τ 𝑇 −1≅𝑧Τ𝐿 •This study:](https://reader036.fdocuments.us/reader036/viewer/2022070815/5f0f27677e708231d442c0cf/html5/thumbnails/28.jpg)
MO Similarity Theory for shear and TI
• Approximations to versus :
Theory
𝛼
𝛼𝑁
𝑇𝐼
𝑇𝐼𝑁
−1 𝑧
𝐿
![Page 29: Accuracy of load assessments based on modelled … › sites › winddenmark.dk › files...–M. Kelly (2014) mentions possible equation: 𝛼Τ 𝑇 −1≅𝑧Τ𝐿 •This study:](https://reader036.fdocuments.us/reader036/viewer/2022070815/5f0f27677e708231d442c0cf/html5/thumbnails/29.jpg)
MO Similarity Theory for shear and TI
• Approximations to versus :
Theory
𝛼
𝛼𝑁
𝑇𝐼
𝑇𝐼𝑁
−1 𝑧
𝐿
Stable: 𝛼
𝛼𝑁
𝑇𝐼
𝑇𝐼𝑁
−1> 1,
𝛼
𝛼𝑁
𝑇𝐼
𝑇𝐼𝑁
−1≅ 4.1
𝑧
𝐿+ 1
Unstable: 𝛼
𝛼𝑁
𝑇𝐼
𝑇𝐼𝑁
−1< 1,
𝛼
𝛼𝑁
𝑇𝐼
𝑇𝐼𝑁
−1≅ −0.15 ln
−𝑧
𝐿+ 0.4
![Page 30: Accuracy of load assessments based on modelled … › sites › winddenmark.dk › files...–M. Kelly (2014) mentions possible equation: 𝛼Τ 𝑇 −1≅𝑧Τ𝐿 •This study:](https://reader036.fdocuments.us/reader036/viewer/2022070815/5f0f27677e708231d442c0cf/html5/thumbnails/30.jpg)
Steps of the proposed method
Method & Demo
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Steps of the proposed method
1. Estimate neutral limits of shear and TI versus direction
2. Estimate normalized deviations of shear and TI
3. Apply smoothing kernel to enhance stability signal
4. Estimate , MOL and make validation plot
Method & Demo
𝜶
𝜶𝑵
𝑻𝑰
𝑻𝑰𝑵
−𝟏
![Page 32: Accuracy of load assessments based on modelled … › sites › winddenmark.dk › files...–M. Kelly (2014) mentions possible equation: 𝛼Τ 𝑇 −1≅𝑧Τ𝐿 •This study:](https://reader036.fdocuments.us/reader036/viewer/2022070815/5f0f27677e708231d442c0cf/html5/thumbnails/32.jpg)
Steps of the proposed method
1. Estimate neutral limits of shear and TI versus direction(Example Cabauw, dir=220°±10°)
Method & Demo
![Page 33: Accuracy of load assessments based on modelled … › sites › winddenmark.dk › files...–M. Kelly (2014) mentions possible equation: 𝛼Τ 𝑇 −1≅𝑧Τ𝐿 •This study:](https://reader036.fdocuments.us/reader036/viewer/2022070815/5f0f27677e708231d442c0cf/html5/thumbnails/33.jpg)
Steps of the proposed method
2. Estimate normalized deviations of shear and TI
3. Apply smoothing kernel to enhance stability signal
Method & Demo
![Page 34: Accuracy of load assessments based on modelled … › sites › winddenmark.dk › files...–M. Kelly (2014) mentions possible equation: 𝛼Τ 𝑇 −1≅𝑧Τ𝐿 •This study:](https://reader036.fdocuments.us/reader036/viewer/2022070815/5f0f27677e708231d442c0cf/html5/thumbnails/34.jpg)
Steps of the proposed method
2. Estimate normalized deviations of shear and TI
3. Apply smoothing kernel to enhance stability signal
Method & Demo
![Page 35: Accuracy of load assessments based on modelled … › sites › winddenmark.dk › files...–M. Kelly (2014) mentions possible equation: 𝛼Τ 𝑇 −1≅𝑧Τ𝐿 •This study:](https://reader036.fdocuments.us/reader036/viewer/2022070815/5f0f27677e708231d442c0cf/html5/thumbnails/35.jpg)
Steps of the proposed method
4. Estimate , MOL and make validation plot– Make deviation plot as validation
– Overlaid constant MOL iso-lines
– Strongly resembles theoretical pattern (u>5m/s)
Method & Demo
𝜶
𝜶𝑵
𝑻𝑰
𝑻𝑰𝑵
−𝟏
![Page 36: Accuracy of load assessments based on modelled … › sites › winddenmark.dk › files...–M. Kelly (2014) mentions possible equation: 𝛼Τ 𝑇 −1≅𝑧Τ𝐿 •This study:](https://reader036.fdocuments.us/reader036/viewer/2022070815/5f0f27677e708231d442c0cf/html5/thumbnails/36.jpg)
Steps of the proposed method
4. Estimate , MOL and make validation plot– Make deviation plot as validation
– Overlaid constant MOL iso-lines
– Strongly resembles theoretical pattern (u>5m/s)
Method & Demo
𝜶
𝜶𝑵
𝑻𝑰
𝑻𝑰𝑵
−𝟏
![Page 37: Accuracy of load assessments based on modelled … › sites › winddenmark.dk › files...–M. Kelly (2014) mentions possible equation: 𝛼Τ 𝑇 −1≅𝑧Τ𝐿 •This study:](https://reader036.fdocuments.us/reader036/viewer/2022070815/5f0f27677e708231d442c0cf/html5/thumbnails/37.jpg)
Steps of the proposed method
4. Estimate , MOL and make validation plot– Make deviation plot as validation
– Overlaid constant MOL iso-lines
– Strongly resembles theoretical pattern (u>5m/s)
Method & Demo
𝜶
𝜶𝑵
𝑻𝑰
𝑻𝑰𝑵
−𝟏
![Page 38: Accuracy of load assessments based on modelled … › sites › winddenmark.dk › files...–M. Kelly (2014) mentions possible equation: 𝛼Τ 𝑇 −1≅𝑧Τ𝐿 •This study:](https://reader036.fdocuments.us/reader036/viewer/2022070815/5f0f27677e708231d442c0cf/html5/thumbnails/38.jpg)
Validation of main assumption
• Is there a ‘universal’ relation ship between and ??
• Validation requires concurrent measurements of L and
Three masts:
– Høvsøre
– Ryningsnäs
– NREL-M5
Validation of theory
𝜶
𝜶𝑵
𝑻𝑰
𝑻𝑰𝑵
−𝟏𝒛
𝑳
𝜶
𝜶𝑵
𝑻𝑰
𝑻𝑰𝑵
−𝟏
![Page 39: Accuracy of load assessments based on modelled … › sites › winddenmark.dk › files...–M. Kelly (2014) mentions possible equation: 𝛼Τ 𝑇 −1≅𝑧Τ𝐿 •This study:](https://reader036.fdocuments.us/reader036/viewer/2022070815/5f0f27677e708231d442c0cf/html5/thumbnails/39.jpg)
Validation of main assumption
• Is there a ‘universal’ relation ship between and ??
• Validation requires concurrent measurements of L and
Høvsøre (DK west coast): Ryningsnäs (Swedish forest): NREL-M5 (Rockies foothills):
Validation of theory
𝜶
𝜶𝑵
𝑻𝑰
𝑻𝑰𝑵
−𝟏𝒛
𝑳
𝜶
𝜶𝑵
𝑻𝑰
𝑻𝑰𝑵
−𝟏
![Page 40: Accuracy of load assessments based on modelled … › sites › winddenmark.dk › files...–M. Kelly (2014) mentions possible equation: 𝛼Τ 𝑇 −1≅𝑧Τ𝐿 •This study:](https://reader036.fdocuments.us/reader036/viewer/2022070815/5f0f27677e708231d442c0cf/html5/thumbnails/40.jpg)
Validation of main assumption
• Is there a ‘universal’ relation ship between and ??
• Validation requires concurrent measurements of L and
Høvsøre (DK west coast): Ryningsnäs (Swedish forest): NREL-M5 (Rockies foothills):
Validation of theory
𝜶
𝜶𝑵
𝑻𝑰
𝑻𝑰𝑵
−𝟏𝒛
𝑳
𝜶
𝜶𝑵
𝑻𝑰
𝑻𝑰𝑵
−𝟏
TI from sonic
![Page 41: Accuracy of load assessments based on modelled … › sites › winddenmark.dk › files...–M. Kelly (2014) mentions possible equation: 𝛼Τ 𝑇 −1≅𝑧Τ𝐿 •This study:](https://reader036.fdocuments.us/reader036/viewer/2022070815/5f0f27677e708231d442c0cf/html5/thumbnails/41.jpg)
A new method to quantify stability has been presented:
• z/L can be estimated from just shear and turbulence
Conclusions
![Page 42: Accuracy of load assessments based on modelled … › sites › winddenmark.dk › files...–M. Kelly (2014) mentions possible equation: 𝛼Τ 𝑇 −1≅𝑧Τ𝐿 •This study:](https://reader036.fdocuments.us/reader036/viewer/2022070815/5f0f27677e708231d442c0cf/html5/thumbnails/42.jpg)
A new method to quantify stability has been presented:
• z/L can be estimated from just shear and turbulence
• Key assumption seems to hold acceptably for the 3 test masts
Conclusions
![Page 43: Accuracy of load assessments based on modelled … › sites › winddenmark.dk › files...–M. Kelly (2014) mentions possible equation: 𝛼Τ 𝑇 −1≅𝑧Τ𝐿 •This study:](https://reader036.fdocuments.us/reader036/viewer/2022070815/5f0f27677e708231d442c0cf/html5/thumbnails/43.jpg)
A new method to quantify stability has been presented:
• z/L can be estimated from just shear and turbulence
• Key assumption seems to hold acceptably for the 3 test masts
• Unstable conditions is the difficult part: low z/L-sensitivity & high scatter
Conclusions
![Page 44: Accuracy of load assessments based on modelled … › sites › winddenmark.dk › files...–M. Kelly (2014) mentions possible equation: 𝛼Τ 𝑇 −1≅𝑧Τ𝐿 •This study:](https://reader036.fdocuments.us/reader036/viewer/2022070815/5f0f27677e708231d442c0cf/html5/thumbnails/44.jpg)
A new method to quantify stability has been presented:
• z/L can be estimated from just shear and turbulence
• Key assumption seems to hold acceptably for the 3 test masts
• Unstable conditions is the difficult part: low z/L-sensitivity & high scatter
Conclusions
![Page 45: Accuracy of load assessments based on modelled … › sites › winddenmark.dk › files...–M. Kelly (2014) mentions possible equation: 𝛼Τ 𝑇 −1≅𝑧Τ𝐿 •This study:](https://reader036.fdocuments.us/reader036/viewer/2022070815/5f0f27677e708231d442c0cf/html5/thumbnails/45.jpg)
A new method to quantify stability has been presented:
• z/L can be estimated from just shear and turbulence
• Key assumption seems to hold acceptably for the 3 test masts
• Unstable conditions is the difficult part: low z/L-sensitivity & high scatter
• Further validation cases are needed:
– Test effect of TI sensor type, sonic vs cup
– Test in complex terrain
– Test across multiple heights
= More 3D sonic validation data is needed!
Conclusions