9 April 2015 - Profercy · The East/West phosphates price gulf has widened further as disputed spot...
Transcript of 9 April 2015 - Profercy · The East/West phosphates price gulf has widened further as disputed spot...
© Copyright 2015 Profercy Phosphates SC All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a
retrieval system or transmitted in any form or by any means, without the prior written permission of the Copyright owner. 01
9 April 2015
Published by
Profercy Phosphates SC
Editor Tom Jago
Producer position & Outlook Our global DAP, MAP industry stock
change estimates for end April show
stock-build growth of about 350,000t
(MAP mainly) but of both grades
combined. Similar to the earlier events
during March, most of the producer
surplus is in Russia, Saudi Arabia and
China. While to date, Indian last-minute
demand has been sufficiently strong to
absorb DAP exports from Saudi and
China. But now DAP is starting to load
from the West (ex-Baltic and Tampa) in
search of better DAP netbacks all over
Asia, but particularly in India, Pakistan
World DAP/MAP snapshot
Export position changes Kt
USA -15
Mexico -13
Russia +50
Lithuania +4
Morocco =0
Tunisia +30
Saudi Arabia +110
Australia +25
Jordan +40
China port warehouse +125
End-April stock change +356
Speciality NPKs: Export spike Unlike in commodity P ferts, next week’s
China’s export tax rise has brought a sales
wave & temporarily lower prices. Some
prompt low-end deals, but new offers up P7
window close lifts supply, weakens prices.
Phosphates still soft in the West, flat in the East;
Russia competitive on MAP; Tampa DAP set for India
The East/West phosphates price gulf has widened further as disputed spot claims
are now the only common feature across a highly fragmented world market. Indian
claims are circulating of falling cfr prices and a near doubling of the DAP import
volumes booked to date. From China, producers tell a different story; that offers on
guaranteed FCO-compliant 18-46 DAP are unchanged on May loads. The counter-
claims come just a week ahead of two industry meetings in Beijing. The first is run
by the China Phosphate Fertilizer Industry Association, which represents a fairly
cohesive local industry. Profercy Phosphates will be speaking at this event 14 April.
Experience suggests that a softer supplier posture from China’s P lobby is unlikely
right on the eve of the conferences. At the same time, Indian DAP inventories are
low, and a 5% phosacid price increase has already been achieved. Pre-meeting
negotiating ploys are common, of course. One contrast this year is a historically
narrow India bid/offer range going into the new season. This time last year… P2
One-minute briefing
US DAP, MAP flat, nominal at $470-475 fob Tampa; Mosaic set to load for India
While Mosaic rarely comments on internal supply plans for any off-shore system…
…this cargo, is reckoned to be a big one, looks to be for around 65-70,000t DAP
Mosaic´s netback on its Indian system sales is speculated around $470pt fob USG
This is well above NOLA netbacks to Tampa, where export quotes look out-dated,
…at unworkable levels for the West; Tampa starts to lose relevance as benchmark
Russian MAP again lower at $446pt fob Baltic, MAP to Brazil at $460-465pt cfr
Brazil domestic prices are all over the map in big range $530-550pt fot ex-port…
…highlighting patchy internal stocks levels, and some pipeline pressure emerging
Brazil buyers have a strong message to suppliers, indicating interest broadly at...
…$445-455pt cfr, going down a further $10pt in step with the latest offer cuts
Corn, beans slide following newly bearish USDA crop data, and strong dollar
0
300
600
900
1200
1500
1800
2100
2400
2700
'00
0t
DA
P (
red
, gre
en),
all
fert
s '0
00
t P
₂O₅
DAP stocks DAP Imports Local DAP Output (white bar) Local DAP Sales Local DAP price (Rs/t x 10) Sales total P₂O₅ (yellow line)
India DAP S&D: Imports slow over last 2 years, but inventory is now all but used
April 2015: Low opening stocks
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US DAP, MAP Balance
Exporter Dest Kt
Mosaic Brazil 65
Mex, C America 45
70
India 125
Canada (vessel) 0
Contracts & Mosaic system* 60
PCS No exports 0
MissPhos Output ceased 0
Local sales All producers 425
Total 790
Est. Production
Mosaic** (excl MES) 510
former CF 140
PCS Aurora & W Spr. 125
MissPhos Closed down 0
Total 775
Stock change end-April -15
** Mosaic is thought to be stabilising
output back at capacity through Q1, after
the Q4 cutbacks, but some interruptions at
Bartow and New Wales are reported.
* Mosaic contracts & off-shore sys: Japan,
Canada, Brazil, Colombia & Mexico – not
Argentina.
Mexico balance DAP, MAP
Jan, Feb
Fertinal Chile 35
Quantum Australia 40
Ameropa Australia 35
Fertinal Local, C Am 20
Mar, April
Fertinal Chile (D, M, T) 70
Local, C Am 17
Koch Australia 55
Ameropa Argentina 35
Total sales 305
Production Estimate Kt
Jan, Feb interruption 130
Mar, Apr Some TSP 160
Total 292
Stock change end April -13
Fertinal tight to end April, but will need to
tackle May exports soon
Summary (continued) This time last year, Indian buyers were adamant they would not pay above
$445pt cfr vs. offers in the $460s pt cfr. In the event, after drawn-out vacuum to
end May, Indian Q3 prices crossed into the $470s and $480s pt cfr. A year on,
the Rupee/US$ forex is a shade weaker, but the MRP cap is Determination to
continue deferral, not just in India but also farther afield, is widespread. This is
visible as buyers delay imports longer, hoping to undermine prices further.
Sellers are also determined, in this case to defend strong margins, and put
importer deferral capacity to the test. So, as the siege mentality goes on, there
are still big volume Q2 imports to do all over Asia and Latin America. Neither
side wishes to project any urgency.
The lack of activity now, with production running at near capacity rates
everywhere, means producers are going to build inventory, having “got by” on
the strength of the big north hemisphere domestic market demand in Q1. On the
export side, as with earlier months, minor price cuts have generally brought out
demand, as buyers reach the 11th hour with thin pipeline coverage. As Chinese
local offtake wanes into Q2, the key supply-side fundamental is Chinese
producer cohesion and discipline.
North America
US domestic: Last week’s increase on barges ready for tows at NOLA now
looks to have been a flash in the pan, many questioning if it happened on
sufficient volume to make any difference to the market. Late yesterday US
time, prompt NOLA DAP was competitively offered back at $415pst fob, with
no bid. Sellers look ready to take $410pst fob again. This is suggests a
narrower band in the middle of last week’s wide range. Upriver barges, are in
a different tier in the mid/high $420s/bu.
Wide range turns to narrow range: So competitive DAP offers with no
confirmed new business at NOLA (and stressing last week´s comments
about excluding upriver netbacks) were overall lower in a narrower band
at $405-407pst fob barge. Producers have disputed this, and claim higher,
although numerous traders reckoned holding long positions, recognise the
market is weak.
Same low-end reference: Today´s assessment repeats the last two low-
end published levels at $405pst fob over the last two weeks, a 7-month
low. As such, US still clearly has the lowest DAP/MAP prices worldwide.
Re-export: NOLA re-exports of MAP do not work to South America, but
are close on DAP to Asia.
Barge freights to up-river destinations are said in the range $16-18pst.
Central Florida trucks: Mosaic continues to sell phosphate fertilizers on
trucks from C Florida factories at $445pst fot for DAP and $465/st fot for
MAP. But with 5-6 cross gulf vessels into NOLA over the last month, part
1of which are for trader/distributor contracts, there are clearly strong
producer volumes in river markets.
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Morocco DAP, MAP, NP/Ks
OCP sales Kt
OCP Brazil MAP* 75
Ethiopia NPs 110
BADC B’desh 0
USA 0
West Europe 45
East Europe 10
South Africa 22
DAP & NPK W Africa 45
Local 50
Total sales 357
Production Estimate* Kt
OCP** 375
Total avail 375
Stock change end-April +18
* There are again heard to be two TSP/MAP
combo cargoes to OCP local port storage
and to Heringer in March (IVS Kite & MV
Dogan), March Jorf Lasfar output firmed to
around 450,000t of all gran products. This
reverted temporarily to strong fertilizer
granulation capacity as phosacid loads to
India slowed. This will reverse in April.
Tunisia balance
Sales Jan, Feb Kt
GCT Italy 15
France 22
Spain 9
Local 12
Sales Mar, April Kt
GCT Italy 15
France 18
Spain 12
Local 12
Total sale 115
Production Estimate Kt
Jan, Feb 80
Mar, April 65
Total avail 145
Stock change end-April +30
GCT is heard stable on Sfax (70%) & Gabes
TSP & DAP (50%).
US exports: Mosaic’s export DAP, MAP program for first-week April is firm,
with around 155,000t DAP, MAP & MES to Brazil, and panamax to India.
There are also some minor contract cargoes thought for Colombia and Japan,
plus some execution on around 15,000t of the formula business settled last
week (leaving 30-40,000t of this earlier spot sales for 2H April & early May).
Latin America Mexico: An earlier Fertinal sale to a trader for 33,000t MAP/DAP is set to load
on the MV Orient Tide headed to Argentina. Later in April, there is also
35,000t DAP, MAP and TSP in a combo lot to the group of Chile buyers. The
Argentina cargo was heard done at earlier, higher numbers, and the Chile
cargo is thought formula priced as usual. There are expected to be other
minor volume avails for the local market and to Central America.
Other destinations: DAP to Asia is often a possibility for Fertinal at this
time of the calendar year. Talks have been on/off via traders to India, but
as yet with about a $15pt gap between bids and seller targets. MAP &
TSP are generally preferable to Fertinal owing to the higher-intensive N
input for DAP.
Peru: A trader is heard working a minor lot of 5,500t DAP ex Zhanjiagang
(implying export of material from earlier production now in position in the
north) in combination with urea and SOP.
Brazil: Open-origin 11-52 MAP is heard on offer at $460pt cfr Brazil basis
end-April load; $465 cfr for 1H May load. Mosaic has a 25,000t MAP, MES
600
800
1.000
1.200
1.400
1.600
1.800
275
325
375
425
475
525
575
625
675
725
775
Soybean c/buDAP $pt & Corn c/bu
DAP vs Crops: Tampa & NOLA follow crops lower
CME Soybeans futures
DAP fob Tampa
DAP fob NOLA (metric equiv)
CME Corn futures
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Russia DAP, MAP balance
Phosagro sales Kt
Phosagro Europe (DAP) 30
EU, Turkey (NP/Ks) 25
India (10-26-26) 120
India DAP 40
East Eur (M, NPK) 30
Local, FSU (MAP) 60
Local, FSU (NPKs) 50
container SE Asia (D, NPKs) 25
Eurochem sales Kt
Eurochem E Eur, Baltic (M) 15
Nitron S America M 50
West Europe (D) 10
Local, FSU (MAP) 20
Total Sales 475
Production Estimate Kt
Phosagro Cherepovets D 55
Cherepovets M* 85
Balakovo M 60
NP/NPKs (all units) 210
Eurochem Fosforit M, D 65
Belorechensk. M 50
Total avail 525
Stock change end-April +50
Lithuania balance DAP
Lifosa Kt
Eurochem Benelux 10
Germany 15
France 15
UK, Ireland 6
Eurochem Baltic, all E Eur 15
Total sale 61
Production Estimate Kt
April 65
Total avail 65
Stock change end April +4
combination cargo due into Vila do Conde for mid-May arrival. This was
another cargo that took longer than usual to complete its full load at Tampa,
reportedly amid thin port stocks (high volumes going locally).
Argentina: Profertil was heard still in the market seeking further DAP/MAP
after last week’s or a minor 5-6,000t MAP at $475pt cfr. Offers were heard
either side of $480pt cfr for additional tonnage.
Europe, Africa Morocco: In the wake of the acid deals to India, and volumes noted last week
for Saudi Arabia and Pakistan, Jorf granulation in April should be around
350,000t DAP, MAP, NPKs & TSP.
Russia: A fresh Eurochem sale to a trader is heard at $446pt fob Baltic for
50,000t DAP/MAP to load in late April/early May. This looks all headed to
Latin America to cover in part earlier sales in the $470s pt cfr Argentina,
though at this price, the DAP (in sufficient volume) looks in theory profitable to
India or Pakistan.
Next load window: Russian offers for later into May are indicative at
$450pt fob, as producers try to set a bottom. No fresh import interest has
surfaced as yet to take out more 11-52 MAP.
225
275
325
375
425
475
525
575
625
675
$ p
t fo
b T
am
pa
DAP $pt fob Tampa back to end December 14 spot levels
Low liquidity undermine Tampa status as world benchmark
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Australia balance DAP, MAP
IPL, Quantum Oct, Nov, Dec Kt
Quantum Pakistan (2 lots) 60
Vietnam 20
IPL Local W Auz 45
New Zealand 15
S Auz, Tasm 80
IPL, Quantum Jan, Feb, Mar Kt
IPL local S & W Auz 125
Victoria 65
NSW 60
Total sale 470
Production Estimate Kt
Q4 250
Q1 250
Total avail 500
Stock change end-Mar +25
* IPL near nameplate output rates
250kt/qu, amid strong local Q1 demand
Jordan balance DAP
JPMC Aug, Sept Kt
KT Turkey 25
Aries Turkey 20
JPMC India (2 lots) 75
JPMC Oct, Nov, Dec Kt
JPMC IPL, India 80
IPL, India 50
Trammo, EU 20
KT, Turkey 30
Jan, Feb, Mar Kt
JPMC Turkey MAP 11
India IPL x 3 195
Italy 4
Total sales 510
Production Estimate Kt
Aug, Sept 130
Oct, Nov 120
Dec, Jan 120
Feb, Mar 100
Total avails 470
Stock change end-Mar +40
DAP to India: There are reports in India of up to 150,000t of Russian DAP
placed by Phosagro in India as combination exports with 3 existing sales
of 10-26-26. The NPKs were heard sold in earlier business to 3 importers
through the $420s pt cfr. The DAP, which is guaranteed 18-46 material,
was said at $485pt cfr, at the high end of recent Chinese DAP exports but
competitive with the last round of DAP exports from Saudi Arabia.
East Africa: A freight enquiry is in circulation for 20-23,000t NP/MAP North
China/Mozambique.
South Asia India: Rumours from India of some 450-650,000t in new Chinese export
business have emerged this week, all claimed at lower prices of $475-480pt
cfr India. This is an interesting development while Chinese producers and
almost all traders testing on new positions talk of flat fob claims at $470-475pt
fob China for FCO-compliant dark coloured DAP at guaranteed spec 18-46.
Freight rates are also marginally higher to $10pt for panamax volumes and to
$14-15pt for handysize lots China/India. The India claims coincided with small-
volume Brazilian MAP business so far at $460pt cfr.
The timing of the new business claimed is interesting coming just one
week prior to a fresh Chinese Phosphate Fertilizer Industry Associating
Seminar in Beijing (Profercy Phosphates is giving a presentation at this
event), and a big industry conference in the subsequent days. Anticipated
tactics on both sides were for both Chinese exporter and Indian buyers to
test the opposite side out longer. Feedback on the sell-side so far
indicated that DAP offers were to remain unchanged.
No DoF posting on MRP or subsidy yet: Over the last few weeks, the
lack of official postings on price cap maximums and on subsidy has held
back many of the buyers outside the government agencies and the big co-
operative buyers. It is thought unusual that so many buyers would move
on DAP in such a rush without an official posting.
Spread to MAP in Brazil: Competitive market rates for DAP in India and
Pakistan are $25-35pt higher than those for regular origin 11/52 MAP.
RCF tender: RCF is still in negotiations over its next imports of DAP
required into the East Coast. There are rumours competitive offers slipped
a few ticks into the high $480s pt cfr EC from the initially sharpest number
at $491pt cfr. Offers into India ex Saudi have not been floated as yet for
May loading. RCF may eventually decide it will take just one lot in the
mid/high $480s pt cfr, and leave the balance (up to 65,000t DAP) for
another time. Deferral in Asia is so far not working as a means to cut
prices in the East, as it is on MAP in the West.
Spot importer break-even: Today’s average spot importer DAP break-
even is variously said in the mid $480s to low/mid $490s pt cfr India,
according to varying takes on what levels the DoF will eventually publish
for MRP (seen at Rs23,700pt – Rs24,000pt), and subsidy (likely
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unchanged at Rs12,350pt. Most business in India
on around 700,000t DAP imports from all sources
finalised to date was between $478-490/t cfr, the
low end Chinese, the high end Saudi Arabian.
First US/India panamax: A big mid-April-load
panamax carrying around 65,000t DAP is heard
fixed at Tampa to WC India. If confirmed, this
would be the first Mosaic DAP export of the new
Indian fertilizer year, most likely for Mosaic’s own
system. As of today, with the Indian Rupee at just
over Rs62/$1, and calls for the local max retail
cap at Rs23,750-24,000pt and subsidy at
Rs12,350pt, Mosaic’s own system break-even
would be range $497-503pt cfr WC India.
Pakistan: A combination of an uptick in freight rates
and the tough stance in China on DAP 18-46 dark
colour material (favourite in the local China market as
well as across most of Asia) is prompting traders to
raise delivered levels to the low/mid $490s pt cfr
Karachi. So far importers are keeping their distance.
As in many markets, buyers are confused by the
slump on MAP in the West and the relatively firm DAP
prices in most markets East of Suez.
Bangladesh: Traders are taking the first detailed look
at preparing offers for upcoming private sector interest
estimated to be for around 600,000t DAP to load May
to August. This market favours, and pays a premium,
for dark DAP 18/46 from certain Chinese factories and
from Australia.
East Asia, Pacific China export: Producers indicate they are still taking
a cool approach to export business, with DAP export
indications are still said in the low/mid $470s pt fob
China for 18-46 dark colour to load in May, according
to lot size and destination. Rather than domestic
demand vs export, the dynamic now depends on
producer cohesion. Granular MAP 11-44 is still offered
by most exporters in the low/mid $360s pt fob, still
unworkable in Latin America.
Tactics: The exporter belief is that many big DAP
importers in Asia have deferred close to the max.
This is similar to the days of the high and low-tax
windows, hoping to time their imports to start with
a tail off in the main.
period of local DAP, MAP demand. The producer
lobby, while it can hold together, is offering
uniform export pricing.
Port inventories, net end-March impact: DAP
port inventories are reported down quite a sharp
100,000t vs. mid-March to around 225,000t as
cargo loading to India, Pakistan and SE Asia
outpaced refill of export-ready material. MAP
stocks rose about 60,000t, to about 200,000t.
Neither figure is an overwhelming total, but it is
likely a trend is for increasing port stocks is now
on the cards
China domestic: DAP is moving strong in the north
and northeast with prices little changed as below, but
MAP is weakening. The internal market for all
products is peaking, and as such, it is in the process
of disconnecting from local production. Most of current
April runs will end up for export, therefore. MAP is
seeing the impact of lower NPK intensity, and some
corresponding erosion in prices
Local spot DAP prices are flat either side of
RMB2,995pt fot ex warehouse in north and NE
markets (low $480s pt ). This reflects +/-
RMB2,700pt fot (mid $430s) ex works southwest
production plants, or near $490pt fob China port
export tax paid, of course unachievable in any
offshore market.
MAP 11-44 powder is selling in the local market in
the RMB1,990s pt fot ex works (near $320 pt fot),
equivalent to the high $360s pt fob China port
export tax paid. The premium for gMAP in the
limited-volume local market for this grade is about
RMB100pt (16-17pt), but like DAP, local market
activity is tailing off.
NPK: Chinese local commodity NPK prices look
to have run out of steam from the season peak
just gone, with MOP-based local 15-15-15 broadly
in the RMB1,950s pt fot ex works ($315pt fot).
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DAP $ BULK 9 Apr 2 Apr Tampa, US Gulf fob 470-475 470-475
Simulated net on Brazil, Arg spot* 450-452 450-452
Netbk on Mosaic India system** 470-472 470-472
KSA fob 482-492 482-492
Baltic, Black Sea fob 446-455 465-480
Morocco fob 490-510 490-510
Tunisia fob 505-510 505-510
**China fob (low tax paid +RMB100pt) 470-480 470-480
Mexico fob 470-473 475-480
Jordan fob 470-490 470-490
India cfr spot 482-490 482-490
Brazil cfr 470-472 470-472
Argentina, Uruguay cfr 475-485 475-485
Pakistan cfr 489-490 489-490
Benelux, N France fob/fot 535-545 535-545
NOLA fob barge (st) 406-408 405-420
Florida fot (st) 445-450 445-450
China fot bgd ex wks ($ equiv.) 435-438 435-438 * on any-origin business to Brazil, Arg ** net internal costs, taxes, forex, on Rs24kpt
NPK, NP $ BULK 9 Apr 2 Apr 16-16-16 fob FSU 300-360 300-360
16-16-16 fob FSU China netbk. 360-365 360-365
10-26-26 fob FSU 370-395 370-395
20-20-0 fob East Europe 315-320 315-320
19-38-0 7S fob Morocco 445-455 445-455
10-26-26 cfr India 425-428 425-428
16-16-16 cfr China 390-395 390-395
9-25-25 cfr NW Europe 425-430 425-430
15-15-15 cfr W Africa 349-351 349-351
16-16-16 cfr SE Asia 380-385 380-385
16-20-0 cfr SE Asia 295-300 295-300
0-30-10 fot ex store Brazil 375-380 395-405
15-15-15 fot ex wks China* 310-315 310-320
15-15-15 (SOP) fot ex wks China 358-365 358-365
25-13-7 fot ex wks N China 295-300 295-305
10-10-20 fot ex wks S China 280-285 285-290
EU NPK, NP (inland €) 9 Apr 2 Apr
15-15-15 cif bulk Benelux 340-350 340-350
17-17-17 cif bulk France 390-395 390-395
0-25-25 cif France 340-345 340-345
8-24-24 del bgd Italy 345-355 345-355
20-10-10 del bgd Italy 340-350 340-350
8-24-8 del bgd Spain 330-340 330-340
20-10-10 del bgd UK £ 294-300 294-300
SSP $ BULK 9 Apr 2 Apr Egypt fob 155-158 155-158
Spain fob ($ equiv) 150-153 150-153
Italy € fot bgd ex store 195-200 195-200
Brazil fot ex store inland 295-305 295-305
INPUTS (+/- $pt of DAP) Apr (Mar) +/-
Ammonia cfr Tampa 475 (475) =
cfr Morocco 435 (440) -1
cfr India 440 (465) -6
del wks China 445 (445) =0
Sulphur plt cfr Tampa Q1/Q4 147 (129) +9
cfr N Africa Q1/Q4 155 (140) +6
ex-warehouse China 195 (185) +4
MAP $ BULK 9 Apr 2 Apr Baltic, Black Sea fob * 446-455 455-460
Tampa fob 470-475 470-475
Morocco fob 490-515 490-515
KSA fob 465-470 465-470
China fob (10-50) 410-415 410-415
China fob (11-44) 365-370 365-370
Brazil cfr (11-52) 460-470 470-472
Brazil cfr (11-44) 388-390 388-390
Brazil fot ex-store inland 120d 530-550 560-570
TSP $ BULK 9 Apr 2 Apr Morocco fob 395-400 395-400
Tunisia fob 405-410 405-410
Mexico fob 388-390 388-390
China fob *corrects typo 320-325 320-325
Lebanon fob 380-385 380-385
Brazil cfr 357-360 357-360
Benelux. N France € fob/fot 365-375 365-375
Speciality NPK, NP+S US$ Mar Feb MKP fob China 1190-1210 1190-1210
MKP fot ex wks (local RMB) 6800-6875 6800-6875
MKP cfr West Europe 1290-1300 1290-1300
MKP cfr Brazil 1295-1310 1295-1310
Tech MAP 12-61-0 cfr EU* 915-985 915-985
UP 17-44 cfr West Europe 820-830 820-830
12-40-0 10S 1Zn fot Florida pst 495-500 490-495 MKP 0-52-34; UP = Urea Phosphate * Low-end Chinese origin
PHOSACID MGA $pt P2O5 Q1 ‘15 Q4 ‘14 Morocco fob 725-935 680-865
India cfr 30d 1H 2015 805 765
West Europe cfr Q4 14 950-1,000 900-960
Brazil cfr Q4 14 950-965 950-965
PHOSPHATE ROCK $ P2O5 Q1 ‘15
Morocco fob 31-33% 125-130
China fot 29-31% 79-83
Syria fob 29-30% 86-89
Peru fob 30% 70-80
Algeria fob 29-30% 82-85
Tunisia fob 27-28% n.m.
Egypt fob 30-31% 75-85
Egypt fob 27-28% 62-68
Jordan fob 34-36% 125-130
Togo fob 35-36% 120-125
Russia fob 38-39% 168-188
Russia domestic del ($ equ.) 38-39% 150-155
India cfr 29-30% 87-95
India cfr 33-34% 133-140
International Prices $ per tonne bulk Profercy Phosphates SC pricing represents last known spot or
contract sales. Absent new trades, competitive indications will
apply; i.e. top bid in rising market or low offer in a falling market.
Netbacks on contract sales, formula or otherwise, may feature.
International quotes are for 4kt lots & above, rounded up to the
nearest US$. Italics = no recent business; n.m. = no market