A Vision of Prosperous New

Nepal

Presented byEr. Bhim Upadhyaya

2064.11.05

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21st CENTURY1938 2000 2025

20th CENTURY

PRO

SPER

ITY

Scenario of Dev'd Nepal• ECONOMIC GROWTH >10 % GDP • ZERO POVERTY LEVEL • 100 % LITERACY• SELF RELIANCE IN SPECIFIC ECTORS !

What is Nepal's Vision?Federal

Republican Nation

When? Thru’ C.A. in 2008

First Vision:Democratic Nepal 1938

Nepal’s first

VISION Realized in

1950?, ’90?, 2006? Or Yet to Realize !

Developed Nepal

Emerging Nepal

1950 1990 2006

2025

2008

Second Vision:Developed

Nepal by 2025

• Size Area-wise: 47th Largest• Size Population-wise: 42nd

Largest• GDP Growth Rate 2nd Poorest • Corruption Perception Index 121st/163• Failed State Index: 21st

Bad/177• Human Dev Index: 136th/177• Global Competitive Index 110th

/125

Nepal Where is Nepal in the World

Infrastructure Status in Nepal(Approx.)1. Irrigation

Cultivated Land- 26.5 Lakh ha.( 20% of Total Area)

Irrigable-17.6 Lakh ha.(66% of Cultiv'd)

Irrigated- 11.2 Lakh ha. (62% of Irrigable)

Year Round Irrigated-4.5 Lakh ha.( 40% of Irrigated, 25% of Irrigable)

2. Drinking Water • Coverage- 73.5%

( Quality? Quantity?)

3. Railway- 59 km4. Airport Paved 10

Nos

5. Roads• All Weather 11,000 km

( All type 28,000 km)• Pakka(paved) Road- 4,000 km

6. Electricity Hydro- 556 MW(0.67% of Potential) Diesel- 55 MW Coverage- 40%

(quality?!) Total- 618 MW

7. Fuel Energy Fossil Fuel- 18 Lakh L/Day (11,550 B/D) LP Gas -225 MT/Day

8.Telephone Lines- 25 Lakh

9. Internet Users- 2 Lakh

OUR NATIONAL CHALLENGES• We are 2.6 Crore+ People.• 45,000 Villages with 2.25

Crore Rural People(86%).• 80 Lakh are Below Poverty

Line(31%).• 1.5 Cr Youth Below 25 yrs

Age(60%).• 45 (20%) Lakh Youth 15-25

Age, • >45 Lakh People Unemployed.• Multi Language, Multi Ethnic,

multi-cultural, Diverse ecological, Traditional and Religious Nation

How to Address?Integrated, Simultaneous,Connected

Actions

• Migration • Environment • Unemployment

• National security • Law & Order • Peace

• Habitat• Infrastructure• Healthcare • Education • Employment• Market connectivity• Quality of Life

Present Unitary Nepal Kathmandu

Centric

13 States with Political, Economic Powers & Modern

Capital Towns

States-Centric New Federal Republican

Nepal

Kathmandu Metropolis

6,71,846

17,09,377Urban Growth Scenario Municipal population projection

until 2021

Biratnagar

1,66,674

2,76,328

Dhangadhi

67,447

1,53,280

Nepalganj

57,535

83,339

Pokhara

1,56,412

4,20,307

Butwal

75,384

2,18,704

Birgunj

1,12,484

2,99,024

Populn in 2001

Projected populn until 2021Existing Road

Proposed Road

Under Construction Road

Vision of Balanced National Urban System

KhadbariKalikot

Jomsom RasuwaSimikot

Dasarathchand

Intermediate Growth Center

Taklakot Liji RiyuKhasaKerung

Population Growth

Population in 2001

Kathmandu ValleyPokhara

GaurifantaRupedia Nautanuwa

Regional Economic Center

RaxualJogbani

National Economic Center

A Formula to Development“Fruits of economic development

fall where educated people live, not where they work. If we want to enrich villages, we should induce

the educated to live in villages.”- Er. Dr P V Indiresan,

Renowned Indian Development Visionary & Philosopher

Former Director & Professor, IIT Madras

Social Security

Employment & Value addition

Population control

Nutritional Security

Economic Security

Technology Strengths

Self Reliance

Export Earnings

Massive Employment

Reaching the whole nation

Crucial for all sectors

River Networking

Providing Urban Amenities in Rural Areas

Agriculture & Agro-Food

Processing

Information and Communication

Technology

Infrastructure including

Electric PowerFood

Security

Key to Employability

INTEGRATED DEVELOPMENT for NEPAL

Critical Technologies &

Strategic Industries

Education & Health Care

Pentagon of Mega Projects

Sc &Techis the KEY

Happy, Peaceful, Prosperous Nepal with Economic Strength & National Security

EVOLUTION OF SOCIETIES & TransformationRaw material and Agricultural Products

Natural Products

Agriculture Society

Information Products

Explicit Knowledge through networks

Information Society

Innovative knowledge-

IntensiveProducts/Services

Knowledge Products

Knowledge Society

Industrial Products

Explicit Knowledge (Technology) added Products

Industrial Society

ECO

NO

MIC

GR

OW

TH

SOCIETAL TRANSFORMATION

Value Addition

Innovation

Productivity

10,000 yrs

300 yrs 50 yrs 20 yrs

Travel Speed increasing 5 times faster every century• 1800 - 24 miles/day• 1900- 120 miles/day• 2000- 600 miles/day• 2100- 3000 miles/day• 2200-15,000 miles/day

1. Literacy, Skill, Education and Health care for all.

2. Development of Infrastructure – ROAD, RAIL, Ropeway,

AIRPORT, Electronic Connectivity.

3. Develop, PURAs, focussing Employment Generation .

4. Medicinal, Floriculture and Aromatic Plants – ORCHID.

5. Horticulture.

6. Energy Generation (Hydro, Biodiesel, Solar, Biogas etc)

7. Tourism.

8. E governance (SMART: Speedy, Measurable, Accountable,

Responsive & Transparent governance).

Eight Immediate Missions for Nepal

• Enlightened Citizenship

• Moral Leadership

• Ring Road

• Rail• Public

Infrastructure

Providing Urban Amenities in Rural Areas (PURA)

10-15 Village Clusters- 100-200 Crore investment- Business Proposition- Employment for 3000

persons- Beneficiaries : 30,000 –

100,000 people

Physical Connectivity

Spiritual Connectivity

• Telecom• Internet• E-Governance• Tele-medicine• Tele-education

Electro

nic

Conne

ctivit

y

• Schools • Satellite Imagery for - Land & Crop Mgmt - Water Mgmt - Forest Mgmt - Environment• Proactive

Health care•

Manufacturing

KnowledgeConnectivity

• Warehouse

• Agro-Industries

• Markets

• Hospital

• Micro Power Plant

• Coop. Product Mktg.

Economic Connectivity

6,000 km Additional PURA Rurban Road

Ring Road

2 km2 km

Inner Unbuilt-up

Area for Agricultur

e

Strategic and Local Road Network of Nepal & Accessibility (2hrs; 4

hrs)

Highways: 15 NoFeeder Roads: 51 No

SRN : 5400 Km(78% Access.)LRN: 4500 Km (85% Access.)

TB: 3600 Nos.

Total Road Network: 28,000

km.

Crowded Roads

No Roads yet in 11 Districts

Road, Rail Extension in 2025

Proposed Railroad

Tarai East-West Railway

Mid-Hill East-West Railway & Road

China Links

Kath-Birganj Railway

Kath- Hetauda Fast Track Road

Kath- Hetauda Tunnel

Rope, cable way

Cableways

Kath-valley Cable Car

Road Planning Principles

Developed Region withResources available for Development

(Fuller Utilization of Transport potential)

Three Level Situations

Under-Developed Region withResources Available for Development

(Creation of Additional Capacity)

Under-Developed Region with Lack of Resources for Development

(for Larger Connectivity)

Service

Productivity

PURA Concept-Physical Connectivity

Railway Network

Bus

To Nearest CityPower

Fuelling Station

Advantages•Enables movement of people and goods

• Improves access to schools and health care centers

•Reduces investment in distribution of power, water and communication network

TransportMedium• Ring Road • Rail • Public

infrastructure• Ropeways,

Cable carsSchool

Primary Health Centres

Physical Connectivity

PURA CONCEPT– Through broadband/Fiber/Satellite/Wireless/Leased Line

• Satellite link• Wireless connectivity• Fiber connectivity• Leased Line Connectivity

A Nodal Village - PURA Village City

Public Call Office - PCO• Village Internet Kiosks• e-Government Access• e-Market Access• Tele-Training on Farming

• e-Banking • ATM Centers For Villagers / Farmers

Electronic Connectivity

PURA CONCEPT –

Tele-Education Tele-Medicine

Imagery

Bio-Solids Recycling

Knowledge oriented approach to knowledge enable Village life

• Vocational Training

• Knowledge Training

• Imagery for - Land & Crop Mgmt - Water Mgmt - Forest Mgmt - Environment• Proactive

Health care• Coop.

Product Mktg.

Educate Students/Farmers/workers

Proactive Health Care

Water/Forest/Environment ManagementLand/Crop Management

Knowledge Connectivity

Advtges:• Entrepreneurship• Employment Opportunities• Value System – Economic Strength• Women Empowerment• Urban Decongestion• Improved Quality of Life• Increased purchase power

PURA CONCEPT - Economic ConnectivityBus

To Nearest CityPower

Transport

Components:• Small Scale

Industries• Agro Industries• Ware House • Micro Power plants• Renewable energy• Village Markets

BiogasWind power

Solar power

Agro Industry

warehouse

Economic Connectivity

Enabling Environment

Irrigation

RoadsWater Supply

Housing

Rural Electrification

Rural telecom Connectivity

Remaining 75%Irrigable Land

All Villages'Population

Areas

Houses for all Poor

Drinking waterTo 26% Remaining

Habitations

TeleConnectivity

To all remaningvillages

Challenging task is the evolution of the

management structure for integrated development

Electricity connections To Remaining 62%

households

Social InfrasSchools, Health

posts for all villages

Naya Nepal

Nirman

SECOND

SEED

FERTILISERS

WATER MANAGEMENT

TRAINING FARMERS

CULTIVATION MANAGEMENT

HARVEST & POST HARVEST

OUTPUT = 5 times of GRAIN

FIRST GREEN REVOLUTION I & II

SOIL CHARACTERISATION

MATCHING THE SEED

FERTILISER MANAGEMENT(Organic Farming)

WATER MANAGEMENTDrip irrigation: Halving water

Consumption

TRAINING

CULTIVATION

POST HARVESTING (SILOS)

FOOD PROCESSING ( Value Addition )

MARKETING

OUTPUT = twice of all agros

" You Cannot Build Peace on Empty Stomach"- Nobel Laureat John B. Orr, First DG FAO

World Cereal* Production–Areas Saved Through Improved Technology, 1950-2000

CEREAL PRODUCTION 1950 650 million tonnes 2000 1,900 million tonnes

1,800

1,400

1,000

600

LAND SPARED1.1 billion ha

LAND USED 660 million ha

Mill

ion

hect

ares

200* Uses milled rice equivalentsSource: FAO Production Yearbooks and AGROSTAT

1980 1990 200019701950 1960

Population Fed 6 Bn in 2000.To be Fed 8 Bn in 2030

TEC

HN

OLO

GY

POOR

LOW

HIG

H USA JAPAN

FRANCEGERMANY

UKETC.,

SOME DESERT

COUNTRIES

NEPALINDIACHINABRAZIL

INDONESIAMEXICO

MALAYSIA ETC.,

NO COUNTRY

BIO - DIVERSITYRICH

BIODIVERSITY

Challenges of WATER FOR FUTURE GENERATIONS

Source : TWAS - 2002

2005 2030

S O L U T I O N S

REDISTRIBUTE WATER

CREATE NEW SOURCESPURIFICATION

NETWORK RIVERS Ground Water

Recharge & pumpingUSING SOLAR ENERGY

RAINWATER HARVESTING

BRAKISH WATER TO POTTABLE

Nuclear - 0Hydro ~ 556 MW(0.67% potential)

Coal Thermal 0 Renewable Energy <1 MW

Total ~ 612 MW

Challenge: POWER MISSION Energy Efficiency is the key

Thermal

Nuclear

Hydro

Renewable Energy

Distribution Loss

NOW 2025

> 25% <5%

Nepal's Power Sources:

Diesel 55 MW

Sample 100 MW Solar Plant

New Fuel

States-Centric Balanced Development of

Hydropower ProjectsLarge Hydel Projects• Seti west 750

MW• Budhi Gandaki 600• Kali Gandaki 600• Aruns 643• Karnalis 1380• Pancheswor

6480• Dudh Koshi

300• Andhi Khola 180• Langtang

218• U Tamakoshi 309• 20 Other Big Projects

Total (30 Projects)

12,766MW

Hydel Locations

Pancheswor

Seti Karnali

KaliBudhi

AndhiLangtang

Arun

Dudhkoshi

Energy Vehicles – Jatropha(Sajiwan) Bio-Fuel Train, Car & Bus

BAMBOO(Bans) MISSION

Tourism• Domestic • International

Enhance the Image of the tourism and create world class infrastructure viz Airports, cable cars, express ways, recreation centres etc.

1. Every tourist generates 4 jobs as per the international standard

2. Enhance the tourist circuit3. Create air connectivity to the

Tourist circuits 4. Thousands of additional

jobs

Thru

st +

Add

itio

nal I

nfra

stru

ctur

e+

Trai

ning

Tourist: Nepal, Destination of the world

21st CenturyNepal needs

large number

Of talented YouthWith higher education

Presently Nepal has 1.60 Crore youthBelow the age of 25 (60% of Popn.)

Higher Educational System should create

TWO HUMAN RESOURCE CADRE(1.5 Lakh SLC, 10,000 Univ. Graduates, 3000

Engrs produced/yr, 70 Lakh students)

Skilled Youth with specificKnowledge special Skills Skilled Youth with Higher Education

ManufacturingSector

ServicesSector

World Level Requirement For Knowledge and

Skill oriented Industry & Services

Agri Sector

Quality Human Resource Cadre for 21st Century Need

Value Addition DEVELOPED

States

LEADING

TO

DEVELOPED

NEPAL

NATURAL RESOURCES• Land• Minerals• Biodiversity• Hydropower• Water, Rain, Gd water • Sunlight,

HUMAN RESOURCES

• Traditional Knowledge

• Knowledge Intensive Org.

• Youth• Services

Food, Health &Social Security

RuralProsperity

MISSIONS To TRANSFORM 13 States & Nation TOWARDS PROSPERITY

5 MISSIONS

• Education• Water,• Power

• Infrastructure

• Employment Generation

Political Will

Plans, attracting investment Te

chno

logy

Kno

wle

dge

Where is the fund?Resources for National Development

National Missions-Focussed Interventionist Modality

Different Ministries and Departments working for Rural development

So, Funds – not a limiting factor How to realize the dream of

Prosperous Nepal ?

Connectivity Leads to Prosperity

Education HealthHousing

Employment

Road

Water & Energy

ElectricityMarket Self-help

Rural finance

Every Year in Nepal Rs 55 Bn is Spent by govt. for

Plus Mobilising Local and Private Sector Funds and Enterpreunerships

Socio-economic Planning &

Monitoring Tool

for 13 States

Development Radar

"The earth contains enough resources to enable present

and future generations to live like kings if we but harness

the best technologies." -Buckminister Fuller

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Thank You for Listening

Any Question?

Please!

Is Developed Nepal realisable?

Impossible is impossible for determined citizens.

Key to Manifestation of Destiny“When you wish upon a star,

Makes no difference who you are,

Anything your heart desires,Will come to you."