A sensible and sustainable draw-down strategy in retirement by Tracy Jensen

21
A sensible and sustainable drawdown strategy in retirement Tracy Jensen, 10X Investments

description

Tracy Jensen, Chief Product Actuary, 10X Investments presented at the 10X Retirement Conference 2014 on the topic A sensible and sustainable draw-down strategy in retirement.

Transcript of A sensible and sustainable draw-down strategy in retirement by Tracy Jensen

Page 1: A sensible and sustainable draw-down strategy in retirement by Tracy Jensen

A sensible and sustainable drawdown strategy in retirement

Tracy Jensen, 10X Investments

Page 2: A sensible and sustainable draw-down strategy in retirement by Tracy Jensen

What matters?

Page 3: A sensible and sustainable draw-down strategy in retirement by Tracy Jensen

Pre-retirement

Transition into retirement

Retirement

Page 4: A sensible and sustainable draw-down strategy in retirement by Tracy Jensen

National Treasury

Preparing your members for retirement

Tools

Page 5: A sensible and sustainable draw-down strategy in retirement by Tracy Jensen

Income:

Term:

Inflation:

Flexibility:

Estate:

Retirement goals

Page 6: A sensible and sustainable draw-down strategy in retirement by Tracy Jensen

65 year old male with R1m

Income: R4,200 pm (5%)

Term: Age 65 to 90

Inflation: Yes

Flexibility: Yes

Estate: Yes

Retirement goals: personalised

Page 7: A sensible and sustainable draw-down strategy in retirement by Tracy Jensen

65 year old male with R1m

What influences your retirement goals?

Page 8: A sensible and sustainable draw-down strategy in retirement by Tracy Jensen

65 year old male with R1m

What influences your retirement goals?

Page 9: A sensible and sustainable draw-down strategy in retirement by Tracy Jensen

Products to meet your goal

Guaranteed annuity = insurance product

Income lasts for life but no estate* or flexibility

Living annuity = ‘investment’ product

You select income & investment but may not last for life. Provides flexibility &

possibility of estate.

Cash

*May be a guarantee period during which income is received regardless

Page 10: A sensible and sustainable draw-down strategy in retirement by Tracy Jensen

Overview of products

Guaranteed annuity

(inflation-linked)Living annuity

Affordability

Longevity

Inflation

Flexibility

Estate

Page 11: A sensible and sustainable draw-down strategy in retirement by Tracy Jensen

Living annuity

Income 2.5% to 17.5% pa

Fees Investment (consider term)

Term

Page 12: A sensible and sustainable draw-down strategy in retirement by Tracy Jensen

Results

Income grows with inflationResults shown after inflationReturns from 1900 to 2013

Investments: Low equityMedium equityHigh equity

Fees (incl. VAT): 10X maximum 0.86% pa (R720 pm)Industry 2.85% pa (R2,400 pm)Industry fee comprises: Advice (0.75%), Administration

(0.25%), Investment management fee (1.5%), VAT (0.35%)

Page 13: A sensible and sustainable draw-down strategy in retirement by Tracy Jensen

Living annuity: investments (fee of 0.86% pa)

65

67

69

71

73

75

77

79

81

83

85

87

89

91

93

95

97

99

-

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

4,000

4,500

10X retirement income in today's money: average markets

Low Equity Medium Equity High Equity

Age

Mo

nth

ly i

nco

me

afte

r in

flat

ion

84

Page 14: A sensible and sustainable draw-down strategy in retirement by Tracy Jensen

Living annuity: investments (fee of 0.86% pa)

65

67

69

71

73

75

77

79

81

83

85

87

89

91

93

95

97

99

-

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

4,000

4,500

10X retirement income in today's money: average markets

Low Equity Medium Equity High Equity

Age

Mo

nth

ly i

nco

me

afte

r in

flat

ion

9584

Page 15: A sensible and sustainable draw-down strategy in retirement by Tracy Jensen

Living annuity: investments (fee of 0.86% pa)

65

67

69

71

73

75

77

79

81

83

85

87

89

91

93

95

97

99

-

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

4,000

4,500

10X retirement income in today's money: average markets

Low Equity Medium Equity High Equity

Age

Mo

nth

ly i

nco

me

afte

r in

flat

ion

>1009584

Page 16: A sensible and sustainable draw-down strategy in retirement by Tracy Jensen

Living annuity: poor returns (fee of 0.86% pa)

65

67

69

71

73

75

77

79

81

83

85

87

89

91

93

95

97

99

-

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

4,000

4,500

10X retirement income in today's money: poor markets (worst 1 in 4)

Low Equity Medium Equity High Equity

Age

Mo

nth

ly i

nco

me

afte

r in

flat

ion

908279

Page 17: A sensible and sustainable draw-down strategy in retirement by Tracy Jensen

Living annuity: high fees (fee of 2.85% pa)

65

67

69

71

73

75

77

79

81

83

85

87

89

91

93

95

97

99

-

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

4,000

4,500

Industry retirement income in today's money: average markets

Low Equity Medium Equity High Equity

Age

Mo

nth

ly i

nco

me

afte

r in

flat

ion

898279

Page 18: A sensible and sustainable draw-down strategy in retirement by Tracy Jensen

Living annuity: impact of fees/poor returns

Investment 10X(Fee of 0.86% pa)

Industry(Fee of 2.85% pa)

Years of extra income with 10X*

Low equity 84 79 5

Medium equity 95 82 13

High equity >100 89 24

*Based on projected values

Impact of high fees = Impact of poor returns

Page 19: A sensible and sustainable draw-down strategy in retirement by Tracy Jensen

How do I reach my goal?

Goal = Income R4,200 pm from age 65 to 90, growing with inflation

Average markets: medium/high equity & low feesPoor markets: high equity & low feesWith high fees you never reach your goal in average or poor markets*

*Based on projected values

Page 20: A sensible and sustainable draw-down strategy in retirement by Tracy Jensen

Summary*

You’ll reach 5% income goal with: Low fees ANDMedium or high equity

portfolio

High fees = 5 to 24 years less income Equivalent to poor returns*Based on projected values

Page 21: A sensible and sustainable draw-down strategy in retirement by Tracy Jensen

Thank you