3Q15 Results Presentation3Q15 Results Presentation PULP AND PAPER 2 The statements in this...
Transcript of 3Q15 Results Presentation3Q15 Results Presentation PULP AND PAPER 2 The statements in this...
3Q15 Results Presentation
PULP AND PAPER
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The statements in this presentation constitute projections or forward-looking
statements. Such statements are subject to known and unknown risks and
uncertainties that could cause the expectations expressed to not materialize
or the actual results to differ materially from the expected results. These risks
include changes in future demand for the Company’s products, changes in
factors that affect domestic and international product prices, changes in cost
structures, changes in the seasonality of markets, pricing actions by
competitors, foreign currency fluctuations and changes in the political and
economic environments in Brazil, in emerging markets or internationally.
Disclaimer
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Agenda
1. Results
2. Strategy
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Record figures in 3Q15…
Record-high Adjusted EBITDA of R$1.48 billion in 3Q15, margin of 49%
Lowest level of SG&A expenses as a ratio of net revenue: 7.4% in 3Q15
New round of liability management
Net debt/Adjusted EBITDA ratio of 3.0x
Interim dividends of R$120 million
OPERATING CASH GENERATION¹ LTM² (R$ billion)
1.1 1.2 1.2 1.31.5
1.92.2
3.0
Dec-13 Mar-14 Jun-14 Sep-14 Dec-14 Mar-15 Jun-15 Sep-15
Note: (1) Operating cash generation in the last 12 months considers Adjusted EBITDA less sustain CAPEX(2) Last 12 months
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804 929
2,161 2,530 328 315
979 926
1,132 1,245
3,1393,456
3Q14 3Q15 9M14 9M15Pulp Paper
... are record-high in the quarter
Low global BHKP inventories
Growing pulp demand
Production resumed at line 1 of Mucuri mill after downtime
Sales (‘000 tons)Production (‘000 tons)
Pulp production and sales…
860 889
2,022 2,551
340 335
948
903
1,200 1,224
2,9693,454
3Q14 3Q15 9M14 9M15Pulp Paper
Increase in paper exports
Brazil’s paper demand: -14% yoy
Dumping taxes to be revised in January/16
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Cash cost still impacted by wood supply in Mucuri mill…
…trending towards gradual recovery in 2016
37%
51%504
560
460
480
500
520
540
560
580
0%
20%
40%
60%
Consolidated Cash Cost Ex-Maintenance Downtime (R$ / ton)
Average distance of market wood in Mucuri (Km) Market wood in Mucuri (%)
2Q15 3Q15
626
66856
(14)
2Q15 Wood Other 3Q15
7Note: (1) last twelve months
COGS LTM¹ (R$/ton)
SG&A / Net Revenue LTM¹ (%) Adjusted EBITDA Margin LTM1 (%)
6,7487,265
8,012
8,686
9,692
Sep/14 Dec/14 Mar/15 Jun/15 Sep/15
9.8%
9.5%
9.0%8.8%
8.5%
Sep/14 Dec/14 Mar/15 Jun/15 Sep/15
Net Revenue LTM¹ (R$ million)
1,293 1,2841,265
1,2851.316
Sep/14 Dec/14 Mar/15 Jun/15 Sep/15
32.1%33.8%
36.1%
38.4%
43.3%
Sep/14 Dec/14 Mar/15 Jun/15 Sep/15
+1.8%
Results improved through…
...discipline of costs and expenses
Inflation: +9.1%
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Improving results even when excluding…
1,260 1,349 1,459 1,631 1,781 1,944 2,057 2,1692,452
2,8953,333
4,194
DEC/12 MAR/13 JUN/13 SEP/13 DEC/13 MAR/14 JUN/14 SEP/14 DEC/14 MAR/15 JUN/15 SEP/15
641 670 715 772 820 863 899 9501,036
1,1541,233
1,378
DEC/12 MAR/13 JUN/13 SEP/13 DEC/13 MAR/14 JUN/14 SEP/14 DEC/14 MAR/15 JUN/15 SEP/15
...the FX variable
Increase of +115%
Increase of +233%
Adjusted EBITDA LTM (R$ million)
Adjusted EBITDA LTM (US$ million)
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Investments in structural competitiveness…
...with high returns and low risk
Suzano Digester: Completed in 2Q15
Limeira Digester: 4Q15
Energy Efficiency Programs: To be concluded in 4Q15
Retrofitting of Harvesting Equipment: Conclusion in 4Q15
Forest Logistics (light-duty trucks): 4Q15
Biomass Boiler in Limeira: 1Q16
Fluff: Start-up in December/15
0.8 1.1
0.50.7
1.3
9M15 2015e
Retrofitting
Sustain
Capex (R$ billion)
1.8
10
Debt reduction...
...allows strategy to go forward
Net Debt/ Adjusted EBITDA (x)
Liability Management surpasses R$4 billion in
2015 and enables reduction in cost of debt
Average Cost of Debt (%)
84.2%
91.2%
94.4%
Sep/15
Dec/14
Dec/13
4.0%
4.7%
4.8%
5.2x
4.1x
3.0x
4.8x
3.7x
2.3x
Dec/13 Dec/14 Sep/15
BRL USD
Note: Debt in BRL as a percentage of CDI
BRL USD
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Agenda
1. Results
2. Strategy
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STRUCTURAL COMPETITIVENESS
Maximizing returns on our assets and cash generation
Benchmark in operating efficiency
ADJACENT BUSINESSES
Increase profitability through innovative, paradigm-shifting
businesses
RESHAPING OF THE INDUSTRY
Decrease the industry’s return variability
Strategy to maximize return on assets...
...and increase value to shareholders
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STRUCTURAL COMPETITIVENESS
ADJACENT BUSINESSES
RESHAPING OF THE INDUSTRY
Strategy to maximize return on assets...
...and increase value to shareholders
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Project 5.1...
...brings us closer to optimum structural cost
Capacity of 5.1 million tons in 2018
Industrial investment in Imperatriz and Mucuri mills
Forestry basis expansion and average distance reduction
Lower cash cost: lower chemicals consumption and fixed cost dilution
Total estimated capex: R$1.14 billion with estimated IRR of 47%
2016e: R$510 million
2017e: R$585 million
2018e: R$45 million
Project conclusion scheduled for 4Q17 with gradual increasein capacity
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Strategy to maximize return on assets...
...and increase value to shareholders
STRUCTURAL COMPETITIVENESS
ADJACENT BUSINESSES
RESHAPING OF THE INDUSTRY
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Tissue: operating and logistics competitiveness…
...adding value to pulp
Production of jumbo rolls for companies in the industry and/or finished product
Priority in establishing industrial partnership with our clients
Faster market growth in Brazil’s North/Northeast regions
Structural and definitive solution to monetize ICMS tax credits
Modern and integrated plants in Imperatriz and Mucuri
Production capacity of 60k tons in each unit
Total estimated capex: R$425 million with IRR of 81%
2016e: R$275 million
2017e: R$100 million
2018e: R$50 million
Start up: 3Q17 in Imperatriz and 4Q17 in Mucuri
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BETTER EVERYDAY
STRONG AND KIND