IMPACT Team Activities

Shahnila Islam

The IMPACT Team

Keith WiebeSherman RobinsonDaniel Mason-D’CrozTimothy SulserShahnila IslamNicola CenacchiGauthier PitoisTingju ZhuTim ThomasKimberlee ChangNicostrato PerezAngga PradeshaRicky Robertson

Quick Review of Modeling Updates

• IMPACT 3.2 - Completed• IMPACT 3.3 – Work in progress• IMPACT Web Tool – Interface completed and handed over,

needs to be populated and finalized

Publications

• “New Crop Varieties and Climate Change Adaptation” – IFPRI discussion paper– Global Food Security journal article submission

• IMPACT Technical Documentation update– Update of the 2012 documentation– Paper on Cross Entropy for data cleaning process

• Contributing a chapter to the ReSAKKS Annual Trends and Outlook Report (ATOR) – Used to inform the CAADP process

• Latin America Research Monograph• Collaboration with the OECD

– “Modelling Adaptation to Climate Change in Agriculture” report– “Better Drip than Flood: Reaping the Benefits of Efficient Irrigation”

Euro Choices Paper4

Publications continued…

• Collaboration with UNEP WCMC and University of Kassel– “Impacts of future agricultural development on biodiversity at

regional scales: a spatially explicit assessment of trade-offs in Uganda, Rwanda and Burundi” submitted to Regional Environmental Change

– “Tradeoffs Between Food Security, Species Richness, and Nitrogen Depletion”

• “Climate Change Impacts on Agriculture in 2050 under a Range of Plausible Socioeconomic and Emissions Scenarios” AgMIP Phase 2 Paper

• CCAFS Regional Scenarios– Working Paper for most regions– SEA paper on scenario building process

Publications continued…

• “The global and regional health impacts of future food production under climate change” Lancet paper submission on diet and health

• “Returns to investment in reducing Postharvest food losses and increasing Ag productivity growth” Copenhagen Consensus Assessment Report

• CSISA South Asia Paper – 11 technologies implemented worldwide vs. in South Asia, using GFDL and HadGEM

• Lloyd’s scenarios on climate shocks: Multicrop shock(Wheat, Maize, Soybeans), Individual Maize, Rice, and Wheat Shocks

• “Agriculture, Incomes, and Gender in Latin America by 2050” IFPRI Discussion paper in collaboration with DSG Division

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Other Engagement

• CCAFS Policy engagement in different countries– Cambodia: Climate Change Priorities Action Plan of the Ministry of

Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries, which was finalized and signed in 2014– Bangladesh: Down-scaled South Asia scenarios used by Bangladeshi Planning

Commission for 7th 5 Year Plan– Honduras: Secretariat of Agriculture and Livestock to guide their Climate

Change adaption policy • Policy engagement in Colombia resulting from interest in LEDS project• Argentina work to develop and compare scenarios using PE modeling• Central Asia work – IMPACT presentations in Almaty and Tashkent• Pest and Disease work with University of Florida and AgMIP• The importance of the IPR review to the AgMIP process

• IMPACT 3 Trainings– Washington DC– Cali, Columbia– Penang, Malaysia– Moscow, Russia

• Crop Modeling– Mink training in Hyderabad, India

Trainings