4Q09 Presentation
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Transcript of 4Q09 Presentation
Disclaimer
All financial information presented herein is consolidated, including the Bank´s financialstatements, its subsidiaries, Credit Receivables Investment Fund Paraná Banco II (FIDC), theinsurers JMALUCELLI Seguradora, JMALUCELLI Seguradora de Crédito (pending SUSEP`sapproval), the reinsurer JMALUCELLI Re., JMALUCELLI Agenciamento and Paraná Administradorade Consórcio. All information, except when otherwise indicated, is presented in the Braziliancurrency (in Reais) and was prepared based on the accounting practices g p pursuant to theBrazilian Corporate Law, associated with the regulations and instructions issued by the NationalMonetary Council (“CMN”), the Brazilian Central Bank (“BACEN”), the Brazilian Securities andExchange Commission ("CVM"), the National Council of Private Insurance (“CNSP”), the BrazilianPrivate Insurance Authority (“SUSEP”) and the Accounting Standards Committee (“CPC”),whenever applicable.
Information contained herein regarding future events is exposed to risks and uncertainties and issubject to change, resulting from, among other factors: market behavior, Brazil’s economical andpolitical situation, and changes in legislation and regulations. Information presented herein isentirely based on the expectations of the Bank’s Administration regarding its future performance,and does not constitute a guarantee of performance.
2
Main Highlights
Net Income:
R$ 29.1 million in 4Q0981.4% vs. 4Q08
R$ 104.3 million in 200924.0% vs. 2008
Profitability:
ROAE of 15.3% (4Q09) and 13.0% (2009)
ROAA of 4.3% (4Q09) and 4.2% (2009)
NIM of 14.3% (4Q09) and 13.5% (2009)
Total Deposits in 2009:
R$ 997.2 million29.6% vs. 2008
6.6% vs. 3Q09
3
Total Assets:
R$ 2,823.1 million6.1% vs. 3Q09
21.8% vs. 2008
Loan Portfolio:
R$ 1,297.0 million7.6% vs. 3Q09
16.8% vs. 2008
Portfolio from AA to C:
93.5% of Paraná Banco’s
portfolio.
Main Highlights (Insurance)
Net Income - Insurer:
R$ 9.5 million (4Q09)50.5% vs. 3Q09
R$ 29.3 million (2009)68.8% vs. 2008
Net Income - Reinsurer:
R$ 5 million (4Q09)311.5% vs. 3Q09
R$ 14.1 million (2009)213.3% vs. 2008
Combined Ratio
JM Seguradora:
61.3% (4Q09)- 4.5 p.p. vs. 3Q09
-7.5 p.p. vs. 4Q08
4
Market share in 2009:
JM Seguradora: 32.2%
JM Re: 36.5%
Retained Premiums
JM Seguradora + JM Re:
R$ 27.4 million0.9% vs. 3Q09
Insurance business share:
51.1% of 4Q09 and
43.0% of 2009
net income
Financial Performance
5
Income with credit assignmentsIncome from credit operations Result from marketable securities operations
Expenses from Financial Operations NIM
4Q08 3Q09 4Q09 2008 2009
29,2
75.7
72.4 75.7
15.1
15.8 15.8
(48.0) (41.5) (42.3)
19.8%
14.7%14.3%
-20.0%
-15.0%
-10.0%
-5.0%
0.0%
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
20.0%
(100)
(50)
-
50
100
150
29.2
327.1
280.0
51.8
63.7
(172.9) (151.7)
16.0%
13.5%
-16.5%
-11.5%
-6.5%
-1.5%
3.5%
8.5%
13.5%
18.5%
(300)
(200)
(100)
-
100
200
300
400
500
Result from financial operations 49,241 46,705 5.4% 72,021 (31.6%) 191,925 235,190 (18.4%)
Efficiency Ratio 49.3% 58.3% (8.9 p.p.) 80.4% (31.1 p.p.) 54.9% 66.0% (11.1 p.p.)
2009 20082009 x
2008R$ thousand 4Q09 3Q09
4Q09 x
3Q094Q08
4Q09 x
4Q08
6
Financial Performance
Growth in Net Income: Recovery in credit and reduction in operating expenses.
Increasing share of insurance business in total earnings.
27.2% 43.0% 31.1% 51.1%
2008 2009 4Q08 4Q09
Net Income(R$ thousand)
Participation of insurance sector
24.0%
84,127
104,301
16,023
29,066
81.4%
Operational Performance
7
Matching of Terms: 52.6% of the portfolio and 48.1% of funding maturing within 1 year.
Loan Portfolio (R$) 1,297,002 1,205,341 7.6% 1,110,492 16.8%
Total Deposits (R$ thousand) 997,182 935,454 6.6% 769,534 29.6%
Time Deposits (R$ thousand) 846,980 783,482 8.1% 696,366 21.6%
4Q09 x
4Q084Q09 3Q09
4Q09 x
3Q094Q08
25.4%
27.2%
35.8%
11.6%
Loan Portfolio – Operations Falling Due
Up to 3 months
Between 3 and 12 months
Between 1 and 3 years
Above 3 years
26.7%
21.4%
43.5%
8.5%
Funding – Operations Falling Due
Up to 3 months
Between 3 and 12 months
Between 1 and 3 years
Above 3 years
Quality of the Loan Portfolio
8
* Includes balance of assignment with co-obligation.
Delinquency rate - Brazilian Financial System (“SFN”)
Individuals (>90 days) = 7.8%
Corporations (>90 days) = 3.8%
Delinquency rate - Paraná Banco
Payroll deductible (>90 days) = 5.9%
Small and Mid Enterprises (>90 days) = 0.8%
Allowance for Doubtful Accounts (PDD) 70,649 62,331 13.3% 51,469 37.3%
Portfolio (> 90 days) 74,725 67,023 11.5% 56,151 33.1%
Portfolio (> 180 days) 46,820 38,475 21.7% 30,420 53.9%
Total Portfolio* 1,398,582 1,347,703 3.8% 1,330,658 5.1%
Portfolio Coverage Index (PDD / > 90 days) 94.5% 93.0% 1.5 p.p. 91.7% 2.9 p.p.
Portfolio Coverage Index (PDD / > 180 days) 150.9% 162.0% (11.1 p.p.) 169.2% (18.3 p.p.)
Allowance for Doubtful Accounts (PDD) / Total Portfolio 5.1% 4.6% 0.5 p.p. 3.9% 1.2 p.p.
Written-off credits (b) 8,754 13,250 (33.9%) 7,856 11.4%
Loss rate (b/a) 0.6% 1.0% (0.4 p.p.) 0.6% 0.0 p.p.
4Q09 x
4Q08R$ 4Q09 3Q09
4Q09 x
3Q094Q08
9
FIDC
Once they were discontinued, the remaining FIDC portfolio was integrated with
the Bank's portfolio, and that led to higher provision expenses.
Growth of 0.6 p.p. in the H level
94.0%
3.1%2.8%
Consolidated Portfolio -Without FIDC II
AA- C
D-G
H
93.3%
3.3% 3.4%
Consolidated Portfolio
AA- C
D-G
H
Funding
10
DPGE (Time Deposits with Special Guarantee) in December 31, 2009: R$ 141.1 million
Total Deposits: increase of 6.6% in the quarter.
Increased participation of institutional investors and corporations.
Issue overseas: portfolio is 100% hedged
US$ 35 million maturing in August 2011
US$ 100 million maturing in December 2012
2005 2006 2007 2008 1Q09 2Q09 3Q09 4Q09
235
17102
980
Funding Sources
MTN FIDCs Loans Assigment Deposits
US$ 35 MM
46.4%
26.5%
3.4%
23.8%
US$ 100 MM
Issue overseas (US$300 MM program)
Europe
US
Chile
Others
Segmentation
11
Payroll-Deductible Loans: diversification dilutes the regulatory risk of credit
and concentration of agreements.
Alternative Distribution Channels: 82 franchises and 9 own stores.
Small and Mid Enterprises (SME): growth of 11.0% in the quarter.
Synergy with the JM Seguradora:15.2% of the portfolio.
Distribution in the platforms:
Curitiba, São Paulo, Ponta Grossa, Maringá, Joinvile and Florianópolis.
5.4%4.4%
81.5%
8.8%
Sector Distribution - SME
Industry
Commerce
Services
Municipal Public
16,1%
31,5%
3,4%
30,2%
18,8%
Payroll-Deductible Loan Origination
INSS
States
Armed Forces
Municipality
Others
Capital Structure
12
Changes in Shareholders’ Equity: impacted by the 5th and 6th share buy-back programs and
the payment of IOE worth of R$ 47.9 million in 2009.
Basel II: 38.9% in 4Q09, with a R$ 526.2 million margin over the limit.
Initial Balance 811,368 804,540
Net Income 29,066 21,123
Interest on Equity (16,110) (7,547)
Treasury shares (35,752) (6,363)
Adjustment to market value - Marketable securities 5 6
Others (1) (391)
Final Balance 788,576 811,368
Equity Changes (R$ thousand) 4Q09 3Q09
Reference Shareholder's Equity 790,968 813,011 804,946 807,027 807,759
Reference Shareholder's Equity Required 223,839 239,050 226,132 243,783 252,396
Banking Portfolio Risk (RBAN) 40,959 41,546 49,368 44,625 51,875
Basel required minimum margin 526,170 532,415 529,446 518,619 503,488
Basel Index 38.9% 37.4% 39.2% 36.4% 35.2%
4Q08Capital ComplianceBasel II Rules
4Q09 3Q09 2Q09 1Q09
Qualidade da Carteira de Crédito
13
* Inclui saldo da cessão com coobrigação.
Inadimplência SFN
PF (>90 dias) = 7,8%
PJ (>90 dias) = 3,8%
Inadimplência Paraná Banco
Consignado (>90 dias) = 5,9%
PME (>90 dias) = 0,8%
PDD 70.649 62.331 13,3% 51.469 37,3%
Carteira (> 90 dias) 74.725 67.023 11,5% 56.151 33,1%
Carteira (> 180 dias) 46.820 38.475 21,7% 30.420 53,9%
Carteira Total* (a) 1.398.582 1.347.703 3,8% 1.330.658 5,1%
Índice de cobertura da carteira (PDD / > 90 dias) 94,5% 93,0% 1,5 p.p. 91,7% 2,9 p.p.
Índice de cobertura da carteira (PDD / > 180 dias) 150,9% 162,0% (11,1 p.p.) 169,2% (18,3 p.p.)
PDD / Carteira Total 5,1% 4,6% 0,5 p.p. 3,9% 1,2 p.p.
Créditos Baixados a Prejuízo (b) 8.754 13.250 (33,9%) 7.856 11,4%
Nível de perda (b/a) 0,6% 1,0% (0,4 p.p.) 0,6% 0,0 p.p.
4T09 x
4T08R$ 4T09 3T09
4T09 x
3T094T08
Insurance
14
Latin America Market
Source: LatinoInsurance
23.0%
22.0%
17.0%
16.0%
12.0%
10.0%
Surety Bond- Latin America market share
Mexico
Brazil
Others
Venezuela
Colombia
Argentina
3.0%
3.3%
3.9%
6.2%
6.3%
7.7%
Confianza - Colombia
Corporativos - Venezuela
Sofimex - Mexico
Mrrey NYL - Mexico
Aserta - Mexico
JMalucelli - Brazil
Latin America - Market share of the companies
34.0%
36.5%
1.0%
25.0%
3.4%
Market Share - reinsurance premiumsFinancial risk category
IRB BRASIL RESSEGUROS
J. MALUCELLI RESSEGURADORA
MAPFRE RE DO BRASIL
MUNCHENER RUCK DO BRASIL RESSEGURADORA
XL RESSEGUROS BRASIL29.2% 37.0% 42.3% 50.4% 43.0% 32.2%
187,768 167,452192,364
346,089
499,334
703,109
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
Market share evolution - direct premiums (R$ thousand)
JMalucelli Seguradora Market
15
Market Share (December/2009)
JM Seguradora: market leader – profitable operation, low claims ratio, quick credit analysis,
selected clients and attractive to reinsurers.
Outlier: R$ 124.7 million policy for the Madeira River hydropower plant construction project.
Without it, JM Seguradora would have a 39.2% market share.
JMalucelli Resseguradora: Ranks first in the financial risk group.
Operational Performance
16
JMalucelli Seguradora pulls down the market’s claim ratio average.
Without the JM Seguradora, it would be 36.9%.
26.3%
3.6%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
Claim ratio
Market JMalucelli Seguradora
38,020
72,129
27,578
9,688
66,948
176,331
253 4,025 2,372 6,457 9,056 7,960
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
Insurance claims
Market JMalucelli Seguradora
Qualidade da Carteira de Crédito
17
* Inclui saldo da cessão com coobrigação.
Inadimplência SFN
PF (>90 dias) = 7,8%
PJ (>90 dias) = 3,8%
Inadimplência Paraná Banco
Consignado (>90 dias) = 5,9%
PME (>90 dias) = 0,8%
PDD 70.649 62.331 13,3% 51.469 37,3%
Carteira (> 90 dias) 74.725 67.023 11,5% 56.151 33,1%
Carteira (> 180 dias) 46.820 38.475 21,7% 30.420 53,9%
Carteira Total* (a) 1.398.582 1.347.703 3,8% 1.330.658 5,1%
Índice de cobertura da carteira (PDD / > 90 dias) 94,5% 93,0% 1,5 p.p. 91,7% 2,9 p.p.
Índice de cobertura da carteira (PDD / > 180 dias) 150,9% 162,0% (11,1 p.p.) 169,2% (18,3 p.p.)
PDD / Carteira Total 5,1% 4,6% 0,5 p.p. 3,9% 1,2 p.p.
Créditos Baixados a Prejuízo (b) 8.754 13.250 (33,9%) 7.856 11,4%
Nível de perda (b/a) 0,6% 1,0% (0,4 p.p.) 0,6% 0,0 p.p.
4T09 x
4T08R$ 4T09 3T09
4T09 x
3T094T08
Corporate Governance
Corporate Governance
18
Interest on Equity in 2009: R$ 47.9 million, equivalent to R$ 0.51 per share and pay-out of 45.9%.
Share Buyback Program: 6th program in progress.
*Data related to this program have been updated as at 12/31/2009.
1 4,155,600 8.85 36,768 Ended on 07/07/2008
2 4,072,300 5.06 20,604 Ended on 03/17/2009
3 3,331,800 4.06 13,526 Ended on 04/01/2009
4 2,987,200 5.55 16,568 Ended on 05/27/2009
5 2,756,400 8.61 23,746 Ended on 10/13/2009
6* 2,056,100 10.00 20,557 Ongoing
Total 19,359,400 6.81 131,769
Programs Acquired SharesAverage
Price
Total Cost
(R$ million)Status
1Q09 5,974,417.92 0.06000 1.30
2Q09 18,283,706.08 0.19000 2.68
3Q09 7,547,362.56 0.08000 0.82
4Q09 16,109,996.02 0.17554 1.72
Total 47,915,482.58 0.50554 -
Distributed Gross Value
(R$)
Interest on Equity
per share (R$)
Dividend Yield
(%)
September 2009September 2009
Low Credit Risk
RatingA-
Rating Rating / Ranking RatingbrBBB+ 11.20 A
Low Credit RiskLow Credit Risk -
Medium term
May 2009
Low Credit Risk
September 2009
PRBC4 Performance
19
-
10.000
20.000
30.000
40.000
50.000
60.000
70.000
-
50,00
100,00
150,00
200,00
250,00
300,00
350,00
400,00
450,00
Dec-08 Jan-09 Feb-09 Mar-09 Apr-09 May-09 Jun-09 Jul-09 Aug-09 Sep-09 Oct-09 Nov-09 Dec-09
PRBC Ibovespa Volume
DA
ILY
TR
AD
ING
VO
LUM
E (R
$ th
ou
san
ds)
SHA
RE
PR
ICE
(b
ase
100
)
Investor Relations
20
This presentation may include estimates and forward-looking statements. These estimates and forward-looking statements are to a large extent based on current
expectations and projections regarding future events and financial trends that affect or may come to affect the company’s business. Many important factors may adversely
affect the results of Paraná Banco as described in our estimates and forward-looking statements. These factors include, but are not limited to, the following: the Brazilian and
international economic situation, fiscal, foreign-exchange and monetary policies, higher competition in the payroll deductible loan segment the ability of Paraná Banco to
obtain funding for its operations and amendments to Central Bank regulations. The words: “believe”, “may”, “could”, “seek”, “estimate”, “continue”, “anticipate”, “plan”,
“expect” and other similar words are intended to identify estimates and projections. The considerations involving estimates and forward-looking statements include
information related to results and projections, strategies, competitive positioning, the industry environment, growth of opportunities, the effects of future regulations, and the
impact from competitors.
Said estimates and projections refer only to the date on which they were expressed, and we do not assume any obligation to publicly update or revise any of these estimates
arising from the occurrence of new information, future events, or any other factors. In view of the risks and uncertainties described above, the estimates and forward-looking
statements contained in this presentation may not materialize. Given these limitations, shareholders and investors should not make any decisions based on the estimates,
projections and forward-looking statements contained herein.
Marianne C. BaggioIR Analyst
Ph: (+55 41) 3351-9645
Mauricio N. G. Fanganiello IR Coordinator
Ph: (+55 41) 3351-9765
Cristiano Malucelli IRO
Ph: (+55 41) 3351-9950
e-mail: [email protected]
IR Website: www.paranabanco.com.br/ir