A study by BrandFinance on IPL V to value IPL Brand and its Nine ...

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1 A study by BrandFinance on IPL V to value IPL Brand and its Nine franchisee brands Brand Finance India, 4 th April 2013

Transcript of A study by BrandFinance on IPL V to value IPL Brand and its Nine ...

Page 1: A study by BrandFinance on IPL V to value IPL Brand and its Nine ...

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A study by BrandFinance on IPL V

to value IPL Brand and its Nine franchisee brands

Brand Finance India, 4th April 2013

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Team Owners/

Team Players

BCCI – The

IPL Brand

Owner

Sponsors &

Other

Partners

National &

International

Audience

The IPL Brand

•Central axis along which stakeholders

need to be aligned

•Captures all stakeholder’s

understanding of IPL brand vision

•Acts as a shorthand for the IPL business

and its long term vision

•Building an “intangible” asset of long

lasting significant value to be

monetised through Audience and

stakeholder relationships

The Pivot of a Dynamic Value Exchange

Cash FlowsTrust Flows

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IPL Ecosystem

• Three teams from India (2 finalists and the top league

finishing team)

• The top 2 domestic T20 teams from South Africa, England

and Australia, and the domestic T20 Champions from New

Zealand, West Indies and Sri Lanka

BCCI the Apex governing body

organizes various tournaments

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Sony WSG

Broadcaster

BCCI

Organizer (IPL)Franchisee

Television Advertisers Central Sponsors

Team Sponsorship, Merchandising,

Gate receipts, and In Stadia

Advertising

• Franchise fees,

• Local revenues payable to IPL,

• Gate receipts payable to IPL/Stadium Lease

• Team expenses /Players Salaries,

• Advertising/administration

• Umpire Salaries & Prize Money

• Theatrical Rights

• Internet Rights,

• Blimp Sponsorship,

• Title Sponsorship Pepsi

• Partners – Vodafone, Star Plus, Yes Bank

• Official drink & Ground Sponsor

Production Cost

Broadcasting feesShare of Broadcasting fees &

Sponsorship fees

Understanding the Eco-System of IPL

Revenue Streams

Costs

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TV broadcasting rights

Marketing support

Franchise fees

Title sponsorship – Pepsi

Title sponsorship

Ground sponsors

Umpire Sponsor

Official drinks sponsor

Merchandising

Share of local revenues

Share of gate receipts

Blimp Sponsorship

Internet Rights

Theatrical Rights

• Broadcasting rights to franchisees

• Sponsorship to franchisees

• Merchandising to franchisees

• Marketing costs

• Administration

TV broadcasting rights 10 year

Marketing support 10 year

Franchise fees 10 year

Title sponsorship – Pepsi 5 year

Umpire Sponsor 5 year

Official drinks sponsor 5 year

Blimp Sponsorship 1year

Internet Rights 2 years

Theatrical Rights 10 years

IPL revenue, expenditure & sponsorship details

Title Sponsor

Partners

Official Broadcasters

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IPL Brand led Business Valuation – IPL V

$ 3.67 billion USD - 2011

Combined Trademark Value of all the franchisee

$325.8 million USD 2013

$321.12 million USD - 2012

$ 3.03 billion USD - 2013

Brand Value added by IPL Brand to BCCI

$ 4.13 billion USD - 2010

$ 2.92 billion USD - 2012

4%

Growth*

* - After considering 7.5% increase in Exchange Rate

1%

Growth*

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IPL Brand led Business Valuation

• Brand Finance has treated the IPL as a single commercial entity in order to evaluate its worth.

This means that we have aggregated the income that both the BCCI and the franchisees will

achieve, and the expenditure that each will incur. All cross-charged income/expenditure has

therefore been ignored. Brand Finance is calling this concept the “IPL System”.

• Our approach has been to forecast the profits expected to be made by the IPL System in

total, using publicly available data, both in terms of income and expenditure, and to apply a

common rate of tax to these profits (33.99%), and then discount the cash flows back to their

net present value (NPV).

• We have assumed that after the initial ten years the IPL concept will be continued. This

assumes that there will be no viable competing domestic, or international, Twenty20

tournament, and that the best domestic and international players will continue to be made

available to the tournament. A domestic tournament, in this case, means any tournament in

any of the cricketing nations that is sanctioned by the respective Governing Body, which has

the potential to reach the scale, and dynamism, of the IPL. On this basis of this assumption

we have applied a perpetuity value to the IPL System.

• We have estimated that the combined business value created by the IPL brand is estimated

to be $ 3.03 billion.

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The following nine franchisees were valued

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Franchisee Valuation Methodology – Overview

Each franchisee is valued, after analysis of Financial Performance and Marketing &

Commercial Strategy

(based on information available in the public domain)

FINANCIAL ANALYSIS

• Identification of revenue and expenditure streams

• Building of financial forecast

• Royalty rate determination

• Brand Value determination

THREE PILLARS OF EVALUATION

• Cricketing Excellence

• Marketing Excellence

• Corporate Governance

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Franchisee Team

Brand Value Excellence

Framework

Business sustainability pillars of franchisees

Analysis of Brand Value Excellence

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Cricketing Excellence Corporate GovernanceMarketing Excellence &

Commercial Strategy

• Team Selection & Team

Composition Consistency

• On field performance &

Success rate

• Professional approach to

team management

• Bench Strength

• Individual players

performance

• Ownership Structure

• Transparency in the

approach

• Separation of ownership

and management

• Franchisees ability

•Sponsorships, alliances and Strategic Partners

•Ability To attract and retain Sponsors / merchandising deals

•Fan Base Engagement through Initiatives / events – enhanced through Social Media Engagement

•Brand leverage

•Gate Receipts & Ticketing Innovations

•Catchment Population and Stadium capacity

•Presence of Stars, Celebrity, leadership & Owners Charisma

Three Pillars of Evaluation

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D

D

DD

DDD

DDDD

C

CC

CCC

B

BB

BBB

A-

A

A+

AA-

AA

AA+

AAA-

AAA

AAA+

AAA+

Extremely Extremely

WeakWeak

Extremely Extremely

StrongStrong

Composite scores based on evaluation of

each franchisee on all three factors impacts

Brand Rating and Brand Strength

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Franchisee Team

Brand Value Excellence

Framework

Business sustainability pillars of franchisees

Value Excellence leading to Strong / Weak Brand Ratings

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Financial Analysis

Central broadcasting

Central sponsorship

Team sponsorship

Gate receipts

In-stadia advertising

Merchandise sales

Media tie-ups

Prize money

Franchise fees

Player salaries

Stadium fees

Travel and

accommodation

Team promotions

Other costs

The financial forecast was extended to 2019 using

qualitative analysis and considering the IPL terms on

revenue sharing details.

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Franchisee Valuation details

Rs 54.39 = 1 $ Convertibility rate which is average rate for 2013 IPL 6

Rs.50.62 = 1 $ Convertibility rate which is average rate for 2012 IPL 5

Rank

2013

Rank

2012

Franchisee Brand Value

2013

Brand Value

2012

Change

%

Brand

Rating

2013

Brand

Rating

2012

1 2 Chennai Super Kings 45.42 45.28 + 0.05% AA AA

2 4 Kolkata Knight Riders 44.98 39.03 + 15.2% AA A

3 1 Mumbai Indians 44.62 48.21 - 7.4% A+ AA

4 3 Royal Challengers

Bangalore37.81 41.15 - 8.1%

A- A+

5 5 Delhi Daredevils 34.22 32.19 + 6.3% A+ A-

6 - Sunrisers Hyderabad 31.49 BB -

7 8 Kings XI Punjab 30.78 28.66 + 7.4% BB B

8 7 Pune Warriors 29.45 28.88 + 2% B BB

9 9 Rajasthan Royals 27.05 26.93 + 0.04% B B

All Figures in $ Millions

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Franchisee Brand Valuation results - Summary

$ 44.98 mln

$ 29.45 mln

$ 45.42 mln

$37.81 mln $ 31.49 mln

$ 27.05 mln

$ 44.62 mln

$34.22 mln

$ 30.78 mln

Rank 1 Rank 2 Rank 3

Rank 4 Rank 5 Rank 6

Rank 7 Rank 8 Rank 9

Leading in Value

Creation

Holding a lot of Promise

Struggling to create

value

All Figures in $ Millions

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Formidable

Team Brands

Still pack a

punch

The

Stragglers

These franchises have created strong team

strategies, resulting in cricketing excellence.

Consistency and Coherence across the

three key drivers of performance

These franchises have lost some of their Past

Glory – thereby impacting their cricketing

performance

Still have huge potential to destroy any

opposition..

Clubs which are still getting their house in order

thereby struggling in all fronts of performance.

How they stack up…..

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All franchises – Fortunes seem to be turning around..

But is IPL Ecosystem Fit for the LONG RUN?

• Brand Finance has evaluated each franchisee on following three broad parameters :

1. Cricketing excellence

2. Marketing excellence

3. Corporate Governance

• All the franchises have recovered in value by 2% to 15% across the board, however a new

category of “still pack a punch” has emerged with erstwhile leaders having lost their sheen in

terms of cricketing performance and team rhythm.

• The franchises who found team composition and leadership in place, are creating a huge

impact on fan base, on merchandise and also on their winning ability !

• Franchises are trying new ways to woo their fan base – innovative Social Media initiatives are

creating new engagements – but this has yet to result in revenue streams for the team

owners.

• As the 10 year window is coming closer, Franchises will have to rapidly learn to stand on their

own feet as the components of support from the central pool of revenues are increasingly

going to be tempered downwards.

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IPL 6 – Turnaround visible but is IPL Fit for the LONG RUN?

• IPL Ecosystem continues to struggle with governance issues. Team & ownership issues prop up

regularly thereby creating ambiguity in the stability of the Ecosystem.

• Franchises have begun focusing on consistency in on-field performance, governance and fan

engagement to ensure that strong revenue streams are generated. Dependence on central pool

will need to gradually reduce. Survival of each franchise is also key to IPL’s own survival in the

long run.

• With ever increasing costs like players’ wages, running costs and ground activation costs, there

is going to be a squeeze on cash flows going into the future.

• The teams which concentrated on delivering cricketing excellence (not just win – but a great

fight), have created a large fan base, even beyond their home cities. This is enabling top ranked

teams to better engage fans & TV viewers - creating new long term revenue streams. Sponsors

are vying for these type of teams as they are building character. Teams like Kolkata Knight

Riders & Delhi Daredevils have created a mark of their own by concentrating on team dynamics

and this has resulted in accelerated value creation.

• IPL is also seen as the flag-bearer of Twenty20 innovations – many leagues exist which envy the

momentum garnered by the IPL. Any long term damage to the IPL may see a global cascading

effect on all Twenty20 leagues.

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Team Cost – Auction process and Players salaries

• Team cost is expected to go up as franchisees will make best possible attempt to retain keyplayers as new franchisees would be ready to pay significantly higher for star players. Also, in theinitial phase of franchise's identity development, heavy investments need to be incurred inground activations to drive fan engagement & loyalty.

• In a rush to create / embrace new vehicles of fan engagement, Franchises need to be cautiousdealing with Social Media – while it is enabling some teams to create momentum, it is alsorapidly eroding fan equity due to poor planning & response from Franchises.

• Already the IPL is second only to the American National Basketball Association ( NBA ), whoseannual average salary is 2.9 million pounds, whereas the annualised IPL's average salary is 2.65million pounds - Annual Review of Global Sports Salaries- 20th April 2011

• The problem of the wage bill impacting operating profits is a global phenomenon and themajority of clubs are struggling to contain players’ costs. Ranging from 55% to 60% of total cost,the IPL Franchises have not reached that level but they are not far away.http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/10249101

• If franchises do not maintain a careful balance between players’ wages and organic growth, itcan set up a vicious cycle which will have a direct impact on operating profits and businesssustainability.

• IPL franchises need to be particularly conscious so as not to fall into this obvious debt trap.

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Methodology

Furthermore, we have valued the ‘brand’ IPL, using the Royalty Relief methodology. The 'Royalty Relief' (also known as Relief from Royalty) method is based on the notion that a brand holding company owns the brand and licenses it to an operating company. The notional price paid by the operating company to the brand company is expressed as a royalty rate. The NPV of all forecast royalties represents the value of the brand to the business

Our approach has been to forecast the profits expected to be made by the individual franchisee, using publicly available data, both in terms of income and expenditure, and to apply a common rate of tax to these profits (33.99%), and then discount the cash flows back to their net present value (NPV)

The income of the individual franchisees comprises the following revenue streams:

– Broadcasting

– IPL Sponsorship

– Team sponsorship

– Merchandising

– Gate receipts

We have assumed that after the initial ten years the IPL concept will be continued. This assumes that there will be no viable competing domestic, or international, Twenty20 tournament, and that the best domestic and international players will continue to be made available to the tournament. A domestic tournament, in this case, means any tournament in any of the cricketing nations that is sanctioned by the respective Governing Body, which has the potential to reach the scale, and dynamism, of the IPL. On this basis of this assumption we have applied a perpetuity value to the IPL System

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� Thank you

Brand Finance works for a wide range of clients conducting national and international brand valuation and brand strategy assignments. Brand Finance has a global footprint over 20 offices worldwide. For more information please refer to our website: www.brandfinance.com

Unni Krishnan

Global Strategy Director – Brand Finance Plc.

[email protected]

Mob. +91 984 4140 640